MLB · resolved market
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 8.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6b16230263b666a7ba154cdca621f1ce3448b2f784e2b3d371670196e555a0b5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $209,402
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $209,947
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $209,402 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 88 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5e94…5ba1backed Over | 52c | 182,192$94,740 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94,739.78 | 469 | 49%230 W · 239 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3a6…71bdbacked Under | 48c | 83,608$40,132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43,476.35 | 101 | 57.4%58 W · 43 L | +8.5wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x56ac…d77ebacked Under | 48c | 25,030$12,014 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,015.47 | 716 | 50.7%363 W · 353 L | +9.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Under | 48c | 23,603$11,330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,273.79 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Under | 48c | 21,190$10,171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,018.8 | 920 | 54%497 W · 423 L | +23.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 48c | 15,409$7,421 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,988.15 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 48c | 3,529$1,694 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,834.95 | 483 | 39.8%192 W · 291 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Under | 51c | 3,000$1,530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,470 | 1,063 | 48.2%512 W · 551 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ee0…d6a6backed Under | 54c | 3,000$1,616 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,384.41 | 114 | 64%73 W · 41 L | +12.6wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Under | 50c | 2,547$1,274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,273.5 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61f1…7aefbacked Under | 48c | 2,500$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,300 | 399 | 53.6%214 W · 185 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3453…8524backed Under | 48c | 2,500$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,300 | 385 | 51.4%198 W · 187 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Over | 52c | 2,222$1,155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,155.44 | 1,352 | 50.8%687 W · 665 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Over | 52c | 2,222$1,155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,155.44 | 737 | 48.4%357 W · 380 L | -7.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed Over | 52c | 1,365$710 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$709.8 | 1,555 | 48.9%761 W · 794 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc42c…42a1backed Under | 48c | 1,186$569 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$616.72 | 243 | 50.2%122 W · 121 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Over | 51c | 1,138$582 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$582.11 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 70c | 1,117$782 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$335.31 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce99…637ebacked Under | 48c | 1,042$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$541.84 | 86 | 46.5%40 W · 46 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Under | 49c | 998.98$489 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$509.78 | 2,800 | 49.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under | 51c | 830$421 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$409.1 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4483…c565backed Under | 53c | 760.62$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360.62 | 257 | 51.8%133 W · 124 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5966…af5dbacked Over | 53c | 670$355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$355.1 | 272 | 49.3%134 W · 138 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3b5…941abacked Over | 52c | 600$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312 | 237 | 58.6%139 W · 98 L | +16.9wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Over | 22c | 565.35$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.27 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaa90…c709backed Under | 78c | 506.64$395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.78 | 62 | 56.5%35 W · 27 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Under | 53c | 486$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.42 | 1,851 | 53.1%982 W · 869 L | +18.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Under | 48c | 434.16$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.77 | 1,725 | 50.1%864 W · 861 L | -4.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Over | 37c | 376.86$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.17 | 2,969 | 48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b11…5375backed Under | 48c | 316.61$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.45 | 1,777 | 49.5%880 W · 897 L | +25.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfae1…fdc1backed Over | 42c | 307$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.94 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -3.7wins | -0.18per pick | 61cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 49c | 299.8$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.5 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc670…b781backed Under | 50c | 220$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.24 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9278…9a1bbacked Over | 52c | 190.5$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 130 | 57.7%75 W · 55 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8351…9bebbacked Over | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 652 | 48.3%315 W · 337 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba4…6de0backed Over | 53c | 181.51$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.2 | 209 | 45%94 W · 115 L | -11.1wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc22e…eab8backed Over | 51c | 176.51$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 488 | 51.6%252 W · 236 L | +8.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5dc8…e209backed Over | 51c | 171.51$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.45 | 461 | 52.1%240 W · 221 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Under | 47c | 160.13$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.87 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f45…e6a7backed Under | 48c | 156.25$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.25 | 64 | 54.7%35 W · 29 L | +3.1wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Under | 48c | 99.99$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.99 | 2,290 | 51%1,167 W · 1,123 L | +23.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb428…74c8backed Under | 52c | 99.99$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.99 | 442 | 45.5%201 W · 241 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecae…c544backed Over | 41c | 99.13$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.4 | 554 | 48.2%267 W · 287 L | -7.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf15…a1febacked Over | 50c | 96.15$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.25 | 151 | 47.7%72 W · 79 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x681d…4cbfbacked Over | 52c | 95.99$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.92 | 478 | 50.4%241 W · 237 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa23c…ae92backed Over | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 162 | 51.9%84 W · 78 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5630…7574backed Under | 48c | 93.75$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.75 | 163 | 55.8%91 W · 72 L | +7.9wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84d4…77a9backed Under | 69c | 89.28$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.68 | 527 | 50.1%264 W · 263 L | +19.7wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe3e9…7302backed Over | 53c | 84.91$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x584f…54b9backed Over | 49c | 83.53$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.93 | 187 | 41.2%77 W · 110 L | -11.2wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1950…1bf4backed Under | 48c | 83.32$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.33 | 292 | 55.8%163 W · 129 L | +12.7wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0977…53ccbacked Under | 51c | 81.57$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.97 | 292 | 50.7%148 W · 144 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x789c…0d10backed Under | 74c | 81.5$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.59 | 287 | 49.5%142 W · 145 L | -10.5wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Under | 50c | 80$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.94 | 2,376 | 49.7%1,182 W · 1,194 L | +17.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Over | 38c | 80$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.4 | 4,381 | 44.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L | +77.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2bb3…b370backed Under | 48c | 76.64$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.85 | 195 | 55.9%109 W · 86 L | +5.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Over | 52c | 69.17$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.97 | 856 | 45.3%388 W · 468 L | +18.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed Under | 49c | 67.12$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.04 | 2,945 | 47.6%1,401 W · 1,544 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 47c | 61.09$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.38 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e50…c665backed Over | 53c | 60.38$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 564 | 35.1%198 W · 366 L | -21.3wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Under | 49c | 58.82$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 1,804 | 53.8%970 W · 834 L | +17.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c80…e19bbacked Over | 51c | 57.69$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.22 | 224 | 50%112 W · 112 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed Under | 48c | 56.06$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.15 | 1,195 | 50%597 W · 598 L | +5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…e497backed Over | 36c | 55$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.9 | 1,879 | 40.6%763 W · 1,116 L | -39.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x256b…97bbbacked Under | 48c | 52.08$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.08 | 391 | 49.1%192 W · 199 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad22…014abacked Over | 53c | 50$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.5 | 247 | 49%121 W · 126 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x018e…c536backed Over | 46c | 50$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f85…7b02backed Under | 59c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.4 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +25%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f12…eeb9backed Over | 53c | 46.13$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.45 | 72 | 51.4%37 W · 35 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed Under | 72c | 45.14$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.57 | 487 | 51.5%251 W · 236 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…b777backed Under | 72c | 44.53$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.3 | 424 | 51.9%220 W · 204 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Over | 34c | 43.44$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.59 | 5,786 | 43.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L | -192.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb68…e362backed Under | 62c | 42.19$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.03 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1abc…45e7backed Under | 62c | 42.12$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.01 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e4…b7f1backed Under | 62c | 42.05$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.98 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -2.3wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ca6…9da8backed Under | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.67 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -3.7wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x212b…0ba5backed Over | 50c | 39.61$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 536 | 55.8%299 W · 237 L | +22.6wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x58d3…5651backed Over | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 40 | 55%22 W · 18 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +11%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd717…3b85backed Under | 62c | 38.37$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.58 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a10…2a2ebacked Under | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.74 | 60 | 60%36 W · 24 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed Under | 48c | 36.38$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.76 | 952 | 52.9%504 W · 448 L | +17.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Over | 38c | 34.74$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 3,208 | 51.2%1,642 W · 1,566 L | +146.6wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8543…ff1bbacked Over | 37c | 30.84$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.41 | 101 | 43.6%44 W · 57 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3654…1b78backed Under | 48c | 30.83$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.03 | 268 | 57.1%153 W · 115 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe481…d138backed Under | 51c | 29$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.21 | 882 | 47.7%421 W · 461 L | +3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d67…3667backed Over | 51c | 25.75$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.13 | 556 | 45.3%252 W · 304 L | -17.4wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e4a…4efebacked Under | 48c | 21.99$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.43 | 75 | 46.7%35 W · 40 L | -4.1wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x42c7…c415backed Under | 69c | 18.13$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.62 | 120 | 50.8%61 W · 59 L | +5.5wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 8.5this page
- Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Pittsburgh PiratesArizona Diamondbacks won
- Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: 1st 5 Innings O/U 4.5Under won
- Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 7.5Under won
- Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 9.5Under won
- Spread: Arizona Diamondbacks (-1.5)Arizona Diamondbacks won
- Spread: Arizona Diamondbacks (-2.5)Arizona Diamondbacks won
- Spread: Pittsburgh Pirates (-1.5)Arizona Diamondbacks won
- Spread: Pittsburgh Pirates (-2.5)Arizona Diamondbacks won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Pittsburgh PiratesNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.