TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Brentford FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$273,873
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$288,199

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $273,873 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 127 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x34a1…7622backed Under16c118,769$19,106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19,105.891936.8%7 W · 12 L+2.1wins+0.11per pick26cpaid+58%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0a39…b0b9backed Over57c49,840$28,177 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21,662.861050%5 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa1ea…b845backed Over57c26,287$14,970 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,316.28250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-12.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under43c23,760$10,217 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,216.656,04745.9%2,776 W · 3,271 L-21.5wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over58c9,328$5,409 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,919.3353240%213 W · 319 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+3.4%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x4337…8882backed Under42c6,221$2,613 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,612.9716848.8%82 W · 86 L+9.5wins+0.06per pick43cpaid+6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under42c5,988$2,515 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,515.11,17950%590 W · 589 L+7.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x224f…514abacked Under44c5,200$2,288 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,2881637.5%6 W · 10 L-3.1wins-0.20per pick57cpaid-42.6%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over58c5,000$2,900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,10013630.9%42 W · 94 L-7.4wins-0.05per pick36cpaid-10.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x583e…a2a6backed Under44c5,000$2,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,200955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+12.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa048…f2b5backed Over56c4,959$2,777 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,181.93540%2 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-29.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Under44c3,991$1,766 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,766.418637.2%32 W · 54 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-7.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x78e3…2bcabacked Under43c3,953$1,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,7002920.7%6 W · 23 L-5.2wins-0.18per pick39cpaid-47%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under42c3,721$1,580 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,579.982,53047.7%1,206 W · 1,324 L+43.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x712e…0485backed Under44c3,500$1,540 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,540944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-7.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Under43c3,298$1,418 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,418.061827.8%5 W · 13 L0.0wins0.00per pick28cpaid-22.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x67e3…51c9backed Over58c3,261$1,891 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,369.57560%3 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.22per pick38cpaid+47.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5811…0976backed Under43c3,213$1,387 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,386.699735.1%34 W · 63 L-9.0wins-0.09per pick44cpaid-34.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x56ac…d77ebacked Under43c3,136$1,348 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,348.487635.5%27 W · 49 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick35cpaid+6.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Under42c3,131$1,301 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,301.2345249.6%224 W · 228 L+13.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-1.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under43c1,792$778 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$777.5880853.6%433 W · 375 L+11.4wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under43c1,696$729 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$729.255351.9%287 W · 266 L-1.0wins0.00per pick52cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2714…960fbacked Under42c1,666$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$699.7223258.2%135 W · 97 L+13.9wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+10.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6efa…495abacked Over71c1,408$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$408.45250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-29.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfb20…3b5cbacked Under23c1,318$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30010850.9%55 W · 53 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick53cpaid+10.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Over57c1,088$620 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$467.2621440.7%87 W · 127 L+1.1wins0.00per pick40cpaid-9.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Under42c1,024$430 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$430.0585048.4%411 W · 439 L+12.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Under15c988.93$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.3496445.4%438 W · 526 L+12.2wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd239…2083backed Under43c930.23$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4006852.9%36 W · 32 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under43c859$374 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$373.6296443.7%421 W · 543 L-10.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-5.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Under43c859$374 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$373.621,20842.2%510 W · 698 L-27.4wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-7.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under43c858.99$374 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$373.621,07445%483 W · 591 L-20.4wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-6.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x35d3…e506backed Under27c500$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13535028.9%101 W · 249 L-19.2wins-0.05per pick34cpaid-17.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5712…f144backed Over58c464.93$270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$195.273100%3 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+55.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Over57c443.84$252 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$191.9669651.1%356 W · 340 L+6.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd4a0…2dcbbacked Under43c439.44$189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$188.96333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-14.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x74f9…6024backed Under16c382$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.12633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick30cpaid+23.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc4cf…2224backed Under48c370.18$177 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$176.891233.3%4 W · 8 L-3.0wins-0.25per pick59cpaid-45.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Over56c346.71$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$152.555750.9%29 W · 28 L+4.3wins+0.08per pick43cpaid+9.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7093…a798backed Over58c344.83$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.831100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+72.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6cb0…5390backed Over58c342.59$199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.891546.7%7 W · 8 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick44cpaid-1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x22da…2866backed Under43c339.94$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146.1727356.4%154 W · 119 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4ab6…fad4backed Under44c338$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.72333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-35.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xca22…2ee7backed Over57c333$190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.191100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+75.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x50e5…e39fbacked Under43c332$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142.7628443.7%124 W · 160 L-10.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3c2f…9765backed Over58c288$167 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.962055%11 W · 9 L0.0wins0.00per pick55cpaid+2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x56d8…1ccebacked Under16c286.95$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.451816.7%3 W · 15 L-3.9wins-0.22per pick38cpaid-67.8%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x4e85…3b3bbacked Over72c286.86$207 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.326100%6 W · 0 L+2.1wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+54%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x3654…1b78backed Under43c270$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.3512654%68 W · 58 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x488c…a2dabacked Over57c263.16$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.1622156.1%124 W · 97 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8220…b081backed Under46c217.39$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001637.5%6 W · 10 L-1.5wins-0.09per pick47cpaid-19%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2983…4eb2backed Under46c217.39$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001643.8%7 W · 9 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-6.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3b5f…7b99backed Under42c206.99$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.947550.7%38 W · 37 L+2.7wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+4.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe18a…fd87backed Under43c200$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8653134.5%183 W · 348 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x45bb…4927backed Over56c193.99$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.452100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+86.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd439…21d3backed Over54c182.61$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$841450%7 W · 7 L+1.7wins+0.12per pick38cpaid+45.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Under43c173.73$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.154847.9%23 W · 25 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-12.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc374…cee1backed Over58c172.41$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.411100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+72.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbb18…6f32backed Over58c172.41$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.41475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.24per pick51cpaid+45.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1425…6e0cbacked Over58c167.24$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.24742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.09per pick34cpaid+56.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Under24c166$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.5412045%54 W · 66 L-4.7wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-20.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9a1d…8986backed Under30c163.22$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.093855.3%21 W · 17 L+2.3wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+4.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2396…9485backed Under44c156.8$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.993145.2%14 W · 17 L+2.1wins+0.07per pick38cpaid+11.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Under22c152.96$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.1711049.1%54 W · 56 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-11.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x92f5…52a2backed Under43c151$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.937447.3%35 W · 39 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4e8c…79bdbacked Over57c140.35$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.355856.9%33 W · 25 L+5.0wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+11.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc670…b781backed Under43c138.68$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.932138.1%8 W · 13 L-3.2wins-0.15per pick54cpaid-30.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xb1d2…c938backed Over74c135.27$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.27666.7%4 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick70cpaid-6.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Over63c133.47$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.771,92342.4%815 W · 1,108 L-42.9wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-18.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc41…dd7ebacked Under43c128$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.0413742.3%58 W · 79 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-7.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2810…a1a8backed Under43c124.99$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.7421448.6%104 W · 110 L+8.8wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xefbd…8086backed Over58c121.99$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.2417544%77 W · 98 L-6.0wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-7.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2440…042dbacked Over54c120.98$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.652100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+58.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfdae…6ad2backed Over58c120.69$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.696168.9%42 W · 19 L+3.2wins+0.05per pick64cpaid+1.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x962e…1d75backed Under43c117.86$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$514856.3%27 W · 21 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-4.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xef54…1444backed Under43c116.65$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.161020%2 W · 8 L-2.8wins-0.28per pick48cpaid-46.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xa600…0fc5backed Over57c111.35$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.884261.9%26 W · 16 L+3.1wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+13.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1372…4ce0backed Under45c111.11$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50966.7%6 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick61cpaid-6.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Under14c107.62$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.2620041%82 W · 118 L-3.6wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-13%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x418b…a741backed Over58c103.45$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.4520864.9%135 W · 73 L+3.7wins+0.02per pick63cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9e3a…e974backed Under26c103.33$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.873036.7%11 W · 19 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-24%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1cb5…6be6backed Over58c100$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$426947.8%33 W · 36 L-2.2wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-10.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over53c99.99$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.9955254.5%301 W · 251 L+6.0wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x35f3…94febacked Over58c86.21$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.21742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.10per pick53cpaid-24.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2bea…c4b2backed Over58c86.21$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.213357.6%19 W · 14 L+2.1wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+9.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Under14c83$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.6241243.4%179 W · 233 L-1.6wins0.00per pick44cpaid-12.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfda7…d488backed Over56c77$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.88742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.15per pick58cpaid-23.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa4d3…4b1fbacked Over56c70.5$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.022231.8%7 W · 15 L-3.4wins-0.15per pick47cpaid-41.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xec80…7298backed Over60c66.71$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.72771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick65cpaid+12.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb107…a3f8backed Over56c64$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.167057.1%40 W · 30 L+3.8wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+9.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed Under44c61.79$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.1918758.8%110 W · 77 L+12.3wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+15.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x2ed3…274cbacked Under43c58.14$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$254751.1%24 W · 23 L+1.9wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+8.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Under43c55$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.681,58953.3%847 W · 742 L+39.2wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+5.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x64e8…b506backed Over74c54.95$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.55937.3%22 W · 37 L-5.0wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-32.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1940…45b2backed Over56c53.57$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.573100%3 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+65.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xdd47…61e3backed Over58c51.72$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.72333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-42.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x86ba…2cf3backed Over58c51.72$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.722100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+66.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8d0c…c90abacked Over56c50.01$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.939346.2%43 W · 50 L-5.7wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-19.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa6db…3155backed Over57c50$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.510543.8%46 W · 59 L-8.9wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-20%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2892…e9d7backed Under44c50$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$223050%15 W · 15 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 21 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.