TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Brentford FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: Brentford FC O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$680
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$608

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $680 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 11 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x5659…7a6bbacked Over21c154.97$32 inWon+$122.9211217.9%20 W · 92 L-7.1wins-0.06per pick24cpaid-32.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Over23c138$32 inWon+$106.2695332.5%310 W · 643 L-8.3wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-11.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4d12…ccc3backed Under40c125.31$50 inLost-$501020%2 W · 8 L-2.6wins-0.26per pick46cpaid-66.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over61c106.25$65 inWon+$4154132.9%178 W · 363 L-28.6wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-31.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under79c91.67$72 inLost-$72.426,04745.9%2,776 W · 3,271 L-21.5wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe1c9…748cbacked Under68c73.86$50 inLost-$501376.9%10 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick72cpaid+8.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7629…226cbacked Over40c50.05$20 inWon+$30.031612.5%2 W · 14 L-2.2wins-0.14per pick26cpaid-60.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x74bf…f43dbacked Over68c39.69$27 inWon+$12.7933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick34cpaid+1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc730…c568backed Over47c31.86$15 inWon+$16.781464.3%9 W · 5 L+1.0wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+16.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x37b0…799fbacked Under80c25$20 inLost-$205162.7%32 W · 19 L+2.1wins+0.04per pick59cpaid+2.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x968d…7537backed Over64c15.65$10 inWon+$5.631040%4 W · 6 L-1.8wins-0.18per pick58cpaid-45.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 21 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.