TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

Houston Astros vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 6.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$101,807
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$102,245

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $101,807 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 102 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xa710…23c4backed Under44c74,412$32,515 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41,897.2155053.1%292 W · 258 L+20.7wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Over56c48,992$27,435 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27,434.6910,84651.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L+137.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Over53c14,804$7,843 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,842.8711,35752.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L+209.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed Under52c5,800$2,997 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,803.824,27947.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L-83.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under43c2,351$1,012 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,338.366,89950.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L-7.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Over57c2,208$1,256 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,255.884,47848.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L-47.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over54c2,045$1,113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,113.0912,24746.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L-68.6wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-9.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Over56c2,000$1,120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,1205,40150.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L+17.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x70dc…1dfdbacked Over8c1,800$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142.614943.6%65 W · 84 L-17.3wins-0.12per pick55cpaid-21.4%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x3cec…d241backed Over58c1,724$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0008256.1%46 W · 36 L+3.2wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+6.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Over58c1,094$634 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$634.252,29152.5%1,202 W · 1,089 L+24.6wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under71c960.42$682 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$278.521,91253%1,014 W · 898 L+42.5wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Over56c917.05$514 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$513.551,26951.1%648 W · 621 L+23.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-0.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7dc6…4b55backed Over58c862.07$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5009062.2%56 W · 34 L+7.7wins+0.09per pick54cpaid+15.9%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Over57c840$479 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$478.82,29051%1,167 W · 1,123 L+23.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over19c585.56$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.58,29547.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L+72.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd9ea…b781backed Over57c524.46$297 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$296.5756851.4%292 W · 276 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6553…7a71backed Over56c514.68$288 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$288.2261450.8%312 W · 302 L+9.3wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over53c506.66$271 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$270.958,08646.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L+29.9wins0.00per pick46cpaid-7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2c8e…a316backed Over56c500$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28022638.5%87 W · 139 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick39cpaid+1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x98f3…bf14backed Over56c499.99$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$279.993562.9%22 W · 13 L+3.9wins+0.11per pick52cpaid+25.6%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Over58c467.39$271 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$271.091,28449.5%635 W · 649 L-1.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid+3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x39fc…e2f2backed Over18c459.7$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.753,20851.2%1,642 W · 1,566 L+146.6wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+8.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd100…853dbacked Over56c458.89$257 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$256.9854152.1%282 W · 259 L+12.1wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+5.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa65c…509dbacked Under44c454.78$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$254.7824350.2%122 W · 121 L-0.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2f4e…1fb8backed Over56c399$223 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$223.443,79245.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L-5.5wins0.00per pick46cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1fa8…0b19backed Over56c327.25$183 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$183.2640554.8%222 W · 183 L+17.1wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1ba2…d212backed Under49c310.86$151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$159.5792046%423 W · 497 L-11.7wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-9.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb64f…c3a9backed Over16c299.98$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4816253.1%86 W · 76 L+8.4wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+11.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1fe8…72bcbacked Over55c250$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137.524252.9%128 W · 114 L+10.7wins+0.04per pick48cpaid-4.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Over56c250$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1409,72846.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L+32.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid-8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd9af…359cbacked Over55c250$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137.53158.1%18 W · 13 L+2.2wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+21.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc365…2e53backed Under44c237.27$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.021,60753.2%855 W · 752 L+74.2wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+1.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc546…058ebacked Over60c236$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141.645,12754.7%2,805 W · 2,322 L+232.0wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+7.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2ad5…62ffbacked Over54c217.67$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.781,14731.6%362 W · 785 L-97.5wins-0.09per pick40cpaid-27.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x85c3…700cbacked Over56c205.73$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.7890446.9%424 W · 480 L+13.1wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe9ac…8de4backed Over56c198.08$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.9218551.4%95 W · 90 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x86ee…511fbacked Under43c174.42$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.4224350.6%123 W · 120 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6e46…42dfbacked Under43c169.91$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.8517250.6%87 W · 85 L+5.9wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+4.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf874…def4backed Over62c161.29$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10029656.1%166 W · 130 L+5.7wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3cad…92f0backed Over46c160.15$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.3647549.7%236 W · 239 L+17.4wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+8.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8098…5646backed Over56c148.16$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.9751555.7%287 W · 228 L+19.5wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x64d4…f056backed Over18c129$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.2223140.3%93 W · 138 L-6.0wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-6.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa4e8…ff03backed Over56c124.08$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.4823851.3%122 W · 116 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeb2e…7821backed Over56c120$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.273849.3%364 W · 374 L+0.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Over56c118.25$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.222,29649.7%1,141 W · 1,155 L+37.8wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb0f4…6fa9backed Under58c117.35$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.131,77758.4%1,037 W · 740 L+91.8wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+3.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc93d…23d5backed Over49c98.21$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.6119756.9%112 W · 85 L+7.3wins+0.04per pick53cpaid-3.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7179…7d79backed Over50c97.28$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.7319353.9%104 W · 89 L+8.2wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+9.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Over40c95.46$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.931,92717.2%331 W · 1,596 L-320.3wins-0.17per pick34cpaid-64.3%equal weight32-0.16 edge/pick
0x2e6c…e09cbacked Over56c88.64$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.6445246.2%209 W · 243 L-18.9wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-11%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb25e…1071backed Over55c86.2$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.411931.6%6 W · 13 L-4.2wins-0.22per pick53cpaid-26.9%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xd8ac…b73dbacked Over56c84.62$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.3911551.3%59 W · 56 L+0.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x133a…504abacked Over49c83.67$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4154651.3%280 W · 266 L+29.8wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+12.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2846…267fbacked Over55c83.33$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.831338.5%5 W · 8 L-1.3wins-0.10per pick49cpaid-19.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5821…7c51backed Over62c82.06$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.752,99550.8%1,521 W · 1,474 L-36.0wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b20…99e9backed Over58c77.59$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4544348.5%215 W · 228 L-7.8wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-2.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe134…f6dabacked Under47c77.23$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.8474657.8%431 W · 315 L-9.0wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x31e7…fe2abacked Over43c76.74$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3316144.1%71 W · 90 L-0.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Over47c75$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.255,23456.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L+130.4wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+2.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5777…f1a7backed Over57c75$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.757343.8%32 W · 41 L-4.3wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-10.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Over18c71$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.781,72350.3%867 W · 856 L+55.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+3.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6553…aa3cbacked Over58c68.97$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4014946.3%69 W · 80 L-5.9wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-8.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa975…42eebacked Over56c67.86$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3837747.2%178 W · 199 L-10.8wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-9.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Under64c65$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.411,81449.1%891 W · 923 L-26.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-12%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xdcdd…6d55backed Over56c60.32$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.789058.9%53 W · 37 L+4.4wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+10.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8482…3f7abacked Over56c60$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.61,06249.2%523 W · 539 L-11.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x93ac…2761backed Over55c55.3$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.22,58361.4%1,587 W · 996 L+70.9wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+4.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2ddd…73b2backed Under45c52.53$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.0631446.8%147 W · 167 L-11.7wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-7.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc8c2…080bbacked Over56c52.12$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.184461.4%27 W · 17 L+2.7wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+11.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x193a…2b55backed Under43c51.16$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.1623455.1%129 W · 105 L+4.8wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9aca…61fdbacked Over57c50.06$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.5327454.4%149 W · 125 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0654…f5a9backed Over58c50$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2915848.1%76 W · 82 L-3.7wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4836…859bbacked Over57c50$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.51,17249.1%575 W · 597 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd155…8250backed Over56c49.1$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.550954%275 W · 234 L+15.0wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Over51c47.98$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.75,78643.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L-192.2wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-19.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Over57c46.36$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.43,45751.3%1,772 W · 1,685 L+108.1wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+1.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1465…e0dbbacked Over58c43.74$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.3714544.8%65 W · 80 L-5.7wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-8.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8afa…28f0backed Over63c40$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.262554.2%339 W · 286 L+23.8wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x206b…5162backed Over56c38.43$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.521855.6%10 W · 8 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+7.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf898…e720backed Under54c37.48$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.096,30348.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L+181.4wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+0.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd208…29e6backed Over56c33.28$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.6418353.6%98 W · 85 L+4.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1d08…6e9bbacked Over43c32.56$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144639.1%18 W · 28 L-3.0wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-12.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2ed3…274cbacked Under45c30.5$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.8658649.5%290 W · 296 L+0.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed Over58c30$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.41,80453.8%970 W · 834 L+17.1wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x92ed…21dcbacked Under43c30$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.12250%11 W · 11 L+0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x40d6…9892backed Over55c29.55$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.3234451.5%177 W · 167 L-8.2wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-8.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1df6…cba0backed Under54c27.61$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.811,44550.3%727 W · 718 L-27.6wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-15.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa924…df3ebacked Over57c25.68$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.75825%2 W · 6 L-2.8wins-0.35per pick60cpaid-54.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x85ad…d3fbbacked Over56c24.4$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.664050%20 W · 20 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-11.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x59d7…f69dbacked Over56c24.05$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.479147.3%43 W · 48 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick48cpaid+3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x07b1…b027backed Under52c23.39$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.2320944%92 W · 117 L-4.3wins-0.02per pick46cpaid+2.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x53e2…c81fbacked Over57c22.81$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132454.2%13 W · 11 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick56cpaid+1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xef2c…be40backed Over44c22.73$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105048%24 W · 26 L-0.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x83d9…10d9backed Over58c22.48$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.0444553.5%238 W · 207 L+12.6wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+0.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0fce…63d5backed Over58c20.76$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.0427345.4%124 W · 149 L-13.7wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-9.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4927…deaebacked Under54c20.43$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.43735.1%13 W · 24 L-7.7wins-0.21per pick56cpaid-36.1%equal weight36-0.12 edge/pick
0x60d2…4268backed Over58c20$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.614753.1%78 W · 69 L-3.4wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf593…9553backed Over57c19.21$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.952,94547.6%1,401 W · 1,544 L+3.8wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x69fa…e259backed Over55c18.82$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.356041.7%25 W · 35 L-4.5wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-16.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.