MLB · resolved market
Miami Marlins vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 8.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x12c31f5a0fdcc0cb68c3af10a4bf2afba881320751c167c50c32033ac7fe4f80
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $220,672
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $220,625
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $220,672 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 106 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5e94…5ba1backed Over | 49c | 204,081$99,290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99,290.33 | 469 | 49%230 W · 239 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Under | 51c | 46,280$23,827 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,453.13 | 11,356 | 52.9%6,002 W · 5,354 L | +209.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…abafbacked Under | 51c | 42,886$21,872 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,014.27 | 1,385 | 49.5%685 W · 700 L | -4.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Under | 51c | 13,634$6,953 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,680.66 | 920 | 54%497 W · 423 L | +23.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56ac…d77ebacked Under | 51c | 13,478$6,874 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,604.22 | 716 | 50.7%363 W · 353 L | +9.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Under | 51c | 12,290$6,268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,022.03 | 4,279 | 47.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L | -83.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29b7…4108backed Under | 51c | 11,000$5,610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,390 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.14per pick | 56cpaid | +45.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9f15…bdb3backed Under | 52c | 9,538$4,960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,578.4 | 776 | 47.4%368 W · 408 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Under | 53c | 8,440$4,431 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,009 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Under | 52c | 7,500$3,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,600 | 1,292 | 50.2%648 W · 644 L | +18.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 62c | 6,241$3,848 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,392.5 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Under | 51c | 6,122$3,122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,999.64 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2792…c4f6backed Under | 51c | 3,533$1,802 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,731.37 | 739 | 49.8%368 W · 371 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e64…336dbacked Under | 51c | 2,500$1,275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,225 | 449 | 45.4%204 W · 245 L | -13.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa2b8…3668backed Under | 54c | 1,795$976 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$819.9 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.14per pick | 51cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Under | 52c | 1,761$916 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$845.3 | 1,572 | 48.3%759 W · 813 L | -6.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Under | 51c | 1,633$833 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$800.17 | 1,909 | 53.5%1,021 W · 888 L | +29.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Under | 65c | 1,472$954 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$517.57 | 4,035 | 57.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L | +72.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x992b…5053backed Under | 54c | 1,299$702 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$596.55 | 227 | 53.3%121 W · 106 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 52c | 1,139$587 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$552.12 | 5,400 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,674 L | +17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb07…e2ccbacked Under | 52c | 1,050$546 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$504.5 | 167 | 53.9%90 W · 77 L | +10.2wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Under | 51c | 980.39$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480.39 | 614 | 50.8%312 W · 302 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed Under | 52c | 975$511 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$464.1 | 1,555 | 48.9%761 W · 794 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x73e8…cd6fbacked Under | 54c | 934.32$501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$433.68 | 360 | 48.6%175 W · 185 L | -11.5wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x224f…514abacked Under | 53c | 900$477 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$423 | 457 | 48.6%222 W · 235 L | -11.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09ee…90a4backed Under | 55c | 879$483 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$395.55 | 1,569 | 51.1%801 W · 768 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Over | 49c | 831$407 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$407.19 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under | 52c | 826.92$432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$394.48 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x773c…cf18backed Under | 51c | 735.29$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360.29 | 114 | 54.4%62 W · 52 L | +6.4wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 33c | 730.97$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.6 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Under | 53c | 615.04$326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289.07 | 2,290 | 51%1,167 W · 1,123 L | +23.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd619…c461backed Under | 52c | 576.91$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.92 | 644 | 52.2%336 W · 308 L | +26.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbf9c…3648backed Under | 51c | 571.65$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280.11 | 1,733 | 49%849 W · 884 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5505…aa44backed Over | 47c | 522.36$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.77 | 515 | 45.2%233 W · 282 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Under | 53c | 500$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235 | 1,836 | 50.8%932 W · 904 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Under | 52c | 481$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.88 | 1,521 | 48.6%739 W · 782 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked Over | 36c | 300$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 143 | 28.7%41 W · 102 L | -11.9wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Under | 52c | 298.06$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.92 | 413 | 46.7%193 W · 220 L | -10.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Under | 51c | 251.73$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.35 | 1,284 | 49.5%635 W · 649 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Under | 51c | 250$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.5 | 1,206 | 53.7%648 W · 558 L | +29.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3603…22edbacked Under | 51c | 250$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.5 | 518 | 49.4%256 W · 262 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3eeb…3300backed Under | 51c | 235.29$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.29 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.0wins | +0.29per pick | 57cpaid | +54.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x17d7…9e1ebacked Under | 66c | 233.88$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.52 | 1,000 | 58.8%588 W · 412 L | +26.0wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba4…6de0backed Over | 29c | 212.05$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.47 | 209 | 45%94 W · 115 L | -11.1wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Over | 48c | 205.31$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.12 | 1,172 | 49.1%575 W · 597 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e3…f1bdbacked Under | 51c | 200$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98 | 214 | 49.5%106 W · 108 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a3f…4333backed Under | 51c | 200$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98 | 562 | 53.2%299 W · 263 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8931…0627backed Under | 51c | 200$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +127.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9b11…5375backed Over | 46c | 198$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.42 | 1,777 | 49.5%880 W · 897 L | +25.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6407…d360backed Under | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.08 | 110 | 41.8%46 W · 64 L | -6.6wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe077…f5eebacked Under | 51c | 150.98$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.98 | 87 | 54%47 W · 40 L | +5.0wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x28e8…6080backed Under | 53c | 142.85$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.14 | 473 | 50.7%240 W · 233 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56cc…d589backed Under | 51c | 127.39$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.42 | 1,245 | 56.9%708 W · 537 L | +31.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd2…9e07backed Under | 51c | 120.1$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.85 | 674 | 53%357 W · 317 L | +28.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…4003backed Under | 51c | 120$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.8 | 416 | 37.5%156 W · 260 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Under | 52c | 114$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.72 | 1,851 | 53.1%982 W · 869 L | +18.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaedd…ad5bbacked Under | 51c | 107.78$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.81 | 57 | 64.9%37 W · 20 L | +6.3wins | +0.11per pick | 54cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Under | 52c | 100$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.5 | 2,376 | 49.7%1,182 W · 1,194 L | +17.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Under | 51c | 100$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 994 | 47.3%470 W · 524 L | -6.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d8e…5d6abacked Over | 48c | 100$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Under | 51c | 100$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 1,803 | 53.8%970 W · 833 L | +17.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87f8…7de3backed Over | 43c | 100$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.4 | 381 | 42%160 W · 221 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3146…d153backed Under | 51c | 99.75$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.88 | 177 | 49.7%88 W · 89 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ddd…73b2backed Under | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.04 | 314 | 46.8%147 W · 167 L | -11.7wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed Under | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.04 | 1,195 | 50%597 W · 598 L | +5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xffd0…93fcbacked Under | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.04 | 97 | 56.7%55 W · 42 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Under | 73c | 87.48$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.62 | 5,786 | 43.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L | -192.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 55c | 80.01$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.41 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x22a4…63ebbacked Under | 66c | 72.64$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.92 | 1,205 | 58.8%708 W · 497 L | +31.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Under | 66c | 68.04$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.23 | 1,813 | 49.1%891 W · 922 L | -26.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Over | 48c | 66.99$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.91 | 2,800 | 49.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7aa…abe3backed Under | 51c | 60.5$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.65 | 351 | 49.3%173 W · 178 L | -12.9wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e4b…0a04backed Under | 51c | 50.51$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.75 | 175 | 50.3%88 W · 87 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8efa…894cbacked Over | 48c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 454 | 45.2%205 W · 249 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed Over | 47c | 44.75$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.25 | 2,944 | 47.6%1,401 W · 1,543 L | +4.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe481…d138backed Over | 47c | 43.2$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.18 | 881 | 47.8%421 W · 460 L | +4.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x435d…c52abacked Under | 51c | 42.78$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.96 | 674 | 44.1%297 W · 377 L | +27.8wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a8d…7688backed Under | 52c | 42.02$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.17 | 241 | 49%118 W · 123 L | -5.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed Under | 52c | 40$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.33 | 952 | 52.9%504 W · 448 L | +17.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3cdb…4cc2backed Under | 51c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.6 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x250f…4fc6backed Over | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 130 | 25.4%33 W · 97 L | -17.3wins | -0.13per pick | 39cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x927c…a79abacked Under | 51c | 39.47$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.34 | 87 | 44.8%39 W · 48 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde36…f41cbacked Under | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.22 | 158 | 41.8%66 W · 92 L | -12.7wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8d10…940abacked Under | 54c | 32.41$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.99 | 1,014 | 47.7%484 W · 530 L | -28.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x19b7…9ee6backed Under | 51c | 30.83$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.11 | 1,038 | 51.7%537 W · 501 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed Over | 48c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 1,753 | 50.8%890 W · 863 L | +29.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2892…e9d7backed Over | 49c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.7 | 348 | 46.8%163 W · 185 L | -12.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x15cf…4d9bbacked Under | 62c | 29.97$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.39 | 66 | 43.9%29 W · 37 L | -3.9wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0642…8c68backed Under | 51c | 29.41$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.41 | 370 | 48.9%181 W · 189 L | -12.2wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a8d…d241backed Under | 53c | 28.41$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.27 | 36 | 77.8%28 W · 8 L | +8.1wins | +0.23per pick | 55cpaid | +40%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x5e9c…5ea3backed Under | 53c | 28.3$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.3 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Under | 51c | 25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.35 | 2,947 | 51.9%1,529 W · 1,418 L | -34.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d10…b3d0backed Over | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 50 | 46%23 W · 27 L | -3.2wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x74d5…1ca9backed Over | 49c | 24.49$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4c7…b8e1backed Under | 51c | 23.53$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.53 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -30%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8369…1ec0backed Under | 51c | 23$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.27 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Under | 54c | 22.41$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.31 | 704 | 55%387 W · 317 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74dd…f3c5backed Under | 80c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4 | 112 | 54.5%61 W · 51 L | -6.5wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed Under | 53c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.4 | 787 | 54.6%430 W · 357 L | +27.5wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd78e…6421backed Under | 51c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.8 | 237 | 50.6%120 W · 117 L | -11.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Miami Marlins vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 8.5this page
- Miami Marlins vs. Milwaukee BrewersMilwaukee Brewers won
- Miami Marlins vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 1.5Over won
- Miami Marlins vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 4.5Under won
- Miami Marlins vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 5.5Under won
- Miami Marlins vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 6.5Under won
- Spread: Miami Marlins (-1.5)Milwaukee Brewers won
- Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-1.5)Milwaukee Brewers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.