MLB · resolved market
Houston Astros vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 7.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb9fd0a9528d4b76b79e1253a51a79a9cc6dadf2238ef079cb4f14f782444f971
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $244,184
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $244,583
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $244,184 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 99 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb45a…192cbacked Over | 45c | 200,000$89,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89,000 | 411 | 49.1%202 W · 209 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…23c4backed Under | 56c | 106,359$59,561 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46,798.05 | 550 | 53.1%292 W · 258 L | +20.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x72d8…5213backed Under | 55c | 105,754$58,165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47,589.32 | 66 | 62.1%41 W · 25 L | +9.2wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 52c | 7,155$3,724 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,431.64 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 49c | 6,784$3,318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,317.97 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Over | 43c | 5,999$2,579 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,579.04 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Over | 45c | 5,558$2,490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,490.43 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Over | 44c | 5,191$2,291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,291.41 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x78cc…a081backed Under | 56c | 2,287$1,282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,004.17 | 64 | 46.9%30 W · 34 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b88…8f33backed Under | 54c | 1,787$965 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$821.87 | 448 | 51.6%231 W · 217 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Under | 57c | 1,702$970 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$732.02 | 1,269 | 51.1%648 W · 621 L | +23.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a30…8abdbacked Under | 55c | 1,661$912 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$749.31 | 680 | 53.2%362 W · 318 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd100…853dbacked Under | 57c | 1,215$692 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$522.33 | 541 | 52.1%282 W · 259 L | +12.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 57c | 1,135$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$484.77 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09af…9728backed Over | 46c | 1,010$465 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$464.7 | 891 | 53.5%477 W · 414 L | +24.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Over | 45c | 1,000$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 1,836 | 50.8%932 W · 904 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7851…d471backed Over | 46c | 800$368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$368 | 166 | 44.6%74 W · 92 L | -6.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5145…dd71backed Under | 57c | 600$342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -3.2wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -26%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc365…2e53backed Over | 37c | 550.35$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.18 | 1,607 | 53.2%855 W · 752 L | +74.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe9ac…8de4backed Under | 57c | 545.72$311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.66 | 185 | 51.4%95 W · 90 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c8e…a316backed Over | 44c | 500$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 226 | 38.5%87 W · 139 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Over | 49c | 462.77$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.76 | 4,279 | 47.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L | -83.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked Over | 39c | 449.7$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.61 | 5,127 | 54.7%2,805 W · 2,322 L | +232.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad5…62ffbacked Over | 44c | 392.5$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.94 | 1,147 | 31.6%362 W · 785 L | -97.5wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1fa8…0b19backed Under | 57c | 350.88$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.88 | 405 | 54.8%222 W · 183 L | +17.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8098…5646backed Under | 57c | 345.54$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.58 | 515 | 55.7%287 W · 228 L | +19.5wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa877…2e20backed Over | 46c | 327$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.42 | 726 | 48.1%349 W · 377 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Under | 60c | 321.25$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.24 | 5,786 | 43.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L | -192.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb64f…c3a9backed Over | 8c | 300$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 162 | 53.1%86 W · 76 L | +8.4wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b1…e904backed Over | 45c | 300$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 693 | 51.9%360 W · 333 L | +26.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x59b6…307fbacked Under | 56c | 241.07$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.07 | 812 | 57.3%465 W · 347 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd8ac…b73dbacked Under | 57c | 233.04$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.21 | 115 | 51.3%59 W · 56 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4e8…ff03backed Under | 57c | 230.3$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.03 | 238 | 51.3%122 W · 116 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45ff…6412backed Over | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x07b1…b027backed Over | 18c | 206.89$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.24 | 209 | 44%92 W · 117 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9aca…61fdbacked Over | 45c | 200.12$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.05 | 274 | 54.4%149 W · 125 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ca6…4b74backed Under | 55c | 200$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 449 | 49.2%221 W · 228 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Over | 29c | 200$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 707 | 37.6%266 W · 441 L | +24.5wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8508…c22fbacked Under | 55c | 192.73$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.73 | 1,000 | 52.4%524 W · 476 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6383…6e28backed Under | 51c | 192.33$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.24 | 792 | 55.6%440 W · 352 L | +20.6wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked Over | 37c | 176.4$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 546 | 51.3%280 W · 266 L | +29.8wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2ed3…274cbacked Under | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.44 | 586 | 49.5%290 W · 296 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe88…67a8backed Under | 51c | 165.62$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.17 | 970 | 50.7%492 W · 478 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85c3…700cbacked Over | 41c | 157.24$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.17 | 904 | 46.9%424 W · 480 L | +13.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Over | 44c | 150$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 2,376 | 49.7%1,182 W · 1,194 L | +17.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2725…e7d1backed Over | 46c | 149.98$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.25 | 358 | 49.4%177 W · 181 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf874…def4backed Under | 71c | 140.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.85 | 296 | 56.1%166 W · 130 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8c2…080bbacked Under | 57c | 139.07$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.8 | 44 | 61.4%27 W · 17 L | +2.7wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Under | 47c | 135.69$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.82 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa975…42eebacked Under | 57c | 122.33$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.6 | 377 | 47.2%178 W · 199 L | -10.8wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Over | 34c | 120.59$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 475 | 49.7%236 W · 239 L | +17.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8482…3f7abacked Over | 44c | 120$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.2 | 1,062 | 49.2%523 W · 539 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Over | 45c | 110.64$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.74 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdcdd…6d55backed Under | 57c | 108.74$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.76 | 90 | 58.9%53 W · 37 L | +4.4wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6804…29e2backed Under | 51c | 104.12$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.02 | 1,379 | 50.6%698 W · 681 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ad…b23ebacked Over | 46c | 100$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 1,279 | 51.2%655 W · 624 L | -19.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Over | 45c | 100$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 994 | 47.3%470 W · 524 L | -6.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2792…c4f6backed Under | 50c | 98.06$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.03 | 739 | 49.8%368 W · 371 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x31e7…fe2abacked Over | 34c | 97.06$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 161 | 44.1%71 W · 90 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c37…44fdbacked Over | 56c | 86.5$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.44 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb2e…7821backed Over | 45c | 80$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 738 | 49.3%364 W · 374 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Over | 41c | 75$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.71 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd208…29e6backed Under | 57c | 74.44$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.01 | 183 | 53.6%98 W · 85 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Over | 31c | 71.61$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.22 | 1,927 | 17.2%331 W · 1,596 L | -320.3wins | -0.17per pick | 34cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 32-0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Over | 54c | 70.49$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.07 | 3,457 | 51.3%1,772 W · 1,685 L | +108.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x206b…5162backed Under | 57c | 69.6$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.93 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5777…f1a7backed Over | 44c | 65$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.6 | 73 | 43.8%32 W · 41 L | -4.3wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x85ad…d3fbbacked Under | 57c | 64.61$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.78 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5821…7c51backed Under | 58c | 63.29$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.56 | 2,995 | 50.8%1,521 W · 1,474 L | -36.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93ac…2761backed Under | 50c | 62.31$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.03 | 2,583 | 61.4%1,587 W · 996 L | +70.9wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe134…f6dabacked Under | 60c | 60.04$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 746 | 57.8%431 W · 315 L | -9.0wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1df6…cba0backed Under | 64c | 57.43$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.63 | 1,445 | 50.3%727 W · 718 L | -27.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1465…e0dbbacked Over | 44c | 57.27$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.2 | 145 | 44.8%65 W · 80 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Under | 50c | 55$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.6 | 920 | 46%423 W · 497 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6815…9edbbacked Over | 53c | 54.72$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 447 | 44.1%197 W · 250 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x500b…b1a1backed Under | 56c | 53.57$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.57 | 96 | 39.6%38 W · 58 L | -6.5wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe246…dedcbacked Under | 57c | 52.63$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.63 | 267 | 53.9%144 W · 123 L | +7.5wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0f4…6fa9backed Under | 67c | 51$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.83 | 1,777 | 58.4%1,037 W · 740 L | +91.8wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Over | 45c | 50$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 1,172 | 49.1%575 W · 597 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x536e…4fd5backed Over | 46c | 43.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 187 | 42.8%80 W · 107 L | -16.0wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x59d7…f69dbacked Under | 57c | 43.44$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.73 | 91 | 47.3%43 W · 48 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5407…5bbdbacked Over | 45c | 40$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 778 | 36%280 W · 498 L | -17.2wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66c0…5fc2backed Under | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.04 | 252 | 56.7%143 W · 109 L | +9.9wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1fb1…8436backed Under | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.36 | 276 | 44.9%124 W · 152 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x829a…a748backed Under | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.09 | 187 | 51.9%97 W · 90 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd619…c461backed Over | 43c | 34.62$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 644 | 52.2%336 W · 308 L | +26.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcd5b…3b06backed Under | 53c | 31.25$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.69 | 85 | 56.5%48 W · 37 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x73bd…b576backed Over | 46c | 30.91$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.22 | 275 | 57.1%157 W · 118 L | +8.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Under | 53c | 28.63$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.46 | 958 | 50%479 W · 479 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d07…73d9backed Over | 49c | 28.12$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.92 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74e4…afddbacked Under | 52c | 27.78$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.38 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d84…4b14backed Under | 57c | 25.19$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.83 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfd3…1e24backed Over | 52c | 25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 20 | 20%4 W · 16 L | -6.0wins | -0.30per pick | 50cpaid | -71.8%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f9…5273backed Under | 55c | 24.76$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.14 | 536 | 44.6%239 W · 297 L | -11.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4e…1fb8backed Over | 43c | 24.51$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.54 | 3,792 | 45.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L | -5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x43a8…d77fbacked Over | 62c | 23.23$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 142 | 59.2%84 W · 58 L | +5.6wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd819…2d80backed Under | 52c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.55 | 104 | 52.9%55 W · 49 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef2c…be40backed Under | 51c | 19.61$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.61 | 50 | 48%24 W · 26 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf824…651fbacked Under | 75c | 14.4$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.6 | 110 | 52.7%58 W · 52 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Houston Astros vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 7.5this page
- Houston Astros vs. Toronto Blue JaysToronto Blue Jays won
- Houston Astros vs. Toronto Blue Jays: 1st 5 Innings O/U 4.5Under won
- Houston Astros vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 10.5Under won
- Houston Astros vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 4.5Over won
- Houston Astros vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 5.5Over won
- Houston Astros vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 6.5Under won
- Houston Astros vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 8.5Under won
- Houston Astros vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 9.5Under won
- Spread: Houston Astros (-1.5)Toronto Blue Jays won
- Spread: Toronto Blue Jays (-1.5)Toronto Blue Jays won
- Spread: Toronto Blue Jays (-2.5)Houston Astros won
- Spread: Toronto Blue Jays (-3.5)Houston Astros won
- Spread: Toronto Blue Jays (-4.5)Houston Astros won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Houston Astros vs. Toronto Blue JaysYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.