MLB · resolved market
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Washington Nationals
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9c95f7439ebedd7aa36100c85cd7115831fe063571e85f8b83eaf45d87d20d0d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Washington Nationalsof Philadelphia Phillies, Washington Nationals
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $213,668
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $224,466
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $213,668 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 225 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Washington Nationals | 71c | 39,004$27,528 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,476.56 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1032…c372backed Philadelphia Phillies | 33c | 32,883$10,783 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,782.67 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Philadelphia Phillies | 25c | 18,410$4,634 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,634.18 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Philadelphia Phillies | 37c | 18,185$6,793 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,792.68 | 1,215 | 47.6%578 W · 637 L | -19.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6db5…e279backed Washington Nationals | 72c | 10,366$7,441 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,925.35 | 141 | 52.5%74 W · 67 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 22c | 7,814$1,690 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,690.37 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc365…2e53backed Washington Nationals | 72c | 7,698$5,577 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,120.92 | 1,607 | 53.2%855 W · 752 L | +74.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Washington Nationals | 71c | 5,460$3,879 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,581.6 | 950 | 45.2%429 W · 521 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Washington Nationals | 52c | 4,901$2,549 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,352.64 | 1,063 | 48.2%512 W · 551 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Washington Nationals | 55c | 4,890$2,673 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,216.82 | 1,499 | 58.9%883 W · 616 L | +75.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Washington Nationals | 53c | 4,508$2,402 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,106.53 | 1,515 | 51.1%774 W · 741 L | +7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e86…cb8fbacked Washington Nationals | 54c | 3,716$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,715.76 | 74 | 51.4%38 W · 36 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Philadelphia Phillies | 30c | 3,582$1,063 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,063.48 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebe6…9278backed Philadelphia Phillies | 48c | 3,116$1,506 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,506.43 | 2,104 | 51.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Philadelphia Phillies | 47c | 3,009$1,422 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,422.04 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b8f…cca7backed Philadelphia Phillies | 46c | 3,000$1,380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,379.99 | 246 | 39%96 W · 150 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked Philadelphia Phillies | 33c | 2,904$957 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$957.18 | 5,127 | 54.7%2,805 W · 2,322 L | +232.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Washington Nationals | 50c | 2,833$1,412 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,420.95 | 2,291 | 52.5%1,202 W · 1,089 L | +24.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed Washington Nationals | 75c | 2,550$1,904 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$646.27 | 2,147 | 50.2%1,078 W · 1,069 L | +27.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabb8…bba3backed Philadelphia Phillies | 47c | 2,128$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 981 | 49.9%490 W · 491 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Philadelphia Phillies | 37c | 2,078$768 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$768.09 | 2,021 | 39.5%798 W · 1,223 L | -25.7wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Philadelphia Phillies | 47c | 2,023$951 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$951.06 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed Washington Nationals | 74c | 1,819$1,346 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$472.81 | 718 | 50.1%360 W · 358 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Washington Nationals | 53c | 1,700$901 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$799 | 1,909 | 53.5%1,021 W · 888 L | +29.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x816b…d69dbacked Washington Nationals | 68c | 1,413$966 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$447.34 | 117 | 59%69 W · 48 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Washington Nationals | 50c | 1,324$662 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$662.2 | 920 | 46%423 W · 497 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Philadelphia Phillies | 24c | 1,314$321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$321.34 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Philadelphia Phillies | 46c | 1,219$561 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$560.92 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x75a7…2d61backed Philadelphia Phillies | 17c | 1,183$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.16 | 132 | 25%33 W · 99 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f0…c9e4backed Washington Nationals | 53c | 1,175$623 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$552.44 | 140 | 47.1%66 W · 74 L | -7.3wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Washington Nationals | 71c | 1,126$804 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$322.43 | 2,969 | 48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Washington Nationals | 76c | 1,058$799 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.55 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 46c | 1,000$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460 | 1,836 | 50.8%932 W · 904 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c8e…a316backed Philadelphia Phillies | 43c | 999.98$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$429.99 | 226 | 38.5%87 W · 139 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4e…1fb8backed Washington Nationals | 62c | 998.87$619 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$379.57 | 3,792 | 45.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L | -5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x021c…232fbacked Washington Nationals | 53c | 910$482 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$427.7 | 178 | 53.4%95 W · 83 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x186a…559dbacked Washington Nationals | 60c | 830.09$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330.09 | 144 | 57.6%83 W · 61 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5505…aa44backed Philadelphia Phillies | 47c | 694.53$327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$327.47 | 515 | 45.2%233 W · 282 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6804…29e2backed Washington Nationals | 77c | 642.04$494 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.67 | 1,379 | 50.6%698 W · 681 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0537…e9dcbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 41c | 600.96$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.12 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | +2.3wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Philadelphia Phillies | 46c | 600$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Philadelphia Phillies | 24c | 523.29$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.48 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87af…c990backed Philadelphia Phillies | 48c | 520.83$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 327 | 42.2%138 W · 189 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc9f…905bbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 23c | 499.99$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115 | 367 | 29.4%108 W · 259 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…5bdfbacked Washington Nationals | 76c | 482.19$369 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.47 | 259 | 50.2%130 W · 129 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed Philadelphia Phillies | 20c | 470.39$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.81 | 1,121 | 44.1%494 W · 627 L | -32.4wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x04ec…8ac9backed Philadelphia Phillies | 46c | 435$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.1 | 688 | 46.8%322 W · 366 L | +9.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba14…b792backed Philadelphia Phillies | 46c | 431$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.26 | 446 | 43.3%193 W · 253 L | +11.0wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe292…84b8backed Philadelphia Phillies | 47c | 414.97$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.04 | 1,402 | 43.1%604 W · 798 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Washington Nationals | 57c | 407.25$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.34 | 979 | 44.4%435 W · 544 L | -22.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -18%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Washington Nationals | 56c | 401.79$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.79 | 639 | 43.3%277 W · 362 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 24c | 400$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 1,456 | 42.7%622 W · 834 L | -39.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5779…54adbacked Washington Nationals | 76c | 394.74$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.74 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 68cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4dc8…6655backed Philadelphia Phillies | 27c | 383.7$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.6 | 83 | 53%44 W · 39 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6262…360cbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 36c | 375.02$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.46 | 28 | 28.6%8 W · 20 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc30…c8a5backed Philadelphia Phillies | 31c | 371.9$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.29 | 195 | 40%78 W · 117 L | +7.8wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x93ac…2761backed Washington Nationals | 76c | 363.58$277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.72 | 2,583 | 61.4%1,587 W · 996 L | +70.9wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfed7…e405backed Washington Nationals | 74c | 360$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95 | 801 | 59.2%474 W · 327 L | +7.2wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5fd…842dbacked Washington Nationals | 79c | 351.22$277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.72 | 19 | 89.5%17 W · 2 L | +3.4wins | +0.18per pick | 71cpaid | +21%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd15a…80dbbacked Washington Nationals | 80c | 350$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.08 | 11 | 100%11 W · 0 L | +2.8wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +34%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa9a0…c52bbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 17c | 345.85$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 231 | 45.5%105 W · 126 L | -8.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd82…9f66backed Philadelphia Phillies | 29c | 344.83$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 159 | 37.7%60 W · 99 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed Philadelphia Phillies | 47c | 319.15$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 1,708 | 49.9%852 W · 856 L | -17.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b8d…bb92backed Washington Nationals | 53c | 300$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141 | 586 | 52.7%309 W · 277 L | +14.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfffa…17c5backed Philadelphia Phillies | 24c | 286.4$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.88 | 47 | 59.6%28 W · 19 L | +3.2wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb875…76c7backed Philadelphia Phillies | 18c | 279.37$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +3.9wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1a70…4865backed Philadelphia Phillies | 54c | 277.73$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 73 | 58.9%43 W · 30 L | +3.9wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 27c | 272.79$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.4 | 5,786 | 43.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L | -192.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e45…4b13backed Washington Nationals | 77c | 259.74$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.74 | 119 | 61.3%73 W · 46 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd23…e31fbacked Washington Nationals | 47c | 255$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.15 | 94 | 55.3%52 W · 42 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f76…dcc9backed Philadelphia Phillies | 20c | 253.48$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.03 | 851 | 48.5%413 W · 438 L | +10.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a2f…647abacked Philadelphia Phillies | 36c | 250$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 826 | 36.6%302 W · 524 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd2…9e07backed Washington Nationals | 46c | 236.76$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.01 | 674 | 53%357 W · 317 L | +28.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Philadelphia Phillies | 26c | 209$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.34 | 570 | 46.8%267 W · 303 L | +14.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x480e…90c7backed Philadelphia Phillies | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 188 | 60.1%113 W · 75 L | +12.4wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc46e…9ed8backed Washington Nationals | 53c | 207.53$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.54 | 67 | 49.3%33 W · 34 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Philadelphia Phillies | 48c | 200$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcda3…36cfbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 47c | 200$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 1,310 | 43.6%571 W · 739 L | +13.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda74…2dd7backed Philadelphia Phillies | 47c | 200$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 1,277 | 43.1%550 W · 727 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76f1…f655backed Philadelphia Phillies | 21c | 196.37$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.53 | 229 | 48.5%111 W · 118 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4379…2e16backed Philadelphia Phillies | 46c | 192.67$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.63 | 779 | 51.1%398 W · 381 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9517…f0b3backed Washington Nationals | 53c | 192.45$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.45 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.28per pick | 48cpaid | -62.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb43e…8200backed Philadelphia Phillies | 48c | 189.65$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.03 | 227 | 44.9%102 W · 125 L | +11.5wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa73a…656abacked Washington Nationals | 78c | 189$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.77 | 577 | 58.1%335 W · 242 L | +28.5wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6383…6e28backed Washington Nationals | 77c | 182.44$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.96 | 792 | 55.6%440 W · 352 L | +20.6wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf9c…3648backed Washington Nationals | 77c | 182.4$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.95 | 1,733 | 49%849 W · 884 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 38c | 164$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.96 | 401 | 46.1%185 W · 216 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Philadelphia Phillies | 25c | 159$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.15 | 400 | 43%172 W · 228 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x222b…1a8dbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 22c | 156.56$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.54 | 791 | 47.9%379 W · 412 L | +3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8bf9…8292backed Washington Nationals | 45c | 155.02$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.26 | 68 | 48.5%33 W · 35 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58d5…8898backed Philadelphia Phillies | 47c | 154.99$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.85 | 1,205 | 43%518 W · 687 L | +4.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Washington Nationals | 75c | 154.72$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.23 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02e0…3741backed Philadelphia Phillies | 33c | 151.52$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 163 | 49.1%80 W · 83 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ca2…03cfbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 48c | 150$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 208 | 43.3%90 W · 118 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Philadelphia Phillies | 47c | 149.99$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 2,376 | 49.7%1,182 W · 1,194 L | +17.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2725…e7d1backed Philadelphia Phillies | 54c | 149.99$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.79 | 358 | 49.4%177 W · 181 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9865…f6afbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 21c | 144.17$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 310 | 32.9%102 W · 208 L | +15.4wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x334f…0d32backed Washington Nationals | 73c | 135$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.45 | 378 | 68.8%260 W · 118 L | +25.1wins | +0.07per pick | 62cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8482…3f7abacked Philadelphia Phillies | 46c | 127.61$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.7 | 1,062 | 49.2%523 W · 539 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Philadelphia Phillies | 34c | 126$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.42 | 946 | 55.3%523 W · 423 L | +31.5wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Philadelphia Phillies vs. Washington Nationalsthis page
- Philadelphia Phillies vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 10.5Under won
- Philadelphia Phillies vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 11.5Under won
- Philadelphia Phillies vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 12.5Under won
- Philadelphia Phillies vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 7.5Under won
- Philadelphia Phillies vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 8.5Under won
- Philadelphia Phillies vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 9.5Under won
- Spread: Philadelphia Phillies (-1.5)Washington Nationals won
- Spread: Washington Nationals (-1.5)Washington Nationals won
- Spread: Washington Nationals (-2.5)Washington Nationals won
- Spread: Washington Nationals (-3.5)Philadelphia Phillies won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Philadelphia Phillies vs. Washington NationalsYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.