MLB · resolved market
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 8.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd9cd3ac2bc9623afa3db13d3baaa5474d28bcdb138e04a75d982f5567918c67a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $221,545
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $221,445
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $221,545 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 114 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf3a6…71bdbacked Under | 51c | 110,958$56,589 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54,369.4 | 101 | 57.4%58 W · 43 L | +8.5wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5e94…5ba1backed Over | 49c | 102,040$50,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49,999.58 | 469 | 49%230 W · 239 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…abafbacked Over | 49c | 70,117$34,357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34,357.11 | 1,385 | 49.5%685 W · 700 L | -4.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 49c | 40,339$19,919 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,420.11 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe558…dcd2backed Under | 51c | 10,895$5,556 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,338.55 | 105 | 47.6%50 W · 55 L | +9.9wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Under | 49c | 10,184$5,001 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,182.8 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Under | 51c | 5,048$2,574 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,473.52 | 920 | 54%497 W · 423 L | +23.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Over | 49c | 3,285$1,610 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,609.65 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x224f…514abacked Under | 51c | 3,100$1,581 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,519 | 457 | 48.6%222 W · 235 L | -11.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Over | 52c | 2,373$1,232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,232.49 | 2,969 | 48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x78cc…a081backed Under | 51c | 2,157$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,056.86 | 64 | 46.9%30 W · 34 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ef…2864backed Over | 49c | 2,104$1,031 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,030.93 | 208 | 45.2%94 W · 114 L | -6.4wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a2f…647abacked Over | 54c | 1,850$1,008 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,008.11 | 826 | 36.6%302 W · 524 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 52c | 1,630$852 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$852.35 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9870…b9d3backed Under | 52c | 1,400$730 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$670 | 190 | 53.7%102 W · 88 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Over | 49c | 1,213$591 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$591.12 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Over | 47c | 1,024$481 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$481.28 | 2,290 | 51%1,167 W · 1,123 L | +23.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec37…85bdbacked Over | 34c | 993.8$338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$337.89 | 98 | 31.6%31 W · 67 L | -13.1wins | -0.13per pick | 45cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Under | 51c | 971$495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$475.79 | 1,291 | 51%658 W · 633 L | -15.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Over | 54c | 927.26$504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$503.74 | 4,279 | 47.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L | -83.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Over | 73c | 926$676 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$675.88 | 4,035 | 57.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L | +72.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Under | 51c | 860$439 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$421.4 | 1,909 | 53.5%1,021 W · 888 L | +29.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Over | 49c | 780.8$381 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380.8 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd619…c461backed Over | 48c | 737.52$354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$354.01 | 644 | 52.2%336 W · 308 L | +26.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 47c | 735.85$342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$393.58 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94be…e0b4backed Under | 51c | 711.12$363 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$348.45 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -3.2wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -54.1%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7f29…f03dbacked Over | 48c | 657.81$316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315.75 | 475 | 45.9%218 W · 257 L | -13.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x225b…9a83backed Under | 51c | 636.07$327 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$309.27 | 72 | 37.5%27 W · 45 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c5b…ec01backed Under | 51c | 633.22$323 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310.28 | 220 | 50.5%111 W · 109 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb88a…f6adbacked Under | 52c | 600$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288 | 287 | 53.3%153 W · 134 L | +10.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5633…59bcbacked Under | 52c | 600$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288 | 279 | 52%145 W · 134 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e50…2609backed Over | 69c | 596.72$412 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$411.74 | 877 | 50.4%442 W · 435 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6027…4320backed Under | 53c | 498.56$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.32 | 840 | 49.4%415 W · 425 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc22e…eab8backed Under | 51c | 490.2$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.2 | 488 | 51.6%252 W · 236 L | +8.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Over | 49c | 445$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.05 | 1,851 | 53.1%982 W · 869 L | +18.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05c5…6a69backed Over | 73c | 443.47$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$323.68 | 473 | 58.4%276 W · 197 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over | 49c | 411.99$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.06 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed Over | 48c | 390$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.2 | 1,555 | 48.9%761 W · 794 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Over | 49c | 350$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.5 | 1,206 | 53.7%648 W · 558 L | +29.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09ee…90a4backed Under | 51c | 344$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.56 | 1,569 | 51.1%801 W · 768 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 17c | 322$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.05 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf58d…1fadbacked Over | 48c | 239.58$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +2.0wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x212b…0ba5backed Under | 52c | 229.43$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.42 | 536 | 55.8%299 W · 237 L | +22.6wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a09…ab7ebacked Over | 73c | 218.66$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.61 | 102 | 52%53 W · 49 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Under | 51c | 215.7$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.69 | 3,832 | 42.2%1,619 W · 2,213 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x59b6…307fbacked Under | 51c | 215.69$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.69 | 812 | 57.3%465 W · 347 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4b22…9431backed Under | 52c | 210$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.8 | 73 | 60.3%44 W · 29 L | +4.8wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4a3f…4333backed Over | 49c | 208$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.92 | 562 | 53.2%299 W · 263 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08ce…86d3backed Under | 51c | 200$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98 | 77 | 46.8%36 W · 41 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x796f…00f6backed Over | 49c | 200$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 272 | 44.9%122 W · 150 L | -8.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc670…b781backed Under | 51c | 186.1$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.19 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3992…349cbacked Under | 50c | 150.1$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.1 | 167 | 44.9%75 W · 92 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6cdf…58e1backed Under | 51c | 147.05$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.05 | 462 | 55.8%258 W · 204 L | +21.3wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 47c | 143$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.21 | 2,296 | 49.7%1,141 W · 1,155 L | +37.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Over | 51c | 135.29$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 1,075 | 58.3%627 W · 448 L | -21.3wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Over | 46c | 124.89$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.98 | 5,786 | 43.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L | -192.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ec4…defabacked Over | 48c | 119.99$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.59 | 695 | 47.5%330 W · 365 L | -16.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bdd…8fd9backed Under | 52c | 115.38$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.38 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17d7…9e1ebacked Over | 73c | 110.96$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81 | 1,000 | 58.8%588 W · 412 L | +26.0wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b11…5375backed Over | 47c | 109.49$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.46 | 1,777 | 49.5%880 W · 897 L | +25.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd17a…0373backed Under | 51c | 100$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 770 | 50.5%389 W · 381 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked Over | 59c | 99.12$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.48 | 5,127 | 54.7%2,805 W · 2,322 L | +232.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Over | 59c | 99.1$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.47 | 3,457 | 51.3%1,772 W · 1,685 L | +108.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1fcd…724dbacked Under | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.04 | 102 | 49%50 W · 52 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed Under | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.04 | 1,195 | 50%597 W · 598 L | +5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x22a4…63ebbacked Over | 73c | 97.09$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.83 | 1,205 | 58.8%708 W · 497 L | +31.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc46e…9ed8backed Under | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.15 | 67 | 49.3%33 W · 34 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x402a…624fbacked Under | 50c | 96$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.28 | 229 | 49.8%114 W · 115 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda6f…1e46backed Under | 69c | 95.65$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.65 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2bb8…7017backed Under | 51c | 94.34$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.23 | 133 | 44.4%59 W · 74 L | -5.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf15…a1febacked Under | 51c | 94.34$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.23 | 151 | 47.7%72 W · 79 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ddd…73b2backed Over | 54c | 84.61$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.54 | 314 | 46.8%147 W · 167 L | -11.7wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e50…c665backed Over | 61c | 67.57$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.89 | 564 | 35.1%198 W · 366 L | -21.3wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcebf…832ebacked Over | 49c | 62$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.38 | 39 | 56.4%22 W · 17 L | +2.5wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x584f…54b9backed Under | 51c | 59$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.91 | 187 | 41.2%77 W · 110 L | -11.2wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5dc8…e209backed Under | 51c | 58.82$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.82 | 461 | 52.1%240 W · 221 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa057…d092backed Over | 53c | 55.21$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.26 | 2,144 | 39.6%849 W · 1,295 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e72…c55fbacked Over | 48c | 54.71$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.26 | 64 | 50%32 W · 32 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c8e…b38fbacked Over | 73c | 51.05$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.22 | 406 | 58.4%237 W · 169 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29de…d9e6backed Over | 73c | 51.05$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.22 | 552 | 59.6%329 W · 223 L | +11.1wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x345c…b59dbacked Over | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 43 | 44.2%19 W · 24 L | -4.0wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -17%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7d93…fdefbacked Under | 80c | 47$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.4 | 168 | 46.4%78 W · 90 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Over | 45c | 46.84$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.12 | 799 | 55.9%447 W · 352 L | +21.7wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe83a…8355backed Over | 54c | 45.44$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.54 | 135 | 58.5%79 W · 56 L | +5.6wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Over | 52c | 44.49$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.99 | 873 | 70.1%612 W · 261 L | +91.6wins | +0.10per pick | 60cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5016…ada1backed Over | 50c | 44.07$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.04 | 356 | 50.6%180 W · 176 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ad…b23ebacked Under | 51c | 44$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.56 | 1,279 | 51.2%655 W · 624 L | -19.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d67…3667backed Under | 49c | 42.77$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.62 | 556 | 45.3%252 W · 304 L | -17.4wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Under | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 1,836 | 50.8%932 W · 904 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x88fb…db3abacked Over | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 732 | 43.4%318 W · 414 L | -14.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5659…7a6bbacked Under | 51c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.6 | 546 | 42.5%232 W · 314 L | +7.5wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8859…89d6backed Over | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 159 | 53.5%85 W · 74 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed Under | 52c | 39.24$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.84 | 2,945 | 47.6%1,401 W · 1,544 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8543…ff1bbacked Under | 49c | 36.33$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.7 | 101 | 43.6%44 W · 57 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x28f7…404dbacked Over | 57c | 33.33$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 476 | 46.2%220 W · 256 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x65a4…1963backed Over | 48c | 31.25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 46 | 58.7%27 W · 19 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99d4…7c0dbacked Under | 51c | 31.18$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.28 | 289 | 48.1%139 W · 150 L | -11.2wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe315…3911backed Over | 49c | 30.25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.72 | 80 | 46.3%37 W · 43 L | -4.8wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Under | 51c | 30.18$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.79 | 403 | 41.4%167 W · 236 L | -20.0wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2470…7ae6backed Over | 63c | 29.45$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.46 | 72 | 48.6%35 W · 37 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 8.5this page
- Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Milwaukee BrewersPittsburgh Pirates won
- Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Milwaukee Brewers: 1st 5 Innings O/U 4.5Over won
- Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 10.5Under won
- Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 7.5Under won
- Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 9.5Under won
- Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-1.5)Pittsburgh Pirates won
- Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-2.5)Pittsburgh Pirates won
- Spread: Pittsburgh Pirates (-1.5)Milwaukee Brewers won
- Spread: Pittsburgh Pirates (-2.5)Milwaukee Brewers won
- Spread: Pittsburgh Pirates (-3.5)Milwaukee Brewers won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Milwaukee BrewersNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.