TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Kings vs. 76ers: O/U 229.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$155,009
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$155,709

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $155,009 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 126 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xea2b…1fc6backed Under48c36,810$17,765 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19,044.6138253.4%204 W · 178 L+6.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x20d6…3856backed Under49c24,772$12,138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,633.6939842.5%169 W · 229 L-9.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-0.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1117…3532backed Over52c20,000$10,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,4001,02450.8%520 W · 504 L+18.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Over51c15,954$8,085 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,084.632,66648%1,279 W · 1,387 L-8.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under49c15,000$7,350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,649.982,15351.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L+76.7wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x44d4…1970backed Under51c12,592$6,456 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,136.5616752.1%87 W · 80 L+7.6wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+10.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbb66…2f53backed Over52c11,538$6,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,00020849.5%103 W · 105 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc311…44fcbacked Over53c9,434$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,0003135.5%11 W · 20 L-3.1wins-0.10per pick46cpaid-16.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x4924…3782backed Over50c8,184$4,082 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,081.5687451.5%450 W · 424 L+15.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x351e…de8abacked Over51c6,390$3,259 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,25937747.5%179 W · 198 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc617…a854backed Over51c5,392$2,750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,750.0942648.1%205 W · 221 L-5.1wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x713d…53a9backed Under50c5,000$2,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,50018151.4%93 W · 88 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5e82…7670backed Under49c3,000$1,470 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,529.8614346.2%66 W · 77 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-6.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x617b…a499backed Over51c2,500$1,275 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,27587750.2%440 W · 437 L-19.7wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbf5e…4e1abacked Over51c2,000$1,020 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,02015147%71 W · 80 L+0.4wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xed2c…9597backed Over53c2,000$1,060 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,06037944.3%168 W · 211 L-10.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-8.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd7a5…7c26backed Under47c1,930$907 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,022.911653.4%62 W · 54 L+3.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1a43…565fbacked Over51c1,450$740 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7405945.8%27 W · 32 L-3.3wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-13.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa6e3…6dfebacked Over48c1,250$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60023052.6%121 W · 109 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd04d…bfc2backed Over48c1,250$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6002,43549.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L+30.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4440…f8fdbacked Over51c1,141$582 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5829952.5%52 W · 47 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Under48c1,130$548 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$582.133,99548.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L+101.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Under49c1,081$528 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$553.422,07853.6%1,113 W · 965 L+44.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Over46c1,009$469 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$469.415,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xae8c…93cdbacked Over51c1,000$510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5108347%39 W · 44 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6b45…d196backed Under48c742.75$356 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$386.5512540.8%51 W · 74 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-5.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Over50c726.36$362 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$362.339,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xce26…8e06backed Under50c600$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30091050.9%463 W · 447 L+11.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1733…1e15backed Over51c588.24$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3001,15747.9%554 W · 603 L-19.9wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Under51c578.29$296 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$282.434,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Over47c569.79$268 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$267.73,34243.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L+81.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Over51c547.73$279 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$279.342,51249.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L+6.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8d88…1e28backed Under48c525.55$254 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$271.220838%79 W · 129 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x68a9…e73abacked Under48c520.83$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$270.8321045.2%95 W · 115 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under53c517.84$276 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$241.718,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Over51c512.46$264 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$263.673,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Over51c505.34$257 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$257.263,28549.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L+5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1831…6c99backed Under50c495$248 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$247.519350.3%97 W · 96 L+0.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid-3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6183…575fbacked Under48c416.67$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$216.671540%6 W · 9 L+0.9wins+0.06per pick34cpaid+15.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5966…af5dbacked Over51c392.16$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20031354.3%170 W · 143 L+4.8wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Under52c330.15$172 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.683,55146.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L+1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2a74…de59backed Under54c286.85$155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$131.9511048.2%53 W · 57 L-6.6wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-9.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Over50c275.35$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$138.673,59150.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L+21.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc4fd…9499backed Over51c274.51$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1405022%11 W · 39 L-4.8wins-0.10per pick32cpaid-50.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Over46c262.06$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.552,75350.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L+47.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3100…9bc9backed Under49c247.16$121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126.0518043.3%78 W · 102 L-9.4wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-16.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Over42c205.87$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.385,84446.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L+32.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd77d…b01cbacked Over49c204.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10026956.1%151 W · 118 L+8.8wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7a64…6769backed Over49c204.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10017353.2%92 W · 81 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa66d…0859backed Over51c203.68$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.8821645.8%99 W · 117 L-3.3wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-7.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0612…d7cebacked Under50c203$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.5933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.6wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-35%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x97e2…a6b1backed Over51c203$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.531553.3%8 W · 7 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick53cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x92cf…8b35backed Under50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1001,11052%577 W · 533 L+8.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb871…9f15backed Under50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10059144.5%263 W · 328 L-4.0wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa9fb…f13ebacked Under50c197$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.51060%6 W · 4 L+1.3wins+0.13per pick47cpaid+19%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x279f…2008backed Over51c197$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.471040%4 W · 6 L-1.1wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-23%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2984…57c8backed Under51c196.08$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.085851.7%30 W · 28 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf332…3c89backed Over52c192.31$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10065649.2%323 W · 333 L+9.5wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x57b9…e9b4backed Under52c192.31$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.3125347%119 W · 134 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick48cpaid+0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x486f…b325backed Over51c191.09$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.4612143.8%53 W · 68 L-6.7wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-14.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xaac5…fb4fbacked Over51c190$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.91030%3 W · 7 L-2.0wins-0.20per pick50cpaid-40.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x6f82…b570backed Under50c190$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$951136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.5wins-0.14per pick50cpaid-28.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x19ed…6dc8backed Over51c189.21$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.535747.1%168 W · 189 L-8.6wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1bbf…b7febacked Under50c188$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.12per pick49cpaid-26.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8ee8…64afbacked Over51c188$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.881353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe77b…f10abacked Under50c186.97$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.4910953.2%58 W · 51 L+3.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+2.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3f5c…9e02backed Under53c174.23$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.6621546.5%100 W · 115 L-3.6wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x55aa…4f8ebacked Under53c154.71$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.48344.6%37 W · 46 L-4.3wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-13.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb405…c706backed Under49c150.13$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.5714949.7%74 W · 75 L+3.5wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2fec…871cbacked Under53c146.39$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.453844.7%17 W · 21 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-11.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb944…250fbacked Under52c134.73$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.293357.6%19 W · 14 L+2.5wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+26.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x39c6…0ac1backed Under48c122.92$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.9254246.7%253 W · 289 L-7.2wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-6.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Under50c121.21$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.612,60250.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L-20.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x41a3…017dbacked Under50c120$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6032952.9%174 W · 155 L-11.7wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-7.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x066f…b576backed Over51c111.08$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.651,63448.1%786 W · 848 L+5.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3dc1…e318backed Over51c110.58$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.0653043.8%232 W · 298 L-25.4wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-12%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x15f9…607ebacked Under50c106.9$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.4520651%105 W · 101 L+7.5wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+9.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x87ae…811bbacked Over49c102.04$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5017545.7%80 W · 95 L-9.2wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-10.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6c82…6150backed Over50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5063555.6%353 W · 282 L+9.5wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+5.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3518…c4aebacked Under50c89.61$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.6111241.1%46 W · 66 L-4.7wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-15.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb442…bed7backed Under52c81.88$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.312652.4%66 W · 60 L-0.5wins0.00per pick53cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x103e…062dbacked Under52c77.73$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.092245.5%10 W · 12 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-13.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x457f…cf1dbacked Under52c74.15$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.3810659.4%63 W · 43 L+5.1wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+11.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf263…e9c1backed Under53c69.49$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.9711145%50 W · 61 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe82…7056backed Under50c66.92$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.464351.2%22 W · 21 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+12.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x60df…7092backed Under52c65.54$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.2711752.1%61 W · 56 L+3.0wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3c7e…a65fbacked Under50c63.58$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.7980737.7%304 W · 503 L-33.9wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-16.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xccc5…041bbacked Under59c61.16$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.82333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.20per pick54cpaid-43.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x785f…e3d9backed Under51c61$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.891,02947.7%491 W · 538 L-13.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb9d…c3eebacked Over51c54.9$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2810657.5%61 W · 45 L+3.8wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+8.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x73ee…5d16backed Under53c50.71$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.066346%29 W · 34 L-2.3wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-11%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe88b…fa5abacked Under54c50$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2343246.1%199 W · 233 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0e51…e4f7backed Under47c48.86$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.943244%190 W · 242 L-18.3wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-9.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4d84…21b1backed Over65c48.24$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.1466646.8%312 W · 354 L-29.6wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-11%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x27ce…9a42backed Under51c46.61$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.615942.4%25 W · 34 L-2.7wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-14.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7166…cd31backed Under53c46.18$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.917846.2%36 W · 42 L-3.0wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-10.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x051b…09d4backed Under48c43.63$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.6345651.1%233 W · 223 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-0.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x859d…3cecbacked Over48c38.55$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.550841.7%212 W · 296 L-11.2wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3b7f…7aecbacked Over53c37.74$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2043647.9%209 W · 227 L+7.3wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x88b2…7917backed Under52c37.74$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.016055%33 W · 27 L+3.2wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+14.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 18 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.