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Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

Vanderbilt Commodores vs. Texas Longhorns

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Texas Longhornsof Vanderbilt Commodores, Texas Longhorns
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$57,544
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$67,740

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $57,544 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 81 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xd218…b5c9backed Vanderbilt Commodores17c7,459$1,235 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,234.952,55541.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L-15.9wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-20.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Texas Longhorns61c3,984$2,437 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,547.555,94649.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L+163.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe3d4…2bacbacked Vanderbilt Commodores62c3,379$2,110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,110.429771.1%69 W · 28 L+5.7wins+0.06per pick65cpaid+10.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Texas Longhorns54c2,858$1,552 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,306.653,90558.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L+165.3wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+4.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xddf6…8a4dbacked Texas Longhorns42c2,390$1,002 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,387.91353.8%7 W · 6 L+1.7wins+0.13per pick41cpaid+14.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9d0f…f3e6backed Vanderbilt Commodores25c1,869$463 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$463.2311946.2%55 W · 64 L-3.9wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x88a7…5314backed Vanderbilt Commodores41c1,621$670 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$669.772227.3%6 W · 16 L-2.9wins-0.13per pick41cpaid-22.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe51e…967abacked Texas Longhorns62c1,616$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$615.96540%2 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-42.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x94fa…989ebacked Texas Longhorns29c1,594$463 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,130.2581453.1%432 W · 382 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick54cpaid+3.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x28b9…9719backed Texas Longhorns35c1,492$526 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$966.15831%18 W · 40 L-7.3wins-0.13per pick44cpaid-33.5%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x5165…175bbacked Texas Longhorns72c1,418$1,028 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$390.469849%48 W · 50 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-12.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x21c2…6749backed Vanderbilt Commodores37c1,214$454 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$453.7649747.5%236 W · 261 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-11.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Vanderbilt Commodores68c1,037$709 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$708.782,57947.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L-42.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x80cf…427dbacked Texas Longhorns31c1,000$310 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6905152.9%27 W · 24 L-5.5wins-0.11per pick64cpaid-15.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Vanderbilt Commodores14c653.63$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.081,54041.3%636 W · 904 L+4.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-16.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe53f…62d7backed Vanderbilt Commodores36c613.61$219 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$218.5811439.5%45 W · 69 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-19.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked Vanderbilt Commodores67c594.44$395 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$395.312,68748.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L+4.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Texas Longhorns33c528.76$176 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$352.971,63347.3%773 W · 860 L+25.5wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x59b6…307fbacked Vanderbilt Commodores59c508.13$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30045351.4%233 W · 220 L-16.8wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8289…2b2ebacked Vanderbilt Commodores66c500$330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3307058.6%41 W · 29 L+2.7wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+3.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa00f…8e56backed Vanderbilt Commodores30c494.49$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.8673549.1%361 W · 374 L-14.6wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-13.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xba8d…009dbacked Texas Longhorns40c493.61$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$294.077451.4%38 W · 36 L+8.3wins+0.11per pick40cpaid+39.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x7b24…2d97backed Texas Longhorns57c488.08$279 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$209.33955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+18.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcdb8…abbebacked Vanderbilt Commodores44c479.84$211 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$210.531,98326.4%523 W · 1,460 L-55.5wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-12%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Texas Longhorns44c464.63$202 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$262.174,84852.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L+139.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3a56…387cbacked Vanderbilt Commodores33c460.91$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154.2332343%139 W · 184 L-18.5wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-23%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Vanderbilt Commodores10c445$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.971,95145.1%880 W · 1,071 L-19.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcda0…a51abacked Vanderbilt Commodores63c416.63$263 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$262.581442.9%6 W · 8 L-2.4wins-0.17per pick60cpaid-26.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Texas Longhorns55c388.31$212 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$176.431,98564.1%1,273 W · 712 L+144.2wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+7.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x014c…f5b6backed Texas Longhorns59c317.41$187 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$130.243652.8%19 W · 17 L+1.4wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x57d5…0bbdbacked Vanderbilt Commodores40c307.43$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.1457335.6%204 W · 369 L-27.3wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-20.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6b3a…2841backed Texas Longhorns33c300$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20182048.2%395 W · 425 L+6.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf782…6849backed Vanderbilt Commodores64c284$182 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$181.767343.8%32 W · 41 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-7.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed Vanderbilt Commodores24c273.44$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.8345644.5%203 W · 253 L-16.8wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-19.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x882c…a26fbacked Vanderbilt Commodores39c266.7$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.015545.5%25 W · 30 L+3.4wins+0.06per pick39cpaid-4.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Texas Longhorns34c249.56$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$164.7153057.4%304 W · 226 L+33.1wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+12.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Vanderbilt Commodores66c249$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$164.585,55347.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L+26.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-3.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x79cb…331ebacked Vanderbilt Commodores7c232.99$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.283993.3%13 W · 386 L-21.0wins-0.05per pick9cpaid-89.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Vanderbilt Commodores66c200$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13235243.2%152 W · 200 L-11.1wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Texas Longhorns65c196.77$127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.644,38240.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L+23.7wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe4a7…613abacked Vanderbilt Commodores52c193.46$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbf81…601dbacked Texas Longhorns78c187.64$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.28666.7%4 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick73cpaid-9.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Vanderbilt Commodores39c167.52$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.651,88745.2%853 W · 1,034 L+6.5wins0.00per pick45cpaid-15.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xec6c…23c7backed Vanderbilt Commodores48c165.44$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.6438343.6%167 W · 216 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-13.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Vanderbilt Commodores44c165$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.353,68442.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L+32.6wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0236…fa20backed Vanderbilt Commodores65c160.34$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.22875%6 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.08per pick67cpaid+16.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0370…d000backed Texas Longhorns63c145.69$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.3294036.9%347 W · 593 L+8.6wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Vanderbilt Commodores65c145.4$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.083,38049.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L+30.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdcc9…4534backed Vanderbilt Commodores65c142.85$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.853357.6%19 W · 14 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick60cpaid-6.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf9ef…20ebbacked Texas Longhorns67c142.03$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.845953.8%247 W · 212 L-1.1wins0.00per pick54cpaid-3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Texas Longhorns51c140.15$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.121,49348.7%727 W · 766 L-1.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-19.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Vanderbilt Commodores69c124$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.641,15550.4%582 W · 573 L-34.4wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-8.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x84fd…4bcebacked Vanderbilt Commodores65c115.38$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7510%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.65per pick65cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7c85…77c6backed Vanderbilt Commodores69c100$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$693164.5%20 W · 11 L+1.1wins+0.04per pick61cpaid+10.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfd32…c9c1backed Vanderbilt Commodores37c100$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3710%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x12fe…38cfbacked Texas Longhorns36c100$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$641,26043.3%545 W · 715 L+34.8wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8046…a845backed Texas Longhorns36c99.99$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6410047%47 W · 53 L+8.7wins+0.09per pick38cpaid+24%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x47cb…dfdabacked Texas Longhorns37c97.3$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.336535.9%131 W · 234 L+1.4wins0.00per pick36cpaid-18.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2dc4…0c92backed Texas Longhorns29c95.25$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.6199045.6%451 W · 539 L+9.6wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc091…3d42backed Vanderbilt Commodores54c95$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.372248.8%352 W · 370 L-23.6wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-7.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x755a…6da6backed Texas Longhorns39c93.64$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.0353635.6%191 W · 345 L+10.0wins+0.02per pick34cpaid+8.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x89f3…dfffbacked Texas Longhorns29c87$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.771,17325.2%296 W · 877 L-43.0wins-0.04per pick29cpaid-21.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x70fa…07f3backed Texas Longhorns56c75$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.042450%12 W · 12 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-10.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3a8e…b505backed Vanderbilt Commodores59c74.22$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.9548051%245 W · 235 L-6.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-10.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe371…466abacked Vanderbilt Commodores65c73.85$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$481145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-13.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf1ab…361bbacked Vanderbilt Commodores47c67.66$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.19821.4%21 W · 77 L-17.7wins-0.18per pick40cpaid-55.5%equal weight34-0.14 edge/pick
0xb9ad…44febacked Vanderbilt Commodores65c60$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.710151.5%52 W · 49 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick54cpaid+4.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xad99…7aa0backed Vanderbilt Commodores39c51.28$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf76b…8f52backed Vanderbilt Commodores46c50$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.091931.6%6 W · 13 L-1.8wins-0.09per pick41cpaid-39%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfee4…d386backed Vanderbilt Commodores67c45$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.114846.6%69 W · 79 L-4.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7216…0d67backed Texas Longhorns50c40.91$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.3518241.2%75 W · 107 L-6.5wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-15.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x223e…fc48backed Texas Longhorns54c37.04$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.041361.5%8 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick64cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x600b…3695backed Texas Longhorns62c36$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.751526.7%4 W · 11 L-2.5wins-0.17per pick43cpaid-46.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Vanderbilt Commodores66c34$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.441,51147.8%722 W · 789 L-35.2wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7c56…81a9backed Vanderbilt Commodores59c33.9$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204257.1%24 W · 18 L-3.3wins-0.08per pick65cpaid-13.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Texas Longhorns35c33.12$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.5412,42249.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L+118.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x30a4…8441backed Texas Longhorns36c29.8$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.0742246.2%195 W · 227 L-9.5wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-5.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Texas Longhorns65c25$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.751,66736.4%607 W · 1,060 L-4.0wins0.00per pick37cpaid-7.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2c97…c20bbacked Vanderbilt Commodores65c23.54$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.335646.6%166 W · 190 L-11.2wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Vanderbilt Commodores64c20.6$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.262,04832.7%670 W · 1,378 L-16.2wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-9.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc5b5…7e80backed Texas Longhorns66c20$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.82,00353.7%1,076 W · 927 L+101.7wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+2.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.