Tennis · resolved market
Set 1 Winner: Korda vs Tiafoe
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x88e94842f9151a971874dd750f2b54682edc75c033b3e14fdd15523044e497c1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Kordaof Korda, Tiafoe
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,140
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,140
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,140 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 18 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x985b…6b7fbacked Tiafoe | 47c | 53$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.91 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6809…a9fcbacked Tiafoe | 47c | 38$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.86 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.11per pick | 64cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x25ad…85bbbacked Tiafoe | 47c | 38$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.86 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4e21…4275backed Korda | 53c | 37$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.39 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b97…64eebacked Korda | 55c | 36.2$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.2 | 42 | 69%29 W · 13 L | +3.9wins | +0.09per pick | 60cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x334c…01a1backed Tiafoe | 47c | 35$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.45 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.21per pick | 59cpaid | -41%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfef4…409ebacked Korda | 53c | 30$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.1 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.26per pick | 60cpaid | +49.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa5d3…cb7cbacked Korda | 53c | 29$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.63 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.21per pick | 59cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9783…d484backed Korda | 53c | 28$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.16 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +36%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb66b…8751backed Korda | 53c | 28$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.16 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.17per pick | 66cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Tiafoe | 45c | 27$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.15 | 7,139 | 49.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L | +109.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1c5…5ff4backed Tiafoe | 47c | 25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.75 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -3.6wins | -0.30per pick | 55cpaid | -54.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0685…51c4backed Korda | 53c | 23$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.81 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.17per pick | 61cpaid | +35%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe8…d748backed Tiafoe | 47c | 22$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.34 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 67cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb414…9683backed Korda | 53c | 19$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.93 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.19per pick | 61cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb21b…8e32backed Korda | 53c | 19$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.93 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fed…23e5backed Korda | 54c | 19$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.74 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.10per pick | 56cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd2c2…098ebacked Korda | 53c | 19$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.93 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Set 1 Winner: Korda vs Tiafoethis page
- Dallas Open: Sebastian Korda vs Frances TiafoeKorda won
- Korda vs. Tiafoe: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5Over won
- Set Handicap: Korda (-1.5) vs Tiafoe (+1.5)Korda won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.