MLB · resolved market
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Milwaukee Brewers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd8734eebf786ba90492e0f8ab1be18bdba8ed2ee1ea8601a591adf17e7ee7575
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Pittsburgh Piratesof Pittsburgh Pirates, Milwaukee Brewers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $373,483
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $367,984
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $373,483 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 322 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x16bb…8492backed Milwaukee Brewers | 58c | 41,017$23,790 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23,790.07 | 865 | 48.7%421 W · 444 L | -8.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43ca…c219backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 42c | 38,847$16,316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,531.21 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 35c | 32,396$11,210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,210.11 | 11,356 | 52.9%6,002 W · 5,354 L | +209.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 57c | 19,345$11,035 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,310.71 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26b4…b8a9backed Milwaukee Brewers | 67c | 13,184$8,850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,850.21 | 435 | 54%235 W · 200 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Milwaukee Brewers | 59c | 11,863$6,999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,999 | 1,660 | 50.1%832 W · 828 L | -22.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca97…49f6backed Milwaukee Brewers | 47c | 10,394$4,878 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,878 | 48 | 60.4%29 W · 19 L | +4.2wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2b4f…0591backed Milwaukee Brewers | 29c | 8,288$2,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,400.07 | 18 | 5.6%1 W · 17 L | -3.4wins | -0.19per pick | 24cpaid | -75.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3f08…ed44backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 77c | 8,122$6,220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,901.79 | 158 | 51.9%82 W · 76 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 65c | 8,045$5,216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,829.33 | 2,969 | 48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…abafbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 42c | 7,943$3,336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,606.92 | 1,385 | 49.5%685 W · 700 L | -4.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 42c | 7,744$3,234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,510.05 | 4,279 | 47.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L | -83.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc96a…396abacked Milwaukee Brewers | 58c | 7,500$4,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,349.92 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +354.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Milwaukee Brewers | 28c | 6,753$1,878 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,878.14 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Milwaukee Brewers | 57c | 5,479$3,097 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,097.12 | 4,035 | 57.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L | +72.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 60c | 5,421$3,262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,158.71 | 950 | 45.2%429 W · 521 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 41c | 5,190$2,128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,062.22 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xccd8…f4debacked Milwaukee Brewers | 58c | 4,924$2,856 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,855.91 | 481 | 47%226 W · 255 L | -31.8wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Milwaukee Brewers | 12c | 4,806$574 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$573.99 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 48c | 4,503$2,166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,336.48 | 600 | 43.3%260 W · 340 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 42c | 4,000$1,680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,320 | 619 | 47.7%295 W · 324 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 43c | 4,000$1,720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,280 | 489 | 52.8%258 W · 231 L | +16.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec37…85bdbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 62c | 3,777$2,357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,356.88 | 98 | 31.6%31 W · 67 L | -13.1wins | -0.13per pick | 45cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x9015…281fbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 37c | 2,672$989 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$988.64 | 41 | 53.7%22 W · 19 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05c5…6a69backed Milwaukee Brewers | 57c | 2,601$1,472 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,472.29 | 473 | 58.4%276 W · 197 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed Milwaukee Brewers | 42c | 2,502$1,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,039.54 | 794 | 42.4%337 W · 457 L | -13.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58b9…ee8bbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 42c | 2,500$1,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,450 | 752 | 48.8%367 W · 385 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Milwaukee Brewers | 55c | 2,454$1,359 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,358.57 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c98…f4f4backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 43c | 2,325$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,325.52 | 67 | 49.3%33 W · 34 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed Milwaukee Brewers | 58c | 2,219$1,287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,287.02 | 449 | 53.7%241 W · 208 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebae…fb79backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 43c | 2,209$950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,259.3 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.38per pick | 29cpaid | +81.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 42c | 2,183$915 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,268.16 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3b…aa7dbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 76c | 2,023$1,537 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$485.42 | 34 | 67.6%23 W · 11 L | +4.9wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x73f6…a10abacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 41c | 2,000$820 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,180 | 171 | 50.3%86 W · 85 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9870…b9d3backed Milwaukee Brewers | 54c | 2,000$1,090 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,089.73 | 190 | 53.7%102 W · 88 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd47d…322bbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 58c | 1,700$986 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$986 | 135 | 52.6%71 W · 64 L | +9.0wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd692…8b9abacked Milwaukee Brewers | 33c | 1,600$534 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$534 | 305 | 29.8%91 W · 214 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 53c | 1,526$809 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$716.73 | 4,477 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,291 L | -47.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 66c | 1,515$1,006 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$509.82 | 1,499 | 58.9%883 W · 616 L | +75.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1237…e11cbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 58c | 1,379$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 38 | 34.2%13 W · 25 L | -6.2wins | -0.16per pick | 51cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd58d…c2d6backed Milwaukee Brewers | 58c | 1,379$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 151 | 49.7%75 W · 76 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6804…29e2backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 42c | 1,356$569 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$786.26 | 1,379 | 50.6%698 W · 681 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a09…ab7ebacked Milwaukee Brewers | 57c | 1,223$702 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$701.76 | 102 | 52%53 W · 49 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3936…6e40backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 11c | 1,216$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,082.47 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +2.9wins | +0.27per pick | 19cpaid | +126.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb88a…f6adbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 42c | 1,200$504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$696 | 287 | 53.3%153 W · 134 L | +10.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5633…59bcbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 42c | 1,200$504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$696 | 279 | 52%145 W · 134 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x225b…9a83backed Milwaukee Brewers | 35c | 1,177$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$409.65 | 72 | 37.5%27 W · 45 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1fe8…72bcbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 32c | 1,086$351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$351.36 | 242 | 52.9%128 W · 114 L | +10.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x74dd…df82backed Milwaukee Brewers | 35c | 1,079$381 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380.82 | 120 | 35%42 W · 78 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6e0…ff0fbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 41c | 1,000$410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$590 | 306 | 47.4%145 W · 161 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64ef…befcbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 41c | 1,000$410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$590 | 290 | 46.6%135 W · 155 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b11…5375backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 63c | 999$629 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$369.63 | 1,777 | 49.5%880 W · 897 L | +25.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked Milwaukee Brewers | 24c | 963.06$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.36 | 5,126 | 54.7%2,804 W · 2,322 L | +231.6wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Milwaukee Brewers | 57c | 917.19$523 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$522.8 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 78c | 900.55$701 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.08 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Milwaukee Brewers | 57c | 888.64$507 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$506.53 | 5,400 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,674 L | +17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba62…3e29backed Milwaukee Brewers | 58c | 862.07$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 221 | 49.3%109 W · 112 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Milwaukee Brewers | 26c | 854.5$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.49 | 2,021 | 39.5%798 W · 1,223 L | -25.7wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc08…a137backed Milwaukee Brewers | 14c | 804.89$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.82 | 319 | 58.6%187 W · 132 L | +27.3wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8a8c…1991backed Milwaukee Brewers | 20c | 799.86$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.78 | 74 | 56.8%42 W · 32 L | +5.6wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 42c | 792.41$333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$459.6 | 1,555 | 48.9%761 W · 794 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e68…3772backed Milwaukee Brewers | 25c | 750$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.5 | 249 | 47%117 W · 132 L | +15.0wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x17d7…9e1ebacked Milwaukee Brewers | 62c | 743.38$458 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$458 | 1,000 | 58.8%588 W · 412 L | +26.0wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x55b9…a814backed Milwaukee Brewers | 33c | 725.42$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.76 | 254 | 47.6%121 W · 133 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 42c | 708.98$298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$411.21 | 1,402 | 48.8%684 W · 718 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeba0…4586backed Milwaukee Brewers | 57c | 699.87$399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$398.92 | 96 | 36.5%35 W · 61 L | +3.7wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9d6…730abacked Milwaukee Brewers | 60c | 683.62$407 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$407.41 | 50 | 48%24 W · 26 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9698…2504backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 53c | 643.15$341 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$302.6 | 102 | 49%50 W · 52 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 67c | 638.61$426 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.99 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 42c | 629$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$365.13 | 2,800 | 49.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Milwaukee Brewers | 57c | 626$357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$356.82 | 2,045 | 53.8%1,100 W · 945 L | +32.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2185…b40cbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 42c | 600$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$348 | 262 | 55.7%146 W · 116 L | +9.8wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x92c8…45f6backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 75c | 599.74$447 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.44 | 47 | 61.7%29 W · 18 L | +5.1wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa73a…656abacked Milwaukee Brewers | 58c | 591$343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$342.78 | 577 | 58.1%335 W · 242 L | +28.5wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb7aa…08c3backed Milwaukee Brewers | 33c | 566.81$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.75 | 76 | 55.3%42 W · 34 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Milwaukee Brewers | 15c | 564.51$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.84 | 3,456 | 51.2%1,771 W · 1,685 L | +107.7wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6374…6408backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 11c | 545.45$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$485.45 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | +2.9wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 57c | 542.79$309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$309.39 | 1,515 | 51.1%774 W · 741 L | +7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x68cb…0000backed Milwaukee Brewers | 36c | 532.89$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.39 | 486 | 60.5%294 W · 192 L | +40.8wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x767a…8ac5backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 69c | 505.82$349 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.91 | 346 | 50.9%176 W · 170 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03f4…7e44backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 42c | 500$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290 | 195 | 34.4%67 W · 128 L | -9.8wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeb46…48efbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 41c | 500$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295 | 138 | 48.6%67 W · 71 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Milwaukee Brewers | 14c | 499.99$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 940 | 34.3%322 W · 618 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca43…b369backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 69c | 499.99$343 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157 | 172 | 43%74 W · 98 L | -8.9wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4087…048bbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 60c | 490$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294 | 60 | 55%33 W · 27 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 42c | 475.91$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.03 | 1,137 | 46.3%526 W · 611 L | +36.1wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f76…dcc9backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 71c | 465.16$332 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.32 | 851 | 48.5%413 W · 438 L | +10.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf8fe…359dbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 29c | 464.04$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$331.29 | 122 | 45.9%56 W · 66 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x949e…20afbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 23c | 434.78$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 228 | 31.6%72 W · 156 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | +9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x999a…9a25backed Milwaukee Brewers | 34c | 424.35$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.05 | 469 | 49.9%234 W · 235 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 34c | 414.28$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.96 | 1,140 | 43%490 W · 650 L | -37.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 44c | 405.06$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.46 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32bf…ec60backed Milwaukee Brewers | 58c | 396.55$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 141 | 34%48 W · 93 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8421…4e30backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 22c | 380.76$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$298.9 | 90 | 36.7%33 W · 57 L | -4.7wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6193…5b80backed Milwaukee Brewers | 35c | 373.9$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.12 | 231 | 46.8%108 W · 123 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 5c | 349.99$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.5 | 1,456 | 42.7%622 W · 834 L | -39.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xab61…fb2bbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 58c | 344.83$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 86 | 47.7%41 W · 45 L | -4.1wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 41c | 333.06$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.34 | 587 | 46%270 W · 317 L | -12.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22a4…63ebbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 61c | 326.44$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.99 | 1,205 | 58.8%708 W · 497 L | +31.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc9e…5a9ebacked Milwaukee Brewers | 62c | 322.58$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 342 | 55.3%189 W · 153 L | +10.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Milwaukee Brewersthis page
- Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Milwaukee Brewers: 1st 5 Innings O/U 4.5Over won
- Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 10.5Under won
- Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 7.5Under won
- Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 8.5Under won
- Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 9.5Under won
- Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-1.5)Pittsburgh Pirates won
- Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-2.5)Pittsburgh Pirates won
- Spread: Pittsburgh Pirates (-1.5)Milwaukee Brewers won
- Spread: Pittsburgh Pirates (-2.5)Milwaukee Brewers won
- Spread: Pittsburgh Pirates (-3.5)Milwaukee Brewers won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Milwaukee BrewersNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.