MLB · resolved market
Kansas City Royals vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 8.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe79e2536fba5c636b3b565bfe6b308ca9207c08f4b7b2d3e40a89a41f606baaa
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $44,853
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $51,429
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $44,853 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 116 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Under | 46c | 10,456$4,854 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,853.54 | 11,356 | 52.9%6,002 W · 5,354 L | +209.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 57c | 9,585$5,444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,140.22 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb077…8fe8backed Over | 48c | 6,000$2,880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,120 | 335 | 54%181 W · 154 L | +9.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10a6…4d8bbacked Under | 53c | 4,477$2,373 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,372.59 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 45c | 3,636$1,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,650.22 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58b9…ee8bbacked Under | 52c | 2,400$1,248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,248 | 752 | 48.8%367 W · 385 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Over | 47c | 2,181$1,025 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,156.17 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc365…2e53backed Under | 44c | 2,085$912 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$912.37 | 1,607 | 53.2%855 W · 752 L | +74.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 56c | 1,918$1,074 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$843.25 | 4,477 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,291 L | -47.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a30…8abdbacked Over | 50c | 1,500$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$750 | 680 | 53.2%362 W · 318 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x992b…5053backed Over | 48c | 898.48$430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$468.2 | 227 | 53.3%121 W · 106 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Under | 52c | 749.59$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$389.79 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Over | 47c | 689.62$326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$363.71 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1631…072dbacked Under | 53c | 566.04$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 773 | 53.9%417 W · 356 L | +35.9wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x30fb…4856backed Under | 54c | 515.85$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278.77 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.11per pick | 56cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Under | 50c | 444$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222 | 1,836 | 50.8%932 W · 904 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Under | 51c | 420$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.2 | 2,290 | 51%1,167 W · 1,123 L | +23.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3a5…cd84backed Under | 52c | 391.71$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.69 | 100 | 46%46 W · 54 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd91a…211cbacked Over | 49c | 289.27$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.39 | 125 | 49.6%62 W · 63 L | +5.9wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd2ad…a700backed Over | 58c | 255.07$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.1 | 25 | 72%18 W · 7 L | +3.6wins | +0.14per pick | 58cpaid | +35.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x31fd…e144backed Over | 53c | 243$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.21 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over | 47c | 225.05$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.33 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Over | 45c | 223.29$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.51 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Over | 47c | 222$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.66 | 2,291 | 52.5%1,202 W · 1,089 L | +24.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ca6…4b74backed Over | 48c | 215$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.8 | 449 | 49.2%221 W · 228 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8508…c22fbacked Over | 47c | 213$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.89 | 1,000 | 52.4%524 W · 476 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebe6…9278backed Under | 53c | 202.94$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.89 | 2,104 | 51.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Over | 47c | 200$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106 | 994 | 47.3%470 W · 524 L | -6.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4e…1fb8backed Over | 47c | 200$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106 | 3,792 | 45.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L | -5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb47b…c6b1backed Over | 51c | 197.35$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.35 | 111 | 38.7%43 W · 68 L | -11.0wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Under | 69c | 149.99$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.49 | 1,435 | 50%717 W · 718 L | +25.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7cbf…c53cbacked Over | 54c | 146.11$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.51 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe134…f6dabacked Under | 51c | 140$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.85 | 746 | 57.8%431 W · 315 L | -9.0wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed Under | 52c | 135.74$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.18 | 2,944 | 47.6%1,401 W · 1,543 L | +4.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Under | 55c | 129.76$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.76 | 1,927 | 17.2%331 W · 1,596 L | -320.3wins | -0.17per pick | 34cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 32-0.16 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 52c | 127.25$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.17 | 2,296 | 49.7%1,141 W · 1,155 L | +37.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd010…2ee6backed Over | 48c | 127$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.04 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +29%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0009…5497backed Over | 47c | 121.2$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.62 | 295 | 49.8%147 W · 148 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Over | 47c | 120$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.26 | 2,800 | 49.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed Over | 56c | 119$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.2 | 2,147 | 50.2%1,078 W · 1,069 L | +27.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked Over | 48c | 118$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.08 | 5,126 | 54.7%2,804 W · 2,322 L | +231.6wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4060…e63cbacked Under | 43c | 117.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 236 | 51.3%121 W · 115 L | +5.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Over | 49c | 116.16$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.24 | 3,456 | 51.2%1,771 W · 1,685 L | +107.7wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x85c3…700cbacked Under | 44c | 104.57$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.01 | 904 | 46.9%424 W · 480 L | +13.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ad…b23ebacked Over | 49c | 100$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 1,279 | 51.2%655 W · 624 L | -19.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcc0…6872backed Under | 52c | 100$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 145 | 49%71 W · 74 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x115e…5019backed Over | 51c | 100$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 95 | 53.7%51 W · 44 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff2a…bfefbacked Over | 34c | 97.06$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.06 | 313 | 43.5%136 W · 177 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked Over | 51c | 96.79$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.59 | 825 | 51.6%426 W · 399 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x55d6…1f24backed Over | 49c | 76.14$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.64 | 312 | 58%181 W · 131 L | +15.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 48c | 75.87$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.53 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x974a…8efdbacked Over | 53c | 74.06$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.81 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.18per pick | 39cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Over | 55c | 72.34$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.54 | 1,269 | 47.4%602 W · 667 L | -31.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc9e1…ba1fbacked Under | 51c | 71.92$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Under | 52c | 70$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.7 | 2,376 | 49.7%1,182 W · 1,194 L | +17.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad5…62ffbacked Over | 49c | 69.4$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.39 | 1,147 | 31.6%362 W · 785 L | -97.5wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd17a…0373backed Under | 53c | 64.98$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.44 | 770 | 50.5%389 W · 381 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9555…889abacked Over | 47c | 61.36$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.52 | 1,001 | 57.3%574 W · 427 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7693…470fbacked Under | 52c | 57.69$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 213 | 54.5%116 W · 97 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Under | 31c | 56.6$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.28 | 5,786 | 43.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L | -192.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5821…7c51backed Over | 52c | 56.57$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.07 | 2,995 | 50.8%1,521 W · 1,474 L | -36.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0977…53ccbacked Under | 47c | 55$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.85 | 292 | 50.7%148 W · 144 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6815…9edbbacked Under | 29c | 54.62$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.84 | 447 | 44.1%197 W · 250 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bd6…bf96backed Over | 48c | 54.17$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.17 | 131 | 48.9%64 W · 67 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 51c | 53.03$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.09 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7ac…427fbacked Over | 48c | 50.59$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.31 | 70 | 50%35 W · 35 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7cff…6471backed Over | 47c | 50$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.5 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x28f7…404dbacked Over | 54c | 44.76$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.76 | 476 | 46.2%220 W · 256 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x522f…1164backed Over | 47c | 40$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.2 | 392 | 50.3%197 W · 195 L | +18.0wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Under | 51c | 37.16$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.95 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd774…fafebacked Under | 50c | 34$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb130…7767backed Under | 53c | 30.8$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.32 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x61a8…8539backed Under | 53c | 30.3$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.06 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 66cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb6b…6e15backed Under | 53c | 30$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.9 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 68cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4fbf…e37bbacked Under | 53c | 28.8$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.26 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb978…8799backed Under | 53c | 28.8$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.26 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -2.6wins | -0.37per pick | 66cpaid | -61.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x407b…bba5backed Under | 53c | 28.7$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.21 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 63cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e37…ac4abacked Under | 53c | 27.8$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.73 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb902…cacfbacked Under | 53c | 27.79$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.73 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7cb7…f54bbacked Under | 53c | 27.7$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.68 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 69cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe991…a082backed Under | 53c | 27.3$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.47 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda95…34f0backed Under | 53c | 27$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.31 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 63cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa7a…4886backed Under | 53c | 26.91$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.26 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e32…b2fcbacked Under | 53c | 26.7$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.15 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 65cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c4d…a945backed Under | 53c | 26.6$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.1 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.10per pick | 61cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdfe2…49d1backed Under | 53c | 26.3$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.94 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 66cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8be6…221cbacked Under | 53c | 26.2$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.89 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbcd6…df55backed Under | 53c | 26$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.78 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3d69…cbc8backed Under | 53c | 25.7$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.62 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +1.4wins | +0.08per pick | 61cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x69ca…40adbacked Under | 53c | 25.5$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.52 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -2.3wins | -0.13per pick | 60cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcd9d…2269backed Under | 41c | 25.3$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.38 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -2.3wins | -0.16per pick | 59cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8349…abaebacked Under | 53c | 25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.25 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 62cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2792…c4f6backed Over | 55c | 24.84$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.1 | 739 | 49.8%368 W · 371 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf59e…1f1dbacked Under | 53c | 24.8$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.14 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17a8…c0f8backed Under | 53c | 24.7$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.09 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x563d…94cabacked Under | 53c | 24.4$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.93 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 62cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86c2…594cbacked Under | 53c | 24.2$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.83 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69ee…061cbacked Under | 53c | 24.1$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.77 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.13per pick | 62cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d41…581fbacked Under | 53c | 23.8$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.61 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1bd…35a1backed Under | 53c | 23.6$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.51 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Kansas City Royals vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 8.5this page
- Kansas City Royals vs. Tampa Bay RaysTampa Bay Rays won
- Spread: Tampa Bay Rays (-1.5)Tampa Bay Rays won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Kansas City Royals vs. Tampa Bay RaysYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.