MLB · resolved market
Houston Astros vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 6.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x14357c28a651cc5ceaca02f12331137522b79fe2f303006660ba2ab50a292a39
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $101,807
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $102,245
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $101,807 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 102 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa710…23c4backed Under | 44c | 74,412$32,515 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41,897.21 | 550 | 53.1%292 W · 258 L | +20.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 56c | 48,992$27,435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27,434.69 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Over | 53c | 14,804$7,843 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,842.87 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Under | 52c | 5,800$2,997 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,803.82 | 4,279 | 47.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L | -83.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 43c | 2,351$1,012 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,338.36 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 57c | 2,208$1,256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,255.88 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 54c | 2,045$1,113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,113.09 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 56c | 2,000$1,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,120 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x70dc…1dfdbacked Over | 8c | 1,800$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.6 | 149 | 43.6%65 W · 84 L | -17.3wins | -0.12per pick | 55cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3cec…d241backed Over | 58c | 1,724$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 82 | 56.1%46 W · 36 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Over | 58c | 1,094$634 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$634.25 | 2,291 | 52.5%1,202 W · 1,089 L | +24.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 71c | 960.42$682 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$278.52 | 1,912 | 53%1,014 W · 898 L | +42.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Over | 56c | 917.05$514 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$513.55 | 1,269 | 51.1%648 W · 621 L | +23.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7dc6…4b55backed Over | 58c | 862.07$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 90 | 62.2%56 W · 34 L | +7.7wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Over | 57c | 840$479 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$478.8 | 2,290 | 51%1,167 W · 1,123 L | +23.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over | 19c | 585.56$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.5 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9ea…b781backed Over | 57c | 524.46$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296.57 | 568 | 51.4%292 W · 276 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Over | 56c | 514.68$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288.22 | 614 | 50.8%312 W · 302 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 53c | 506.66$271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270.95 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c8e…a316backed Over | 56c | 500$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 226 | 38.5%87 W · 139 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98f3…bf14backed Over | 56c | 499.99$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.99 | 35 | 62.9%22 W · 13 L | +3.9wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Over | 58c | 467.39$271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$271.09 | 1,284 | 49.5%635 W · 649 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Over | 18c | 459.7$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.75 | 3,208 | 51.2%1,642 W · 1,566 L | +146.6wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd100…853dbacked Over | 56c | 458.89$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.98 | 541 | 52.1%282 W · 259 L | +12.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa65c…509dbacked Under | 44c | 454.78$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.78 | 243 | 50.2%122 W · 121 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4e…1fb8backed Over | 56c | 399$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.44 | 3,792 | 45.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L | -5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1fa8…0b19backed Over | 56c | 327.25$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.26 | 405 | 54.8%222 W · 183 L | +17.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Under | 49c | 310.86$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.57 | 920 | 46%423 W · 497 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb64f…c3a9backed Over | 16c | 299.98$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 162 | 53.1%86 W · 76 L | +8.4wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1fe8…72bcbacked Over | 55c | 250$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.5 | 242 | 52.9%128 W · 114 L | +10.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 56c | 250$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9af…359cbacked Over | 55c | 250$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.5 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +2.2wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc365…2e53backed Under | 44c | 237.27$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.02 | 1,607 | 53.2%855 W · 752 L | +74.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked Over | 60c | 236$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.64 | 5,127 | 54.7%2,805 W · 2,322 L | +232.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad5…62ffbacked Over | 54c | 217.67$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.78 | 1,147 | 31.6%362 W · 785 L | -97.5wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x85c3…700cbacked Over | 56c | 205.73$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.78 | 904 | 46.9%424 W · 480 L | +13.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9ac…8de4backed Over | 56c | 198.08$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.92 | 185 | 51.4%95 W · 90 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86ee…511fbacked Under | 43c | 174.42$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.42 | 243 | 50.6%123 W · 120 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e46…42dfbacked Under | 43c | 169.91$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.85 | 172 | 50.6%87 W · 85 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf874…def4backed Over | 62c | 161.29$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 296 | 56.1%166 W · 130 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Over | 46c | 160.15$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.36 | 475 | 49.7%236 W · 239 L | +17.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8098…5646backed Over | 56c | 148.16$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.97 | 515 | 55.7%287 W · 228 L | +19.5wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x64d4…f056backed Over | 18c | 129$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.22 | 231 | 40.3%93 W · 138 L | -6.0wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4e8…ff03backed Over | 56c | 124.08$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.48 | 238 | 51.3%122 W · 116 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb2e…7821backed Over | 56c | 120$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.2 | 738 | 49.3%364 W · 374 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 56c | 118.25$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.22 | 2,296 | 49.7%1,141 W · 1,155 L | +37.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0f4…6fa9backed Under | 58c | 117.35$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.13 | 1,777 | 58.4%1,037 W · 740 L | +91.8wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc93d…23d5backed Over | 49c | 98.21$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.61 | 197 | 56.9%112 W · 85 L | +7.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7179…7d79backed Over | 50c | 97.28$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.73 | 193 | 53.9%104 W · 89 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Over | 40c | 95.46$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.93 | 1,927 | 17.2%331 W · 1,596 L | -320.3wins | -0.17per pick | 34cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 32-0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6c…e09cbacked Over | 56c | 88.64$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.64 | 452 | 46.2%209 W · 243 L | -18.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -11%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb25e…1071backed Over | 55c | 86.2$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.41 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -4.2wins | -0.22per pick | 53cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd8ac…b73dbacked Over | 56c | 84.62$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.39 | 115 | 51.3%59 W · 56 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked Over | 49c | 83.67$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 546 | 51.3%280 W · 266 L | +29.8wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2846…267fbacked Over | 55c | 83.33$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.83 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5821…7c51backed Over | 62c | 82.06$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.75 | 2,995 | 50.8%1,521 W · 1,474 L | -36.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Over | 58c | 77.59$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 443 | 48.5%215 W · 228 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe134…f6dabacked Under | 47c | 77.23$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.84 | 746 | 57.8%431 W · 315 L | -9.0wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31e7…fe2abacked Over | 43c | 76.74$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 161 | 44.1%71 W · 90 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Over | 47c | 75$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.25 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5777…f1a7backed Over | 57c | 75$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.75 | 73 | 43.8%32 W · 41 L | -4.3wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Over | 18c | 71$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.78 | 1,723 | 50.3%867 W · 856 L | +55.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…aa3cbacked Over | 58c | 68.97$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 149 | 46.3%69 W · 80 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa975…42eebacked Over | 56c | 67.86$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 377 | 47.2%178 W · 199 L | -10.8wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Under | 64c | 65$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.41 | 1,814 | 49.1%891 W · 923 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcdd…6d55backed Over | 56c | 60.32$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.78 | 90 | 58.9%53 W · 37 L | +4.4wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8482…3f7abacked Over | 56c | 60$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.6 | 1,062 | 49.2%523 W · 539 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93ac…2761backed Over | 55c | 55.3$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.2 | 2,583 | 61.4%1,587 W · 996 L | +70.9wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ddd…73b2backed Under | 45c | 52.53$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.06 | 314 | 46.8%147 W · 167 L | -11.7wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8c2…080bbacked Over | 56c | 52.12$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.18 | 44 | 61.4%27 W · 17 L | +2.7wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x193a…2b55backed Under | 43c | 51.16$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.16 | 234 | 55.1%129 W · 105 L | +4.8wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9aca…61fdbacked Over | 57c | 50.06$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.53 | 274 | 54.4%149 W · 125 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0654…f5a9backed Over | 58c | 50$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 158 | 48.1%76 W · 82 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Over | 57c | 50$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.5 | 1,172 | 49.1%575 W · 597 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd155…8250backed Over | 56c | 49.1$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.5 | 509 | 54%275 W · 234 L | +15.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Over | 51c | 47.98$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.7 | 5,786 | 43.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L | -192.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Over | 57c | 46.36$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.4 | 3,457 | 51.3%1,772 W · 1,685 L | +108.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1465…e0dbbacked Over | 58c | 43.74$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.37 | 145 | 44.8%65 W · 80 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8afa…28f0backed Over | 63c | 40$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.2 | 625 | 54.2%339 W · 286 L | +23.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x206b…5162backed Over | 56c | 38.43$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.52 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Under | 54c | 37.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.09 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd208…29e6backed Over | 56c | 33.28$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.64 | 183 | 53.6%98 W · 85 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d08…6e9bbacked Over | 43c | 32.56$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 46 | 39.1%18 W · 28 L | -3.0wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ed3…274cbacked Under | 45c | 30.5$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.86 | 586 | 49.5%290 W · 296 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Over | 58c | 30$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.4 | 1,804 | 53.8%970 W · 834 L | +17.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92ed…21dcbacked Under | 43c | 30$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.1 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x40d6…9892backed Over | 55c | 29.55$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.32 | 344 | 51.5%177 W · 167 L | -8.2wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1df6…cba0backed Under | 54c | 27.61$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.81 | 1,445 | 50.3%727 W · 718 L | -27.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa924…df3ebacked Over | 57c | 25.68$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.75 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.8wins | -0.35per pick | 60cpaid | -54.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x85ad…d3fbbacked Over | 56c | 24.4$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.66 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x59d7…f69dbacked Over | 56c | 24.05$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.47 | 91 | 47.3%43 W · 48 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07b1…b027backed Under | 52c | 23.39$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.23 | 209 | 44%92 W · 117 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x53e2…c81fbacked Over | 57c | 22.81$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef2c…be40backed Over | 44c | 22.73$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 50 | 48%24 W · 26 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x83d9…10d9backed Over | 58c | 22.48$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.04 | 445 | 53.5%238 W · 207 L | +12.6wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0fce…63d5backed Over | 58c | 20.76$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.04 | 273 | 45.4%124 W · 149 L | -13.7wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4927…deaebacked Under | 54c | 20.43$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.4 | 37 | 35.1%13 W · 24 L | -7.7wins | -0.21per pick | 56cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x60d2…4268backed Over | 58c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.6 | 147 | 53.1%78 W · 69 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed Over | 57c | 19.21$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.95 | 2,945 | 47.6%1,401 W · 1,544 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x69fa…e259backed Over | 55c | 18.82$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.35 | 60 | 41.7%25 W · 35 L | -4.5wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Houston Astros vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 6.5this page
- Houston Astros vs. Toronto Blue JaysToronto Blue Jays won
- Houston Astros vs. Toronto Blue Jays: 1st 5 Innings O/U 4.5Under won
- Houston Astros vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 10.5Under won
- Houston Astros vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 4.5Over won
- Houston Astros vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 5.5Over won
- Houston Astros vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 7.5Under won
- Houston Astros vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 8.5Under won
- Houston Astros vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 9.5Under won
- Spread: Houston Astros (-1.5)Toronto Blue Jays won
- Spread: Toronto Blue Jays (-1.5)Toronto Blue Jays won
- Spread: Toronto Blue Jays (-2.5)Houston Astros won
- Spread: Toronto Blue Jays (-3.5)Houston Astros won
- Spread: Toronto Blue Jays (-4.5)Houston Astros won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Houston Astros vs. Toronto Blue JaysYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.