TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Bordeaux: Alex Molcan vs Rei Sakamoto

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Alex Molcanof Alex Molcan, Rei Sakamoto
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$31,541
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$36,552

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $31,541 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 91 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x507e…beaebacked Alex Molcan20c4,006$793 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,213.557,01843.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L+124.9wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-9.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1eaf…9bf0backed Rei Sakamoto65c1,758$1,143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,142.656757.1%324 W · 243 L+13.3wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Alex Molcan27c1,657$450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,206.978,21745.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L+166.6wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-16.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3b5c…126ebacked Alex Molcan30c1,471$441 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,029.3880938.8%314 W · 495 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-23.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcc00…79f8backed Rei Sakamoto70c1,361$952 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$951.7741060.5%248 W · 162 L-6.5wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-2.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8644…ad01backed Rei Sakamoto69c1,189$820 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$820.2226049.2%128 W · 132 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Alex Molcan14c1,080$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$933.611,43543.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L+17.8wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xecee…2120backed Alex Molcan35c1,000$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6504153.7%22 W · 19 L+2.6wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+19.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa664…f849backed Alex Molcan34c999.99$340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$659.9985634.2%293 W · 563 L+16.9wins+0.02per pick32cpaid+8.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Alex Molcan3c748.85$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$723.8356827.3%155 W · 413 L+23.1wins+0.04per pick23cpaid+25%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb5e7…3c1abacked Alex Molcan35c650$228 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$422.587251.1%446 W · 426 L+8.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Alex Molcan31c636.35$197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$439.081,44438%548 W · 896 L-46.0wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-16.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb7b3…9573backed Alex Molcan32c600$192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40858639.6%232 W · 354 L-21.9wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-9.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x25d8…a71fbacked Rei Sakamoto70c600$420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42030857.1%176 W · 132 L-5.3wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x08c4…e6a5backed Rei Sakamoto69c579.71$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40025957.1%148 W · 111 L-9.9wins-0.04per pick61cpaid-8.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Alex Molcan19c571.97$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$463.33,66145.2%1,654 W · 2,007 L-8.7wins0.00per pick45cpaid-12.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x365f…706abacked Alex Molcan30c496.15$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$349.061,79546.6%837 W · 958 L+20.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-19.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x803f…b6b3backed Alex Molcan15c493.33$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$419.334119.5%8 W · 33 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick22cpaid-19.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Rei Sakamoto68c452.24$308 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$307.523,25648.2%1,570 W · 1,686 L-53.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x664a…fc5fbacked Alex Molcan4c394.5$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$378.5762140.7%253 W · 368 L-6.7wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-7.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4fab…708bbacked Alex Molcan13c380.92$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$331.921,27630.4%388 W · 888 L-11.5wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0e1b…ecafbacked Alex Molcan16c353.39$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$295.842,52339.6%1,000 W · 1,523 L-3.1wins0.00per pick40cpaid-13.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6684…95d1backed Alex Molcan6c319.12$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$299.9725257.9%146 W · 106 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+5.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x274e…1d72backed Alex Molcan31c299.98$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$206.993732.4%12 W · 25 L+4.6wins+0.12per pick20cpaid+93.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x42c9…9623backed Alex Molcan26c292$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$215.54,70349.4%2,323 W · 2,380 L+166.5wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed Rei Sakamoto69c264.18$182 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$182.281,42155%782 W · 639 L+23.3wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8ab8…e32fbacked Rei Sakamoto78c250.95$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19619351.8%100 W · 93 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf753…bcfebacked Alex Molcan17c207.18$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$171.1853736.9%198 W · 339 L+6.7wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xde25…c0a5backed Alex Molcan28c206.81$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$149.819051.1%97 W · 93 L+14.1wins+0.07per pick44cpaid+28.7%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x7044…5104backed Alex Molcan16c190.03$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$159.424148.8%20 W · 21 L+6.7wins+0.16per pick32cpaid+103.1%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x5ac6…e020backed Rei Sakamoto65c184.36$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.8334761.1%212 W · 135 L-10.5wins-0.03per pick64cpaid-6.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x18a4…3a31backed Rei Sakamoto69c182.63$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126.3980341.8%336 W · 467 L-20.6wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-18.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9694…b7adbacked Rei Sakamoto69c173.91$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1202,05859.5%1,225 W · 833 L-1.0wins0.00per pick60cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf7a3…ad9ebacked Rei Sakamoto71c150$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.550952.1%265 W · 244 L-8.3wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x05c5…8181backed Rei Sakamoto70c142.86$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10081256.2%456 W · 356 L-3.8wins0.00per pick57cpaid-0.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x500e…6118backed Rei Sakamoto71c140.85$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10023965.3%156 W · 83 L+11.5wins+0.05per pick60cpaid+7.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xbb8e…08c1backed Rei Sakamoto71c138$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.372,11855.9%1,185 W · 933 L+40.1wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Alex Molcan25c134.18$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.432,04453.8%1,100 W · 944 L+61.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+0.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4e67…a39bbacked Rei Sakamoto69c120.29$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$835550.9%28 W · 27 L-2.8wins-0.05per pick56cpaid-12.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7547…d158backed Alex Molcan35c114.27$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.287,04939.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L-20.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf9e1…0458backed Alex Molcan29c112.09$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.615839.7%23 W · 35 L-0.2wins0.00per pick40cpaid-10.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x976a…eee6backed Alex Molcan30c109.99$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.9931841.8%133 W · 185 L-16.9wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-15.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7f1c…390dbacked Alex Molcan22c109.37$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.0210144.6%45 W · 56 L+5.0wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+49.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbee0…7dffbacked Alex Molcan18c108.83$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.2414415.3%22 W · 122 L-7.6wins-0.05per pick21cpaid-23.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2e75…0143backed Alex Molcan23c108.69$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.697341.1%30 W · 43 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+8.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfe01…6f13backed Rei Sakamoto69c105.25$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.621942.1%8 W · 11 L-3.0wins-0.16per pick58cpaid-28.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe658…2c42backed Rei Sakamoto35c100$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3539842.2%168 W · 230 L+10.7wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+10.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2d29…f683backed Alex Molcan30c99.99$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.9933647.3%159 W · 177 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick48cpaid+0.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x1d18…6f62backed Rei Sakamoto68c99.99$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.9956062.5%350 W · 210 L+11.4wins+0.02per pick60cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x35d1…1f70backed Alex Molcan21c93.05$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.5131563.5%200 W · 115 L+21.5wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+13.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Alex Molcan29c92.07$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.072,34351.6%1,209 W · 1,134 L+95.2wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+0.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xedf7…4003backed Alex Molcan15c90.24$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.3992138.4%354 W · 567 L+11.2wins+0.01per pick37cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc718…64a8backed Alex Molcan29c77.07$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.7291755.5%509 W · 408 L+2.7wins0.00per pick55cpaid-6.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9f6b…b245backed Rei Sakamoto70c71.06$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.747162%44 W · 27 L+4.8wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+13.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7cb6…96d1backed Rei Sakamoto71c70.62$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5046565.6%305 W · 160 L+8.0wins+0.02per pick64cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xde9f…d43cbacked Rei Sakamoto77c65.64$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.686,59950.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L+259.7wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-4.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x42d6…01ccbacked Rei Sakamoto71c56.34$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401,07762.8%676 W · 401 L-27.9wins-0.03per pick65cpaid-4.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0fad…28b8backed Rei Sakamoto22c56.03$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.42152.4%11 W · 10 L+1.1wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+14.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed Alex Molcan28c54$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.646,78648.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L+56.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-15.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x059d…10e3backed Alex Molcan19c51.32$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.3216050.6%81 W · 79 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Alex Molcan31c51.14$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.292,46238.5%948 W · 1,514 L+93.1wins+0.04per pick35cpaid+13.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x147d…c843backed Alex Molcan31c48.39$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.39633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-13.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x584d…d358backed Rei Sakamoto69c47.64$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.8734159.5%203 W · 138 L-8.2wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-5.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4ded…68a3backed Rei Sakamoto65c46.15$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3088560.2%533 W · 352 L-13.6wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf676…9a00backed Alex Molcan66c45.45$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.4520158.7%118 W · 83 L-12.8wins-0.06per pick65cpaid-11.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x1818…2c75backed Alex Molcan31c37$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.531926.3%5 W · 14 L-3.5wins-0.18per pick45cpaid-43.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x891f…88bfbacked Rei Sakamoto70c36$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.217260.5%104 W · 68 L+9.3wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+1.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2e7f…a844backed Rei Sakamoto72c35.29$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.3574346.3%344 W · 399 L-12.3wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-18.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8b0b…12ffbacked Alex Molcan32c34.81$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.6713051.5%67 W · 63 L+3.4wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+9.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x52f2…5a5dbacked Rei Sakamoto67c34.61$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.178757.5%50 W · 37 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84d7…298fbacked Alex Molcan31c34.01$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.5126535.5%94 W · 171 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-10.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfc7e…70ecbacked Rei Sakamoto33c32.6$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.761,00145.4%454 W · 547 L+0.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0154…30f7backed Rei Sakamoto77c31.23$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2452457.4%301 W · 223 L-7.5wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc790…20b8backed Rei Sakamoto70c30$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2120%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6202…8872backed Alex Molcan33c29.99$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.944951%25 W · 24 L+2.2wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+8.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x697e…9904backed Alex Molcan69c29.09$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.098245.1%37 W · 45 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-12.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5ab4…5c9cbacked Alex Molcan71c29$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.4111891.5%108 W · 10 L+17.4wins+0.15per pick77cpaid+19.2%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0xfe99…506bbacked Rei Sakamoto69c28.99$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2067852.1%353 W · 325 L-2.7wins0.00per pick52cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9124…7a4dbacked Rei Sakamoto70c28.57$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205078%39 W · 11 L+2.4wins+0.05per pick73cpaid+7.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1c70…b25ebacked Rei Sakamoto71c28.29$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2059965.8%394 W · 205 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick65cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9081…8a6ebacked Rei Sakamoto71c27.97$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.8641768.1%284 W · 133 L-21.4wins-0.05per pick73cpaid-6.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd154…9c74backed Rei Sakamoto70c25$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.534847.1%164 W · 184 L+5.7wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-7.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x87a4…953ebacked Rei Sakamoto72c23.61$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$171,05655.4%585 W · 471 L-22.8wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-8.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5cff…83c4backed Rei Sakamoto74c21.99$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.2927664.1%177 W · 99 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick64cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4427…d7a8backed Rei Sakamoto69c21.74$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154744.7%21 W · 26 L-9.3wins-0.20per pick64cpaid-32.7%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0x9c32…967dbacked Rei Sakamoto70c20$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1410%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.70per pick70cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdc3b…d591backed Rei Sakamoto69c20$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.819745.7%90 W · 107 L-5.0wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe3a2…594bbacked Rei Sakamoto70c20$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.28per pick62cpaid-47.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x099f…c1e1backed Rei Sakamoto68c20$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.6895846.6%446 W · 512 L+7.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x03ba…bebabacked Rei Sakamoto69c15$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.351,02843.3%445 W · 583 L-24.5wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-21.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe10f…e8bbbacked Rei Sakamoto70c14.97$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.4818572.4%134 W · 51 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick71cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.