CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Aurora Young Blood vs Endless Journey (BO3) - Exort Series Main Stage
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xabf6a8d03040a1ebfdeffbcef20c15577c762c61dfa7ee59d5ea72c5cd7121f5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Aurora Young Bloodof Aurora Young Blood, Endless Journey
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $138,888
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $165,671
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $138,888 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 47 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x212f…a834backed Endless Journey | 0c | 32,552$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.33 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Aurora Young Blood | 2c | 15,225$337 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,888.05 | 89 | 44.9%40 W · 49 L | -4.7wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Endless Journey | 2c | 6,916$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.68 | 3,256 | 50.3%1,637 W · 1,619 L | +97.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa0…3895backed Endless Journey | 17c | 5,126$881 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$881.04 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 26cpaid | -77%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x033e…1bb9backed Endless Journey | 51c | 4,567$2,324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,323.5 | 200 | 50.5%101 W · 99 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +37.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97eb…9fbebacked Endless Journey | 4c | 3,850$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.08 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.22per pick | 3cpaid | +299.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Endless Journey | 1c | 2,629$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 388 | 44.6%173 W · 215 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe04…3c60backed Aurora Young Blood | 57c | 2,571$1,470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,101.08 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +74.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb01…02e5backed Endless Journey | 48c | 999.81$479 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$478.91 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.15per pick | 19cpaid | +376.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3df4…ead2backed Endless Journey | 29c | 941.49$277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276.92 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82cf…0998backed Aurora Young Blood | 75c | 812.55$612 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.31 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +3.2wins | +0.19per pick | 22cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3c48…c201backed Endless Journey | 21c | 500.92$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.62 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2ca…0ac2backed Endless Journey | 66c | 487$322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$322.09 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3bd…2bf8backed Endless Journey | 77c | 454.81$351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350.56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.77per pick | 77cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x051b…09d4backed Aurora Young Blood | 7c | 270.76$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.76 | 106 | 32.1%34 W · 72 L | -5.2wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -13%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb04b…e2d4backed Aurora Young Blood | 49c | 178.88$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.23 | 127 | 52%66 W · 61 L | +9.2wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa5a8…bf60backed Endless Journey | 51c | 178.88$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.23 | 988 | 56.1%554 W · 434 L | +21.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2fec…871cbacked Aurora Young Blood | 59c | 125.64$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.16 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.16per pick | 59cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5bfa…f779backed Endless Journey | 48c | 116.39$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.26 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 19cpaid | +316.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb442…bed7backed Aurora Young Blood | 57c | 113.82$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.84 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.20per pick | 60cpaid | +34.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d81…fe57backed Endless Journey | 48c | 111.16$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.44 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 19cpaid | +317.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb944…250fbacked Aurora Young Blood | 59c | 110.13$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.85 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc164…55e7backed Aurora Young Blood | 52c | 95.97$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.97 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +91.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f5c…9e02backed Aurora Young Blood | 52c | 95.97$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.97 | 76 | 48.7%37 W · 39 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x55aa…4f8ebacked Aurora Young Blood | 63c | 89.63$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.58 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5995…3385backed Aurora Young Blood | 57c | 79.79$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.22 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x103e…062dbacked Aurora Young Blood | 57c | 77.2$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.13 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe256…5313backed Aurora Young Blood | 80c | 77$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbbf6…c75bbacked Endless Journey | 58c | 76.48$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.09 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0978…3137backed Aurora Young Blood | 76c | 68.56$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.14 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60df…7092backed Aurora Young Blood | 59c | 54.29$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.23 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7808…3046backed Aurora Young Blood | 59c | 52.75$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.48 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed Aurora Young Blood | 39c | 47.16$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.97 | 291 | 28.5%83 W · 208 L | -30.2wins | -0.10per pick | 39cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf263…e9c1backed Aurora Young Blood | 59c | 46.75$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.04 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 62cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb364…f1e3backed Aurora Young Blood | 59c | 42.94$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.49 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2f8…5bf4backed Aurora Young Blood | 59c | 37.6$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.31 | 22 | 72.7%16 W · 6 L | +2.0wins | +0.09per pick | 64cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7166…cd31backed Aurora Young Blood | 57c | 35.79$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.48 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x73ee…5d16backed Aurora Young Blood | 57c | 35$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.14 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88b2…7917backed Aurora Young Blood | 59c | 34.35$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.99 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +17%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x457f…cf1dbacked Aurora Young Blood | 59c | 33.2$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.52 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce16…749fbacked Aurora Young Blood | 59c | 29.76$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.12 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc79f…d270backed Aurora Young Blood | 57c | 26.17$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.23 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.13per pick | 55cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe52f…db16backed Aurora Young Blood | 59c | 25.98$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.58 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35f3…94febacked Aurora Young Blood | 57c | 24.57$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.63 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +76.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf464…0607backed Aurora Young Blood | 59c | 23.79$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.69 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.21per pick | 59cpaid | +40.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8cf4…f5e5backed Aurora Young Blood | 59c | 20.43$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.32 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x71eb…5ec6backed Aurora Young Blood | 59c | 18.31$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.46 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Aurora Young Blood vs Endless Journey (BO3) - Exort Series Main Stagethis page
- Counter-Strike: Aurora Young Blood vs Endless Journey - Map 1 WinnerAurora Young Blood won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.