Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Iona Gaels vs. Rider Broncs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2c8a521acdc69d50c7e33649238afc6b68452d73a74bd51368e8b286c66cd4af
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Rider Broncsof Iona Gaels, Rider Broncs
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $26,546
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $27,001
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $26,546 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 63 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Iona Gaels | 60c | 4,692$2,794 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,793.75 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xed2c…9597backed Rider Broncs | 24c | 4,000$960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,039.99 | 397 | 44.8%178 W · 219 L | +9.4wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Iona Gaels | 76c | 2,227$1,692 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,692.31 | 841 | 47.4%399 W · 442 L | -13.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Iona Gaels | 75c | 2,093$1,570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,569.75 | 906 | 45.4%411 W · 495 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Rider Broncs | 41c | 1,416$581 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$834.54 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe3d4…2bacbacked Iona Gaels | 58c | 1,319$764 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$764.38 | 97 | 71.1%69 W · 28 L | +5.7wins | +0.06per pick | 65cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee20…5b37backed Rider Broncs | 48c | 982.82$472 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510.48 | 190 | 50.5%96 W · 94 L | +15.7wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Rider Broncs | 25c | 851$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$638.25 | 605 | 48.9%296 W · 309 L | +10.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d88…1e28backed Rider Broncs | 26c | 733$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$539.1 | 65 | 38.5%25 W · 40 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -17%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Rider Broncs | 70c | 629.13$438 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.45 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Iona Gaels | 31c | 613.31$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.89 | 573 | 35.6%204 W · 369 L | -27.3wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3a8e…b505backed Rider Broncs | 53c | 501.02$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.18 | 480 | 51%245 W · 235 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x313d…6f98backed Iona Gaels | 79c | 379.29$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 67 | 67.2%45 W · 22 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8ab9…ff25backed Iona Gaels | 69c | 336$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.09 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 73cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Iona Gaels | 76c | 325$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Rider Broncs | 78c | 314.12$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.09 | 1,951 | 45.1%880 W · 1,071 L | -19.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Rider Broncs | 54c | 296.22$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.93 | 1,493 | 48.7%727 W · 766 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd41a…fd60backed Rider Broncs | 33c | 280$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.6 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7669…f58cbacked Rider Broncs | 46c | 250$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135 | 153 | 56.2%86 W · 67 L | +14.9wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3880…ab7dbacked Iona Gaels | 29c | 220.51$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 235 | 44.7%105 W · 130 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Rider Broncs | 49c | 204.71$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.82 | 2,003 | 53.7%1,076 W · 927 L | +101.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x83c8…26f0backed Iona Gaels | 15c | 200$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 133 | 13.5%18 W · 115 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 12cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Rider Broncs | 32c | 187.78$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.16 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcda0…a51abacked Iona Gaels | 75c | 182.83$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.12 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -2.4wins | -0.17per pick | 60cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe6f0…5701backed Rider Broncs | 65c | 166.96$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.35 | 369 | 42.3%156 W · 213 L | -9.5wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5165…175bbacked Iona Gaels | 41c | 162.42$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.05 | 98 | 49%48 W · 50 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4786…ff95backed Rider Broncs | 71c | 150.73$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.71 | 99 | 47.5%47 W · 52 L | -5.4wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x30a4…8441backed Rider Broncs | 23c | 141.69$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.1 | 422 | 46.2%195 W · 227 L | -9.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed Rider Broncs | 54c | 130.76$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.53 | 735 | 49.1%361 W · 374 L | -14.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c97…c20bbacked Iona Gaels | 78c | 128.21$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 356 | 46.6%166 W · 190 L | -11.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Rider Broncs | 76c | 121.84$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.36 | 1,887 | 45.2%853 W · 1,034 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed Rider Broncs | 42c | 100.17$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.78 | 536 | 35.6%191 W · 345 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e80…f17abacked Iona Gaels | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 160 | 8.1%13 W · 147 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Rider Broncs | 21c | 99.99$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.99 | 1,487 | 43%639 W · 848 L | +50.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe1c3…7d73backed Iona Gaels | 51c | 99$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.79 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +2.5wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +21%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Rider Broncs | 67c | 88$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.91 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x413d…0db8backed Iona Gaels | 78c | 80$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.1 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -3.9wins | -0.56per pick | 70cpaid | -81.3%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Rider Broncs | 69c | 73.68$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.54 | 456 | 44.5%203 W · 253 L | -16.8wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ab…361bbacked Iona Gaels | 62c | 72.56$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 98 | 21.4%21 W · 77 L | -17.7wins | -0.18per pick | 40cpaid | -55.5%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x47cb…dfdabacked Iona Gaels | 25c | 72$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 365 | 35.9%131 W · 234 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Rider Broncs | 51c | 71$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.73 | 497 | 47.5%236 W · 261 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Rider Broncs | 64c | 61.72$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.26 | 2,124 | 50.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc4…0c92backed Iona Gaels | 76c | 60.43$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.93 | 990 | 45.6%451 W · 539 L | +9.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Iona Gaels | 78c | 56.97$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.44 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0370…d000backed Rider Broncs | 49c | 53.56$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.47 | 940 | 36.9%347 W · 593 L | +8.6wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f91…8065backed Rider Broncs | 24c | 53.08$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.34 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | +4.0wins | +0.13per pick | 48cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Rider Broncs | 47c | 50.17$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.78 | 1,003 | 55.3%555 W · 448 L | +46.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2c07…aeb0backed Rider Broncs | 49c | 50.16$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.61 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa2a…f4f7backed Iona Gaels | 74c | 50$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Iona Gaels | 76c | 47$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.86 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Rider Broncs | 54c | 46.41$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.33 | 1,985 | 64.1%1,273 W · 712 L | +144.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Iona Gaels | 76c | 44$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.65 | 2,579 | 47.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L | -42.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x600b…3695backed Rider Broncs | 45c | 40$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.9 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -2.5wins | -0.17per pick | 43cpaid | -46.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed Iona Gaels | 51c | 35.54$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.09 | 668 | 31.4%210 W · 458 L | -43.1wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -23%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6460…84efbacked Rider Broncs | 30c | 35$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.6 | 41 | 53.7%22 W · 19 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +14%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Rider Broncs | 42c | 32.69$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.96 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ae4…7c46backed Rider Broncs | 46c | 31.98$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.18 | 133 | 50.4%67 W · 66 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8ca…eb61backed Rider Broncs | 55c | 26.25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.68 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +80.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd363…e6d1backed Rider Broncs | 77c | 25.87$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.87 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | -2.4wins | -0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe7bf…299dbacked Iona Gaels | 78c | 25.64$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.78per pick | 78cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf709…c75cbacked Iona Gaels | 78c | 25.64$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -2.2wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc27f…12a9backed Iona Gaels | 75c | 22$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 72 | 52.8%38 W · 34 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b51…7292backed Iona Gaels | 61c | 18$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.98 | 20 | 80%16 W · 4 L | +2.1wins | +0.11per pick | 69cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Iona Gaels vs. Rider Broncsthis page
- Iona Gaels vs. Rider Broncs: O/U 143.5Under won
- Iona Gaels vs. Rider Broncs: O/U 144.5Under won
- Spread: Iona Gaels (-7.5)Rider Broncs won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.