MLB · resolved market
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Kansas City Royals
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x26a8f80736e829ba69972a64df7055c05387351e574915018006749f362a6f94
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Kansas City Royalsof St. Louis Cardinals, Kansas City Royals
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $342,344
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $253,290
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $342,344 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 200 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3b21…a230backed St. Louis Cardinals | 74c | 100,000$74,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73,999.77 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | -3.6wins | -0.09per pick | 58cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2ada…2f28backed St. Louis Cardinals | 1c | 40,835$382 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$382.33 | 406 | 29.1%118 W · 288 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Kansas City Royals | 29c | 27,232$7,767 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,464.69 | 11,054 | 51.5%5,694 W · 5,360 L | +137.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed St. Louis Cardinals | 1c | 26,572$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.16 | 901 | 46.3%417 W · 484 L | +25.6wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Kansas City Royals | 38c | 20,769$7,930 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,838.99 | 3,107 | 48.1%1,495 W · 1,612 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed St. Louis Cardinals | 49c | 15,333$7,513 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,513 | 1,692 | 50.2%849 W · 843 L | -21.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Kansas City Royals | 51c | 15,172$7,738 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,434.31 | 4,401 | 47.5%2,090 W · 2,311 L | -76.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Kansas City Royals | 26c | 13,779$3,623 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,156.12 | 6,128 | 55.4%3,394 W · 2,734 L | +347.5wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7634…600dbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 13c | 13,000$1,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,649.88 | 603 | 50.1%302 W · 301 L | -10.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf152…64aabacked Kansas City Royals | 51c | 11,324$5,775 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,548.87 | 771 | 53.8%415 W · 356 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed St. Louis Cardinals | 35c | 8,035$2,838 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,838.15 | 2,064 | 39.2%810 W · 1,254 L | -29.5wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Kansas City Royals | 32c | 7,812$2,523 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,288.47 | 11,606 | 52.8%6,131 W · 5,475 L | +210.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked St. Louis Cardinals | 49c | 7,027$3,443 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,443.1 | 2,314 | 52.5%1,216 W · 1,098 L | +26.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x558f…1a56backed Kansas City Royals | 34c | 5,258$1,788 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,470.15 | 189 | 59.8%113 W · 76 L | +14.0wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +236.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4e05…7720backed St. Louis Cardinals | 48c | 5,130$2,463 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,462.61 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6383…6e28backed Kansas City Royals | 27c | 3,617$988 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,628.05 | 800 | 55.8%446 W · 354 L | +22.6wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2792…c4f6backed Kansas City Royals | 26c | 3,290$855 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,434.6 | 739 | 49.8%368 W · 371 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x519d…37a1backed St. Louis Cardinals | 0c | 3,194$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.62 | 586 | 2%12 W · 574 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -45.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1448…e868backed St. Louis Cardinals | 49c | 3,078$1,508 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,508 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +35.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed St. Louis Cardinals | 61c | 2,562$1,553 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,553.32 | 12,328 | 46.4%5,726 W · 6,602 L | -66.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ce9…9c2dbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 1c | 2,500$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 65 | 23.1%15 W · 50 L | +3.6wins | +0.06per pick | 18cpaid | +98.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Kansas City Royals | 51c | 2,440$1,244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,195.58 | 3,541 | 51%1,805 W · 1,736 L | +53.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41b4…10dabacked St. Louis Cardinals | 49c | 2,000$980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$980 | 199 | 50.3%100 W · 99 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b49…0397backed Kansas City Royals | 51c | 1,977$1,008 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$968.69 | 277 | 51.6%143 W · 134 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2354…20d0backed St. Louis Cardinals | 1c | 1,967$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 404 | 3.5%14 W · 390 L | -19.4wins | -0.05per pick | 8cpaid | -59.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xce60…f989backed St. Louis Cardinals | 15c | 1,953$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292 | 18 | 11.1%2 W · 16 L | -3.7wins | -0.21per pick | 32cpaid | -82.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbe88…67a8backed Kansas City Royals | 26c | 1,922$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,422.17 | 970 | 50.7%492 W · 478 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed St. Louis Cardinals | 34c | 1,806$607 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$607.01 | 980 | 45%441 W · 539 L | -14.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb01…7dfbbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 3c | 1,500$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 175 | 17.1%30 W · 145 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 14cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xebe6…9278backed Kansas City Royals | 51c | 1,500$765 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$735 | 2,104 | 51.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a2f…647abacked St. Louis Cardinals | 1c | 1,390$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.9 | 826 | 36.6%302 W · 524 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x480e…90c7backed St. Louis Cardinals | 49c | 1,326$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$649.8 | 188 | 60.1%113 W · 75 L | +12.4wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbf9c…3648backed Kansas City Royals | 26c | 1,153$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$853.31 | 1,742 | 49.1%856 W · 886 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ec2…bd08backed Kansas City Royals | 37c | 1,054$392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$662.1 | 1,141 | 42.7%487 W · 654 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa36c…5754backed St. Louis Cardinals | 51c | 1,003$509 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$508.86 | 44 | 54.5%24 W · 20 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6101…23bcbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 10c | 1,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 93 | 35.5%33 W · 60 L | -5.4wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcb03…5ae4backed St. Louis Cardinals | 60c | 1,000$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 195 | 66.2%129 W · 66 L | +11.0wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe7c0…24eebacked St. Louis Cardinals | 49c | 1,000$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490 | 216 | 53.2%115 W · 101 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc23…8283backed Kansas City Royals | 52c | 961.54$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$461.54 | 431 | 53.6%231 W · 200 L | +10.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x186a…559dbacked Kansas City Royals | 52c | 961.54$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$461.54 | 144 | 57.6%83 W · 61 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x021c…232fbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 49c | 820$402 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$401.8 | 179 | 53.1%95 W · 84 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f16…553dbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 49c | 816.56$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 221 | 53.4%118 W · 103 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked St. Louis Cardinals | 7c | 750$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.5 | 952 | 34.3%327 W · 625 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x41b4…de82backed Kansas City Royals | 51c | 750$383 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$367.5 | 116 | 42.2%49 W · 67 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb25…eb12backed Kansas City Royals | 52c | 746.81$388 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$358.47 | 575 | 48%276 W · 299 L | -17.0wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x36e6…ad16backed St. Louis Cardinals | 54c | 740.93$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 77 | 63.6%49 W · 28 L | +5.3wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7e59…7b8bbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 56c | 727.4$411 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410.88 | 388 | 33.8%131 W · 257 L | -10.7wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked Kansas City Royals | 26c | 708$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$523.92 | 1,119 | 45.5%509 W · 610 L | +16.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67be…6e09backed St. Louis Cardinals | 11c | 700$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77 | 283 | 31.1%88 W · 195 L | -15.3wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x886f…aa8fbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 49c | 685.71$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336 | 119 | 51.3%61 W · 58 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc98f…a13fbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 3c | 677.55$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.05 | 269 | 19%51 W · 218 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 19cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x82c0…02fdbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 15c | 666.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb89…c7ebbacked Kansas City Royals | 79c | 640.04$506 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.61 | 38 | 81.6%31 W · 7 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 76cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 67c | 628.9$421 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$421.36 | 1,456 | 42.7%622 W · 834 L | -39.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe0f6…a5eebacked Kansas City Royals | 47c | 609$286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$322.77 | 98 | 46.9%46 W · 52 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde25…c0a5backed Kansas City Royals | 52c | 513.48$267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.47 | 469 | 46.3%217 W · 252 L | -25.7wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed St. Louis Cardinals | 66c | 487$321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$321.42 | 2,375 | 47.3%1,123 W · 1,252 L | -13.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa24…a75cbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 49c | 453.06$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222 | 87 | 57.5%50 W · 37 L | +4.8wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x37e2…4b92backed Kansas City Royals | 52c | 451.54$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.74 | 130 | 43.1%56 W · 74 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x96d9…18a0backed St. Louis Cardinals | 49c | 420$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.8 | 229 | 48.5%111 W · 118 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf930…e346backed St. Louis Cardinals | 49c | 408.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 133 | 54.9%73 W · 60 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb60…137abacked St. Louis Cardinals | 49c | 408.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 94 | 35.1%33 W · 61 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58d2…46e6backed St. Louis Cardinals | 13c | 405$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.45 | 309 | 28.5%88 W · 221 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed St. Louis Cardinals | 6c | 405$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.26 | 2,150 | 50.2%1,079 W · 1,071 L | +27.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad88…3c1ebacked Kansas City Royals | 52c | 400$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192 | 483 | 54.7%264 W · 219 L | +20.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed Kansas City Royals | 47c | 394.83$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.22 | 1,121 | 44.1%494 W · 627 L | -32.4wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd82…9f66backed St. Louis Cardinals | 8c | 375$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 159 | 37.7%60 W · 99 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x59b6…307fbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 70c | 350$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245 | 817 | 57%466 W · 351 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x19b7…9ee6backed Kansas City Royals | 26c | 337.62$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.84 | 1,045 | 52%543 W · 502 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Kansas City Royals | 56c | 333.47$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.48 | 8,251 | 46.3%3,820 W · 4,431 L | +41.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Kansas City Royals | 29c | 328$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.13 | 230 | 36.1%83 W · 147 L | -11.2wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Kansas City Royals | 66c | 319.99$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.08 | 4,197 | 50.2%2,106 W · 2,091 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…28b5backed St. Louis Cardinals | 48c | 319.99$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.6 | 1,483 | 50.2%745 W · 738 L | +5.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x18bb…e5cdbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 8c | 300$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 29 | 24.1%7 W · 22 L | +2.2wins | +0.08per pick | 16cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x85c3…700cbacked Kansas City Royals | 43c | 297.42$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.53 | 904 | 46.9%424 W · 480 L | +13.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4946…4004backed Kansas City Royals | 52c | 288.46$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.46 | 128 | 52.3%67 W · 61 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f0…c9e4backed Kansas City Royals | 35c | 280.71$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.46 | 140 | 47.1%66 W · 74 L | -7.3wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc86…7e77backed Kansas City Royals | 30c | 272.51$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.81 | 694 | 47.6%330 W · 364 L | -9.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fa8…0b19backed Kansas City Royals | 26c | 269.85$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.69 | 405 | 54.8%222 W · 183 L | +17.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x09ee…90a4backed Kansas City Royals | 52c | 265$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.2 | 1,569 | 51.1%801 W · 768 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ed3…274cbacked Kansas City Royals | 26c | 251.73$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.28 | 613 | 49.1%301 W · 312 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa461…878abacked Kansas City Royals | 48c | 250.07$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.92 | 158 | 62.7%99 W · 59 L | +7.8wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9868…e82bbacked Kansas City Royals | 52c | 220$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.6 | 83 | 56.6%47 W · 36 L | +5.6wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Kansas City Royals | 51c | 207$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.93 | 405 | 46.2%187 W · 218 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19f5…c385backed St. Louis Cardinals | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | -6.8wins | -0.28per pick | 53cpaid | -50.9%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x52be…801ebacked St. Louis Cardinals | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 118 | 46.6%55 W · 63 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed Kansas City Royals | 51c | 200$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98 | 1,753 | 50.8%890 W · 863 L | +29.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ad…b23ebacked St. Louis Cardinals | 45c | 199.99$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 1,279 | 51.2%655 W · 624 L | -19.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd100…853dbacked Kansas City Royals | 26c | 197.27$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.98 | 541 | 52.1%282 W · 259 L | +12.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5821…7c51backed Kansas City Royals | 26c | 192.34$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.33 | 2,995 | 50.8%1,521 W · 1,474 L | -36.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07aa…63bfbacked Kansas City Royals | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.31 | 200 | 57%114 W · 86 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Kansas City Royals | 51c | 169.99$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.3 | 7,046 | 50.5%3,560 W · 3,486 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a11…84cbbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 59c | 167.88$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 28 | 64.3%18 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 67cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Kansas City Royals | 52c | 161$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.14 | 292 | 52.7%154 W · 138 L | +7.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5331…3672backed St. Louis Cardinals | 49c | 156$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.44 | 175 | 40.6%71 W · 104 L | -8.4wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc263…1e83backed Kansas City Royals | 52c | 154.25$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.04 | 446 | 48.7%217 W · 229 L | -10.4wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb92…b221backed Kansas City Royals | 52c | 149.36$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.84 | 379 | 44.3%168 W · 211 L | -17.1wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a6…6991backed Kansas City Royals | 34c | 147.06$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.06 | 397 | 39.5%157 W · 240 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe236…b1b1backed Kansas City Royals | 52c | 146.98$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.55 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.29per pick | 51cpaid | +52.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Kansas City Royals | 51c | 145.53$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.31 | 1,293 | 47.3%611 W · 682 L | -18.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- St. Louis Cardinals vs. Kansas City Royalsthis page
- Spread: Kansas City Royals (-1.5)Kansas City Royals won
- Spread: Kansas City Royals (-2.5)Kansas City Royals won
- Spread: Kansas City Royals (-3.5)Kansas City Royals won
- Spread: Kansas City Royals (-4.5)Kansas City Royals won
- Spread: St. Louis Cardinals (-1.5)Kansas City Royals won
- Spread: St. Louis Cardinals (-2.5)Kansas City Royals won
- St. Louis Cardinals vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 10.5Over won
- St. Louis Cardinals vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 11.5Over won
- St. Louis Cardinals vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 12.5Over won
- St. Louis Cardinals vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 6.5Over won
- St. Louis Cardinals vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 7.5Over won
- St. Louis Cardinals vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 8.5Over won
- St. Louis Cardinals vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 9.5Over won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: St. Louis Cardinals vs. Kansas City RoyalsYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.