TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte - Map 2 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
PARIVISIONof PARIVISION, Monte
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$324,292
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$340,341

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $324,292 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 240 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xa5ea…d96abacked Monte31c51,990$16,117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,117.0242440.3%171 W · 253 L-12.5wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-9.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5e6e…be00backed Monte32c21,719$6,980 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,980.0741649.8%207 W · 209 L+19.5wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+11%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x18bb…e5cdbacked Monte18c20,000$3,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,50030726.4%81 W · 226 L+8.8wins+0.03per pick24cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3993…cdedbacked PARIVISION69c17,858$12,322 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,535.9683652.5%439 W · 397 L+10.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdcfe…44b5backed PARIVISION69c12,777$8,816 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,960.879256.5%52 W · 40 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked PARIVISION70c12,152$8,545 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,607.163,09648.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L+135.0wins+0.04per pick44cpaid-5.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x52ec…a6f3backed PARIVISION68c10,000$6,820 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,18046949.7%233 W · 236 L-14.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-8.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x21ec…5348backed PARIVISION68c8,000$5,440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,56072453.7%389 W · 335 L+11.9wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4fe9…706abacked PARIVISION64c5,931$3,782 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,149.2316448.2%79 W · 85 L-8.7wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-8.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5809…9868backed PARIVISION19c5,536$1,049 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,487.476225.8%16 W · 46 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick25cpaid-9.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8c0b…7aa5backed Monte25c5,206$1,295 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,295.3181843.2%353 W · 465 L+23.0wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+2.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb00a…c58cbacked PARIVISION69c4,950$3,399 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,551.188444%37 W · 47 L-4.2wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-10.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1eb0…d25bbacked PARIVISION9c4,550$431 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,118.8327133.2%90 W · 181 L-12.8wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-23.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xbf5e…4189backed Monte26c4,411$1,159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,158.6433452.1%174 W · 160 L+10.7wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+1.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5e38…de0fbacked Monte17c3,382$592 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$591.7215760.5%95 W · 62 L+15.8wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+10.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x562b…f85fbacked PARIVISION75c3,280$2,460 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$820.045855.2%32 W · 26 L+2.4wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+5.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2765…7ee4backed PARIVISION69c3,180$2,194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$985.6764552.9%341 W · 304 L+27.2wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+9.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0cd9…2a08backed Monte31c2,762$844 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$843.621528.8%62 W · 153 L-10.1wins-0.05per pick34cpaid-19.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked Monte15c2,704$397 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$397.021,61145.4%731 W · 880 L+30.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-14.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5215…3164backed Monte44c2,562$1,128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,127.646829.4%20 W · 48 L-8.2wins-0.12per pick41cpaid-26.2%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x2133…7903backed PARIVISION18c2,507$461 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,045.8138835.8%139 W · 249 L-6.8wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-10.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x19b6…ad8ebacked PARIVISION10c2,323$241 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,082.8519540%78 W · 117 L-5.9wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-4.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe167…03a1backed Monte41c2,123$865 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$864.641850%209 W · 209 L+9.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0659…d74dbacked PARIVISION68c2,040$1,387 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$652.898052.4%514 W · 466 L+26.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x09ec…427dbacked Monte43c1,994$848 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$847.8217850%89 W · 89 L-0.9wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xad72…4f5ebacked PARIVISION18c1,835$334 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,500.9324538.4%94 W · 151 L-5.0wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x598b…f296backed Monte55c1,801$998 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$998.0112446.8%58 W · 66 L-9.6wins-0.08per pick55cpaid-14.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x3265…d5b8backed Monte59c1,772$1,045 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,044.8213043.1%56 W · 74 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+10.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa9ca…6a8bbacked PARIVISION43c1,767$754 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,012.7675245.5%342 W · 410 L-21.8wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-6.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfcf2…1a4ebacked PARIVISION69c1,699$1,168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$530.654630.4%14 W · 32 L-9.0wins-0.20per pick50cpaid-42.6%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0x31b5…6128backed PARIVISION71c1,650$1,168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$481.772365.2%15 W · 8 L+2.0wins+0.09per pick56cpaid+13%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3471…f17ebacked Monte15c1,646$252 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251.641,05449%516 W · 538 L+38.1wins+0.04per pick45cpaid-10.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf988…d63bbacked Monte67c1,623$1,087 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,087.2835850.8%182 W · 176 L+11.1wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6df5…6430backed Monte17c1,464$249 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$248.691,27821.9%280 W · 998 L-24.3wins-0.02per pick24cpaid-16.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1cb5…6be6backed PARIVISION70c1,430$1,001 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42923333%77 W · 156 L-22.8wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-34.2%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xd561…9a30backed PARIVISION61c1,429$865 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$564.23366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.09per pick57cpaid+16.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked PARIVISION40c1,314$521 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$793.22,22141.3%917 W · 1,304 L-22.6wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-19.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x391d…def1backed Monte28c1,250$356 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$356.1820440.7%83 W · 121 L+3.4wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-1.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xbc67…5286backed PARIVISION69c1,235$846 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$388.841,03361.6%636 W · 397 L+87.2wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+11.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xc983…ebf0backed Monte59c1,194$707 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$706.91942.1%8 W · 11 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick39cpaid+40.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xfb67…fd46backed PARIVISION60c1,094$661 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$432.687250%36 W · 36 L+7.6wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+27.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xb7b3…9573backed Monte42c1,085$456 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$455.746345.6%211 W · 252 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-8.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0e8a…42a0backed Monte32c1,056$336 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3362040%8 W · 12 L-2.5wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-23.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xc5ac…2a18backed PARIVISION10c1,054$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$946.1925147.8%120 W · 131 L+9.5wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+10%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3cf3…eb8ebacked Monte23c1,040$244 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$243.55234.6%18 W · 34 L+3.0wins+0.06per pick29cpaid-7.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x40a2…19c9backed PARIVISION73c1,003$732 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2719340.9%38 W · 55 L-7.7wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-23%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x7430…3af2backed Monte32c1,000$320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3206744.8%30 W · 37 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf630…7e65backed Monte32c1,000$320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3206046.7%28 W · 32 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8f7c…901bbacked PARIVISION24c1,000$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7602100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+174.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3ae1…befbbacked PARIVISION20c1,000$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80040950.6%207 W · 202 L-3.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-7.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa2e9…a86ebacked PARIVISION76c918.15$697 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$221.1819355.4%107 W · 86 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed PARIVISION2c910$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$892.235,28731.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L-383.3wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-37.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x22ae…af00backed PARIVISION55c909.96$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$409.4826451.5%136 W · 128 L-0.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid-5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0599…3c6abacked Monte59c898.42$526 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$525.7361754.8%338 W · 279 L-18.6wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x499f…ccafbacked PARIVISION22c895.65$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$695.656048.3%29 W · 31 L+7.0wins+0.12per pick37cpaid+20.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x1f04…1d79backed Monte21c859.67$182 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$181.7212021.7%26 W · 94 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick23cpaid-10.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5453…a834backed PARIVISION6c833.33$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$783.3331654.7%173 W · 143 L+9.2wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+12.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0257…22b2backed PARIVISION53c760$401 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$358.5245455.1%250 W · 204 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfeb9…95c9backed PARIVISION54c754.97$410 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$344.9754732.2%176 W · 371 L-28.0wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-18%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0438…9d98backed PARIVISION35c711.7$246 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$465.2324346.9%114 W · 129 L-7.1wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-11.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0fbc…62a3backed Monte53c690.95$368 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$367.9424457%139 W · 105 L-4.4wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-7.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Monte30c666.67$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001,25942.5%535 W · 724 L+20.6wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1f07…c74fbacked Monte37c661.64$244 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$244.354835.4%17 W · 31 L-0.1wins0.00per pick36cpaid-6.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2b26…57e9backed Monte40c649.97$261 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$260.591,48558%862 W · 623 L+66.5wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+6.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4042…0bdabacked PARIVISION32c626.53$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$426.5318049.4%89 W · 91 L+6.3wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfdc0…4b85backed Monte17c625.89$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.52,06641.5%858 W · 1,208 L-49.5wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-16.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc38d…850abacked PARIVISION66c625.35$412 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$213.355569.1%38 W · 17 L+3.7wins+0.07per pick62cpaid+10.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc192…086cbacked Monte33c606.06$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20027530.9%85 W · 190 L-18.6wins-0.07per pick38cpaid-20.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc155…d550backed PARIVISION72c603.97$434 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$169.978149.4%40 W · 41 L-9.1wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-27.9%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x4687…8d42backed PARIVISION20c602.22$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$482.2252947.1%249 W · 280 L-14.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-8.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2529…548abacked PARIVISION73c600$436 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$164.313,22551.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L+88.0wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked PARIVISION67c579.99$389 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$190.681244.3%360 W · 452 L-0.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid+2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4572…83ffbacked PARIVISION53c567.4$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$267.432348.9%158 W · 165 L-11.5wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-6.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9ae8…c2a8backed Monte31c549.06$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$170.2124846.8%116 W · 132 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-0.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x18e4…e2bbbacked Monte31c533.19$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$165.298562.4%53 W · 32 L+14.2wins+0.17per pick46cpaid+33.9%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0x3edb…5280backed PARIVISION56c531.84$296 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$235.676953.6%37 W · 32 L-3.4wins-0.05per pick59cpaid-11.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6c74…c217backed Monte32c520$166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$166.43240.6%13 W · 19 L-2.3wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-20.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd77f…05a4backed PARIVISION68c520$354 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$166.43767.6%25 W · 12 L+6.6wins+0.18per pick50cpaid+37.4%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x05be…2b45backed Monte52c500$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2601942.1%8 W · 11 L-1.0wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-9.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x167f…fa5ebacked Monte20c500$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001747.1%8 W · 9 L+3.5wins+0.21per pick26cpaid+69.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x3fd1…17ccbacked Monte7c489.16$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.247428.4%21 W · 53 L-2.3wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-29.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked Monte7c467$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.491,04044%458 W · 582 L-22.2wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-22.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2775…3652backed PARIVISION49c459.35$223 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$236.0111240.2%45 W · 67 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-6.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x127a…3344backed PARIVISION34c457.53$156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$301.8429465.3%192 W · 102 L+12.3wins+0.04per pick61cpaid+5.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed PARIVISION65c454.34$296 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$158.384,03848.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L-23.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1aee…8796backed Monte33c452.77$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15028254.6%154 W · 128 L-9.0wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-4.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed Monte26c449.76$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.516,48042.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L-79.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa474…32cbbacked Monte36c416.5$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.9425846.1%119 W · 139 L+9.6wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+3.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfe8a…23cebacked PARIVISION58c409.46$236 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$173.462,21447.5%1,052 W · 1,162 L-5.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid-14.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Monte5c405$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.093,91036.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L-197.6wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-29.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1709…c148backed Monte48c403.16$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$195.516144.3%27 W · 34 L-3.2wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-20.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1568…c958backed Monte50c401.22$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20027950.2%140 W · 139 L-5.8wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-6.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x994d…3d8dbacked Monte16c399.99$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6452834.3%181 W · 347 L-6.4wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-13.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa485…92a5backed Monte51c393.81$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.64854.2%26 W · 22 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0856…2d20backed Monte53c377.52$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.961631.3%5 W · 11 L-2.8wins-0.17per pick49cpaid-38%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x7a78…add7backed PARIVISION59c373.6$219 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$154.141,96946.7%919 W · 1,050 L+12.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6326…6329backed PARIVISION79c360.76$285 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.7659343.2%256 W · 337 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-7.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe76d…5a75backed Monte32c350$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11253444.9%240 W · 294 L+11.2wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfe36…d9a4backed Monte26c348.81$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.691457.1%8 W · 6 L+1.6wins+0.12per pick46cpaid+65.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1efc…1a6bbacked Monte36c346.05$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1231752.9%9 W · 8 L+2.2wins+0.13per pick40cpaid+37.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.