MLB · resolved market
Minnesota Twins vs. Cleveland Guardians
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd53490ec73ecbca2118c8c2ff6c4b4acf76b81c1aba575d3c2861f59c42613f6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Minnesota Twinsof Minnesota Twins, Cleveland Guardians
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $934,969
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $974,556
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $934,969 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 430 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9cb9…32f2backed Minnesota Twins | 36c | 97,500$35,072 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62,428.27 | 163 | 47.9%78 W · 85 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc1…b33cbacked Cleveland Guardians | 58c | 71,429$41,429 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41,428.57 | 260 | 56.9%148 W · 112 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Cleveland Guardians | 59c | 37,105$21,860 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,859.53 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32d2…8850backed Minnesota Twins | 42c | 32,641$13,645 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,996.39 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +1.1wins | +0.10per pick | 32cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Minnesota Twins | 28c | 25,283$6,970 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,312.55 | 252 | 48.8%123 W · 129 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9709…52abbacked Cleveland Guardians | 60c | 20,408$12,245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,244.9 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +1.6wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +78.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd38a…8d26backed Cleveland Guardians | 58c | 17,834$10,344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,344 | 176 | 52.8%93 W · 83 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed Cleveland Guardians | 59c | 17,748$10,389 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,388.9 | 794 | 42.4%337 W · 457 L | -13.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Minnesota Twins | 31c | 16,975$5,320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,655.49 | 4,279 | 47.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L | -83.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa77…15a5backed Cleveland Guardians | 59c | 16,544$9,761 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,760.82 | 232 | 55.6%129 W · 103 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff7b…1659backed Minnesota Twins | 49c | 16,150$7,914 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,236.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30c1…9f91backed Minnesota Twins | 42c | 12,499$5,249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,249.2 | 123 | 43.1%53 W · 70 L | -5.0wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Cleveland Guardians | 57c | 10,946$6,216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,216.03 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…abafbacked Cleveland Guardians | 56c | 10,522$5,885 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,884.58 | 1,385 | 49.5%685 W · 700 L | -4.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Minnesota Twins | 45c | 10,166$4,578 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,587.5 | 4,477 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,291 L | -47.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Cleveland Guardians | 58c | 9,056$5,293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,292.65 | 981 | 49.8%489 W · 492 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab6a…2978backed Minnesota Twins | 45c | 8,115$3,651 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,464.55 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb04f…d000backed Cleveland Guardians | 56c | 8,036$4,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,500 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 63cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf647…0ccbbacked Cleveland Guardians | 59c | 7,970$4,741 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,741.13 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +2.6wins | +0.20per pick | 50cpaid | +46.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Cleveland Guardians | 61c | 7,500$4,575 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,574.97 | 489 | 52.8%258 W · 231 L | +16.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6193…5b80backed Cleveland Guardians | 70c | 7,477$5,233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,233.13 | 231 | 46.8%108 W · 123 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b44…3992backed Cleveland Guardians | 58c | 5,952$3,452 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,452.38 | 156 | 59%92 W · 64 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Minnesota Twins | 39c | 5,846$2,276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,570.13 | 1,499 | 58.9%883 W · 616 L | +75.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x24c7…77c4backed Minnesota Twins | 42c | 5,700$2,394 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,305.96 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Cleveland Guardians | 64c | 5,430$3,476 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,475.63 | 11,356 | 52.9%6,002 W · 5,354 L | +209.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4fd…748bbacked Minnesota Twins | 45c | 5,417$2,434 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,982.6 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Cleveland Guardians | 64c | 5,357$3,407 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,406.98 | 1,456 | 42.7%622 W · 834 L | -39.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Minnesota Twins | 40c | 5,281$2,090 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,191 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Cleveland Guardians | 58c | 5,037$2,905 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,904.72 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabb8…bba3backed Cleveland Guardians | 78c | 5,000$3,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,900 | 981 | 49.9%490 W · 491 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a3f…914abacked Cleveland Guardians | 38c | 5,000$1,890 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,889.97 | 66 | 66.7%44 W · 22 L | +5.2wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5674…2ff4backed Cleveland Guardians | 58c | 4,762$2,762 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,761.9 | 127 | 59.8%76 W · 51 L | +5.8wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Minnesota Twins | 42c | 4,659$1,957 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,702.44 | 1,402 | 48.8%684 W · 718 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb5…d57abacked Minnesota Twins | 44c | 4,628$2,022 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,606.04 | 216 | 44.9%97 W · 119 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Cleveland Guardians | 56c | 4,612$2,605 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,605 | 950 | 45.2%429 W · 521 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Minnesota Twins | 31c | 4,481$1,375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,106.3 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Minnesota Twins | 43c | 4,306$1,852 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,454.5 | 5,400 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,674 L | +17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x74dd…df82backed Cleveland Guardians | 71c | 3,776$2,684 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,684.17 | 120 | 35%42 W · 78 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26f8…3452backed Cleveland Guardians | 54c | 3,606$1,947 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,947.45 | 115 | 48.7%56 W · 59 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4861…3aaebacked Cleveland Guardians | 58c | 3,571$2,071 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,071.43 | 127 | 59.1%75 W · 52 L | +4.8wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Minnesota Twins | 43c | 3,537$1,510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,026.79 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc323…0171backed Cleveland Guardians | 62c | 3,143$1,948 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,948.39 | 194 | 53.6%104 W · 90 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Minnesota Twins | 63c | 3,132$1,986 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,146.41 | 600 | 43.3%260 W · 340 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Minnesota Twins | 31c | 2,942$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,041.83 | 3,208 | 51.2%1,642 W · 1,566 L | +146.6wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x67ed…085abacked Minnesota Twins | 46c | 2,368$1,089 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,278.72 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.21per pick | 39cpaid | +37%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9015…281fbacked Minnesota Twins | 37c | 2,353$870 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,482.81 | 41 | 53.7%22 W · 19 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x816b…d69dbacked Minnesota Twins | 42c | 2,334$985 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,349.09 | 117 | 59%69 W · 48 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c95…10f5backed Minnesota Twins | 79c | 2,238$1,778 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$459.8 | 41 | 39%16 W · 25 L | -6.4wins | -0.16per pick | 55cpaid | -34%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x18d4…69a9backed Cleveland Guardians | 56c | 2,183$1,226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,226 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Minnesota Twins | 32c | 2,114$677 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,436.65 | 777 | 52.1%405 W · 372 L | +36.0wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Minnesota Twins | 34c | 2,002$683 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,319.06 | 3,456 | 51.2%1,771 W · 1,685 L | +107.7wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca1…ddcdbacked Minnesota Twins | 49c | 2,000$980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,020 | 90 | 35.6%32 W · 58 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72d8…5213backed Minnesota Twins | 39c | 2,000$780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,220 | 66 | 62.1%41 W · 25 L | +9.2wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9698…2504backed Minnesota Twins | 15c | 1,980$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,683 | 102 | 49%50 W · 52 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd47d…322bbacked Minnesota Twins | 42c | 1,943$816 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,127.03 | 135 | 52.6%71 W · 64 L | +9.0wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf152…64aabacked Cleveland Guardians | 57c | 1,840$1,051 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,050.6 | 770 | 53.9%415 W · 355 L | +8.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37e2…4b92backed Minnesota Twins | 43c | 1,774$763 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,011.42 | 122 | 44.3%54 W · 68 L | +5.1wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Minnesota Twins | 43c | 1,637$701 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$936.08 | 2,800 | 49.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f82…9ae1backed Minnesota Twins | 42c | 1,633$686 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$947.33 | 229 | 48.9%112 W · 117 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x796f…00f6backed Cleveland Guardians | 64c | 1,620$1,032 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,032.12 | 272 | 44.9%122 W · 150 L | -8.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Cleveland Guardians | 58c | 1,596$930 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$930.38 | 1,725 | 50.1%864 W · 861 L | -4.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3e…5a7abacked Minnesota Twins | 39c | 1,561$605 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$956.24 | 556 | 58.1%323 W · 233 L | +25.1wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Minnesota Twins | 37c | 1,550$579 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$970.29 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30ae…4318backed Cleveland Guardians | 79c | 1,500$1,185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,185 | 98 | 62.2%61 W · 37 L | -6.3wins | -0.06per pick | 69cpaid | -13%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x16ad…b33bbacked Minnesota Twins | 48c | 1,481$718 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$762.85 | 119 | 69.7%83 W · 36 L | +18.2wins | +0.15per pick | 54cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xcba5…cd88backed Cleveland Guardians | 58c | 1,379$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 660 | 50.2%331 W · 329 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd58d…c2d6backed Minnesota Twins | 43c | 1,279$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$729.06 | 151 | 49.7%75 W · 76 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Cleveland Guardians | 27c | 1,206$331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$331.23 | 1,075 | 58.3%627 W · 448 L | -21.3wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Cleveland Guardians | 8c | 1,173$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.86 | 1,927 | 17.2%331 W · 1,596 L | -320.3wins | -0.17per pick | 34cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 32-0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x0844…f46abacked Cleveland Guardians | 72c | 1,127$811 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$811.44 | 168 | 48.2%81 W · 87 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd03b…184cbacked Minnesota Twins | 27c | 1,095$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$796.74 | 284 | 53.9%153 W · 131 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcaa5…4859backed Minnesota Twins | 27c | 1,044$283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$760.77 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -3.2wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe478…28eabacked Cleveland Guardians | 58c | 1,034$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 68 | 58.8%40 W · 28 L | +3.9wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Cleveland Guardians | 75c | 1,000$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 1,796 | 43.8%786 W · 1,010 L | -33.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Minnesota Twins | 44c | 1,000$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$560 | 1,836 | 50.8%932 W · 904 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64ef…befcbacked Minnesota Twins | 44c | 1,000$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$560 | 290 | 46.6%135 W · 155 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2629…417cbacked Minnesota Twins | 27c | 999.99$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$729.99 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +90.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x909a…e48cbacked Cleveland Guardians | 64c | 980$624 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$624.4 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2002…a75ebacked Minnesota Twins | 37c | 917.95$342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$575.63 | 157 | 51.6%81 W · 76 L | +6.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f9f…2cb8backed Minnesota Twins | 44c | 880.5$387 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$493.08 | 96 | 52.1%50 W · 46 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa49e…e5e8backed Minnesota Twins | 43c | 872.09$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$497.09 | 95 | 45.3%43 W · 52 L | -8.6wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb7…1f17backed Cleveland Guardians | 59c | 842.08$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 347 | 56.5%196 W · 151 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a26…1589backed Minnesota Twins | 36c | 833.33$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$533.33 | 85 | 51.8%44 W · 41 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa577…91e3backed Cleveland Guardians | 60c | 829.98$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 58 | 55.2%32 W · 26 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9079…b19bbacked Minnesota Twins | 36c | 819.32$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$524.37 | 445 | 56.9%253 W · 192 L | +27.5wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9b11…5375backed Minnesota Twins | 42c | 796$333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$462.71 | 1,777 | 49.5%880 W · 897 L | +25.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x035b…c6ddbacked Minnesota Twins | 45c | 770.98$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420.98 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6e…f544backed Minnesota Twins | 24c | 762.64$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$581.94 | 341 | 39.9%136 W · 205 L | -8.7wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b4c…fa0cbacked Minnesota Twins | 44c | 760$334 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$425.6 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.21per pick | 59cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Minnesota Twins | 45c | 742.6$331 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$411.68 | 2,296 | 49.7%1,141 W · 1,155 L | +37.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2de9…5289backed Cleveland Guardians | 49c | 723.57$352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$352.3 | 549 | 45.4%249 W · 300 L | -16.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2802…347dbacked Cleveland Guardians | 50c | 721.99$363 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$363.08 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d9a…d10fbacked Cleveland Guardians | 46c | 719.32$328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$327.89 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x91bb…08cdbacked Minnesota Twins | 49c | 718.37$352 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$366.37 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba62…3e29backed Minnesota Twins | 43c | 697.67$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$397.67 | 221 | 49.3%109 W · 112 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb797…e779backed Cleveland Guardians | 58c | 691.24$401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400.92 | 90 | 48.9%44 W · 46 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb146…d16ebacked Minnesota Twins | 36c | 688.16$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$438.16 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | +4.1wins | +0.15per pick | 32cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb15e…7c54backed Cleveland Guardians | 3c | 671.35$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.42 | 30 | 26.7%8 W · 22 L | -4.7wins | -0.16per pick | 42cpaid | -44.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xae34…3a8abacked Cleveland Guardians | 63c | 619.52$391 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$391.35 | 356 | 68.8%245 W · 111 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 68cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd929…824abacked Cleveland Guardians | 56c | 590.48$331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330.67 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Minnesota Twins vs. Cleveland Guardiansthis page
- Minnesota Twins vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 2.5Over won
- Minnesota Twins vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 3.5Over won
- Minnesota Twins vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 4.5Under won
- Minnesota Twins vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 5.5Under won
- Minnesota Twins vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 6.5Under won
- Minnesota Twins vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 7.5Under won
- Minnesota Twins vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 8.5Under won
- Spread: Cleveland Guardians (-1.5)Minnesota Twins won
- Spread: Cleveland Guardians (-2.5)Minnesota Twins won
- Spread: Minnesota Twins (-1.5)Minnesota Twins won
- Spread: Minnesota Twins (-2.5)Cleveland Guardians won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Minnesota Twins vs. Cleveland GuardiansNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.