Premier League · resolved market
Spread: Brentford FC (-2.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x28f6c1eebf0a826b663634a4c8dd3171e02f128d22db733c3420f486928f2805
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Brentford FCof Brentford FC, Tottenham Hotspur FC
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $63,264
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $64,892
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $63,264 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 37 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Brentford FC | 12c | 16,440$2,023 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,416.37 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Brentford FC | 36c | 10,903$3,889 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,013.26 | 1,044 | 33.3%348 W · 696 L | -7.6wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29b1…f737backed Tottenham Hotspur FC | 63c | 9,078$5,678 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,678.46 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.20per pick | 54cpaid | -43.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed Brentford FC | 10c | 5,268$527 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,741.61 | 182 | 38.5%70 W · 112 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3a…e974backed Tottenham Hotspur FC | 50c | 3,117$1,544 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,544.41 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -24%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Brentford FC | 9c | 2,955$263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,691.58 | 598 | 47.7%285 W · 313 L | +18.7wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Brentford FC | 19c | 1,611$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,311.4 | 1,690 | 34.9%589 W · 1,101 L | -33.1wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2dab…55dabacked Brentford FC | 74c | 1,600$1,184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$416 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Brentford FC | 34c | 1,517$516 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,001.02 | 504 | 50%252 W · 252 L | +19.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Brentford FC | 37c | 1,272$471 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$801.46 | 4,768 | 41.8%1,993 W · 2,775 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Tottenham Hotspur FC | 56c | 952.94$533 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$533.18 | 914 | 35.3%323 W · 591 L | -15.5wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4731…36d7backed Tottenham Hotspur FC | 18c | 528.56$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.14 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Tottenham Hotspur FC | 34c | 495.84$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.96 | 593 | 32.9%195 W · 398 L | -30.9wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4d12…ccc3backed Tottenham Hotspur FC | 28c | 357.14$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -2.6wins | -0.26per pick | 46cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked Brentford FC | 9c | 324$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294.84 | 296 | 43.6%129 W · 167 L | -11.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Brentford FC | 39c | 317.56$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.71 | 61 | 37.7%23 W · 38 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x734e…edbdbacked Tottenham Hotspur FC | 62c | 312.5$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.75 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3654…1b78backed Brentford FC | 10c | 310$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277.71 | 142 | 53.5%76 W · 66 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92f5…52a2backed Brentford FC | 10c | 261.61$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.72 | 82 | 47.6%39 W · 43 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Brentford FC | 9c | 184.29$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.71 | 284 | 56.7%161 W · 123 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Tottenham Hotspur FC | 28c | 159.94$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.78 | 120 | 45%54 W · 66 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9403…7361backed Brentford FC | 13c | 153.85$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.85 | 64 | 34.4%22 W · 42 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda6f…1e46backed Brentford FC | 39c | 141.03$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.03 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c3a…50aebacked Tottenham Hotspur FC | 27c | 111.11$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.31per pick | 51cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xca07…6269backed Tottenham Hotspur FC | 28c | 100$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 35 | 22.9%8 W · 27 L | -5.5wins | -0.16per pick | 39cpaid | -44.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked Tottenham Hotspur FC | 18c | 100$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 559 | 55.1%308 W · 251 L | +9.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf12d…0fddbacked Tottenham Hotspur FC | 27c | 92.59$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x237f…362ebacked Tottenham Hotspur FC | 63c | 91.53$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.66 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Tottenham Hotspur FC | 22c | 86.68$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.02 | 78 | 44.9%35 W · 43 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Brentford FC | 78c | 85.65$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.55 | 70 | 32.9%23 W · 47 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1abe…1ddabacked Brentford FC | 73c | 68.49$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.49 | 56 | 48.2%27 W · 29 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5968…96f0backed Brentford FC | 74c | 66.04$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.17 | 64 | 62.5%40 W · 24 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x37b0…799fbacked Brentford FC | 39c | 64.1$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.1 | 67 | 64.2%43 W · 24 L | +3.7wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Brentford FC | 53c | 57.12$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.78 | 110 | 49.1%54 W · 56 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcac7…37d8backed Tottenham Hotspur FC | 62c | 36.68$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.74 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 56cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Tottenham Hotspur FC | 73c | 22.15$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.23 | 128 | 53.9%69 W · 59 L | -3.9wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb93…7eadbacked Brentford FC | 76c | 19.74$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.74 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 21 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Brentford FC (-2.5)this page
- Brentford FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Brentford FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Brentford FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Brentford FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Brentford FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
- Brentford FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: Brentford FC O/U 0.5Over won
- Brentford FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: Brentford FC O/U 1.5Over won
- Brentford FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: Brentford FC O/U 2.5Over won
- Brentford FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: O/U 0.5Over won
- Brentford FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Brentford FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Brentford FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Brentford FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Brentford FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: O/U 5.5Under won
- Brentford FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: Tottenham Hotspur FC O/U 0.5Under won
- Brentford FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: Tottenham Hotspur FC O/U 1.5Under won
- Brentford FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: Tottenham Hotspur FC O/U 2.5Under won
- Spread: Brentford FC (-1.5)Brentford FC won
- Spread: Tottenham Hotspur FC (-1.5)Brentford FC won
- Spread: Tottenham Hotspur FC (-2.5)Brentford FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.