MLB · resolved market
Baltimore Orioles vs. Seattle Mariners
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x63094407f001b541f18e434892b1068714e2e98d114b19721be2a6e732676b36
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Seattle Marinersof Baltimore Orioles, Seattle Mariners
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $487,028
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $503,826
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $487,028 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 254 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x89dd…f662backed Baltimore Orioles | 44c | 159,909$71,149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71,148.94 | 37 | 35.1%13 W · 24 L | -3.3wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb45a…192cbacked Seattle Mariners | 55c | 100,000$55,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44,999.98 | 411 | 49.1%202 W · 209 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef1b…8697backed Baltimore Orioles | 13c | 37,716$4,717 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,717.13 | 140 | 42.9%60 W · 80 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x55a1…db28backed Baltimore Orioles | 45c | 24,171$10,957 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,956.71 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Baltimore Orioles | 41c | 21,919$9,033 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,033.15 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf152…64aabacked Seattle Mariners | 56c | 21,000$11,760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,240 | 771 | 53.8%415 W · 356 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Seattle Mariners | 69c | 18,007$12,390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,617.12 | 11,054 | 51.5%5,694 W · 5,360 L | +137.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26b4…b8a9backed Baltimore Orioles | 44c | 15,074$6,704 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,704.12 | 447 | 54.8%245 W · 202 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde49…fe85backed Seattle Mariners | 58c | 15,000$8,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,300 | 491 | 50.9%250 W · 241 L | -11.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Seattle Mariners | 64c | 12,966$8,304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,662.38 | 3,107 | 48.1%1,495 W · 1,612 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Seattle Mariners | 76c | 10,637$8,047 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,590.15 | 11,606 | 52.8%6,131 W · 5,475 L | +210.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb272…5030backed Seattle Mariners | 56c | 10,000$5,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,400 | 362 | 46.1%167 W · 195 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70ef…e6ddbacked Seattle Mariners | 55c | 10,000$5,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,500 | 57 | 43.9%25 W · 32 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Seattle Mariners | 56c | 8,005$4,491 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,514.56 | 3,541 | 51%1,805 W · 1,736 L | +53.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Seattle Mariners | 56c | 7,250$4,057 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,193.35 | 7,046 | 50.5%3,560 W · 3,486 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Seattle Mariners | 64c | 6,707$4,272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,434.55 | 4,524 | 48.9%2,214 W · 2,310 L | -42.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Baltimore Orioles | 44c | 5,711$2,513 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,513 | 1,692 | 50.2%849 W · 843 L | -21.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Baltimore Orioles | 31c | 4,987$1,552 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,551.56 | 1,215 | 47.6%578 W · 637 L | -19.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Seattle Mariners | 58c | 4,000$2,320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,680 | 447 | 49.2%220 W · 227 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09af…9728backed Baltimore Orioles | 44c | 3,965$1,745 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,744.6 | 904 | 53.5%484 W · 420 L | +24.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Baltimore Orioles | 43c | 3,168$1,362 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,362.24 | 928 | 54%501 W · 427 L | +22.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7634…600dbacked Seattle Mariners | 57c | 3,000$1,710 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,290 | 603 | 50.1%302 W · 301 L | -10.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c8…d8a4backed Baltimore Orioles | 43c | 3,000$1,290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,289.94 | 192 | 50%96 W · 96 L | +12.7wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Baltimore Orioles | 7c | 2,785$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.99 | 6,128 | 55.4%3,394 W · 2,734 L | +347.5wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x41b4…10dabacked Baltimore Orioles | 45c | 2,500$1,125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,125 | 199 | 50.3%100 W · 99 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Seattle Mariners | 58c | 2,343$1,359 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$984.06 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52e3…3337backed Seattle Mariners | 56c | 2,000$1,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$880 | 432 | 53.9%233 W · 199 L | +12.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x519d…37a1backed Baltimore Orioles | 1c | 1,965$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.01 | 586 | 2%12 W · 574 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -45.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f07…9d0fbacked Seattle Mariners | 54c | 1,900$1,026 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$873.99 | 281 | 51.6%145 W · 136 L | -5.6wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefce…4e4abacked Seattle Mariners | 56c | 1,786$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$785.71 | 133 | 45.9%61 W · 72 L | -4.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6195…b9e3backed Seattle Mariners | 57c | 1,735$989 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$746.05 | 46 | 54.3%25 W · 21 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa804…2a75backed Seattle Mariners | 56c | 1,721$968 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$753.4 | 291 | 47.1%137 W · 154 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebe6…9278backed Seattle Mariners | 57c | 1,592$907 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$685.31 | 2,104 | 51.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58b9…ee8bbacked Baltimore Orioles | 42c | 1,500$630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$630 | 752 | 48.8%367 W · 385 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba4…6de0backed Baltimore Orioles | 44c | 1,492$656 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$656.34 | 209 | 45%94 W · 115 L | -11.1wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Baltimore Orioles | 17c | 1,444$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.41 | 4,401 | 47.5%2,090 W · 2,311 L | -76.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5821…7c51backed Baltimore Orioles | 9c | 1,439$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.31 | 2,995 | 50.8%1,521 W · 1,474 L | -36.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Baltimore Orioles | 42c | 1,327$557 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$557.34 | 5,517 | 50.6%2,791 W · 2,726 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Baltimore Orioles | 44c | 1,291$569 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$569.21 | 1,537 | 51.2%787 W · 750 L | +9.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Baltimore Orioles | 43c | 1,241$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$530.14 | 2,375 | 47.3%1,123 W · 1,252 L | -13.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5706…bd5abacked Baltimore Orioles | 13c | 1,238$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.36 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb09…0f04backed Baltimore Orioles | 12c | 1,167$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 54 | 29.6%16 W · 38 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Baltimore Orioles | 15c | 1,006$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.8 | 8,654 | 52.6%4,550 W · 4,104 L | +506.7wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa057…d092backed Baltimore Orioles | 17c | 1,005$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.38 | 2,191 | 40%876 W · 1,315 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc1be…d4acbacked Seattle Mariners | 56c | 1,000$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440 | 84 | 46.4%39 W · 45 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe7c0…24eebacked Seattle Mariners | 57c | 1,000$570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430 | 216 | 53.2%115 W · 101 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x085c…99e3backed Seattle Mariners | 56c | 1,000$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440 | 244 | 48.4%118 W · 126 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x287d…38febacked Baltimore Orioles | 15c | 930.93$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.64 | 71 | 26.8%19 W · 52 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb25…eb12backed Seattle Mariners | 56c | 894.73$501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$393.55 | 575 | 48%276 W · 299 L | -17.0wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa877…2e20backed Baltimore Orioles | 41c | 880.57$361 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$361.13 | 726 | 48.1%349 W · 377 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Seattle Mariners | 57c | 863$492 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$371.09 | 1,849 | 50.7%937 W · 912 L | -5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Seattle Mariners | 56c | 840$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$369.6 | 2,319 | 51.1%1,184 W · 1,135 L | +26.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16c8…1badbacked Baltimore Orioles | 10c | 757.58$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 172 | 39.5%68 W · 104 L | -12.7wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9cc0…7faabacked Baltimore Orioles | 45c | 724.89$326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$326.2 | 213 | 47.9%102 W · 111 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6871…e9dcbacked Seattle Mariners | 57c | 701.75$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301.75 | 61 | 39.3%24 W · 37 L | -6.7wins | -0.11per pick | 50cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c4…395dbacked Baltimore Orioles | 43c | 681$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.83 | 718 | 53.3%383 W · 335 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f16…553dbacked Seattle Mariners | 59c | 677.97$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277.97 | 221 | 53.4%118 W · 103 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe292…84b8backed Baltimore Orioles | 42c | 599.96$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.98 | 1,423 | 43.6%620 W · 803 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa44a…88ecbacked Baltimore Orioles | 44c | 592.93$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260.89 | 117 | 43.6%51 W · 66 L | -9.9wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x87af…c990backed Baltimore Orioles | 43c | 581.4$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 327 | 42.2%138 W · 189 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Seattle Mariners | 56c | 571$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.24 | 1,415 | 48.9%692 W · 723 L | -10.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe722…57c5backed Baltimore Orioles | 44c | 545.45$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 966 | 48.9%472 W · 494 L | -40.9wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Baltimore Orioles | 13c | 505.58$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.7 | 707 | 37.6%266 W · 441 L | +24.5wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…67fdbacked Seattle Mariners | 56c | 500$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220 | 377 | 48.8%184 W · 193 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3cd3…5896backed Baltimore Orioles | 45c | 500$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 174 | 46%80 W · 94 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb2e…7821backed Seattle Mariners | 55c | 500$277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.59 | 738 | 49.3%364 W · 374 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b1…e904backed Baltimore Orioles | 43c | 499.99$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215 | 693 | 51.9%360 W · 333 L | +26.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x58d2…46e6backed Baltimore Orioles | 13c | 493.13$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 309 | 28.5%88 W · 221 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Baltimore Orioles | 42c | 476$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.92 | 1,144 | 46.3%530 W · 614 L | +36.9wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x986c…3180backed Seattle Mariners | 55c | 470.77$259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.85 | 525 | 47.4%249 W · 276 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc23…8283backed Seattle Mariners | 57c | 438.6$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.6 | 431 | 53.6%231 W · 200 L | +10.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb213…49e1backed Baltimore Orioles | 6c | 427.28$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.2 | 129 | 56.6%73 W · 56 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5dc…ec43backed Seattle Mariners | 59c | 423.73$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.73 | 407 | 53.6%218 W · 189 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee5…e798backed Baltimore Orioles | 5c | 420$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 56 | 39.3%22 W · 34 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4e…1fb8backed Seattle Mariners | 56c | 411.68$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.76 | 3,792 | 45.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L | -5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58d5…8898backed Baltimore Orioles | 42c | 390$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.1 | 1,226 | 43.6%534 W · 692 L | +11.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Baltimore Orioles | 13c | 370.25$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.21 | 4,197 | 50.2%2,106 W · 2,091 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7fea…8f74backed Baltimore Orioles | 12c | 356.85$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.26 | 880 | 46.4%408 W · 472 L | -22.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba7…67a1backed Baltimore Orioles | 44c | 337.5$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.5 | 370 | 52.2%193 W · 177 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcda3…36cfbacked Baltimore Orioles | 42c | 320$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.4 | 1,331 | 44.1%587 W · 744 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf05…5efcbacked Baltimore Orioles | 14c | 314.29$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2354…20d0backed Baltimore Orioles | 4c | 313.09$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 404 | 3.5%14 W · 390 L | -19.4wins | -0.05per pick | 8cpaid | -59.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c6…7b39backed Baltimore Orioles | 11c | 307.49$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.82 | 232 | 40.9%95 W · 137 L | -9.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc4…0c92backed Baltimore Orioles | 41c | 306.54$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.68 | 206 | 47.1%97 W · 109 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd73a…0f4ebacked Seattle Mariners | 57c | 300$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129 | 411 | 52.3%215 W · 196 L | -13.0wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda74…2dd7backed Baltimore Orioles | 42c | 300$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126 | 1,298 | 43.6%566 W · 732 L | +13.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…28b5backed Seattle Mariners | 58c | 299.99$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126 | 1,483 | 50.2%745 W · 738 L | +5.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb649…e8b2backed Baltimore Orioles | 10c | 294.82$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.46 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.31per pick | 47cpaid | -60.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfc5a…07b6backed Baltimore Orioles | 16c | 273.56$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.77 | 62 | 45.2%28 W · 34 L | +5.0wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5cb1…6c8fbacked Baltimore Orioles | 17c | 270.39$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.63 | 276 | 52.9%146 W · 130 L | +9.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f14…ca5abacked Baltimore Orioles | 17c | 270.39$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.68 | 1,042 | 49.4%515 W · 527 L | +13.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x640b…d920backed Baltimore Orioles | 6c | 267.29$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.89 | 44 | 54.5%24 W · 20 L | +4.4wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xedd0…731cbacked Seattle Mariners | 56c | 261.41$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.02 | 161 | 59.6%96 W · 65 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde25…c0a5backed Seattle Mariners | 56c | 242.75$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.81 | 469 | 46.3%217 W · 252 L | -25.7wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9565…9ea9backed Seattle Mariners | 56c | 237.5$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.5 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | +2.4wins | +0.11per pick | 57cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb035…d7cdbacked Baltimore Orioles | 44c | 227.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 141 | 41.8%59 W · 82 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5505…aa44backed Baltimore Orioles | 44c | 222.36$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.84 | 520 | 45.2%235 W · 285 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed Seattle Mariners | 74c | 210.45$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.53 | 1,708 | 49.9%852 W · 856 L | -17.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cb5…6be6backed Seattle Mariners | 58c | 200$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 142 | 60.6%86 W · 56 L | +9.3wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc6…b20dbacked Seattle Mariners | 56c | 200$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87 | 619 | 48.6%301 W · 318 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Baltimore Orioles vs. Seattle Marinersthis page
- Baltimore Orioles vs. Seattle Mariners: O/U 10.5Under won
- Baltimore Orioles vs. Seattle Mariners: O/U 5.5Under won
- Baltimore Orioles vs. Seattle Mariners: O/U 6.5Under won
- Baltimore Orioles vs. Seattle Mariners: O/U 7.5Under won
- Baltimore Orioles vs. Seattle Mariners: O/U 8.5Under won
- Baltimore Orioles vs. Seattle Mariners: O/U 9.5Under won
- Spread: Baltimore Orioles (-1.5)Seattle Mariners won
- Spread: Baltimore Orioles (-2.5)Seattle Mariners won
- Spread: Seattle Mariners (-1.5)Seattle Mariners won
- Spread: Seattle Mariners (-2.5)Seattle Mariners won
- Spread: Seattle Mariners (-3.5)Baltimore Orioles won
- Spread: Seattle Mariners (-4.5)Baltimore Orioles won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Baltimore Orioles vs. Seattle MarinersYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.