Tennis · resolved market
Adelaide International: Diana Shnaider vs Katerina Siniakova
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9cfabb98fcde46ab75a4ed46a2912ce57f26bd934101069b9c8a4fb5062cb595
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Shnaiderof Shnaider, Siniakova
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $83,216
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $99,984
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $83,216 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 96 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Siniakova | 43c | 7,657$3,264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,263.64 | 2,746 | 30.8%846 W · 1,900 L | -67.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Shnaider | 61c | 6,014$3,644 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,369.73 | 2,865 | 44.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda35…ff0ebacked Shnaider | 57c | 6,000$3,420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,579.99 | 591 | 51.6%305 W · 286 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Siniakova | 43c | 5,719$2,437 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,437.27 | 7,018 | 43.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L | +124.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0ac…fd51backed Shnaider | 49c | 5,080$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,579.97 | 284 | 44.7%127 W · 157 L | +13.7wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe5df…382dbacked Siniakova | 34c | 3,529$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x046c…2a9cbacked Shnaider | 48c | 3,039$1,467 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,571.58 | 352 | 47.2%166 W · 186 L | -23.2wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Shnaider | 71c | 2,657$1,879 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$778.6 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ebb…061abacked Siniakova | 34c | 2,484$845 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$844.72 | 49 | 44.9%22 W · 27 L | -3.8wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4fb7…082dbacked Shnaider | 47c | 2,131$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,131.34 | 81 | 48.1%39 W · 42 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe916…4563backed Siniakova | 49c | 2,060$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 65 | 49.2%32 W · 33 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Siniakova | 25c | 2,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 819 | 38.9%319 W · 500 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Siniakova | 32c | 1,798$572 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$572.03 | 2,426 | 47.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Siniakova | 42c | 1,424$603 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$603.24 | 2,068 | 34.9%721 W · 1,347 L | -44.2wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae90…f6c8backed Shnaider | 43c | 1,200$516 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$684 | 69 | 37.7%26 W · 43 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa558…1b44backed Siniakova | 51c | 1,190$607 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$606.75 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda5f…2e9bbacked Siniakova | 51c | 1,165$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 447 | 54.4%243 W · 204 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe85d…95d8backed Shnaider | 69c | 1,164$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$363.57 | 58 | 60.3%35 W · 23 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x081e…f76ebacked Shnaider | 46c | 1,087$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$587.09 | 1,446 | 48.8%706 W · 740 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a4e…3309backed Siniakova | 42c | 952.07$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Shnaider | 65c | 926.96$603 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$323.56 | 1,655 | 50.1%829 W · 826 L | +30.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a63…b752backed Shnaider | 55c | 902.79$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$403.2 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | +3.7wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2249…3005backed Siniakova | 15c | 870.33$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.55 | 41 | 24.4%10 W · 31 L | -4.8wins | -0.12per pick | 36cpaid | -41.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xba8d…009dbacked Shnaider | 59c | 671.15$398 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$273.51 | 278 | 36.3%101 W · 177 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeed0…dd5ebacked Siniakova | 44c | 602.75$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265 | 109 | 43.1%47 W · 62 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c76…477abacked Shnaider | 49c | 600$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306 | 177 | 41.8%74 W · 103 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…ab6abacked Shnaider | 68c | 563.19$381 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.34 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +44.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb893…bf4bbacked Siniakova | 46c | 513.04$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236 | 632 | 47.6%301 W · 331 L | -15.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61fa…7f62backed Siniakova | 59c | 508.83$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 464 | 53%246 W · 218 L | -10.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Siniakova | 38c | 507.28$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.91 | 2,982 | 39.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Siniakova | 34c | 482.97$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.9 | 2,489 | 45.2%1,126 W · 1,363 L | -27.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e20…8e0ebacked Shnaider | 44c | 456.8$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256.8 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.0wins | +0.33per pick | 50cpaid | +75.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa8bd…df80backed Siniakova | 38c | 428.95$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163 | 227 | 44.5%101 W · 126 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7daf…0ec8backed Shnaider | 59c | 423.72$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.73 | 100 | 43%43 W · 57 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe3d4…2bacbacked Shnaider | 43c | 414.19$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.62 | 655 | 58.9%386 W · 269 L | -32.1wins | -0.05per pick | 64cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x79d1…68b3backed Siniakova | 14c | 410.69$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.96 | 21 | 9.5%2 W · 19 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 13cpaid | -39.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8da1…339ebacked Siniakova | 53c | 352.83$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187 | 60 | 46.7%28 W · 32 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Siniakova | 22c | 319.89$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.85 | 276 | 27.2%75 W · 201 L | -25.2wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x33af…288abacked Shnaider | 46c | 310.64$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.14 | 248 | 26.2%65 W · 183 L | -13.3wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x96ec…fcc4backed Shnaider | 52c | 300$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143 | 213 | 46.5%99 W · 114 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a46…ba91backed Shnaider | 58c | 279.07$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.57 | 62 | 59.7%37 W · 25 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83c8…26f0backed Siniakova | 16c | 265.48$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.48 | 138 | 16.7%23 W · 115 L | +7.6wins | +0.06per pick | 11cpaid | +46%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfa1a…d9abbacked Siniakova | 38c | 263.16$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x86b1…c094backed Siniakova | 29c | 250$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.5 | 580 | 21.9%127 W · 453 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x06c2…184fbacked Siniakova | 60c | 250$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 243 | 40.3%98 W · 145 L | -11.6wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0e7c…d12fbacked Shnaider | 40c | 250$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 50 | 40%20 W · 30 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa48e…b476backed Shnaider | 62c | 241.94$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.94 | 174 | 39.7%69 W · 105 L | -4.9wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…e5a5backed Siniakova | 42c | 238.4$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101 | 1,266 | 34.2%433 W · 833 L | -43.2wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x81a4…da1fbacked Shnaider | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.39 | 138 | 50.7%70 W · 68 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4042…0bdabacked Siniakova | 48c | 208.51$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 982 | 40.1%394 W · 588 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e80…f17abacked Siniakova | 16c | 200$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 136 | 8.1%11 W · 125 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 9cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd7cc…b660backed Siniakova | 28c | 200$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 70 | 17.1%12 W · 58 L | -5.0wins | -0.07per pick | 24cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0257…22b2backed Shnaider | 65c | 199.99$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 593 | 48.9%290 W · 303 L | +8.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b7f…e826backed Siniakova | 45c | 178.03$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 693 | 50.5%350 W · 343 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa877…2e20backed Siniakova | 42c | 172$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.24 | 810 | 47.9%388 W · 422 L | +30.1wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfdfd…2f8ebacked Shnaider | 58c | 156.29$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.64 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +162.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e39…ec6bbacked Shnaider | 65c | 155.56$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 26 | 73.1%19 W · 7 L | +3.1wins | +0.12per pick | 61cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x61c1…0513backed Shnaider | 66c | 151.91$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.91 | 1,287 | 60.7%781 W · 506 L | -21.2wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x877a…7de2backed Shnaider | 48c | 131.68$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.03 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -3.0wins | -0.37per pick | 50cpaid | -73.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0097…f101backed Siniakova | 38c | 131.58$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 218 | 43.1%94 W · 124 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7216…0d67backed Siniakova | 23c | 129.42$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.24 | 252 | 37.3%94 W · 158 L | -13.1wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ab…f5c1backed Shnaider | 66c | 125.88$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.88 | 219 | 49.3%108 W · 111 L | -10.0wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x02c7…4fcabacked Shnaider | 58c | 106.9$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.9 | 37 | 67.6%25 W · 12 L | +3.7wins | +0.10per pick | 58cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe889…d0c3backed Siniakova | 47c | 104.26$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 174 | 32.2%56 W · 118 L | -15.1wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -22%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf575…e0ebbacked Siniakova | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 204 | 31.9%65 W · 139 L | -9.1wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed Siniakova | 22c | 103.38$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.39 | 314 | 34.4%108 W · 206 L | -25.2wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1997…2e36backed Shnaider | 40c | 100$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 81 | 58%47 W · 34 L | +4.4wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xecae…b906backed Siniakova | 46c | 100$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 1,026 | 46.8%480 W · 546 L | +14.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed Shnaider | 68c | 94.25$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.27 | 161 | 50.3%81 W · 80 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd752…85d4backed Shnaider | 59c | 90$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.9 | 268 | 33.6%90 W · 178 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdc…c974backed Shnaider | 65c | 76.92$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.92 | 51 | 60.8%31 W · 20 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2db8…e042backed Shnaider | 73c | 68.49$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.49 | 749 | 61.8%463 W · 286 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Shnaider | 65c | 65.99$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.81 | 1,852 | 44.5%825 W · 1,027 L | -20.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6385…e191backed Siniakova | 19c | 62.35$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.54 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c83…6f40backed Siniakova | 36c | 55.56$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1,258 | 50%629 W · 629 L | -4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa57…a128backed Shnaider | 63c | 51.17$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.93 | 191 | 67%128 W · 63 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1e5…18f4backed Shnaider | 76c | 50$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 38 | 68.4%26 W · 12 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 73cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd902…d076backed Siniakova | 26c | 47.03$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.25 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24e4…5adcbacked Siniakova | 35c | 44.26$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.4 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ba…c5d8backed Siniakova | 42c | 43.78$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.39 | 602 | 40.5%244 W · 358 L | -12.2wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x11ab…7ad1backed Siniakova | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 157 | 34.4%54 W · 103 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x223e…fc48backed Shnaider | 65c | 40.62$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.04 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e74…d044backed Shnaider | 55c | 40$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 121 | 56.2%68 W · 53 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc13f…ca64backed Shnaider | 60c | 40$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc61a…c00cbacked Siniakova | 44c | 39.66$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.45 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Siniakova | 41c | 37.48$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.37 | 248 | 46%114 W · 134 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e7d…4a9bbacked Siniakova | 43c | 34.88$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 398 | 50%199 W · 199 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x89f3…04d0backed Shnaider | 58c | 34.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.48 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +52%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x072e…cab0backed Shnaider | 59c | 33.9$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.9 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7a88…fd7fbacked Shnaider | 60c | 33.33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.33 | 38 | 65.8%25 W · 13 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 69cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe759…3648backed Shnaider | 65c | 30.77$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.77 | 155 | 51.6%80 W · 75 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4bb3…c11abacked Shnaider | 66c | 30.3$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.3 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.17per pick | 61cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x35e3…91e8backed Shnaider | 52c | 28.85$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.85 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +94.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x669e…035bbacked Shnaider | 77c | 25$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.88 | 101 | 86.1%87 W · 14 L | +14.1wins | +0.14per pick | 72cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x6ad8…9bc1backed Shnaider | 58c | 20.82$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.66 | 138 | 34.1%47 W · 91 L | -8.2wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4d3d…ebeabacked Shnaider | 58c | 17.99$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.56 | 108 | 38.9%42 W · 66 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Adelaide International: Diana Shnaider vs Katerina Siniakovathis page
- Set 1 Winner: Shnaider vs SiniakovaShnaider won
- Set Handicap: Shnaider (-1.5) vs Siniakova (+1.5)Siniakova won
- Shnaider vs. Siniakova: Match O/U 21.5Over won
- Shnaider vs. Siniakova: Match O/U 22.5Over won
- Shnaider vs. Siniakova: Total Sets O/U 2.5Over 2.5 won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.