MLB · resolved market
Houston Astros vs. Toronto Blue Jays
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd5d6953da88e5c245a7e114f8f9af0fe2e6b342c9ce51e109c289e5886013c2b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Toronto Blue Jaysof Houston Astros, Toronto Blue Jays
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $413,558
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $410,521
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $413,558 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 266 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3dfb…abafbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 54c | 105,309$56,395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48,914.37 | 1,385 | 49.5%685 W · 700 L | -4.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Houston Astros | 43c | 25,446$10,860 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,859.66 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Houston Astros | 44c | 24,988$10,971 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,970.77 | 950 | 45.2%429 W · 521 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Houston Astros | 45c | 24,312$10,940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,940.39 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Houston Astros | 58c | 19,365$11,232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,231.97 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Houston Astros | 22c | 18,211$4,006 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,006.42 | 400 | 43%172 W · 228 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Houston Astros | 46c | 15,111$7,004 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,003.62 | 2,969 | 48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Toronto Blue Jays | 55c | 14,140$7,777 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,363 | 1,660 | 50.1%832 W · 828 L | -22.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e94…5ba1backed Toronto Blue Jays | 54c | 13,405$7,270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,134.99 | 469 | 49%230 W · 239 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41b4…10dabacked Houston Astros | 46c | 12,128$5,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,600.16 | 199 | 50.3%100 W · 99 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde49…fe85backed Toronto Blue Jays | 57c | 10,954$6,244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,710.15 | 484 | 51%247 W · 237 L | -10.8wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6193…5b80backed Houston Astros | 38c | 7,575$2,841 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,841.21 | 231 | 46.8%108 W · 123 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Houston Astros | 43c | 7,336$3,184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,183.64 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Houston Astros | 45c | 6,445$2,926 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,926.32 | 1,515 | 51.1%774 W · 741 L | +7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Houston Astros | 45c | 6,000$2,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,700.04 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Toronto Blue Jays | 41c | 4,878$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,878.04 | 1,215 | 47.6%578 W · 637 L | -19.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Toronto Blue Jays | 36c | 4,657$1,694 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,963.51 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Houston Astros | 27c | 4,177$1,148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,148.32 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Houston Astros | 6c | 4,069$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.1 | 600 | 43.3%260 W · 340 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Houston Astros | 44c | 3,596$1,574 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,573.91 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Houston Astros | 51c | 3,510$1,793 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,792.68 | 2,021 | 39.5%798 W · 1,223 L | -25.7wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Toronto Blue Jays | 54c | 2,789$1,510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,279.14 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Toronto Blue Jays | 59c | 2,640$1,566 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,074.03 | 4,279 | 47.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L | -83.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x815f…1eefbacked Houston Astros | 52c | 2,360$1,223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,223.31 | 912 | 52.4%478 W · 434 L | +12.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Toronto Blue Jays | 54c | 2,309$1,247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,062 | 1,284 | 49.5%635 W · 649 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xabb8…bba3backed Houston Astros | 45c | 2,222$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.99 | 981 | 49.9%490 W · 491 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Houston Astros | 23c | 2,107$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480.11 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x418d…88a3backed Houston Astros | 55c | 2,100$1,155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,155 | 122 | 55.7%68 W · 54 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x816b…d69dbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 78c | 2,046$1,598 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$448.06 | 117 | 59%69 W · 48 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Houston Astros | 1c | 2,000$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 876 | 2.9%25 W · 851 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58b9…ee8bbacked Houston Astros | 46c | 2,000$920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$919.99 | 752 | 48.8%367 W · 385 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xebe6…9278backed Houston Astros | 45c | 1,950$887 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$887.12 | 2,104 | 51.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed Houston Astros | 45c | 1,723$772 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$772.46 | 2,147 | 50.2%1,078 W · 1,069 L | +27.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccd8…f4debacked Toronto Blue Jays | 55c | 1,627$895 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$732.37 | 481 | 47%226 W · 255 L | -31.8wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Toronto Blue Jays | 74c | 1,611$1,194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$416.79 | 4,035 | 57.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L | +72.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Houston Astros | 37c | 1,555$572 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$571.98 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7851…d471backed Toronto Blue Jays | 56c | 1,300$728 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$572 | 166 | 44.6%74 W · 92 L | -6.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a6…6991backed Houston Astros | 57c | 1,228$699 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$698.58 | 397 | 39.5%157 W · 240 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Toronto Blue Jays | 43c | 1,190$512 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$678.3 | 2,369 | 47.4%1,122 W · 1,247 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09af…9728backed Toronto Blue Jays | 54c | 1,127$609 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$518.45 | 891 | 53.5%477 W · 414 L | +24.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x36d8…c7c7backed Toronto Blue Jays | 70c | 1,111$778 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.3 | 707 | 35.1%248 W · 459 L | -31.7wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e05…7720backed Houston Astros | 46c | 1,085$499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.1 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e64…336dbacked Houston Astros | 45c | 1,075$484 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$483.75 | 449 | 45.4%204 W · 245 L | -13.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed Houston Astros | 59c | 1,039$613 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$613.01 | 718 | 50.1%360 W · 358 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c4…395dbacked Houston Astros | 45c | 1,004$452 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$451.8 | 694 | 53.6%372 W · 322 L | +14.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked Houston Astros | 45c | 1,000$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 859 | 52.6%452 W · 407 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Houston Astros | 45c | 1,000$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 1,836 | 50.8%932 W · 904 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b15…fa73backed Houston Astros | 49c | 932.48$456 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$455.78 | 338 | 64.2%217 W · 121 L | +23.1wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6b94…b660backed Toronto Blue Jays | 56c | 892.86$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$392.86 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd82…9f66backed Houston Astros | 38c | 788.46$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 159 | 37.7%60 W · 99 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Toronto Blue Jays | 53c | 733$388 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$344.51 | 1,063 | 48.2%512 W · 551 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5074…0493backed Houston Astros | 47c | 699$329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$328.53 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.9wins | +0.32per pick | 51cpaid | +62.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0537…e9dcbacked Houston Astros | 58c | 689.66$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | +2.3wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Houston Astros | 40c | 633.3$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.49 | 1,456 | 42.7%622 W · 834 L | -39.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1dcd…0320backed Houston Astros | 47c | 619.68$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.25 | 21 | 14.3%3 W · 18 L | -2.6wins | -0.13per pick | 27cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x79ad…fbbcbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 54c | 600$324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc08…a137backed Toronto Blue Jays | 67c | 575.06$383 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.35 | 319 | 58.6%187 W · 132 L | +27.3wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad5…62ffbacked Houston Astros | 45c | 573.28$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260.26 | 1,147 | 31.6%362 W · 785 L | -97.5wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Houston Astros | 47c | 560.82$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263.39 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Toronto Blue Jays | 54c | 538.31$291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.62 | 1,289 | 47.2%609 W · 680 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87af…c990backed Houston Astros | 47c | 531.91$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 327 | 42.2%138 W · 189 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd428…6368backed Toronto Blue Jays | 55c | 507.27$279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.27 | 390 | 56.9%222 W · 168 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x021c…232fbacked Houston Astros | 47c | 500$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235 | 178 | 53.4%95 W · 83 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b57…de6bbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 73c | 500$365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135 | 140 | 50.7%71 W · 69 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc9f…905bbacked Houston Astros | 26c | 499.98$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.99 | 367 | 29.4%108 W · 259 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc30…c8a5backed Houston Astros | 26c | 461.54$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 195 | 40%78 W · 117 L | +7.8wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Houston Astros | 35c | 459.09$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.52 | 5,786 | 43.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L | -192.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x49d6…ea7bbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 45c | 444.44$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.44 | 109 | 13.8%15 W · 94 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 14cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64a3…e875backed Houston Astros | 47c | 437.7$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.72 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x04ec…8ac9backed Houston Astros | 45c | 435$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.75 | 688 | 46.8%322 W · 366 L | +9.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba14…b792backed Houston Astros | 45c | 431$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.95 | 446 | 43.3%193 W · 253 L | +11.0wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad88…3c1ebacked Houston Astros | 47c | 430$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.1 | 483 | 54.7%264 W · 219 L | +20.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x00ed…0a9fbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 43c | 412.26$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.99 | 101 | 45.5%46 W · 55 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe292…84b8backed Houston Astros | 46c | 410$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.6 | 1,402 | 43.1%604 W · 798 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Toronto Blue Jays | 57c | 403.51$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.51 | 639 | 43.3%277 W · 362 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf874…def4backed Toronto Blue Jays | 75c | 401.8$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.8 | 296 | 56.1%166 W · 130 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed Houston Astros | 43c | 396.52$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.52 | 1,121 | 44.1%494 W · 627 L | -32.4wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Houston Astros | 31c | 366.88$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.54 | 1,814 | 49.1%891 W · 923 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa24…a75cbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 55c | 363.64$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.64 | 87 | 57.5%50 W · 37 L | +4.8wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5505…aa44backed Houston Astros | 46c | 355.37$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.05 | 515 | 45.2%233 W · 282 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92c8…45f6backed Houston Astros | 37c | 352.77$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.62 | 47 | 61.7%29 W · 18 L | +5.1wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked Toronto Blue Jays | 74c | 336.99$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.8 | 5,127 | 54.7%2,805 W · 2,322 L | +232.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa877…2e20backed Toronto Blue Jays | 54c | 327$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.42 | 726 | 48.1%349 W · 377 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a70…4865backed Houston Astros | 46c | 326.09$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 73 | 58.9%43 W · 30 L | +3.9wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…28b5backed Houston Astros | 46c | 319.95$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.18 | 1,483 | 50.2%745 W · 738 L | +5.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Houston Astros | 47c | 319.15$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 940 | 34.3%322 W · 618 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 54c | 310$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.9 | 2,800 | 49.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b8d…bb92backed Houston Astros | 46c | 300$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138 | 586 | 52.7%309 W · 277 L | +14.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba41…095cbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 57c | 300$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Houston Astros | 45c | 257.2$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.74 | 2,296 | 49.7%1,141 W · 1,155 L | +37.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Houston Astros | 18c | 252.4$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.51 | 401 | 46.1%185 W · 216 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a2f…647abacked Houston Astros | 19c | 250$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.5 | 826 | 36.6%302 W · 524 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a01…1a3cbacked Houston Astros | 47c | 245.84$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.17 | 101 | 43.6%44 W · 57 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x59b6…307fbacked Houston Astros | 55c | 236.36$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 812 | 57.3%465 W · 347 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x89c9…9534backed Toronto Blue Jays | 50c | 226$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113 | 917 | 49.9%458 W · 459 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9dc6…a83dbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 55c | 225.09$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.29 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +2.7wins | +0.17per pick | 58cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x34cf…3c59backed Houston Astros | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36d9…c3cabacked Houston Astros | 44c | 219.99$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.79 | 67 | 35.8%24 W · 43 L | -10.3wins | -0.15per pick | 51cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x0612…559abacked Toronto Blue Jays | 73c | 218$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.86 | 612 | 50.5%309 W · 303 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb035…d7cdbacked Houston Astros | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 141 | 41.8%59 W · 82 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Houston Astros vs. Toronto Blue Jaysthis page
- Houston Astros vs. Toronto Blue Jays: 1st 5 Innings O/U 4.5Under won
- Houston Astros vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 10.5Under won
- Houston Astros vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 4.5Over won
- Houston Astros vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 5.5Over won
- Houston Astros vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 6.5Under won
- Houston Astros vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 7.5Under won
- Houston Astros vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 8.5Under won
- Houston Astros vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 9.5Under won
- Spread: Houston Astros (-1.5)Toronto Blue Jays won
- Spread: Toronto Blue Jays (-1.5)Toronto Blue Jays won
- Spread: Toronto Blue Jays (-2.5)Houston Astros won
- Spread: Toronto Blue Jays (-3.5)Houston Astros won
- Spread: Toronto Blue Jays (-4.5)Houston Astros won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Houston Astros vs. Toronto Blue JaysYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.