TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Kings vs. 76ers: O/U 230.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$164,151
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$169,897

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $164,151 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 102 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x6e82…752cbacked Under51c59,331$30,259 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29,072.431,20455.3%666 W · 538 L+52.0wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+12.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1117…3532backed Over49c25,538$12,569 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,5691,02450.8%520 W · 504 L+18.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Over49c21,791$10,676 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,675.582,66648%1,279 W · 1,387 L-8.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3eee…e8b6backed Under52c20,238$10,466 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,772.3434654%187 W · 159 L+13.4wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+7.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xea2b…1fc6backed Under51c18,869$9,623 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,245.8738253.4%204 W · 178 L+6.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Over49c18,018$8,790 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,789.659,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd7a5…7c26backed Under50c10,100$5,050 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,05011653.4%62 W · 54 L+3.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Over48c9,502$4,550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,550.342,09147.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L-56.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x47a6…69e0backed Over49c6,122$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,00038750.4%195 W · 192 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Over47c5,203$2,443 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,443.372,07853.6%1,113 W · 965 L+44.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x91fd…1cdebacked Under52c5,000$2,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,40077348.5%375 W · 398 L+7.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Over49c4,864$2,397 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,396.753,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Over47c4,587$2,156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,155.891,90854.5%1,040 W · 868 L+53.7wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over47c4,390$2,077 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,076.912,63036.7%966 W · 1,664 L-119.1wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-25.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf6a6…a6d3backed Under67c3,865$2,588 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,276.882369.6%16 W · 7 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick68cpaid+0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over41c3,254$1,327 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,327.448,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Over49c2,704$1,331 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,330.792,51249.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L+6.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9310…5e55backed Under55c1,821$998 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$822.6262546.9%293 W · 332 L+1.4wins0.00per pick47cpaid+3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfb85…8464backed Under56c1,795$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$794.640041.5%166 W · 234 L-5.9wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Over48c1,591$758 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$758.362,75350.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L+47.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x617b…a499backed Over48c1,500$720 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72087750.2%440 W · 437 L-19.7wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf5a7…63e7backed Under51c1,137$580 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$557.2567252.7%354 W · 318 L+15.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbf5e…4e1abacked Over49c1,135$556 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$555.9315147%71 W · 80 L+0.4wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8d88…1e28backed Over44c1,087$476 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$475.7820838%79 W · 129 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Over37c1,046$387 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$386.83,34243.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L+81.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb589…33d4backed Over24c833$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.9235326.6%94 W · 259 L+21.9wins+0.06per pick20cpaid+31%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xb405…c706backed Over47c818.74$384 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$383.8714949.7%74 W · 75 L+3.5wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x19ed…6dc8backed Over50c731.74$366 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$365.8735747.1%168 W · 189 L-8.6wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x486f…b325backed Over50c731.74$366 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$365.8712143.8%53 W · 68 L-6.7wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-14.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Over49c723.63$354 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$354.093,28549.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L+5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Over48c708.42$338 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$337.94,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7b23…e20fbacked Under54c600$324 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27649938.9%194 W · 305 L-23.4wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-16.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6036…d2ccbacked Under50c589$295 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$294.540648%195 W · 211 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9030…4a23backed Under51c588.24$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$288.247862.8%49 W · 29 L+4.0wins+0.05per pick58cpaid+7.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0a7c…8964backed Under52c536.3$279 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$257.4680653.6%432 W · 374 L+16.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8415…dfe1backed Under49c499.99$245 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25519647.4%93 W · 103 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb47e…c602backed Under50c499$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$249.561740.7%251 W · 366 L-4.9wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Over49c415.63$203 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202.693,55146.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L+1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Over52c393$204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204.361,16352.8%614 W · 549 L+22.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x34cd…9675backed Under51c392.16$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$192.1622648.2%109 W · 117 L-5.5wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-5.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4137…586cbacked Under51c300$153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14747043.8%206 W · 264 L-22.2wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-12.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x15d5…ef7bbacked Over45c300$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1351,19838.8%465 W · 733 L+11.6wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb0e6…84a8backed Under51c300$153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1473357.6%19 W · 14 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+1.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Over40c246.74$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.813,66841.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L-70.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2775…3652backed Over55c235.82$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.83944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-13.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe154…0b7fbacked Over20c225.88$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.1817941.9%75 W · 104 L+6.4wins+0.04per pick38cpaid+16.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2a9b…7303backed Over46c217.39$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10063447.5%301 W · 333 L-19.8wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4892…27bcbacked Under53c207.55$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.554369.8%30 W · 13 L+6.5wins+0.15per pick55cpaid+34.6%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xb19f…dd0ebacked Under52c192.31$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.317365.8%48 W · 25 L+8.4wins+0.12per pick54cpaid+24%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x0a76…b30fbacked Over56c178.57$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10021642.1%91 W · 125 L-15.6wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-15.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Over45c174.5$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.794,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1fd1…5490backed Under58c170.66$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.31977.8%7 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.11per pick67cpaid+14.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Over37c168.46$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.332,16940.8%885 W · 1,284 L-8.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-14.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8567…56a3backed Under53c160.38$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.38785.7%6 W · 1 L+2.3wins+0.32per pick54cpaid+52.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x1b44…d8debacked Over50c158.24$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.0876653.5%410 W · 356 L+65.5wins+0.09per pick45cpaid+15.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x3dc1…e318backed Over49c152.53$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.7453043.8%232 W · 298 L-25.4wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-12%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Over49c131.29$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.313,59150.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L+21.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Under52c115.38$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.382,60250.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L-20.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9985…9b14backed Under51c101.84$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.98743.7%38 W · 49 L-6.2wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-16.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Over48c100$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$482,65749.6%1,319 W · 1,338 L+42.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xec54…a03dbacked Under51c100$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4910957.8%63 W · 46 L+0.3wins0.00per pick58cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa0b9…08b3backed Under50c100$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$507638.2%29 W · 47 L-3.6wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-18.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6c82…6150backed Over48c100$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4863555.6%353 W · 282 L+9.5wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+5.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xead0…f3babacked Under52c86.58$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.561,12448.6%546 W · 578 L+13.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2fd5…ef85backed Over49c81.89$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.1812747.2%60 W · 67 L-2.9wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-10%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0e51…e4f7backed Over49c80$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.243244%190 W · 242 L-18.3wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-9.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6082…6ce2backed Under52c76.92$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.926561.5%40 W · 25 L+5.4wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+11.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0c69…2b8dbacked Over48c76.48$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.651,00351%512 W · 491 L+6.4wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfc33…9636backed Over47c73.91$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.8319242.7%82 W · 110 L-10.7wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-11.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Over47c73.39$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.525,84446.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L+32.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc5b5…7e80backed Over45c66.62$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.161,05549.9%526 W · 529 L+29.7wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x727d…1589backed Over50c63.69$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.8419232.8%63 W · 129 L-18.1wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-35.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x0c9e…bba8backed Over69c63$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.44755.3%26 W · 21 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa66d…0859backed Over49c59.39$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.421645.8%99 W · 117 L-3.3wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-7.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b41…01c7backed Over47c53$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.9153839.4%212 W · 326 L-26.8wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-13.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xbfb0…466fbacked Over51c51.02$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.016230.6%19 W · 43 L-6.1wins-0.10per pick41cpaid-40.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xd758…9d8bbacked Over50c50.16$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.29757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.07per pick50cpaid-2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdd6d…c504backed Under50c50$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$258854.5%48 W · 40 L+5.4wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+11.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0250…278ebacked Under64c50$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18966.7%6 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick65cpaid-1.8%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Over36c49.99$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$181,11341.6%463 W · 650 L-10.0wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-17.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7e5d…5bc8backed Under55c45$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.257545.3%34 W · 41 L-9.2wins-0.12per pick58cpaid-22.5%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x859d…3cecbacked Over46c41.05$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.8850841.7%212 W · 296 L-11.2wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9512…e78abacked Under47c40.43$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.43633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.10per pick44cpaid-15.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1683…6906backed Over49c40$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.630146.2%139 W · 162 L-0.5wins0.00per pick46cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf7f0…4a2cbacked Under52c40$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.231947.6%152 W · 167 L-18.8wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-10.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x440a…9599backed Under51c39.22$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.228441.7%35 W · 49 L-2.9wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-19.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2e3d…b56cbacked Under53c37.74$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.7437344.2%165 W · 208 L-19.1wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-8.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8aab…8d40backed Over49c32.68$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.0116443.9%72 W · 92 L-9.4wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-12.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3494…04f4backed Over46c31.91$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.6835049.4%173 W · 177 L-4.8wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1b51…f9adbacked Under64c30.25$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.89333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.24per pick57cpaid-47.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe85d…95d8backed Under55c30$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.515355.6%85 W · 68 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x63dd…c279backed Under67c29.69$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.699259.8%55 W · 37 L+2.7wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+2.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd05a…bf53backed Under51c29.15$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.283351.5%17 W · 16 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe1e5…7b2ebacked Under53c28.3$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.3955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-15.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x37de…f512backed Under42c25$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.51,39026%361 W · 1,029 L-5.6wins0.00per pick26cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb53c…c76ebacked Over44c23.16$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.1948740.7%198 W · 289 L-13.0wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-11%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa33c…1b33backed Over49c21.33$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.4562844.9%282 W · 346 L-21.3wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-8.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x756d…04a9backed Under53c20.75$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.757343.8%32 W · 41 L-2.8wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-9.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0684…d593backed Under53c20$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.487950.6%445 W · 434 L-16.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xff5c…dcf0backed Under50c20$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101040%4 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-20%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 18 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.