TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte - Map 1 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Monteof PARIVISION, Monte
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$177,692
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$212,253

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $177,692 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 152 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x5e38…de0fbacked Monte40c13,315$5,307 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,008.515760.5%95 W · 62 L+15.8wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+10.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x4572…83ffbacked PARIVISION49c11,176$5,462 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,46232348.9%158 W · 165 L-11.5wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-6.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xbc67…5286backed Monte51c8,618$4,382 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,236.271,03361.6%636 W · 397 L+87.2wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+11.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x21ec…5348backed PARIVISION62c8,000$4,960 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,96072453.7%389 W · 335 L+11.9wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa7ea…bbb3backed Monte48c5,584$2,657 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,927.059153.8%49 W · 42 L+6.8wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+11.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked Monte50c5,212$2,597 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,614.611,61145.4%731 W · 880 L+30.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-14.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3471…f17ebacked Monte49c4,691$2,281 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,409.341,05449%516 W · 538 L+38.1wins+0.04per pick45cpaid-10.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2775…3652backed PARIVISION55c3,985$2,206 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,205.8211240.2%45 W · 67 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-6.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf988…d63bbacked Monte43c3,766$1,621 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,145.6835850.8%182 W · 176 L+11.1wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Monte48c3,692$1,786 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,906.343,09648.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L+135.0wins+0.04per pick44cpaid-5.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0438…9d98backed PARIVISION1c3,000$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3024346.9%114 W · 129 L-7.1wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-11.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9d93…2cf1backed PARIVISION55c2,733$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,50011643.1%50 W · 66 L-13.6wins-0.12per pick55cpaid-27.9%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xb4a8…2587backed Monte51c2,692$1,382 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,309.671233.3%4 W · 8 L-1.2wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-27%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xfdc0…4b85backed Monte49c2,134$1,042 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,091.872,06641.5%858 W · 1,208 L-49.5wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-16.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked PARIVISION63c2,105$1,332 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,331.941,04044%458 W · 582 L-22.2wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-22.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3265…d5b8backed Monte11c2,100$222 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,877.9813043.1%56 W · 74 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+10.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xea22…747abacked Monte48c1,943$932 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,011.31384.6%11 W · 2 L+3.3wins+0.25per pick60cpaid+45.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x52ec…a6f3backed PARIVISION54c1,726$932 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$931.7846949.7%233 W · 236 L-14.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-8.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed Monte48c1,607$773 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$834.616,48042.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L-79.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Monte36c1,394$502 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$892.162,77637.4%1,038 W · 1,738 L-140.2wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-20.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe167…03a1backed Monte45c1,275$574 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$701.3641850%209 W · 209 L+9.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed PARIVISION67c1,248$842 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$842.354,03848.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L-23.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x30f4…8c1ebacked PARIVISION72c1,189$856 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$856.3127947.7%133 W · 146 L-1.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6df5…6430backed Monte22c1,150$259 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$891.51,27821.9%280 W · 998 L-24.3wins-0.02per pick24cpaid-16.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x338c…1b33backed PARIVISION55c1,003$551 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$551.2316947.9%81 W · 88 L-6.7wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-11.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked PARIVISION59c1,001$589 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$589.42,22141.3%917 W · 1,304 L-22.6wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-19.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa535…6b04backed PARIVISION65c919.79$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6002133.3%7 W · 14 L-4.8wins-0.23per pick56cpaid-44.5%equal weight38-0.10 edge/pick
0xa370…06fbbacked Monte58c872.23$505 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$367.232161.9%13 W · 8 L+1.7wins+0.08per pick54cpaid+17.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3402…9446backed PARIVISION59c870.81$512 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$512.0610043%43 W · 57 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-7.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x391d…def1backed Monte39c822.61$321 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$501.320440.7%83 W · 121 L+3.4wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-1.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe8a…23cebacked Monte45c750$337 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$413.442,21447.5%1,052 W · 1,162 L-5.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid-14.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7a78…add7backed Monte46c740.16$343 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$397.661,96946.7%919 W · 1,050 L+12.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd92d…e560backed PARIVISION53c700$371 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37158651%299 W · 287 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4687…8d42backed PARIVISION48c658.53$318 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$317.752947.1%249 W · 280 L-14.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-8.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked PARIVISION62c648.26$402 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401.921,71446.7%801 W · 913 L+1.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x18e4…e2bbbacked Monte64c639.74$409 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$230.318562.4%53 W · 32 L+14.2wins+0.17per pick46cpaid+33.9%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0x2b26…57e9backed PARIVISION51c594.96$305 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$304.831,48558%862 W · 623 L+66.5wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+6.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Monte41c557.94$229 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$329.395,51147%2,590 W · 2,921 L+42.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x60b6…eb2bbacked PARIVISION49c506.62$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25026438.6%102 W · 162 L-5.5wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-16.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb7b3…9573backed Monte50c500$248 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$252.546345.6%211 W · 252 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-8.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Monte35c491$172 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$319.153,91036.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L-197.6wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-29.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2529…548abacked Monte47c463.88$216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$247.43,22551.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L+88.0wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x588d…3f41backed Monte48c457.27$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$237.2383543.6%364 W · 471 L-9.0wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-7.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x72aa…90e0backed Monte46c450$209 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$240.844,22849.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L+59.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-10.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x43e8…af56backed PARIVISION5c443.02$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2419935.7%71 W · 128 L-13.7wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-17.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x3cf3…eb8ebacked Monte26c412.33$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$303.625234.6%18 W · 34 L+3.0wins+0.06per pick29cpaid-7.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x99a2…feedbacked PARIVISION31c404.99$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.7512132.2%39 W · 82 L-4.6wins-0.04per pick36cpaid-8.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd7f5…40d7backed Monte40c399.91$159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$240.872050%10 W · 10 L+1.0wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe203…1b53backed PARIVISION53c377.36$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20035344.8%158 W · 195 L-1.4wins0.00per pick45cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7a73…a9c8backed PARIVISION54c371.85$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20069635.3%246 W · 450 L-49.3wins-0.07per pick42cpaid-17.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xd4ee…b9e8backed Monte24c356$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$270.561100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.76per pick24cpaid+316.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Monte51c300.62$154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$146.717,92550.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L+179.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-2.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x994d…3d8dbacked PARIVISION41c300$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.6252834.3%181 W · 347 L-6.4wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-13.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7681…ac03backed Monte31c300$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2076033.3%20 W · 40 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-15.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x14a0…22bbbacked Monte57c300$171 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1291,39365.9%918 W · 475 L+26.8wins+0.02per pick64cpaid+1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4013…406bbacked PARIVISION52c299.98$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155.9915063.3%95 W · 55 L+3.1wins+0.02per pick61cpaid+0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfd3f…44f1backed PARIVISION61c299.03$183 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18317847.2%84 W · 94 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+5.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x34c4…0eb3backed Monte24c288$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$218.881100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.76per pick24cpaid+316.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x776b…1611backed PARIVISION28c270$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.36442.2%27 W · 37 L-5.0wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-24.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x0cd9…2a08backed Monte44c268.99$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151.0121528.8%62 W · 153 L-10.1wins-0.05per pick34cpaid-19.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1efc…1a6bbacked PARIVISION43c267.44$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1151752.9%9 W · 8 L+2.2wins+0.13per pick40cpaid+37.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa02b…70d6backed Monte21c266$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$210.1417857.3%102 W · 76 L+27.9wins+0.16per pick42cpaid+47%equal weight65+0.14 edge/pick
0xbdb1…605cbacked PARIVISION76c260$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$197.610%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.76per pick76cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Monte46c244.6$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$130.951,67651.1%857 W · 819 L+21.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc55b…f113backed PARIVISION76c225$171 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17110%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.76per pick76cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7a55…c349backed Monte49c218.48$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.954953.1%26 W · 23 L+4.7wins+0.10per pick43cpaid+23.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xbf5e…4189backed PARIVISION60c212.5$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.533452.1%174 W · 160 L+10.7wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+1.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x216b…d5e6backed PARIVISION52c209.13$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.831942.1%8 W · 11 L-2.2wins-0.12per pick54cpaid-32.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf8a8…48c0backed PARIVISION53c204.98$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.9425251.2%129 W · 123 L+0.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1aee…8796backed PARIVISION74c202.95$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15028254.6%154 W · 128 L-9.0wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-4.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd752…85d4backed PARIVISION18c200$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3636837.5%138 W · 230 L+4.8wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+13.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3635…1afdbacked Monte47c191.11$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.113240.6%13 W · 19 L-2.3wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-25.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6846…a82fbacked Monte51c187.5$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.977865.4%51 W · 27 L+13.0wins+0.17per pick49cpaid+35.5%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0x6b22…ba7bbacked PARIVISION56c178.91$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.1910345.6%47 W · 56 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0ae8…9bcebacked Monte24c171$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.961100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.76per pick24cpaid+316.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3cfb…f786backed Monte24c170.83$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.8313119.8%26 W · 105 L-10.7wins-0.08per pick28cpaid-31.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6fcd…42f2backed PARIVISION48c160$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.863541.1%261 W · 374 L-4.0wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3871…669abacked PARIVISION76c153.04$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.3110%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.76per pick76cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4a36…7454backed Monte24c149$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.241100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.76per pick24cpaid+316.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0e8a…42a0backed PARIVISION52c144.83$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.312040%8 W · 12 L-2.5wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-23.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xd8e5…dc40backed PARIVISION76c144$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.4410%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.76per pick76cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6e6a…6c3fbacked PARIVISION76c143$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.6810%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.76per pick76cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6fe9…9c50backed PARIVISION64c140$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.618657%106 W · 80 L-3.1wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xfa60…556cbacked PARIVISION55c138.13$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.5932352%168 W · 155 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xac9c…50d8backed PARIVISION38c129.57$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.1125416.9%43 W · 211 L-10.1wins-0.04per pick21cpaid-17.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc621…d159backed PARIVISION9c127.78$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112157.1%12 W · 9 L+1.3wins+0.06per pick51cpaid-7.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4695…210abacked PARIVISION79c126.58$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001850%9 W · 9 L-1.9wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-14.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc155…d550backed PARIVISION54c121.82$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$668149.4%40 W · 41 L-9.1wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-27.9%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x2aad…88d4backed PARIVISION45c120.99$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.456245.2%28 W · 34 L+2.5wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+11.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7cbc…b637backed PARIVISION13c120$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.662538.6%241 W · 384 L-16.0wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-12.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6b67…642dbacked PARIVISION9c118.52$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111010%1 W · 9 L-1.8wins-0.18per pick28cpaid-80.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Monte36c112$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.6860147.4%285 W · 316 L+9.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-9.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd015…ec20backed PARIVISION42c112$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.188354.2%45 W · 38 L+2.5wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1f07…c74fbacked Monte36c110$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.44835.4%17 W · 31 L-0.1wins0.00per pick36cpaid-6.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x558c…ca77backed PARIVISION61c107.05$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6518265.9%120 W · 62 L+5.5wins+0.03per pick63cpaid+4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x11ff…4447backed Monte45c105.64$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.110534.3%36 W · 69 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick33cpaid+14.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x14f4…fa45backed Monte48c104.17$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.178645.3%39 W · 47 L-3.9wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-16.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xde4b…3b7dbacked PARIVISION57c100$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5731852.8%168 W · 150 L-11.1wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-12.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x04db…7703backed PARIVISION65c100$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6541645.9%191 W · 225 L+22.3wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+2.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4177…a2b4backed Monte37c97.3$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.31,24841.3%516 W · 732 L+5.1wins0.00per pick41cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.