MLB · resolved market
Minnesota Twins vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 7.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x792546e89edcb3cf4c1ebb31500658d06dac6b327b29e411c7f0ba7307f65773
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $245,368
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $245,594
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $245,368 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 109 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5e94…5ba1backed Over | 47c | 175,060$81,591 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81,591.39 | 469 | 49%230 W · 239 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f8e…4487backed Under | 53c | 77,242$40,938 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36,303.55 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Under | 54c | 50,835$27,545 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23,289.14 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf3a6…71bdbacked Under | 53c | 21,978$11,648 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,329.67 | 101 | 57.4%58 W · 43 L | +8.5wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe558…dcd2backed Under | 53c | 11,844$6,277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,566.68 | 105 | 47.6%50 W · 55 L | +9.9wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Under | 55c | 10,487$5,745 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,741.65 | 2,291 | 52.5%1,202 W · 1,089 L | +24.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 56c | 9,431$5,252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,178.91 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8239…d9a3backed Under | 56c | 8,929$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,928.57 | 81 | 66.7%54 W · 27 L | +9.4wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Under | 54c | 8,289$4,476 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,812.94 | 1,851 | 53.1%982 W · 869 L | +18.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Under | 49c | 7,773$3,827 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,945.73 | 4,279 | 47.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L | -83.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5cae…a00abacked Under | 50c | 6,000$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,000 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +2.7wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Over | 50c | 6,000$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xde49…fe85backed Over | 48c | 6,000$2,880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,880 | 484 | 51%247 W · 237 L | -10.8wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Over | 45c | 3,926$1,748 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,747.79 | 11,356 | 52.9%6,002 W · 5,354 L | +209.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2792…c4f6backed Over | 51c | 2,900$1,474 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,474.49 | 739 | 49.8%368 W · 371 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6383…6e28backed Over | 51c | 2,900$1,474 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,474.49 | 792 | 55.6%440 W · 352 L | +20.6wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 43c | 2,470$1,057 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,057.08 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Over | 48c | 2,084$998 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$997.6 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed Over | 47c | 1,365$642 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$641.55 | 1,555 | 48.9%761 W · 794 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e62…b22ebacked Over | 35c | 1,198$424 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$424.29 | 161 | 32.3%52 W · 109 L | -10.9wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Over | 27c | 1,181$316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315.63 | 2,969 | 48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Over | 47c | 1,089$513 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$512.91 | 1,075 | 58.3%627 W · 448 L | -21.3wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Over | 49c | 1,024$502 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$501.76 | 2,290 | 51%1,167 W · 1,123 L | +23.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 47c | 1,007$471 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$471.19 | 4,477 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,291 L | -47.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8314…0f1ebacked Under | 53c | 1,000$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470 | 96 | 55.2%53 W · 43 L | +4.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0844…f46abacked Over | 47c | 999.99$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470 | 168 | 48.2%81 W · 87 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9ea…b781backed Over | 50c | 970.3$482 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$482.42 | 568 | 51.4%292 W · 276 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8d6…e410backed Under | 54c | 852.8$461 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$392.29 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd619…c461backed Over | 49c | 816.33$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 644 | 52.2%336 W · 308 L | +26.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Under | 52c | 700.81$364 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$336.39 | 1,352 | 50.8%687 W · 665 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7dc6…4b55backed Over | 47c | 682.45$321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320.75 | 90 | 62.2%56 W · 34 L | +7.7wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbf9c…3648backed Over | 51c | 587.75$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.75 | 1,733 | 49%849 W · 884 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 51c | 564.62$289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275.81 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd58d…c2d6backed Over | 47c | 531.91$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 151 | 49.7%75 W · 76 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 50c | 500$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.5 | 5,400 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,674 L | +17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Over | 48c | 458.6$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.77 | 2,800 | 49.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93ac…2761backed Over | 50c | 426.89$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.55 | 2,583 | 61.4%1,587 W · 996 L | +70.9wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb428…74c8backed Under | 50c | 405.81$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.81 | 442 | 45.5%201 W · 241 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Over | 44c | 385$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.01 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…abafbacked Under | 48c | 353.05$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.58 | 1,385 | 49.5%685 W · 700 L | -4.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4b22…9431backed Under | 54c | 328$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.88 | 73 | 60.3%44 W · 29 L | +4.8wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xba62…3e29backed Over | 47c | 319.15$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 221 | 49.3%109 W · 112 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a3f…4333backed Over | 48c | 306$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.88 | 562 | 53.2%299 W · 263 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff19…3ebebacked Over | 51c | 298.65$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.8 | 404 | 47.8%193 W · 211 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b11…5375backed Over | 48c | 297$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.55 | 1,777 | 49.5%880 W · 897 L | +25.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57cc…0fa7backed Over | 49c | 266$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.34 | 224 | 48.7%109 W · 115 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed Over | 49c | 253.93$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.49 | 952 | 52.9%504 W · 448 L | +17.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09ee…90a4backed Under | 53c | 219$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.93 | 1,569 | 51.1%801 W · 768 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Under | 48c | 212.79$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.65 | 3,832 | 42.2%1,619 W · 2,213 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9437…235ebacked Over | 52c | 207.98$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.15 | 72 | 43.1%31 W · 41 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed Under | 70c | 207.88$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.72 | 2,147 | 50.2%1,078 W · 1,069 L | +27.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e50…2609backed Over | 47c | 204.08$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.92 | 877 | 50.4%442 W · 435 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0daf…17a9backed Over | 47c | 181.03$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.08 | 145 | 59.3%86 W · 59 L | +13.4wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Under | 56c | 180$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.2 | 1,435 | 50%717 W · 718 L | +25.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba4…6de0backed Over | 48c | 173.57$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.64 | 209 | 45%94 W · 115 L | -11.1wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x39cb…46e8backed Under | 57c | 160.35$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.05 | 40 | 60%24 W · 16 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 44c | 150$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4fd9…932fbacked Over | 47c | 149.21$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.13 | 133 | 57.9%77 W · 56 L | +9.1wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb01d…46f0backed Over | 48c | 125$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 1,167 | 49%572 W · 595 L | +17.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ac6…a8cebacked Over | 52c | 124.13$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.55 | 79 | 41.8%33 W · 46 L | -6.4wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8a9a…3333backed Under | 54c | 112.09$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.56 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ad…b23ebacked Under | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 1,279 | 51.2%655 W · 624 L | -19.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4193…4853backed Over | 52c | 100$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 846 | 51.5%436 W · 410 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Over | 48c | 100$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 994 | 47.3%470 W · 524 L | -6.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a64…683ebacked Over | 49c | 99.99$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.99 | 80 | 45%36 W · 44 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c3b…07c9backed Under | 52c | 99$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.41 | 79 | 50.6%40 W · 39 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeeca…0de6backed Under | 53c | 93.93$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.93 | 19 | 78.9%15 W · 4 L | +4.1wins | +0.22per pick | 57cpaid | +39.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Over | 49c | 93$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.57 | 2,947 | 51.9%1,529 W · 1,418 L | -34.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f38…a0edbacked Under | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.59 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Over | 49c | 91.87$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.02 | 413 | 46.7%193 W · 220 L | -10.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Over | 43c | 89.21$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.36 | 1,725 | 50.1%864 W · 861 L | -4.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Under | 58c | 87.34$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.09 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x392a…a334backed Over | 47c | 85.12$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.01 | 38 | 71.1%27 W · 11 L | +7.5wins | +0.20per pick | 51cpaid | +34.6%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x0977…53ccbacked Over | 50c | 81.62$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.81 | 292 | 50.7%148 W · 144 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5016…ada1backed Over | 48c | 80$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.4 | 356 | 50.6%180 W · 176 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x762a…ed42backed Over | 51c | 76.47$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 153 | 39.9%61 W · 92 L | -10.6wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8ab5…95fabacked Over | 47c | 74.48$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.01 | 42 | 61.9%26 W · 16 L | +5.4wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc262…6587backed Over | 48c | 74.24$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.64 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -3.2wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf7aa…abe3backed Over | 51c | 60$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.5 | 351 | 49.3%173 W · 178 L | -12.9wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x313d…6f98backed Over | 48c | 59.99$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.8 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +2.4wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +22%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9231…7a72backed Under | 54c | 54.2$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.93 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae8c…dc39backed Over | 48c | 52.08$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -2.6wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9555…889abacked Over | 48c | 51.35$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.65 | 1,001 | 57.3%574 W · 427 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ed2…0ddabacked Under | 53c | 51.27$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.1 | 577 | 47.7%275 W · 302 L | +7.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Over | 49c | 50.31$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.65 | 403 | 41.4%167 W · 236 L | -20.0wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8efa…894cbacked Over | 46c | 50$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 454 | 45.2%205 W · 249 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa774…82dfbacked Under | 53c | 42.96$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.19 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84d4…77a9backed Over | 50c | 41.7$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.88 | 527 | 50.1%264 W · 263 L | +19.7wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1298…97b6backed Over | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -3.3wins | -0.30per pick | 48cpaid | -63.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc730…c568backed Over | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 357 | 47.6%170 W · 187 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Under | 65c | 36$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.6 | 570 | 46.8%267 W · 303 L | +14.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d7a…ebe3backed Over | 48c | 32.97$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.71 | 66 | 40.9%27 W · 39 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7bbf…7ce5backed Over | 47c | 32$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.12 | 121 | 40.5%49 W · 72 L | -6.6wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x74d5…1ca9backed Over | 48c | 31.25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe481…d138backed Over | 47c | 31$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.57 | 881 | 47.8%421 W · 460 L | +4.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7319…c664backed Over | 47c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.1 | 309 | 28.5%88 W · 221 L | -46.7wins | -0.15per pick | 44cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x787b…86c3backed Over | 48c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.35 | 72 | 43.1%31 W · 41 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0df0…1376backed Over | 51c | 29.41$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 76 | 44.7%34 W · 42 L | -3.5wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed Under | 51c | 28.98$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.2 | 787 | 54.6%430 W · 357 L | +27.5wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b04…6477backed Under | 54c | 27.39$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Minnesota Twins vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 7.5this page
- Minnesota Twins vs. Cleveland GuardiansMinnesota Twins won
- Minnesota Twins vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 2.5Over won
- Minnesota Twins vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 3.5Over won
- Minnesota Twins vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 4.5Under won
- Minnesota Twins vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 5.5Under won
- Minnesota Twins vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 6.5Under won
- Minnesota Twins vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 8.5Under won
- Spread: Cleveland Guardians (-1.5)Minnesota Twins won
- Spread: Cleveland Guardians (-2.5)Minnesota Twins won
- Spread: Minnesota Twins (-1.5)Minnesota Twins won
- Spread: Minnesota Twins (-2.5)Cleveland Guardians won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Minnesota Twins vs. Cleveland GuardiansNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.