Premier League · resolved market
Brentford FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf44aef1e0f1c93579d5014b2afedb0a545dc4fb071670c19a12bb7d5fa8ba575
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $119,662
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $125,827
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $119,662 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x34a1…7622backed Under | 14c | 104,493$14,613 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,612.63 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | +1.9wins | +0.09per pick | 26cpaid | +50.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1ab8…1b4abacked Over | 78c | 22,000$17,165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,834.23 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56ac…d77ebacked Under | 20c | 3,203$641 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$640.6 | 76 | 35.5%27 W · 49 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Over | 80c | 2,500$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 850 | 48.4%411 W · 439 L | +12.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Over | 78c | 894.85$697 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.41 | 489 | 50.1%245 W · 244 L | +18.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Over | 80c | 848.15$677 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.23 | 557 | 51.5%287 W · 270 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed Under | 20c | 767.31$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.46 | 97 | 35.1%34 W · 63 L | -9.0wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x35d3…e506backed Under | 9c | 555.56$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 354 | 28.5%101 W · 253 L | -20.1wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcbef…0c11backed Over | 80c | 250$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 68cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e54…0466backed Over | 80c | 238.93$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.79 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.27per pick | 77cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5659…7a6bbacked Under | 20c | 227.37$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.47 | 112 | 17.9%20 W · 92 L | -7.1wins | -0.06per pick | 24cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over | 79c | 196.4$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.24 | 2,550 | 47.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9403…7361backed Under | 21c | 190.48$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 63 | 34.9%22 W · 41 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2396…9485backed Under | 21c | 160.15$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.63 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5630…6ca8backed Over | 80c | 125$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.24per pick | 61cpaid | -45.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe7…b7f9backed Over | 80c | 125$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8090…42c1backed Over | 80c | 123.75$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.75 | 51 | 60.8%31 W · 20 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcbb…07d9backed Over | 77c | 111.36$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.61 | 68 | 51.5%35 W · 33 L | -6.7wins | -0.10per pick | 61cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4466…cd34backed Under | 21c | 100$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -2.8wins | -0.15per pick | 43cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfcc7…4d38backed Over | 79c | 88.3$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.54 | 53 | 54.7%29 W · 24 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf94c…8a42backed Under | 23c | 46.35$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.66 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +38.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fde…095bbacked Over | 78c | 38.46$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.46 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.10per pick | 71cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x862f…200bbacked Over | 80c | 37.5$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.5 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 76cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Over | 80c | 31$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.2 | 155 | 47.1%73 W · 82 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8084…abe8backed Over | 80c | 27.5$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.5 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 76cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e90…4f65backed Over | 80c | 26.86$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.37 | 52 | 59.6%31 W · 21 L | +3.9wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcd6e…c289backed Over | 80c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf06f…11f3backed Over | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 21 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Brentford FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: O/U 1.5this page
- Brentford FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Brentford FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Brentford FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Brentford FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Brentford FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
- Brentford FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: Brentford FC O/U 0.5Over won
- Brentford FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: Brentford FC O/U 1.5Over won
- Brentford FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: Brentford FC O/U 2.5Over won
- Brentford FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: O/U 0.5Over won
- Brentford FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Brentford FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Brentford FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Brentford FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: O/U 5.5Under won
- Brentford FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: Tottenham Hotspur FC O/U 0.5Under won
- Brentford FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: Tottenham Hotspur FC O/U 1.5Under won
- Brentford FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: Tottenham Hotspur FC O/U 2.5Under won
- Spread: Brentford FC (-1.5)Brentford FC won
- Spread: Brentford FC (-2.5)Brentford FC won
- Spread: Tottenham Hotspur FC (-1.5)Brentford FC won
- Spread: Tottenham Hotspur FC (-2.5)Brentford FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.