TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spread: 76ers (-11.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Kingsof 76ers, Kings
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$122,994
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$123,460

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $122,994 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 108 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x83b4…13c9backed 76ers51c41,336$21,081 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21,081.371330.8%4 W · 9 L-1.3wins-0.10per pick41cpaid-11.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd7a5…7c26backed 76ers47c28,500$13,395 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,39511653.4%62 W · 54 L+3.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9249…4f16backed Kings53c27,000$14,310 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,6904841.7%20 W · 28 L-4.5wins-0.09per pick51cpaid-20.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf059…6dd9backed Kings49c10,204$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,204.0849246.3%228 W · 264 L-15.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf154…27e3backed Kings49c9,592$4,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,891.849051.1%46 W · 44 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8e4e…2357backed Kings49c8,502$4,166 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,336.04366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.19per pick48cpaid+38.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6e12…20e9backed Kings49c8,115$4,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,115.3529347.4%139 W · 154 L-5.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcf26…39a6backed 76ers47c4,303$2,022 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,022.353351.5%17 W · 16 L0.0wins0.00per pick52cpaid+17.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1912…686cbacked Kings49c4,200$2,058 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,1422147.6%10 W · 11 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2cea…3ba8backed 76ers51c4,200$2,142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,1422142.9%9 W · 12 L-1.4wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-14.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcebf…0706backed Kings49c4,200$2,058 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,1421952.6%10 W · 9 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+5.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5f9f…6ee5backed 76ers51c4,200$2,142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,1421735.3%6 W · 11 L-2.4wins-0.14per pick49cpaid-28.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x1869…30c8backed Kings49c4,200$2,058 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,1422755.6%15 W · 12 L+1.8wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+10.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7e9a…5ecebacked 76ers51c4,200$2,142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,1421947.4%9 W · 10 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5e6e…be00backed Kings48c3,990$1,915 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,074.9145850.4%231 W · 227 L+11.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Kings54c3,958$2,131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,826.842,09147.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L-56.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x84db…aeebbacked Kings50c2,375$1,188 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,187.721,37450.1%689 W · 685 L+34.9wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Kings55c1,507$829 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$678.151,16352.8%614 W · 549 L+22.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed 76ers48c1,436$689 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$689.153,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Kings49c1,250$613 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$637.52,04548.4%990 W · 1,055 L-30.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3704…0e84backed Kings49c1,211$593 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$617.5525951.4%133 W · 126 L+3.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Kings52c1,147$594 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$553.279,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe550…2c8bbacked 76ers48c1,110$533 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$532.835749.6%177 W · 180 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed 76ers47c1,068$502 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501.654,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa1f3…d99cbacked 76ers49c1,066$520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52048546.4%225 W · 260 L-14.6wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x253d…aa62backed Kings50c1,031$515 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$515.4558347%274 W · 309 L-12.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x899a…2a22backed Kings50c1,000$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50017241.9%72 W · 100 L-0.4wins0.00per pick42cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xea2b…1fc6backed Kings55c993.36$546 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$447.0138253.4%204 W · 178 L+6.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed 76ers50c900$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$449.553,28549.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L+5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed 76ers49c850$417 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$416.52,66648%1,279 W · 1,387 L-8.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Kings51c850$434 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$416.51,22637.4%458 W · 768 L+7.6wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-21.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0c94…a43bbacked Kings50c780.98$389 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$392.2651146.6%238 W · 273 L-13.7wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-5.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9030…4a23backed 76ers49c612.24$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3007862.8%49 W · 29 L+4.0wins+0.05per pick58cpaid+7.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Kings57c571.31$326 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$245.443,55146.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L+1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Kings49c525$257 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$267.751,90854.5%1,040 W · 868 L+53.7wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Kings49c404$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$206.046,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1733…1e15backed 76ers51c392.16$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001,15747.9%554 W · 603 L-19.9wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4cb9…3783backed Kings49c384.13$188 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$195.964139%250 W · 391 L+2.6wins0.00per pick39cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6036…d2ccbacked 76ers46c327$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.4240648%195 W · 211 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5e5b…a569backed Kings50c320$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16023847.1%112 W · 126 L-4.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-7.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xde46…a7afbacked Kings51c294.12$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.125054%27 W · 23 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+9.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7ed8…0e99backed 76ers42c291$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.6545653.5%244 W · 212 L-4.0wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x34fa…f491backed Kings49c250$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.595548.5%463 W · 492 L-3.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed 76ers46c236.66$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.893,12044.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L-7.6wins0.00per pick45cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed 76ers40c227.25$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.928,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfc8f…3782backed 76ers44c225.36$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.1339736.3%144 W · 253 L-27.0wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-23.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf988…d63bbacked Kings49c212$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.1228554%154 W · 131 L+5.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-0.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4818…fde0backed Kings49c200$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10251753.8%278 W · 239 L+11.6wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb2ca…d984backed Kings50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10036450.8%185 W · 179 L-1.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2a9b…7303backed 76ers50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10063447.5%301 W · 333 L-19.8wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xade1…0493backed 76ers51c199.98$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.993740.5%15 W · 22 L-2.6wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-15.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2984…57c8backed Kings52c192.31$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.315851.7%30 W · 28 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Kings58c182.32$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.582,63036.7%966 W · 1,664 L-119.1wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-25.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed 76ers47c171.56$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.934,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x18ca…6413backed 76ers52c169.23$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$883638.9%14 W · 22 L-4.2wins-0.12per pick51cpaid-23.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x13c9…5e53backed Kings49c166.82$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.0830544.6%136 W · 169 L-10.0wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-10.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked 76ers46c150.57$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.544,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa965…3565backed 76ers43c129.72$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.781,91145.4%868 W · 1,043 L+22.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed 76ers45c127$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.151,66752.7%878 W · 789 L+45.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x39c6…0ac1backed 76ers47c125.53$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5954246.7%253 W · 289 L-7.2wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-6.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x27d2…b0f8backed 76ers49c122.45$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$606741.8%28 W · 39 L-2.9wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-3.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed 76ers35c120$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.31,78653.2%950 W · 836 L+52.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x95b7…d633backed 76ers48c120$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.645146.1%208 W · 243 L-10.4wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-6.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked 76ers51c117.64$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.992,60250.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L-20.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4263…7c89backed Kings49c116.33$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.33757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+14.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe6f0…5701backed Kings64c109.62$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.0731144.4%138 W · 173 L+6.2wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-7.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbe05…b5a5backed Kings50c100$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5033246.1%153 W · 179 L-12.1wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-4.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x33c9…5124backed Kings54c92.59$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.5950351.5%259 W · 244 L-1.0wins0.00per pick52cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed 76ers46c92.34$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.612,51249.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L+6.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x89c9…9534backed Kings57c87.72$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.7266153.3%352 W · 309 L+0.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe3ee…373ebacked Kings56c85.76$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.3353250.4%268 W · 264 L-19.8wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-9.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed 76ers49c85.6$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.965,84446.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L+32.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3e47…a7abbacked Kings54c82.31$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.8649852.4%261 W · 237 L-0.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x095c…4e88backed 76ers49c81.63$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$402166.7%14 W · 7 L+1.9wins+0.09per pick57cpaid+12.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x718d…2b46backed Kings50c80$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4046346.4%215 W · 248 L-16.8wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-11.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Kings52c78.47$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.323,66841.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L-70.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8d88…1e28backed 76ers41c75.84$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.3820838%79 W · 129 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0c9e…bba8backed Kings56c75$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.374755.3%26 W · 21 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked 76ers50c73$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.53,59150.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L+21.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa574…28dcbacked 76ers48c65$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.474040%16 W · 24 L-3.2wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-29.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0e51…e4f7backed Kings49c58.64$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.9143244%190 W · 242 L-18.3wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-9.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcd96…2924backed Kings53c56.6$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.617656.3%99 W · 77 L+0.4wins0.00per pick56cpaid+2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x635b…195dbacked Kings53c50$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.538252.4%200 W · 182 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd402…5a50backed 76ers52c50$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2628058.2%163 W · 117 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe70c…c938backed 76ers52c50$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2674547.2%352 W · 393 L-13.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb0fd…e1f5backed 76ers52c50$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2649351.7%255 W · 238 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9310…569fbacked 76ers47c42.55$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209745.4%44 W · 53 L-6.1wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-9.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe3c8…2f5abacked 76ers51c42$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.424165.9%27 W · 14 L+4.4wins+0.11per pick55cpaid+19.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xfc33…9636backed 76ers49c40.8$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.9919242.7%82 W · 110 L-10.7wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-11.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc653…bb8cbacked 76ers52c40.63$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.1340960.6%248 W · 161 L+7.2wins+0.02per pick59cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9de1…f272backed Kings51c40$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.647948.6%233 W · 246 L+14.4wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3bc5…7ac4backed 76ers52c38.46$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207452.7%39 W · 35 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbec4…637fbacked 76ers47c33.95$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.1353149.3%262 W · 269 L+5.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb38c…b2c9backed Kings55c31$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.9523946.4%111 W · 128 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe315…3911backed Kings54c30$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.6757657.8%333 W · 243 L+13.0wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf8be…fbfabacked Kings50c28$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x98a4…eeaabacked Kings50c28$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1411636.2%42 W · 74 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x973e…22ebbacked Kings50c28$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1459948.4%290 W · 309 L-8.2wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a31…152cbacked 76ers52c27.08$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.0848451.2%248 W · 236 L+4.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x95be…9968backed Kings50c26.5$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.2533552.8%177 W · 158 L-0.4wins0.00per pick53cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 18 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.