NBA · resolved market
Spread: 76ers (-12.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5c900de2380f2ff5191da5a49cb4e2fbd12c3dc173babbf972fd8342c0882ef2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Kingsof 76ers, Kings
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $30,053
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $30,367
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $30,053 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 58 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7b66…fa28backed Kings | 53c | 6,634$3,516 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,117.98 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc28…a6b5backed Kings | 53c | 6,570$3,482 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,087.9 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb85…f14bbacked Kings | 53c | 6,323$3,351 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,971.81 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +32.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Kings | 57c | 2,768$1,574 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,193.94 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4557…429dbacked 76ers | 47c | 2,420$1,137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,137.4 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc773…58dabacked 76ers | 47c | 2,300$1,081 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,081 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6751…fb4ebacked 76ers | 47c | 2,200$1,034 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,034 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6cd…309dbacked 76ers | 47c | 2,182$1,026 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,025.54 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb203…b6bfbacked 76ers | 47c | 2,152$1,011 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,011.44 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2826…38d9backed 76ers | 47c | 2,123$998 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$997.81 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8bb3…7e72backed 76ers | 47c | 2,100$987 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$987 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf4ef…a2f8backed 76ers | 47c | 2,050$964 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$963.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8528…da9cbacked 76ers | 47c | 2,000$940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$940 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca5…e6c9backed 76ers | 44c | 1,647$727 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$727.31 | 112 | 56.3%63 W · 49 L | +9.0wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb820…cbe7backed Kings | 54c | 1,466$799 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$667.53 | 589 | 51.3%302 W · 287 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5452…d448backed 76ers | 43c | 1,195$514 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$513.85 | 33 | 30.3%10 W · 23 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed 76ers | 43c | 635.1$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273.01 | 3,120 | 44.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L | -7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed 76ers | 45c | 618.23$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277.95 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa965…3565backed 76ers | 43c | 500$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215 | 1,911 | 45.4%868 W · 1,043 L | +22.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed 76ers | 47c | 425.53$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1,157 | 47.9%554 W · 603 L | -19.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Kings | 67c | 386.91$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.18 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed 76ers | 43c | 313.57$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.18 | 2,512 | 49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed 76ers | 36c | 277.8$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.01 | 397 | 36.3%144 W · 253 L | -27.0wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2a9b…7303backed 76ers | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 634 | 47.5%301 W · 333 L | -19.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x83a3…6292backed Kings | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.19 | 818 | 45.7%374 W · 444 L | +9.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce3e…2f24backed Kings | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.44 | 250 | 56.8%142 W · 108 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34fd…1852backed Kings | 66c | 166.93$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.94 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed 76ers | 43c | 153.12$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.83 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ee…373ebacked Kings | 54c | 148.15$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.15 | 532 | 50.4%268 W · 264 L | -19.8wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb405…c706backed 76ers | 42c | 139$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.38 | 149 | 49.7%74 W · 75 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked 76ers | 46c | 129.03$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.35 | 2,602 | 50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L | -20.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e51…e4f7backed 76ers | 47c | 110.44$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.91 | 432 | 44%190 W · 242 L | -18.3wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4dcd…43aabacked 76ers | 47c | 100$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | -4.1wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed 76ers | 41c | 100$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 635 | 55.6%353 W · 282 L | +9.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49f0…df87backed Kings | 65c | 100$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | +2.6wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe235…aba2backed Kings | 55c | 98.4$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.28 | 183 | 45.9%84 W · 99 L | -16.4wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x20ec…fa43backed Kings | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.59 | 610 | 56.1%342 W · 268 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x682f…3265backed Kings | 60c | 83.33$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 1,389 | 54.9%762 W · 627 L | +16.7wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ed8…0e99backed Kings | 55c | 81.69$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.63 | 456 | 53.5%244 W · 212 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe42d…62febacked Kings | 54c | 79.63$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.63 | 213 | 52.1%111 W · 102 L | -6.7wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7690…dfcebacked Kings | 54c | 74.07$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.07 | 236 | 44.1%104 W · 132 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…7b83backed Kings | 56c | 66$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.04 | 114 | 20.2%23 W · 91 L | -6.8wins | -0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3c04…2e2dbacked Kings | 54c | 62.96$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.96 | 506 | 48%243 W · 263 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed 76ers | 39c | 59.43$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.9 | 1,786 | 53.2%950 W · 836 L | +52.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1787…c311backed Kings | 58c | 58.75$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.75 | 1,444 | 58.1%839 W · 605 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee82…1965backed Kings | 54c | 55.56$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.56 | 66 | 65.2%43 W · 23 L | +10.1wins | +0.15per pick | 50cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xa574…28dcbacked 76ers | 45c | 50$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.7 | 40 | 40%16 W · 24 L | -3.2wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…06c5backed 76ers | 47c | 44.26$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.8 | 177 | 50.8%90 W · 87 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb275…c76fbacked 76ers | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 155 | 51.6%80 W · 75 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf280…b65bbacked 76ers | 42c | 40.04$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 307 | 43%132 W · 175 L | -19.1wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -19%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed 76ers | 39c | 40$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…4a2cbacked Kings | 61c | 40$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.6 | 319 | 47.6%152 W · 167 L | -18.8wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Kings | 54c | 39.07$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.97 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d90…cf08backed Kings | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.04 | 199 | 40.7%81 W · 118 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8677…4d2cbacked Kings | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.04 | 156 | 43.6%68 W · 88 L | -8.0wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9487…54bbbacked 76ers | 46c | 32.6$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 169 | 35.5%60 W · 109 L | -16.9wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xef23…9971backed Kings | 54c | 27.78$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.78 | 281 | 56.2%158 W · 123 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b37…d7e9backed Kings | 54c | 25.93$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.93 | 119 | 38.7%46 W · 73 L | -10.3wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 18 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: 76ers (-12.5)this page
- 1H Spread: 76ers (-6.5)Kings won
- 1H Spread: 76ers (-7.5)Kings won
- DeMar DeRozan: Assists O/U 3.5Yes won
- Dennis Schröder: Assists O/U 4.5No won
- Domantas Sabonis: Assists O/U 4.5No won
- Domantas Sabonis: Points O/U 15.5No won
- Domantas Sabonis: Rebounds O/U 11.5No won
- Kings vs. 76ers76ers won
- Kings vs. 76ers: 1H Moneyline76ers won
- Kings vs. 76ers: 1H O/U 118.5Under won
- Kings vs. 76ers: O/U 227.5Under won
- Kings vs. 76ers: O/U 228.5Under won
- Kings vs. 76ers: O/U 229.5Under won
- Kings vs. 76ers: O/U 230.5Under won
- Russell Westbrook: Points O/U 14.5No won
- Russell Westbrook: Rebounds O/U 4.5No won
- Spread: 76ers (-11.5)Kings won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.