MLB · resolved market
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Pittsburgh Pirates
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa2e0029e9d3924c2c7afa2e4649cba2967dab0d31a2eeb75b24a8591ed0f5a9d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Arizona Diamondbacksof Arizona Diamondbacks, Pittsburgh Pirates
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $609,158
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $625,528
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $609,158 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 366 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3dfb…abafbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 57c | 148,727$84,185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84,184.92 | 1,385 | 49.5%685 W · 700 L | -4.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc1…b33cbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 62c | 59,016$36,580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36,579.96 | 260 | 56.9%148 W · 112 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 44c | 41,575$18,261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23,313.78 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 44c | 39,948$17,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,547.67 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabb8…bba3backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 56c | 30,000$16,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,799.99 | 981 | 49.9%490 W · 491 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf377…4159backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 44c | 27,977$12,325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,651.74 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd67…ef90backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 44c | 23,652$10,407 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,245.07 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16bb…8492backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 44c | 22,572$9,931 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,640.09 | 865 | 48.7%421 W · 444 L | -8.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf152…64aabacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 55c | 19,923$10,957 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,957.44 | 770 | 53.9%415 W · 355 L | +8.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 45c | 17,649$7,895 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,754.14 | 979 | 44.4%435 W · 544 L | -22.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -18%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8be…0061backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 54c | 14,761$7,940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,940.18 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 45c | 13,333$6,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,333.33 | 1,660 | 50.1%832 W · 828 L | -22.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3a6…71bdbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 44c | 11,000$4,840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,160 | 101 | 57.4%58 W · 43 L | +8.5wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x772b…1840backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 8c | 10,000$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 59 | 35.6%21 W · 38 L | -3.3wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 56c | 10,000$5,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,599.99 | 489 | 52.8%258 W · 231 L | +16.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84db…aeebbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 44c | 9,631$4,238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,393.3 | 260 | 56.5%147 W · 113 L | +13.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 45c | 9,205$4,109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,095.94 | 794 | 42.4%337 W · 457 L | -13.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26b4…b8a9backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 49c | 9,184$4,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,683.67 | 435 | 54%235 W · 200 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 32c | 6,243$1,971 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,971.41 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86d2…731dbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 44c | 6,156$2,709 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,447.57 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 44c | 6,129$2,697 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,432.47 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x198f…c419backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 55c | 5,766$3,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,199.99 | 115 | 40%46 W · 69 L | -7.1wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 50c | 5,529$2,789 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,740.14 | 2,969 | 48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb7aa…08c3backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 70c | 4,951$3,486 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,465.12 | 76 | 55.3%42 W · 34 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf423…2cf8backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 45c | 4,667$2,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,566.67 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +2.2wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +123%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 44c | 4,645$2,061 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,583.19 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 41c | 4,567$1,894 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,673.45 | 920 | 46%423 W · 497 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f08…ed44backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 7c | 4,356$314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$313.96 | 158 | 51.9%82 W · 76 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b44…3992backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 62c | 4,098$2,541 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,540.98 | 156 | 59%92 W · 64 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e64…336dbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 44c | 3,715$1,635 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,080.4 | 449 | 45.4%204 W · 245 L | -13.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4861…3aaebacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 61c | 3,689$2,265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,265.39 | 127 | 59.1%75 W · 52 L | +4.8wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 44c | 3,616$1,586 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,030.07 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc323…0171backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 57c | 3,510$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 194 | 53.6%104 W · 90 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5674…2ff4backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 62c | 3,279$2,025 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,025.12 | 127 | 59.8%76 W · 51 L | +5.8wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 23c | 3,269$752 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$752.26 | 950 | 45.2%429 W · 521 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04e6…3914backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 56c | 3,158$1,768 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,768.27 | 97 | 66%64 W · 33 L | +4.9wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 41c | 2,955$1,201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,753.38 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 44c | 2,753$1,211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,541.84 | 600 | 43.3%260 W · 340 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 44c | 2,726$1,199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,526.46 | 1,402 | 48.8%684 W · 718 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84d4…77a9backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 12c | 2,503$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.08 | 527 | 50.1%264 W · 263 L | +19.7wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 39c | 2,450$949 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,501.5 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe83b…2d16backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 44c | 2,410$1,060 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,349.53 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 44c | 2,222$978 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,244.32 | 737 | 48.4%357 W · 380 L | -7.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f6c…8759backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 44c | 2,178$958 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,219.55 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2759…2b38backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 44c | 2,129$937 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,191.98 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.19per pick | 47cpaid | +45.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7e59…7b8bbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 2c | 2,009$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.71 | 370 | 32.7%121 W · 249 L | -12.2wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 39c | 1,867$722 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$721.59 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9f15…bdb3backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 43c | 1,841$792 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,049.44 | 776 | 47.4%368 W · 408 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x613b…823abacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 45c | 1,840$828 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,012 | 160 | 53.1%85 W · 75 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ddc…03c3backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 44c | 1,761$775 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$986.24 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 56c | 1,756$983 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$983.29 | 4,279 | 47.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L | -83.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x816b…d69dbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 46c | 1,122$516 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$515.84 | 117 | 59%69 W · 48 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 62c | 1,008$626 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$382.17 | 1,510 | 39%589 W · 921 L | -16.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc31…971fbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 44c | 1,000$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$560 | 328 | 50.3%165 W · 163 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6e0…ff0fbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 43c | 1,000$430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$570 | 306 | 47.4%145 W · 161 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x02e0…3741backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 44c | 954.55$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$534.55 | 163 | 49.1%80 W · 83 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c3c…e8c9backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 56c | 892.85$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 349 | 42.7%149 W · 200 L | -19.9wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd0fd…a7dabacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 46c | 873.11$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$473.11 | 41 | 53.7%22 W · 19 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa49e…e5e8backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 45c | 833.33$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$458.33 | 95 | 45.3%43 W · 52 L | -8.6wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xca4e…f97ebacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 44c | 800.99$352 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$448.55 | 113 | 47.8%54 W · 59 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb9f…345cbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 75c | 741.33$556 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.33 | 53 | 50.9%27 W · 26 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d60…453dbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 57c | 701.75$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 321 | 66.4%213 W · 108 L | +10.7wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64e7…50d1backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 43c | 697.67$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$397.67 | 55 | 36.4%20 W · 35 L | -3.6wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 44c | 682$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$381.92 | 1,137 | 46.3%526 W · 611 L | +36.1wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x672e…d91bbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 44c | 599.98$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$335.99 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc30…1b31backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 55c | 598.98$329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$329.44 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x767a…8ac5backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 42c | 593.53$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$344.25 | 346 | 50.9%176 W · 170 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 44c | 577.22$254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$323.24 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 44c | 556.31$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$313.2 | 1,555 | 48.9%761 W · 794 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 44c | 550$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$308 | 1,010 | 51.2%517 W · 493 L | +36.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x42c7…c415backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 11c | 542.32$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.17 | 120 | 50.8%61 W · 59 L | +5.5wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1b47…d814backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 44c | 532.15$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$298 | 182 | 48.4%88 W · 94 L | +6.0wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 17c | 529.68$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.02 | 4,381 | 44.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L | +77.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3050…1a35backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 62c | 514.23$319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$318.82 | 71 | 54.9%39 W · 32 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 51c | 500.95$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.09 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 44c | 500$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280 | 1,206 | 53.7%648 W · 558 L | +29.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb46…48efbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 43c | 500$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285 | 138 | 48.6%67 W · 71 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 57c | 495$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$281.95 | 4,035 | 57.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L | +72.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 28c | 469.75$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.79 | 2,021 | 39.5%798 W · 1,223 L | -25.7wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x721e…3439backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 44c | 444.43$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.88 | 34 | 79.4%27 W · 7 L | +7.1wins | +0.21per pick | 58cpaid | +41.1%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x9958…b9acbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 57c | 417.54$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238 | 143 | 58%83 W · 60 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc279…6465backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 45c | 399.91$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.95 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 38c | 390$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.34 | 1,456 | 42.7%622 W · 834 L | -39.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 24c | 388.6$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.26 | 3,457 | 51.3%1,772 W · 1,685 L | +108.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5f…84bfbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 45c | 386.16$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.39 | 1,051 | 50.4%530 W · 521 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 32c | 378.84$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.95 | 5,786 | 43.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L | -192.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd267…9dc6backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 44c | 363$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.28 | 389 | 49.1%191 W · 198 L | +12.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3445…76c9backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 44c | 360.5$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.88 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd335…fe54backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 57c | 350.88$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 79 | 57%45 W · 34 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 44c | 349.25$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.58 | 2,296 | 49.7%1,141 W · 1,155 L | +37.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b3…145dbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 45c | 333.33$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.33 | 220 | 55.5%122 W · 98 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 74c | 320$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.57 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb25…eb12backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 56c | 308.45$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.73 | 575 | 48%276 W · 299 L | -17.0wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d98…fe98backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 57c | 307.02$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175 | 81 | 55.6%45 W · 36 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…28b5backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 45c | 300$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165 | 1,483 | 50.2%745 W · 738 L | +5.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 44c | 297.75$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.74 | 483 | 39.8%192 W · 291 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xffae…adaebacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 44c | 267.42$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.76 | 589 | 43.1%254 W · 335 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa42f…5f5abacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 60c | 266.86$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.79 | 603 | 48.6%293 W · 310 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2465…5d84backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 75c | 264$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.16 | 1,100 | 79.6%876 W · 224 L | +32.7wins | +0.03per pick | 77cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72f3…d396backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 45c | 260$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143 | 506 | 47%238 W · 268 L | -21.3wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Pittsburgh Piratesthis page
- Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: 1st 5 Innings O/U 4.5Under won
- Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 7.5Under won
- Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 8.5Under won
- Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 9.5Under won
- Spread: Arizona Diamondbacks (-1.5)Arizona Diamondbacks won
- Spread: Arizona Diamondbacks (-2.5)Arizona Diamondbacks won
- Spread: Pittsburgh Pirates (-1.5)Arizona Diamondbacks won
- Spread: Pittsburgh Pirates (-2.5)Arizona Diamondbacks won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Pittsburgh PiratesNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.