MLB · resolved market
Kansas City Royals vs. Tampa Bay Rays
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xaf7c36c72e0e2a62d13167248ad5fb9d9b570313875c7155ccc759e1037bbe8b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Tampa Bay Raysof Kansas City Royals, Tampa Bay Rays
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $272,529
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $261,150
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $272,529 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 166 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5e94…5ba1backed Tampa Bay Rays | 58c | 149,461$86,071 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63,390.92 | 469 | 49%230 W · 239 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Kansas City Royals | 42c | 34,202$14,534 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,534.34 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa804…2a75backed Kansas City Royals | 42c | 23,380$9,820 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,819.63 | 291 | 47.1%137 W · 154 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Kansas City Royals | 42c | 22,386$9,402 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,402.28 | 1,572 | 48.3%759 W · 813 L | -6.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Kansas City Royals | 40c | 19,443$7,777 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,777 | 1,660 | 50.1%832 W · 828 L | -22.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Tampa Bay Rays | 61c | 17,815$10,842 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,973.11 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabb8…bba3backed Kansas City Royals | 38c | 15,714$6,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,000 | 981 | 49.9%490 W · 491 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Kansas City Royals | 41c | 13,590$5,578 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,578.13 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Kansas City Royals | 43c | 13,287$5,652 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,651.74 | 2,969 | 48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed Kansas City Royals | 41c | 12,035$4,989 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,989.49 | 794 | 42.4%337 W · 457 L | -13.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde49…fe85backed Tampa Bay Rays | 58c | 10,000$5,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,200 | 484 | 51%247 W · 237 L | -10.8wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Kansas City Royals | 42c | 8,000$3,360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,360 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Kansas City Royals | 1c | 6,420$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.38 | 600 | 43.3%260 W · 340 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x595d…9ad0backed Kansas City Royals | 43c | 4,651$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 123 | 42.3%52 W · 71 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Kansas City Royals | 27c | 4,354$1,190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,189.92 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4379…2e16backed Kansas City Royals | 42c | 4,016$1,677 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,676.53 | 779 | 51.1%398 W · 381 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Kansas City Royals | 42c | 3,792$1,593 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,592.63 | 1,515 | 51.1%774 W · 741 L | +7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb5…d57abacked Kansas City Royals | 42c | 3,022$1,269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,269.36 | 216 | 44.9%97 W · 119 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c8…d8a4backed Kansas City Royals | 44c | 2,955$1,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,300 | 192 | 50%96 W · 96 L | +12.7wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc0df…5974backed Tampa Bay Rays | 58c | 2,586$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,086.21 | 222 | 57.2%127 W · 95 L | +8.1wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x58b9…ee8bbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 56c | 2,500$1,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,099.99 | 752 | 48.8%367 W · 385 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Kansas City Royals | 43c | 2,078$897 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$897.42 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x021c…232fbacked Kansas City Royals | 43c | 1,900$817 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$817 | 178 | 53.4%95 W · 83 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x974a…8efdbacked Kansas City Royals | 1c | 1,739$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.87 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.18per pick | 39cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Kansas City Royals | 32c | 1,420$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$449.63 | 2,021 | 39.5%798 W · 1,223 L | -25.7wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe922…39b3backed Kansas City Royals | 37c | 1,351$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.86 | 204 | 55.9%114 W · 90 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc2e5…b3a5backed Tampa Bay Rays | 74c | 1,326$986 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$339.9 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ec2…bd08backed Kansas City Royals | 39c | 1,320$518 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$518.25 | 1,137 | 42.6%484 W · 653 L | +10.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcba5…cd88backed Kansas City Royals | 43c | 1,266$545 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$544.53 | 660 | 50.2%331 W · 329 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfbff…d177backed Kansas City Royals | 43c | 1,083$466 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$465.82 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x519d…37a1backed Kansas City Royals | 2c | 1,042$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.96 | 585 | 2.1%12 W · 573 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked Kansas City Royals | 43c | 1,000$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430 | 859 | 52.6%452 W · 407 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1be…d4acbacked Kansas City Royals | 42c | 1,000$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420 | 84 | 46.4%39 W · 45 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Tampa Bay Rays | 75c | 914.51$690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.59 | 1,499 | 58.9%883 W · 616 L | +75.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4e…1fb8backed Kansas City Royals | 42c | 897$377 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$376.74 | 3,792 | 45.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L | -5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x056b…303ebacked Tampa Bay Rays | 57c | 877.19$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$377.19 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -2.3wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Kansas City Royals | 34c | 695.6$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.58 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd52…aa25backed Kansas City Royals | 38c | 657.89$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 281 | 52%146 W · 135 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Kansas City Royals | 43c | 627.66$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268.36 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Tampa Bay Rays | 75c | 617.96$464 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.13 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad5…62ffbacked Kansas City Royals | 22c | 542.5$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.78 | 1,147 | 31.6%362 W · 785 L | -97.5wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Kansas City Royals | 42c | 517.5$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.35 | 2,296 | 49.7%1,141 W · 1,155 L | +37.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7693…470fbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 58c | 517.24$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.24 | 213 | 54.5%116 W · 97 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…67fdbacked Kansas City Royals | 42c | 500$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 377 | 48.8%184 W · 193 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Kansas City Royals | 2c | 499.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 392 | 9.4%37 W · 355 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 9cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb47b…c6b1backed Kansas City Royals | 43c | 465.12$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 111 | 38.7%43 W · 68 L | -11.0wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed Kansas City Royals | 3c | 460.81$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 2,147 | 50.2%1,078 W · 1,069 L | +27.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10e0…c736backed Tampa Bay Rays | 57c | 438.6$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.6 | 179 | 51.4%92 W · 87 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebe6…9278backed Kansas City Royals | 43c | 420.78$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.93 | 2,104 | 51.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94bb…77eebacked Kansas City Royals | 5c | 400$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | -2.3wins | -0.18per pick | 26cpaid | -84.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2de9…5289backed Kansas City Royals | 43c | 400$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 549 | 45.4%249 W · 300 L | -16.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea39…9d34backed Kansas City Royals | 33c | 400$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132 | 134 | 53%71 W · 63 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0eea…f37cbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 58c | 396.55$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.55 | 241 | 50.2%121 W · 120 L | -14.6wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked Tampa Bay Rays | 66c | 376.8$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.11 | 5,127 | 54.7%2,805 W · 2,322 L | +232.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeb2e…7821backed Kansas City Royals | 43c | 360.01$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.9 | 738 | 49.3%364 W · 374 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe292…84b8backed Kansas City Royals | 43c | 350$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.5 | 1,402 | 43.1%604 W · 798 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x54d0…8e20backed Tampa Bay Rays | 58c | 344.83$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.83 | 321 | 57%183 W · 138 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd93e…7434backed Kansas City Royals | 18c | 314.21$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.86 | 60 | 21.7%13 W · 47 L | -8.6wins | -0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xdd6e…4555backed Kansas City Royals | 43c | 309$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.87 | 140 | 46.4%65 W · 75 L | -5.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b74…0482backed Tampa Bay Rays | 61c | 292.35$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.96 | 522 | 28%146 W · 376 L | -57.7wins | -0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xbb92…b221backed Kansas City Royals | 43c | 289.24$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.14 | 379 | 44.3%168 W · 211 L | -17.1wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Kansas City Royals | 43c | 275$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117 | 2,947 | 51.9%1,529 W · 1,418 L | -34.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c3e…d412backed Kansas City Royals | 38c | 263.16$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 175 | 57.1%100 W · 75 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Tampa Bay Rays | 63c | 260$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.2 | 946 | 55.3%523 W · 423 L | +31.5wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2bb4…4551backed Kansas City Royals | 42c | 258.9$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.74 | 211 | 52.6%111 W · 100 L | +7.8wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ee4…ed67backed Kansas City Royals | 42c | 258$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.94 | 135 | 42.2%57 W · 78 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98b4…5d76backed Tampa Bay Rays | 75c | 249.94$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.54 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -31%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd692…8b9abacked Kansas City Royals | 41c | 243.9$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 305 | 29.8%91 W · 214 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7772…0e56backed Kansas City Royals | 43c | 233$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.19 | 208 | 48.6%101 W · 107 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf923…2198backed Kansas City Royals | 33c | 229.92$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5505…aa44backed Kansas City Royals | 42c | 224.85$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.5 | 515 | 45.2%233 W · 282 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5754…cefbbacked Kansas City Royals | 20c | 210$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.2 | 96 | 46.9%45 W · 51 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -14%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Kansas City Royals | 44c | 200$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Kansas City Royals | 43c | 200$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86 | 958 | 50%479 W · 479 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 78c | 200$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.77 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf213…a627backed Kansas City Royals | 44c | 200$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 689 | 42.2%291 W · 398 L | +18.7wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a80…11c5backed Tampa Bay Rays | 67c | 200$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.16 | 129 | 54.3%70 W · 59 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2233…033cbacked Kansas City Royals | 44c | 200$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc365…2e53backed Kansas City Royals | 19c | 198$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.97 | 1,607 | 53.2%855 W · 752 L | +74.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x93a8…4287backed Kansas City Royals | 38c | 197.37$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c49…1d27backed Kansas City Royals | 44c | 195.45$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -2.3wins | -0.18per pick | 49cpaid | -42.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcda3…36cfbacked Kansas City Royals | 43c | 190$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.7 | 1,310 | 43.6%571 W · 739 L | +13.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x480e…90c7backed Tampa Bay Rays | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.41 | 188 | 60.1%113 W · 75 L | +12.4wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x52a0…ec9dbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.49 | 382 | 52.1%199 W · 183 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1839…3ad3backed Tampa Bay Rays | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.49 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c54…9f63backed Tampa Bay Rays | 58c | 164.79$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.21 | 94 | 47.9%45 W · 49 L | -6.9wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Kansas City Royals | 19c | 163.92$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.9 | 5,786 | 43.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L | -192.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x36bf…7398backed Kansas City Royals | 43c | 159.97$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.79 | 655 | 42.4%278 W · 377 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8890…cefbbacked Kansas City Royals | 22c | 159.68$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 509 | 62.9%320 W · 189 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 63c | 155$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.75 | 374 | 51.3%192 W · 182 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda74…2dd7backed Kansas City Royals | 43c | 154.99$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.65 | 1,277 | 43.1%550 W · 727 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58d5…8898backed Kansas City Royals | 43c | 150$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.5 | 1,205 | 43%518 W · 687 L | +4.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26b1…c3ddbacked Kansas City Royals | 18c | 138$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.84 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -37%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaea5…26e3backed Kansas City Royals | 37c | 135.14$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 194 | 54.6%106 W · 88 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xffae…adaebacked Kansas City Royals | 43c | 134.35$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.77 | 589 | 43.1%254 W · 335 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd73a…0f4ebacked Tampa Bay Rays | 58c | 130$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.6 | 411 | 52.3%215 W · 196 L | -13.0wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x334f…0d32backed Tampa Bay Rays | 79c | 125$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.25 | 378 | 68.8%260 W · 118 L | +25.1wins | +0.07per pick | 62cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x09b5…fd79backed Kansas City Royals | 20c | 125$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 185 | 56.2%104 W · 81 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d4c…fc89backed Kansas City Royals | 44c | 122.73$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 298 | 43.6%130 W · 168 L | -14.8wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9408…f3a9backed Tampa Bay Rays | 58c | 119.07$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.36 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 54cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Kansas City Royals vs. Tampa Bay Raysthis page
- Kansas City Royals vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 8.5Over won
- Spread: Tampa Bay Rays (-1.5)Tampa Bay Rays won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Kansas City Royals vs. Tampa Bay RaysYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.