TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Brentford FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: 1st Half O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$9,030
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$9,620

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,030 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 15 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Over29c3,512$1,015 inLost-$1,015.066,11745.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L-28.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under66c1,222$807 inWon+$415.514,74441.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L+28.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x308b…b223backed Over29c517.24$150 inLost-$1503043.3%13 W · 17 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa700…102bbacked Over3c515.33$15 inLost-$15.46714.3%1 W · 6 L-0.6wins-0.08per pick23cpaid-81.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9e3a…e974backed Under72c482.04$347 inWon+$135.013036.7%11 W · 19 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-24%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcc88…25dabacked Over16c190.69$30 inLost-$302114.3%3 W · 18 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick16cpaid+46.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x51ce…43fabacked Over16c187.5$30 inLost-$3023220.7%48 W · 184 L-12.5wins-0.05per pick26cpaid-28%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x11f5…ea34backed Over25c116$29 inLost-$292334.8%8 W · 15 L-1.9wins-0.08per pick43cpaid-17.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Under48c100$48 inWon+$5277336.4%281 W · 492 L-10.3wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Over30c82.89$25 inLost-$25.221,66234.9%580 W · 1,082 L-32.0wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-13.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x64e8…b506backed Under66c70.6$47 inWon+$23.815937.3%22 W · 37 L-5.0wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-32.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x3654…1b78backed Over35c62$22 inLost-$21.714253.5%76 W · 66 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3a40…007abacked Under79c36.77$29 inWon+$7.772152.4%11 W · 10 L-2.6wins-0.12per pick65cpaid-21.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xdcbb…07d9backed Over34c36.56$12 inLost-$12.436851.5%35 W · 33 L-6.7wins-0.10per pick61cpaid-19.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked Over36c30$11 inLost-$10.656746.3%31 W · 36 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-14.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 21 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.