MLB · resolved market
Houston Astros vs. Detroit Tigers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1e876a58baa4f74f05fae2c8ec5fd388df4ae0af7d7df3c7e675e9a5cb079421
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Houston Astrosof Houston Astros, Detroit Tigers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $348,968
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $355,572
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $348,968 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 265 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Detroit Tigers | 57c | 103,969$59,258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59,257.9 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Houston Astros | 46c | 54,820$25,064 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29,756.2 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf152…64aabacked Houston Astros | 48c | 36,000$17,280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,719.93 | 770 | 53.9%415 W · 355 L | +8.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Houston Astros | 51c | 20,398$10,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,048.35 | 4,279 | 47.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L | -83.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b88…8f33backed Detroit Tigers | 53c | 18,393$9,748 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,748.49 | 448 | 51.6%231 W · 217 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Houston Astros | 51c | 17,908$9,146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,762.48 | 2,969 | 48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Detroit Tigers | 52c | 14,953$7,777 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,777 | 1,660 | 50.1%832 W · 828 L | -22.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c3c…e8c9backed Houston Astros | 47c | 10,638$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,638.29 | 349 | 42.7%149 W · 200 L | -19.9wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb272…5030backed Houston Astros | 48c | 10,000$4,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,200 | 362 | 46.1%167 W · 195 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a26…937ebacked Detroit Tigers | 53c | 9,873$5,244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,244.29 | 613 | 51.5%316 W · 297 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Houston Astros | 50c | 9,724$4,863 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,860.73 | 11,356 | 52.9%6,002 W · 5,354 L | +209.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Detroit Tigers | 52c | 9,432$4,905 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,904.58 | 2,291 | 52.5%1,202 W · 1,089 L | +24.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Houston Astros | 48c | 6,731$3,225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,506 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Houston Astros | 51c | 6,664$3,424 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,240.15 | 950 | 45.2%429 W · 521 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56ac…d77ebacked Detroit Tigers | 52c | 5,895$3,066 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,065.53 | 716 | 50.7%363 W · 353 L | +9.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41b4…10dabacked Houston Astros | 48c | 5,828$2,798 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,030.8 | 199 | 50.3%100 W · 99 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x58b9…ee8bbacked Detroit Tigers | 52c | 5,800$3,016 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,016 | 752 | 48.8%367 W · 385 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e64…336dbacked Detroit Tigers | 52c | 5,525$2,873 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,872.99 | 449 | 45.4%204 W · 245 L | -13.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xccd8…f4debacked Houston Astros | 48c | 4,942$2,372 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,570.04 | 481 | 47%226 W · 255 L | -31.8wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1a2f…647abacked Detroit Tigers | 1c | 4,547$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.47 | 826 | 36.6%302 W · 524 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Houston Astros | 48c | 4,072$1,954 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,117.33 | 5,400 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,674 L | +17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea39…9d34backed Detroit Tigers | 49c | 3,975$1,937 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,937.24 | 134 | 53%71 W · 63 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb5…d57abacked Houston Astros | 48c | 3,757$1,803 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,953.61 | 216 | 44.9%97 W · 119 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x300b…f636backed Detroit Tigers | 52c | 3,500$1,820 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,819.97 | 233 | 57.9%135 W · 98 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Detroit Tigers | 36c | 3,414$1,236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,235.95 | 2,369 | 47.4%1,122 W · 1,247 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa2b5…4582backed Houston Astros | 60c | 3,400$2,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,360 | 66 | 53%35 W · 31 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Detroit Tigers | 34c | 3,100$1,053 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,052.95 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc31…971fbacked Detroit Tigers | 52c | 3,000$1,560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,560 | 328 | 50.3%165 W · 163 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe922…39b3backed Detroit Tigers | 52c | 2,403$1,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,249.56 | 204 | 55.9%114 W · 90 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x59fc…5054backed Houston Astros | 67c | 2,240$1,501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$739.19 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15e9…26bebacked Houston Astros | 47c | 2,138$1,004 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,133.71 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x729b…1b33backed Houston Astros | 47c | 2,128$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,127.66 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.9wins | +0.31per pick | 52cpaid | +54.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x418d…88a3backed Houston Astros | 48c | 2,000$960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,040 | 122 | 55.7%68 W · 54 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd428…6368backed Detroit Tigers | 52c | 1,952$1,015 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,015.07 | 389 | 56.8%221 W · 168 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadfa…36f4backed Detroit Tigers | 52c | 1,881$978 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$978 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd942…f9d3backed Detroit Tigers | 52c | 1,814$943 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$943.24 | 121 | 52.9%64 W · 57 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Houston Astros | 48c | 1,809$868 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$940.89 | 4,477 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,291 L | -47.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2972…3f29backed Detroit Tigers | 56c | 1,759$985 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$985.16 | 79 | 50.6%40 W · 39 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc365…2e53backed Houston Astros | 73c | 1,722$1,258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$463.8 | 1,607 | 53.2%855 W · 752 L | +74.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Houston Astros | 47c | 1,631$770 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$860.9 | 1,515 | 51.1%774 W · 741 L | +7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Houston Astros | 43c | 1,600$688 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$912 | 1,456 | 42.7%622 W · 834 L | -39.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Houston Astros | 66c | 1,459$960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$499.1 | 1,499 | 58.9%883 W · 616 L | +75.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfd52…aa25backed Detroit Tigers | 52c | 1,442$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 281 | 52%146 W · 135 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a70…4865backed Detroit Tigers | 52c | 1,433$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 73 | 58.9%43 W · 30 L | +3.9wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3920…23e7backed Detroit Tigers | 53c | 1,415$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 251 | 49.8%125 W · 126 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x815f…1eefbacked Houston Astros | 46c | 1,328$614 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$713.87 | 912 | 52.4%478 W · 434 L | +12.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Houston Astros | 48c | 1,294$619 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$675.72 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Detroit Tigers | 24c | 1,274$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$311.56 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a9…e22ebacked Detroit Tigers | 53c | 1,104$585 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$584.7 | 373 | 48.3%180 W · 193 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad5…62ffbacked Detroit Tigers | 26c | 1,003$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261.98 | 1,147 | 31.6%362 W · 785 L | -97.5wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Houston Astros | 48c | 1,000$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520 | 1,836 | 50.8%932 W · 904 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc1be…d4acbacked Houston Astros | 48c | 1,000$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520 | 84 | 46.4%39 W · 45 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8565…0c43backed Detroit Tigers | 52c | 1,000$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520 | 116 | 55.2%64 W · 52 L | -6.2wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Detroit Tigers | 38c | 963$368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$367.66 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f14…a4ebbacked Detroit Tigers | 52c | 961.54$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 26 | 65.4%17 W · 9 L | +4.0wins | +0.15per pick | 50cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Detroit Tigers | 27c | 902.31$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.39 | 547 | 15.9%87 W · 460 L | -40.7wins | -0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Detroit Tigers | 31c | 785.41$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.94 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf472…a262backed Detroit Tigers | 26c | 769.23$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 85 | 15.3%13 W · 72 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b74…0482backed Detroit Tigers | 54c | 759.53$411 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410.97 | 522 | 28%146 W · 376 L | -57.7wins | -0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xb575…d35bbacked Houston Astros | 46c | 671.66$307 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$365.06 | 83 | 39.8%33 W · 50 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5505…aa44backed Houston Astros | 48c | 653.33$311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$341.86 | 515 | 45.2%233 W · 282 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb25…eb12backed Houston Astros | 49c | 629.18$308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320.88 | 575 | 48%276 W · 299 L | -17.0wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe2d7…da62backed Detroit Tigers | 8c | 625$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 98 | 37.8%37 W · 61 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed Houston Astros | 49c | 618.16$303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315.26 | 1,708 | 49.9%852 W · 856 L | -17.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21e3…04ffbacked Detroit Tigers | 52c | 605.77$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315 | 70 | 45.7%32 W · 38 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6597…b746backed Houston Astros | 48c | 581.25$279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$302.25 | 253 | 51.8%131 W · 122 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce00…7d1dbacked Detroit Tigers | 52c | 576.92$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 179 | 52.5%94 W · 85 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67d3…b524backed Detroit Tigers | 53c | 563.42$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.61 | 137 | 48.2%66 W · 71 L | -6.6wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xabb8…bba3backed Detroit Tigers | 54c | 554.78$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 981 | 49.9%490 W · 491 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x330b…9565backed Detroit Tigers | 54c | 537.7$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.36 | 28 | 28.6%8 W · 20 L | -2.5wins | -0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3a0b…d29dbacked Houston Astros | 42c | 533.3$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$307.66 | 181 | 51.9%94 W · 87 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Houston Astros | 46c | 513$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277.02 | 2,296 | 49.7%1,141 W · 1,155 L | +37.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f0b…ef1dbacked Detroit Tigers | 55c | 499.99$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.99 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaecd…75b3backed Detroit Tigers | 27c | 499.99$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 49 | 24.5%12 W · 37 L | -6.2wins | -0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xaea5…26e3backed Detroit Tigers | 52c | 480.77$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 194 | 54.6%106 W · 88 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ad8…5004backed Detroit Tigers | 52c | 476.86$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.97 | 188 | 55.3%104 W · 84 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Detroit Tigers | 9c | 465.32$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.2 | 1,113 | 49%545 W · 568 L | +22.1wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9958…b9acbacked Detroit Tigers | 53c | 459.55$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.56 | 143 | 58%83 W · 60 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Detroit Tigers | 22c | 455.95$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.3 | 2,012 | 51.2%1,031 W · 981 L | +43.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Houston Astros | 48c | 450.94$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.95 | 707 | 44.7%316 W · 391 L | -22.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6451…b57abacked Detroit Tigers | 52c | 449.28$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.63 | 148 | 41.2%61 W · 87 L | -5.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Houston Astros | 69c | 440$304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.4 | 4,035 | 57.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L | +72.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x021c…232fbacked Detroit Tigers | 52c | 430$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.6 | 178 | 53.4%95 W · 83 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7615…07cabacked Houston Astros | 47c | 421.27$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.27 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb2e…7821backed Houston Astros | 48c | 420.04$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.56 | 738 | 49.3%364 W · 374 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f76…dcc9backed Houston Astros | 78c | 406.13$317 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.5 | 851 | 48.5%413 W · 438 L | +10.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Detroit Tigers | 56c | 401.79$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 639 | 43.3%277 W · 362 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ee4…ed67backed Houston Astros | 48c | 401.02$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.25 | 135 | 42.2%57 W · 78 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a49…651abacked Detroit Tigers | 53c | 400$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212 | 230 | 52.6%121 W · 109 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2de9…5289backed Houston Astros | 48c | 399.97$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.32 | 549 | 45.4%249 W · 300 L | -16.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a50…e934backed Houston Astros | 75c | 397.79$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.79 | 67 | 68.7%46 W · 21 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 71cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c3e…d412backed Detroit Tigers | 52c | 384.62$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 175 | 57.1%100 W · 75 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1405…9882backed Houston Astros | 49c | 379.86$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.73 | 85 | 47.1%40 W · 45 L | -4.1wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee8a…69acbacked Detroit Tigers | 53c | 377.36$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 146 | 55.5%81 W · 65 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked Houston Astros | 66c | 376.8$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.85 | 5,126 | 54.7%2,804 W · 2,322 L | +231.6wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x91bc…28d6backed Detroit Tigers | 53c | 375.83$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.93 | 197 | 54.8%108 W · 89 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe292…84b8backed Houston Astros | 47c | 370$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.1 | 1,402 | 43.1%604 W · 798 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…5bdfbacked Houston Astros | 72c | 363.73$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.63 | 259 | 50.2%130 W · 129 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x365f…706abacked Houston Astros | 67c | 358.6$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.24 | 367 | 59.1%217 W · 150 L | +26.5wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4e…1fb8backed Detroit Tigers | 8c | 356.94$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.56 | 3,792 | 45.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L | -5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Houston Astros vs. Detroit Tigersthis page
- Houston Astros vs. Detroit Tigers: 1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5Under won
- Houston Astros vs. Detroit Tigers: 1st 5 Innings O/U 5.5Under won
- Houston Astros vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 8.5Under won
- Houston Astros vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 9.5Under won
- Spread: Detroit Tigers (-1.5)Houston Astros won
- Spread: Houston Astros (-1.5)Detroit Tigers won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Houston Astros vs. Detroit TigersNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.