TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Kings vs. 76ers: O/U 228.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$613,224
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$615,018

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $613,224 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 202 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4924…3782backed Over53c447,352$237,095 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$237,095.2687451.5%450 W · 424 L+15.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed Under47c294,633$138,478 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156,155.692,36148.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L-41.8wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcd9b…414dbacked Under47c150,000$70,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79,50051844.4%230 W · 288 L+11.0wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+8.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x20d6…3856backed Under47c14,780$6,996 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,783.7939842.5%169 W · 229 L-9.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-0.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Under49c8,583$4,180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,402.531,90854.5%1,040 W · 868 L+53.7wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdbf2…5cf2backed Over49c8,357$4,095 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,094.93333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.19per pick52cpaid-38.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9ec0…e71bbacked Over49c8,142$3,990 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,989.58450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xce9d…e544backed Under51c6,842$3,489 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,352.58366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+33.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb245…9550backed Over49c6,810$3,337 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,336.9333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.19per pick52cpaid-38.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x02bf…3dfcbacked Over49c6,788$3,326 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,326.1230%0 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe135…dcf5backed Under51c6,656$3,395 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,261.44366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick50cpaid+36.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x19f8…24f9backed Over53c6,483$3,436 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,436.240%0 W · 4 L-1.8wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xcb22…4e98backed Under51c6,304$3,215 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,088.96333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.19per pick52cpaid-34.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc156…e829backed Over49c4,956$2,428 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,428.4430%0 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xbf51…4a30backed Under52c4,815$2,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,314.676746.4%356 W · 411 L-16.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2bca…23afbacked Over49c4,768$2,336 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,336.32333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick50cpaid-37.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5eac…aaecbacked Over49c4,766$2,335 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,335.3430%0 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Over49c4,494$2,202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,201.892,66648%1,279 W · 1,387 L-8.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6757…7ecebacked Over53c4,096$2,171 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,170.642548%12 W · 13 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-7.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdfd2…3f7abacked Under51c3,626$1,849 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,776.74366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+27.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb0cc…e69cbacked Under51c3,616$1,844 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,771.84366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+27%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x72e1…96edbacked Under51c3,515$1,793 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,722.35475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.24per pick51cpaid+45.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf126…2a42backed Under51c3,488$1,779 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,709.12366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+27.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6520…7d3cbacked Under51c3,210$1,637 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,572.9560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+20%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4171…b957backed Over49c3,094$1,516 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,516.06333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick50cpaid-33.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5e82…7670backed Under47c3,000$1,410 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,59014346.2%66 W · 77 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-6.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbfdf…8e02backed Under47c3,000$1,410 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,589.9933945.1%153 W · 186 L-5.1wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xfb7c…068bbacked Over49c2,966$1,453 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,453.34333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.15per pick49cpaid-33.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2e24…b89fbacked Under51c2,850$1,454 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,396.5250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4369…38abbacked Under51c2,534$1,292 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,241.66450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7344…0a74backed Over49c2,520$1,235 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,234.8333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick51cpaid-33.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8c16…4b37backed Over53c2,507$1,329 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,328.629352.6%154 W · 139 L+14.1wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+26%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x60e7…87e1backed Under51c2,422$1,235 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,186.78366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.18per pick48cpaid+36.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5bde…9a3fbacked Under51c2,422$1,235 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,186.78333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-34.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x419a…09c2backed Under51c2,422$1,235 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,186.783100%3 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+93.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf679…b47fbacked Under51c2,411$1,230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,181.39366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.15per pick51cpaid+28.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb2e9…db2abacked Under51c2,411$1,230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,181.39366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.15per pick51cpaid+28.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6fe0…b728backed Under51c2,357$1,202 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,154.93366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+28.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3ced…0784backed Over49c2,356$1,154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,154.44450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5e4c…a0ecbacked Under51c2,355$1,201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,153.95366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick49cpaid+32%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfccd…c79ebacked Over49c2,300$1,127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,127366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+37.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbcc7…a93dbacked Under51c2,244$1,144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,099.56250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6473…31b1backed Under51c2,234$1,139 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,094.66475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.24per pick51cpaid+46.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5178…e3d4backed Over49c2,222$1,089 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,088.7830%0 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3699…39c8backed Under51c2,154$1,099 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,055.46366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+27.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x57a8…6933backed Over52c2,153$1,120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,119.5692753.5%496 W · 431 L+20.1wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3860…0efcbacked Over52c2,145$1,115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,115.3512950.4%65 W · 64 L-0.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd5b4…a923backed Over49c2,144$1,051 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,050.56425%1 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.26per pick51cpaid-52.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdc17…6c47backed Under51c2,122$1,082 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,039.78250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7510…635cbacked Over49c2,110$1,034 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,033.920%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xab2b…e1fdbacked Over49c2,100$1,029 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,02930%0 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x1309…0c9fbacked Over49c2,050$1,005 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,004.5333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-33.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0cef…7f60backed Over49c2,000$980 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$980250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcb43…3c74backed Under47c2,000$940 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,06047748.8%233 W · 244 L+1.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x46f4…5bc0backed Over53c2,000$1,060 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0605658.9%33 W · 23 L+5.5wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+20.4%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x617b…a499backed Over52c2,000$1,040 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,039.9787750.2%440 W · 437 L-19.7wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under47c1,897$892 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,005.652,15351.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L+76.7wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1117…3532backed Over54c1,815$980 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$979.931,02450.8%520 W · 504 L+18.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7412…85d0backed Under46c1,800$828 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$971.9926544.9%119 W · 146 L-8.7wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-4.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x99cd…f888backed Over49c1,622$795 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$794.7840%0 W · 4 L-1.9wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x7a30…8abdbacked Over52c1,563$813 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81350754.2%275 W · 232 L+13.6wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Under48c1,543$743 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$800.789,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Under48c1,534$730 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$804.533,28549.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L+5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa965…3565backed Under47c1,500$710 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7901,91145.4%868 W · 1,043 L+22.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb281…cfa5backed Under51c1,450$740 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$710.5366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.19per pick48cpaid+37.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc6cd…309dbacked Over49c1,450$711 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$710.5425%1 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.24per pick49cpaid-47.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x778d…cbe2backed Over53c1,278$677 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$677.343348.5%16 W · 17 L-2.1wins-0.06per pick55cpaid-11.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x518e…2bbbbacked Under51c1,243$634 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$609.07580%4 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.29per pick51cpaid+57%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3a91…1769backed Over52c1,154$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60032150.8%163 W · 158 L+5.3wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa632…4c96backed Over53c1,132$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6004934.7%17 W · 32 L-5.6wins-0.11per pick46cpaid-3.8%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x0c6e…4b7cbacked Under51c1,011$516 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$495.393100%3 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+97.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x198f…c419backed Over52c965.59$502 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502.1117249.4%85 W · 87 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8d88…1e28backed Under48c944.14$456 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$487.9820838%79 W · 129 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf20f…3b33backed Over52c928.85$483 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48318343.7%80 W · 103 L-11.0wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-12%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9cb3…0a77backed Over53c924.34$490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$489.915756.7%89 W · 68 L+5.8wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over51c806.41$414 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$414.168,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc605…088ebacked Under51c727$371 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$356.23450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb9fc…da76backed Over54c625$338 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$337.585147.5%404 W · 447 L-7.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfd3f…44f1backed Over53c571.7$303 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30325452.8%134 W · 120 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa36c…0525backed Under51c556$284 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$272.44333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-34.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6b3a…2841backed Over53c550$292 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$291.51,19747.5%569 W · 628 L-32.0wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7d35…e83ebacked Under49c530.61$260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$270.616643.9%29 W · 37 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4fc1…ec92backed Under48c499.99$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$259.9975347.5%358 W · 395 L+10.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x53e5…6177backed Under47c492.87$232 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$261.226152.5%32 W · 29 L+2.5wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+14.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8314…0f1ebacked Over53c475.03$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25033150.8%168 W · 163 L+1.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Under48c445$216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$229.382,07853.6%1,113 W · 965 L+44.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5c54…da2cbacked Over50c435.58$218 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$217.794854.2%26 W · 22 L+3.3wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+3.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x05e1…85a2backed Under48c412.41$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$212.4132347.1%152 W · 171 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x64db…325bbacked Under49c408.16$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$208.161,25948.7%613 W · 646 L+1.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbff9…009dbacked Under46c375$173 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$202.527052.6%142 W · 128 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe3f6…e9b1backed Under51c339$173 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$166.11333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-34.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Over52c331$171 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$170.963,59150.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L+21.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc56b…fe0abacked Over51c318.51$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$162.4427943%120 W · 159 L-5.8wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-7.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfb95…a5ccbacked Under51c300$153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14724442.6%104 W · 140 L-17.8wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-16.1%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x47a6…69e0backed Over53c294.34$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15638750.4%195 W · 192 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1831…6c99backed Under48c292$141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.5819350.3%97 W · 96 L+0.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid-3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x04c0…0927backed Over50c250$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12518852.7%99 W · 89 L+3.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc82a…cc74backed Under48c247.45$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.4512155.4%67 W · 54 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd04d…bfc2backed Over51c235.66$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.192,43549.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L+30.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Under48c227.84$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.394,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 18 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.