TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Dallas Open: Sebastian Korda vs Frances Tiafoe

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Kordaof Korda, Tiafoe
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$117,349
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$120,459

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $117,349 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 145 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x38c2…d3a7backed Tiafoe49c17,925$8,759 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,759.2448851.6%252 W · 236 L-5.1wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc0ac…fd51backed Tiafoe46c10,820$5,001 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,000.6528444.7%127 W · 157 L+13.7wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+13.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Korda54c9,392$5,094 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,297.582,86544.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L+6.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-20.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2727…eef4backed Tiafoe25c8,440$2,106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,105.8719134%65 W · 126 L+6.4wins+0.03per pick31cpaid+3.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9f13…e0fdbacked Korda55c7,902$4,351 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,551.0376140.6%309 W · 452 L-15.3wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-6.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6f3e…bcf8backed Tiafoe46c6,116$2,810 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,809.8476146.6%355 W · 406 L-1.0wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x33c9…6f9abacked Korda55c5,825$3,177 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,647.5693055.8%519 W · 411 L+23.8wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+1.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbd52…df69backed Korda54c5,682$3,059 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,623.5526545.3%120 W · 145 L+5.0wins+0.02per pick43cpaid0%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Tiafoe0c3,694$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.52,3317.9%183 W · 2,148 L-56.9wins-0.02per pick10cpaid-60.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf819…d410backed Tiafoe56c3,505$1,960 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,9605658.9%33 W · 23 L+4.5wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+18.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Korda56c3,415$1,920 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,494.92,74630.8%846 W · 1,900 L-67.1wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-36.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb62f…6836backed Tiafoe9c3,000$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2708530.6%26 W · 59 L-3.5wins-0.04per pick35cpaid-22.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x479e…91c3backed Tiafoe71c2,823$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,00044163.7%281 W · 160 L-6.8wins-0.02per pick65cpaid-4.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked Korda55c2,686$1,490 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,195.652,98239.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L-109.1wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-30.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xec13…862bbacked Tiafoe43c2,671$1,142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,141.697736.4%28 W · 49 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-8.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Korda58c2,470$1,443 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,027.0811,43543.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L+17.8wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc3e4…5bf6backed Tiafoe47c2,004$934 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$933.6720653.4%110 W · 96 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-5.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2f2b…0f9abacked Korda56c1,623$909 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$714.247552.4%249 W · 226 L+6.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd696…8a49backed Tiafoe45c1,529$688 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$688.2514450.7%73 W · 71 L+6.9wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+11.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc9aa…67e1backed Korda54c1,478$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$677.99950.5%50 W · 49 L-0.5wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Korda55c1,412$780 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$631.593,07244.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L-30.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-23%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x21c2…6749backed Tiafoe38c1,317$501 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501.021,00846%464 W · 544 L-19.0wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-19.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Tiafoe44c1,301$572 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$571.9225428%71 W · 183 L-13.4wins-0.05per pick33cpaid-24.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed Korda49c1,294$640 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$653.531,10641%454 W · 652 L+2.5wins0.00per pick41cpaid-19.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf332…3c89backed Tiafoe47c1,222$570 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57040141.9%168 W · 233 L+9.3wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x39c6…0ac1backed Tiafoe44c1,129$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$499.733241.6%138 W · 194 L-10.7wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-6.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa965…3565backed Korda49c1,112$550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$562.1534745.2%157 W · 190 L+16.5wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+12.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x471a…e183backed Tiafoe24c1,056$254 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$253.5210%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Korda54c971.12$528 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$443.12,42647.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L+45.2wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-13.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaea0…0decbacked Tiafoe37c890$331 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$330.997046.6%452 W · 518 L-8.0wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-17.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb5e7…3c1abacked Korda55c839.96$462 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$377.9887251.1%446 W · 426 L+8.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x26fb…67b8backed Korda66c822$543 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$279.1865157.1%372 W · 279 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Tiafoe23c787$181 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$181.4465647.6%312 W · 344 L+17.8wins+0.03per pick45cpaid-12.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xff72…512bbacked Tiafoe24c769.85$186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$186.436833.8%23 W · 45 L+2.9wins+0.04per pick30cpaid-6.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Tiafoe45c765.63$345 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$344.534,42651.8%2,291 W · 2,135 L+136.7wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+0.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Korda52c721.99$372 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$349.9449143%211 W · 280 L-15.1wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-21.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4fab…708bbacked Tiafoe37c679.82$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2501,27630.4%388 W · 888 L-11.5wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc398…f446backed Tiafoe45c666.67$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30096035.4%340 W · 620 L-40.5wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-14.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Korda53c547.69$290 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$257.411,21841.1%500 W · 718 L-30.1wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-16%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x700f…62d8backed Korda56c537.65$302 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$236.0538348%184 W · 199 L+7.7wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Korda56c537$298 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$238.7843042.8%184 W · 246 L-8.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-7.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc181…0992backed Tiafoe45c504.44$227 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22765651.8%340 W · 316 L-0.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xec5b…aff2backed Tiafoe52c501.16$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$260.4911046.4%51 W · 59 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+9.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1388…339abacked Tiafoe45c500$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22522737.4%85 W · 142 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-9.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd9f8…e913backed Tiafoe46c499.99$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23019653.6%105 W · 91 L+4.0wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+0.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Korda53c495$262 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$232.657,72447.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L+41.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe5b4…1e3ebacked Tiafoe44c491.74$216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$216.3615244.1%67 W · 85 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-7.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2ada…2f28backed Tiafoe44c486$214 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$213.847037.1%26 W · 44 L-6.5wins-0.09per pick46cpaid-44%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Korda55c476$264 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$212.3795140.1%381 W · 570 L+29.7wins+0.03per pick37cpaid+12%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9f0f…a571backed Tiafoe45c473.33$213 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21337339.1%146 W · 227 L-11.7wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-12.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd66f…a19bbacked Korda51c465$236 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$228.851931.6%6 W · 13 L-3.0wins-0.16per pick48cpaid-41%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xf32a…dea9backed Korda54c457.51$246 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$211.5811454.4%62 W · 52 L+3.9wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+3.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3b1f…6500backed Korda40c403$162 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$240.9469249.6%343 W · 349 L-9.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-14.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Tiafoe45c400$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18034842.2%147 W · 201 L+12.4wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5773…ac11backed Korda58c400$232 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1689643.8%42 W · 54 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-11%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6c10…4e76backed Tiafoe9c358.05$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.5633326.4%88 W · 245 L-14.1wins-0.04per pick31cpaid-17.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1fde…43e8backed Tiafoe40c347.28$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$138.912060%12 W · 8 L+2.4wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+15.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Tiafoe44c340.06$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.732,06834.9%721 W · 1,347 L-44.2wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-25.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x46f1…7295backed Tiafoe64c333.19$212 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21218663.4%118 W · 68 L+3.9wins+0.02per pick61cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb906…2a75backed Korda58c300$174 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12640744%179 W · 228 L-14.8wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-9.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x005c…a987backed Korda55c300$165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13510739.3%42 W · 65 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-14.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb0cb…85babacked Tiafoe44c300$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1326050%30 W · 30 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0ae2…da95backed Korda43c300$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1706656.1%37 W · 29 L+0.2wins0.00per pick56cpaid-12.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Korda56c289$162 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.161,03954.6%567 W · 472 L+37.6wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+7.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2e62…b22ebacked Tiafoe54c278.73$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.1925134.3%86 W · 165 L-4.3wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-17.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9351…ef0fbacked Korda55c272.97$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.8310440.4%42 W · 62 L-5.4wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-16.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed Tiafoe45c271.11$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1221,92355.4%1,066 W · 857 L-44.9wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-9.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb2ca…d984backed Korda56c250$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11023353.2%124 W · 109 L+0.6wins0.00per pick53cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Tiafoe42c250$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1054,07639.7%1,620 W · 2,456 L+93.7wins+0.02per pick37cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xef46…b0eabacked Tiafoe40c250$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10039438.1%150 W · 244 L-16.4wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-11.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x06fd…2a05backed Tiafoe53c245.48$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13030%0 W · 3 L-1.7wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6236…6881backed Tiafoe45c225$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.2516146.6%75 W · 86 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0f97…a9b3backed Tiafoe45c223.04$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.3726227.9%73 W · 189 L-11.3wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-17.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4eb2…8083backed Tiafoe45c222.22$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001050%5 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7705…a442backed Tiafoe45c220$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9949632.3%160 W · 336 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3d78…a4ccbacked Tiafoe46c217.39$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10033055.8%184 W · 146 L+9.0wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x588b…8593backed Tiafoe47c212.77$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001,10743.5%481 W · 626 L-3.9wins0.00per pick44cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeef4…10eabacked Tiafoe48c210$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.81353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.6wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+22.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe2bb…ea55backed Korda55c200$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9012147.1%57 W · 64 L+4.7wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+4.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2ecb…7645backed Tiafoe25c188.63$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.9992548.8%451 W · 474 L+20.2wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed Korda57c188$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.996,78648.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L+56.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-15.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Tiafoe44c187$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.2821338.5%82 W · 131 L+5.4wins+0.03per pick36cpaid+15.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x89c9…9534backed Korda56c180$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.260055.7%334 W · 266 L+2.9wins0.00per pick55cpaid+0.8%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x2a9b…7303backed Korda57c175.43$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.4342046.9%197 W · 223 L-8.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-3.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5b2a…bc9bbacked Korda58c172.41$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.414346.5%20 W · 23 L-4.5wins-0.11per pick57cpaid-24.7%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x1968…2261backed Tiafoe10c166.6$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.661050%5 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe792…80bcbacked Tiafoe50c164.93$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.826549.2%32 W · 33 L-3.6wins-0.06per pick55cpaid-15.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc4c9…9ee4backed Tiafoe19c157.89$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3035730.5%109 W · 248 L-11.4wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-12.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4411…985ebacked Tiafoe47c153.7$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.242,14554.2%1,162 W · 983 L-1.6wins0.00per pick54cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xea1d…9984backed Tiafoe7c142.9$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-28.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc55d…9d2dbacked Korda58c137.29$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.295056%28 W · 22 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-1.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x8996…15efbacked Korda67c136.49$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.3116132.3%52 W · 109 L-5.4wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-20.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6dd9…bfe8backed Korda54c125$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.52035%7 W · 13 L-2.2wins-0.11per pick46cpaid-26.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5562…3b41backed Korda56c120$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.814949.7%74 W · 75 L-13.2wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-19.2%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x70b2…1950backed Korda56c114.29$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.293775.7%28 W · 9 L+8.4wins+0.23per pick53cpaid+41.1%equal weight65+0.14 edge/pick
0x2586…fd97backed Korda56c114.27$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.28540%2 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-18.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x25bf…7a56backed Tiafoe31c111.11$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$352,33546.6%1,088 W · 1,247 L+55.3wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-1.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Korda55c108$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.167,13949.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L+109.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x67bb…d11fbacked Tiafoe45c107.92$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.568853.4%47 W · 41 L0.0wins0.00per pick53cpaid-4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb06…4ababacked Tiafoe48c104.17$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5028754%155 W · 132 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.