TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Kings vs. 76ers: O/U 227.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$199,873
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$203,709

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $199,873 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 157 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x39b5…9927backed Under48c8,455$4,058 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,396.6366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+31.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x284a…8c6fbacked Under48c8,181$3,927 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,254.124100%4 W · 0 L+2.0wins+0.50per pick51cpaid+98.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x929b…cc71backed Under49c7,614$3,731 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,883.143100%3 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+101.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf3fa…eb22backed Under49c7,531$3,690 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,840.812100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x024a…1b9ebacked Under48c7,392$3,548 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,843.843100%3 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+94.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xccd9…975dbacked Under48c7,227$3,469 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,758.04366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.15per pick51cpaid+31.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa17a…25e7backed Under48c7,175$3,444 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,731366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.19per pick48cpaid+36.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe5f8…2922backed Under48c7,161$3,437 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,723.65742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-15.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x41a1…a7dfbacked Under48c7,094$3,405 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,688.88366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick50cpaid+31.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8308…3012backed Under48c6,951$3,336 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,614.52366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+32.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0d26…e663backed Over52c6,673$3,470 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,469.96250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc773…58dabacked Under48c6,650$3,192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,458333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.14per pick48cpaid-30.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbfb8…5904backed Over52c6,630$3,448 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,447.620%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4557…429dbacked Over52c6,250$3,250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,250450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2826…38d9backed Under48c5,620$2,698 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,922.4560%3 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+21.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8528…da9cbacked Under48c5,600$2,688 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,912250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf154…27e3backed Under47c5,430$2,550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,880.169051.1%46 W · 44 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7510…635cbacked Over52c5,400$2,808 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,80820%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1b5e…83f8backed Over53c5,343$2,832 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,831.7411656.9%66 W · 50 L+10.6wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+17%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xb203…b6bfbacked Under48c5,220$2,506 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,714.4333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-30.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf059…6dd9backed Under46c5,204$2,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,804.1349246.3%228 W · 264 L-15.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1309…0c9fbacked Over52c5,050$2,626 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,626333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-33.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8bb3…7e72backed Over52c5,050$2,626 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,62630%0 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf4ef…a2f8backed Over52c4,800$2,496 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,496333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick50cpaid-33.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd5b4…a923backed Over52c4,750$2,470 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,470425%1 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.26per pick51cpaid-52.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8388…25dbbacked Under48c4,430$2,126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,303.63100%3 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+101.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6751…fb4ebacked Under48c4,430$2,126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,303.6333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-30.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcf48…4964backed Over52c4,422$2,299 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,299.44333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.19per pick52cpaid-38.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x75ee…ca3cbacked Over53c4,366$2,306 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,305.662356.5%13 W · 10 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+7.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xee4b…9f69backed Over52c4,359$2,267 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,266.68333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.19per pick53cpaid-38.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8640…93a3backed Under48c4,100$1,968 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,1321533.3%5 W · 10 L-2.7wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-33%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x2e27…3cccbacked Under48c4,100$1,968 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,1322356.5%13 W · 10 L+1.6wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+13.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x710a…a5d8backed Over52c4,100$2,132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,1322157.1%12 W · 9 L+1.6wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+17.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4b1f…c37dbacked Over52c4,100$2,132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,1322646.2%12 W · 14 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x36f8…49febacked Under48c4,068$1,953 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,115.36250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x050f…0005backed Over52c4,033$2,097 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,097.16333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.19per pick52cpaid-38.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc6cd…309dbacked Under48c4,030$1,934 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,095.6425%1 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.24per pick49cpaid-47.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe4a0…43cfbacked Under48c4,000$1,920 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,0802356.5%13 W · 10 L+1.5wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+12.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf3e8…29f1backed Over52c4,000$2,080 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0801526.7%4 W · 11 L-3.5wins-0.23per pick50cpaid-45.5%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xa9d4…572abacked Over52c3,819$1,986 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,986475%3 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.24per pick52cpaid+46.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x683a…274ebacked Over44c3,778$1,662 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,662.3218536.8%68 W · 117 L-11.8wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-16.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under55c3,535$1,961 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,573.368,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8e27…e074backed Over51c3,414$1,741 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,741.14333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-34.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Under51c3,380$1,718 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,662.12,66648%1,279 W · 1,387 L-8.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7eb4…ec75backed Over51c3,318$1,692 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,692.18333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick51cpaid-34.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc80…af10backed Over52c3,213$1,671 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,670.76333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.20per pick53cpaid-38.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0a88…38a5backed Over51c3,202$1,633 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,633.02333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-34.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd704…21b1backed Over51c3,201$1,633 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,632.51333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.18per pick52cpaid-34.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4dd8…16a9backed Over52c3,158$1,642 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,642.16333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.19per pick52cpaid-38.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xeb6b…5269backed Over52c3,031$1,576 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,576.12333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick51cpaid-38.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9b29…3feebacked Over52c3,022$1,571 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,571.44560%3 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+14%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Under45c3,021$1,370 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,651.219,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4abf…93afbacked Over52c2,563$1,333 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,332.76450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0357…5033backed Over52c2,534$1,318 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,317.68450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb9fc…da76backed Over56c2,500$1,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,40085147.5%404 W · 447 L-7.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb3f6…799ebacked Over52c2,474$1,286 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,286.48333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.20per pick53cpaid-38.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4387…5f68backed Over52c2,423$1,260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,259.96333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.19per pick53cpaid-38.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2927…f3eebacked Over52c2,387$1,241 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,241.2430%0 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4843…fb76backed Over52c2,365$1,230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,229.8250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8057…c693backed Over52c2,356$1,225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,225.12650%3 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6a3e…d464backed Over52c2,354$1,224 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,224.0830%0 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa84f…94e8backed Under48c2,350$1,128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,222650%3 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x934f…24e7backed Over52c2,330$1,212 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,211.620%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd2f8…8ff3backed Under48c2,323$1,115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,207.96475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.24per pick51cpaid+45.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5388…8572backed Over52c2,255$1,173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,172.6333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-38.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9322…d7a4backed Over52c2,254$1,172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,172.0830%0 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5b3c…4c20backed Over52c2,241$1,165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,165.3230%0 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x032b…981fbacked Over52c2,241$1,165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,165.32450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3a1c…0f3bbacked Under48c2,230$1,071 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,159.1333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-30.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xba5e…b0d6backed Under48c2,200$1,056 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,1443100%3 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+99.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6ce8…9410backed Over52c2,156$1,121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,121.1230%0 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd941…09dcbacked Under48c2,150$1,032 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,118580%4 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.29per pick51cpaid+56.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7412…85d0backed Under44c2,086$918 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,167.9826544.9%119 W · 146 L-8.7wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-4.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8d8a…e587backed Under48c2,050$984 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,066450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x31e0…82e5backed Over52c2,010$1,045 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,045.2366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+29.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0eca…6a15backed Under49c2,005$982 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,022.479742.3%41 W · 56 L-10.0wins-0.10per pick53cpaid-19%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xaccc…2765backed Over52c2,002$1,041 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,041.04250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x05b9…2adfbacked Over51c1,961$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00012051.7%62 W · 58 L+0.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Over56c1,802$1,009 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,009.022,09147.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L-56.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x542c…9536backed Under68c1,794$1,212 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$581.968348.2%40 W · 43 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcb22…4e98backed Over52c1,750$910 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$910333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.19per pick52cpaid-34.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Under51c1,742$896 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$845.463,99548.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L+101.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfb85…f14bbacked Under48c1,600$768 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$832366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick49cpaid+32.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd1e3…38bbbacked Under48c1,588$762 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$825.76475%3 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.28per pick48cpaid+56.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3c6d…d798backed Under48c1,452$697 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$755.04560%3 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+20.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2775…3652backed Over51c1,372$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$700944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-13.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Over26c1,364$361 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$361.162,16940.8%885 W · 1,284 L-8.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-14.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa94f…ac1cbacked Under49c1,346$660 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$686.46425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.25per pick50cpaid-49%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over28c1,324$377 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$376.932,63036.7%966 W · 1,664 L-119.1wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-25.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5c3a…020bbacked Over53c1,283$680 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$679.8529055.5%161 W · 129 L+15.8wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+8.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2a74…de59backed Over50c1,222$611 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61111048.2%53 W · 57 L-6.6wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-9.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9e71…7c1bbacked Over52c1,200$624 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62430%0 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xdc28…a6b5backed Over52c1,150$598 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$598250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4a0c…dc23backed Over52c1,112$578 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$578.2430%0 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7b66…fa28backed Under48c1,050$504 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$546475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.25per pick50cpaid+49.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd8db…ccfbbacked Over58c1,040$603 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6033756.8%21 W · 16 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7868…54cabacked Over52c1,021$531 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$530.92425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.25per pick50cpaid-50.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3f9e…aef2backed Over51c1,011$516 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$515.61333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-35.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0ff8…6c1bbacked Over51c999$509 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$509.4930%0 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Over56c873$489 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$488.881,66752.7%878 W · 789 L+45.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 18 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.