MLB · resolved market
Baltimore Orioles vs. Seattle Mariners: O/U 7.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdeb6744a743f60eec009aa59e354e2a31a6259dd9a28ad4bf3726e27dced5402
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $319,721
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $321,434
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $319,721 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 103 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5e94…5ba1backed Over | 51c | 203,921$104,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103,999.7 | 469 | 49%230 W · 239 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…23c4backed Under | 49c | 181,826$89,095 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92,731.26 | 550 | 53.1%292 W · 258 L | +20.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbe23…b587backed Over | 52c | 34,878$18,137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,136.55 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -2.8wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd81e…e3d0backed Under | 49c | 28,776$14,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,675.87 | 322 | 51.6%166 W · 156 L | +8.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Under | 48c | 25,752$12,379 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,372.81 | 4,279 | 47.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L | -83.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e77…8c33backed Under | 48c | 18,245$8,758 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,487.65 | 283 | 50.9%144 W · 139 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Under | 49c | 16,804$8,234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,570.09 | 321 | 52%167 W · 154 L | +7.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Over | 51c | 14,302$7,341 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,341.25 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b88…8f33backed Over | 51c | 12,900$6,579 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,578.99 | 448 | 51.6%231 W · 217 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Over | 52c | 10,584$5,502 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,502.08 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c3c…e8c9backed Under | 50c | 10,018$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,017.71 | 349 | 42.7%149 W · 200 L | -19.9wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Over | 49c | 7,515$3,710 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,710.24 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Under | 48c | 5,829$2,797 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,031.06 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Over | 51c | 5,522$2,813 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,812.8 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb077…8fe8backed Over | 50c | 4,997$2,498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,498.27 | 335 | 54%181 W · 154 L | +9.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf28e…cab2backed Under | 50c | 4,801$2,401 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,400.6 | 97 | 49.5%48 W · 49 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd100…853dbacked Under | 50c | 2,277$1,139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,138.67 | 541 | 52.1%282 W · 259 L | +12.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Over | 50c | 2,007$1,008 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,008.26 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 50c | 1,500$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc444…20dabacked Under | 68c | 1,500$1,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480 | 92 | 50%46 W · 46 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Under | 50c | 1,333$666 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$666.36 | 1,269 | 51.1%648 W · 621 L | +23.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe478…28eabacked Under | 49c | 1,224$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$624.49 | 68 | 58.8%40 W · 28 L | +3.9wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x58b9…ee8bbacked Under | 48c | 1,200$576 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$623.97 | 752 | 48.8%367 W · 385 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Over | 51c | 1,000$508 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$508 | 958 | 50%479 W · 479 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe7c0…24eebacked Under | 49c | 1,000$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510 | 216 | 53.2%115 W · 101 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 34c | 766.2$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.77 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4e…1fb8backed Over | 50c | 713.92$357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$357.12 | 3,792 | 45.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L | -5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Over | 52c | 701$365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$364.52 | 2,291 | 52.5%1,202 W · 1,089 L | +24.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9ac…8de4backed Under | 50c | 685.96$343 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$342.98 | 185 | 51.4%95 W · 90 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 38c | 648.11$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.88 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcba5…cd88backed Over | 52c | 576.92$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 660 | 50.2%331 W · 329 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8098…5646backed Under | 50c | 486.68$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.34 | 515 | 55.7%287 W · 228 L | +19.5wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcbbe…1f4abacked Under | 42c | 480.43$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$278.04 | 77 | 53.2%41 W · 36 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b0f…3476backed Over | 42c | 477.11$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -3.3wins | -0.14per pick | 45cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x22ed…3535backed Over | 52c | 471.42$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.14 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb54…d452backed Over | 52c | 430.33$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.19 | 47 | 48.9%23 W · 24 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1fa8…0b19backed Under | 50c | 400$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 405 | 54.8%222 W · 183 L | +17.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd8ac…b73dbacked Under | 50c | 400$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 115 | 51.3%59 W · 56 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09ee…90a4backed Under | 49c | 339.02$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.9 | 1,569 | 51.1%801 W · 768 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec8d…dd71backed Under | 49c | 315.7$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.01 | 273 | 51.3%140 W · 133 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over | 51c | 300$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf388…5c83backed Over | 17c | 294.12$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.12per pick | 42cpaid | -37%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc390…715cbacked Under | 53c | 283.02$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.02 | 83 | 49.4%41 W · 42 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 51c | 258$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.58 | 2,296 | 49.7%1,141 W · 1,155 L | +37.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 72c | 255.19$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.22 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52a0…ec9dbacked Under | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.08 | 382 | 52.1%199 W · 183 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4dd…23ffbacked Over | 52c | 200$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 394 | 40.9%161 W · 233 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ed3…274cbacked Under | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 586 | 49.5%290 W · 296 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8fd…3e24backed Over | 52c | 200$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 110 | 47.3%52 W · 58 L | -8.5wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc8c2…080bbacked Under | 50c | 185.86$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.93 | 44 | 61.4%27 W · 17 L | +2.7wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6c…e09cbacked Under | 50c | 178.62$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.31 | 452 | 46.2%209 W · 243 L | -18.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -11%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa65c…509dbacked Under | 49c | 168.48$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.92 | 243 | 50.2%122 W · 121 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa057…d092backed Over | 20c | 166.62$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.58 | 2,144 | 39.6%849 W · 1,295 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72db…1029backed Under | 52c | 165.84$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.6 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1880…eebcbacked Over | 17c | 163.6$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.06 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4e8…ff03backed Under | 50c | 160.22$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.11 | 238 | 51.3%122 W · 116 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4060…0f76backed Over | 17c | 154.34$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.07 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f9…5273backed Over | 77c | 150.92$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.5 | 536 | 44.6%239 W · 297 L | -11.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Over | 18c | 144.7$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.05 | 3,457 | 51.3%1,772 W · 1,685 L | +108.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Over | 33c | 127.76$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.42 | 1,927 | 17.2%331 W · 1,596 L | -320.3wins | -0.17per pick | 34cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 32-0.16 edge/pick |
| 0xdcdd…6d55backed Under | 50c | 127.1$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.55 | 90 | 58.9%53 W · 37 L | +4.4wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc85…aa54backed Over | 47c | 110.89$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.96 | 242 | 43%104 W · 138 L | -12.2wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x93ac…2761backed Under | 41c | 109.31$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.49 | 2,583 | 61.4%1,587 W · 996 L | +70.9wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Under | 49c | 101$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.17 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb2e…7821backed Over | 51c | 100.01$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.59 | 738 | 49.3%364 W · 374 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ad…b23ebacked Over | 52c | 100$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 1,279 | 51.2%655 W · 624 L | -19.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ddd…73b2backed Under | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 314 | 46.8%147 W · 167 L | -11.7wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa990…dc90backed Over | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc169…cb6abacked Over | 52c | 86.54$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 64 | 45.3%29 W · 35 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85ad…d3fbbacked Under | 50c | 83.8$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.9 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd208…29e6backed Under | 50c | 78.44$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.22 | 183 | 53.6%98 W · 85 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Under | 48c | 77$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.04 | 2,800 | 49.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7dfd…b845backed Over | 71c | 75$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.25 | 268 | 60.4%162 W · 106 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x206b…5162backed Under | 50c | 68.7$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.35 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f36…905fbacked Over | 52c | 68$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.36 | 191 | 52.9%101 W · 90 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff2a…bfefbacked Over | 51c | 64.71$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 313 | 43.5%136 W · 177 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe246…dedcbacked Under | 50c | 60$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 267 | 53.9%144 W · 123 L | +7.5wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Over | 51c | 60$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.36 | 2,376 | 49.7%1,182 W · 1,194 L | +17.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x59d7…f69dbacked Under | 50c | 60$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 91 | 47.3%43 W · 48 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b81…b68bbacked Over | 55c | 53.67$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.61 | 70 | 40%28 W · 42 L | -7.0wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6ef6…9b93backed Under | 50c | 50.58$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.29 | 67 | 41.8%28 W · 39 L | -6.5wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -20%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x27b1…3813backed Under | 48c | 49.96$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.98 | 179 | 53.1%95 W · 84 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6123…8b33backed Over | 52c | 48.08$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 268 | 53.7%144 W · 124 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff7…bf32backed Under | 50c | 48.01$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.01 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3d84…4b14backed Under | 50c | 44.58$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.29 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5965…d26dbacked Over | 52c | 43.36$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.55 | 164 | 50.6%83 W · 81 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40d6…9892backed Over | 51c | 42.48$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.74 | 344 | 51.5%177 W · 167 L | -8.2wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8482…3f7abacked Under | 48c | 40$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.8 | 1,062 | 49.2%523 W · 539 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x829a…a748backed Under | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 187 | 51.9%97 W · 90 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa05a…4635backed Over | 47c | 36.82$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.3 | 830 | 53%440 W · 390 L | +12.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34cf…6659backed Under | 49c | 35.16$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.93 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | -4.3wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0b2a…0a73backed Under | 48c | 34.77$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.08 | 254 | 48.4%123 W · 131 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66c0…5fc2backed Under | 50c | 32$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16 | 252 | 56.7%143 W · 109 L | +9.9wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Under | 38c | 31.98$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.69 | 5,786 | 43.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L | -192.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed Over | 51c | 30.31$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.46 | 2,945 | 47.6%1,401 W · 1,544 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed Under | 35c | 29.84$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.49 | 2,147 | 50.2%1,078 W · 1,069 L | +27.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8263…e0f1backed Over | 46c | 29.6$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.62 | 347 | 54.8%190 W · 157 L | +12.5wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e2f…f9babacked Under | 49c | 21.5$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.97 | 726 | 55.4%402 W · 324 L | +40.2wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x83ce…835cbacked Over | 51c | 21$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.71 | 507 | 48.7%247 W · 260 L | -17.2wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9555…889abacked Over | 52c | 20.31$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.56 | 1,001 | 57.3%574 W · 427 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Baltimore Orioles vs. Seattle Mariners: O/U 7.5this page
- Baltimore Orioles vs. Seattle MarinersSeattle Mariners won
- Baltimore Orioles vs. Seattle Mariners: O/U 10.5Under won
- Baltimore Orioles vs. Seattle Mariners: O/U 5.5Under won
- Baltimore Orioles vs. Seattle Mariners: O/U 6.5Under won
- Baltimore Orioles vs. Seattle Mariners: O/U 8.5Under won
- Baltimore Orioles vs. Seattle Mariners: O/U 9.5Under won
- Spread: Baltimore Orioles (-1.5)Seattle Mariners won
- Spread: Baltimore Orioles (-2.5)Seattle Mariners won
- Spread: Seattle Mariners (-1.5)Seattle Mariners won
- Spread: Seattle Mariners (-2.5)Seattle Mariners won
- Spread: Seattle Mariners (-3.5)Baltimore Orioles won
- Spread: Seattle Mariners (-4.5)Baltimore Orioles won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Baltimore Orioles vs. Seattle MarinersYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.