Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Air Force Falcons vs. San Jose State Spartans
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x322d20bb58c6a2ad31c6458e8dde5b7c37f7ffadd4013ec5d28709e7c72a012b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- San Jose State Spartansof Air Force Falcons, San Jose State Spartans
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $74,601
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $70,521
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $74,601 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 62 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb45a…192cbacked San Jose State Spartans | 71c | 28,063$19,924 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,138.54 | 896 | 45.9%411 W · 485 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Air Force Falcons | 29c | 20,000$5,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,800 | 906 | 45.4%411 W · 495 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Air Force Falcons | 29c | 7,097$2,038 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,037.56 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd63b…9c25backed Air Force Falcons | 0c | 6,703$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.65 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Air Force Falcons | 29c | 5,446$1,598 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,597.56 | 1,436 | 47.5%682 W · 754 L | -18.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e29…9e66backed Air Force Falcons | 11c | 5,086$545 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$545.06 | 55 | 20%11 W · 44 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked San Jose State Spartans | 71c | 3,500$2,467 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,032.5 | 2,896 | 50%1,448 W · 1,448 L | +71.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9161…622ebacked Air Force Falcons | 3c | 1,938$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.88 | 45 | 22.2%10 W · 35 L | +5.2wins | +0.11per pick | 11cpaid | +51.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Air Force Falcons | 29c | 1,777$511 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510.71 | 605 | 48.9%296 W · 309 L | +10.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdf…8e02backed Air Force Falcons | 29c | 1,600$464 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$464 | 146 | 47.9%70 W · 76 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…abbebacked Air Force Falcons | 30c | 1,286$391 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390.81 | 1,983 | 26.4%523 W · 1,460 L | -55.5wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5165…175bbacked San Jose State Spartans | 72c | 1,168$836 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$332.08 | 98 | 49%48 W · 50 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89f3…dfffbacked Air Force Falcons | 22c | 1,143$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.17 | 1,173 | 25.2%296 W · 877 L | -43.0wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Air Force Falcons | 28c | 945$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265.34 | 2,579 | 47.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L | -42.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed San Jose State Spartans | 71c | 837.76$597 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.08 | 2,124 | 50.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3010…a27cbacked Air Force Falcons | 12c | 791.26$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.95 | 140 | 21.4%30 W · 110 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Air Force Falcons | 12c | 768.57$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.92 | 1,493 | 48.7%727 W · 766 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed San Jose State Spartans | 77c | 722.01$557 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.35 | 735 | 49.1%361 W · 374 L | -14.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked San Jose State Spartans | 74c | 677.48$501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.91 | 1,887 | 45.2%853 W · 1,034 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked San Jose State Spartans | 75c | 602.71$451 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.66 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked San Jose State Spartans | 72c | 600$432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168 | 2,687 | 48.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8289…2b2ebacked San Jose State Spartans | 75c | 500$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125 | 70 | 58.6%41 W · 29 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca0f…780bbacked San Jose State Spartans | 70c | 420.45$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.95 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Air Force Falcons | 29c | 369.15$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.72 | 2,048 | 32.7%670 W · 1,378 L | -16.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked San Jose State Spartans | 74c | 342.08$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.97 | 138 | 42.8%59 W · 79 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b55…9e46backed Air Force Falcons | 11c | 306.17$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.09 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 14cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3759…6b3bbacked Air Force Falcons | 29c | 300$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87 | 106 | 52.8%56 W · 50 L | +5.4wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e20…8e0ebacked Air Force Falcons | 18c | 277.78$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x44f0…432cbacked San Jose State Spartans | 70c | 256.2$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.86 | 754 | 47.1%355 W · 399 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed San Jose State Spartans | 70c | 248.99$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.33 | 1,633 | 47.3%773 W · 860 L | +25.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked San Jose State Spartans | 68c | 242.01$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.44 | 1,540 | 41.3%636 W · 904 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x882c…a26fbacked San Jose State Spartans | 78c | 235.28$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.73 | 55 | 45.5%25 W · 30 L | +3.4wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xed2c…9597backed San Jose State Spartans | 69c | 230.44$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.44 | 397 | 44.8%178 W · 219 L | +9.4wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdddc…ced2backed Air Force Falcons | 26c | 221.58$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.61 | 78 | 39.7%31 W · 47 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xacbe…85d4backed Air Force Falcons | 25c | 200$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 57 | 38.6%22 W · 35 L | -6.5wins | -0.11per pick | 50cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed San Jose State Spartans | 75c | 199$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.01 | 1,074 | 47%505 W · 569 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f29…9d73backed San Jose State Spartans | 79c | 197.97$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.57 | 82 | 53.7%44 W · 38 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +12%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked San Jose State Spartans | 78c | 159.99$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 202 | 54.5%110 W · 92 L | +9.7wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51ad…5e56backed Air Force Falcons | 13c | 153.85$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 101 | 26.7%27 W · 74 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ea0…a726backed Air Force Falcons | 15c | 135.41$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.7 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -70.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Air Force Falcons | 28c | 105.36$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.45 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed San Jose State Spartans | 74c | 100$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 352 | 43.2%152 W · 200 L | -11.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5124…91bbbacked San Jose State Spartans | 72c | 100$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 270 | 48.1%130 W · 140 L | +12.8wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8046…a845backed Air Force Falcons | 25c | 96.68$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.17 | 100 | 47%47 W · 53 L | +8.7wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | +24%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Air Force Falcons | 23c | 92.34$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.09 | 573 | 35.6%204 W · 369 L | -27.3wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed San Jose State Spartans | 70c | 85$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.5 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea81…eeaebacked Air Force Falcons | 23c | 80$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.4 | 1,227 | 27.8%341 W · 886 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf76b…8f52backed Air Force Falcons | 16c | 80$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.51 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -1.8wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -39%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7216…0d67backed Air Force Falcons | 16c | 71.38$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.66 | 182 | 41.2%75 W · 107 L | -6.5wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a5…e95dbacked San Jose State Spartans | 78c | 64.1$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.1 | 402 | 52.7%212 W · 190 L | -9.1wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc4…0c92backed San Jose State Spartans | 76c | 63.76$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.3 | 990 | 45.6%451 W · 539 L | +9.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x746a…8a4bbacked Air Force Falcons | 19c | 52.68$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.23 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -39.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed Air Force Falcons | 22c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 536 | 35.6%191 W · 345 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfee4…d386backed Air Force Falcons | 27c | 39.47$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.69 | 148 | 46.6%69 W · 79 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked San Jose State Spartans | 73c | 37.95$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.25 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fa…51e5backed San Jose State Spartans | 76c | 31.91$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.66 | 188 | 44.7%84 W · 104 L | -10.4wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xea23…ab65backed San Jose State Spartans | 71c | 28.05$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.05 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.23per pick | 57cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a23…97a7backed San Jose State Spartans | 69c | 26.82$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.31 | 215 | 35.3%76 W · 139 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed San Jose State Spartans | 70c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 449 | 55.2%248 W · 201 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x382c…2261backed San Jose State Spartans | 80c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4 | 34 | 70.6%24 W · 10 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 67cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2db9…846cbacked San Jose State Spartans | 70c | 16.23$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.87 | 55 | 49.1%27 W · 28 L | -3.3wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed San Jose State Spartans | 77c | 15.86$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.59 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.