CS2 · resolved market
Map Handicap: PRV (-1.5) vs Monte (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2287e9e95890afaaff8e0c385846f3be883c9efadf20cb0b4466161a04ace187
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Monteof PARIVISION, Monte
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $59,185
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $65,859
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $59,185 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 58 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3993…cdedbacked Monte | 56c | 19,241$10,775 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,466.31 | 836 | 52.5%439 W · 397 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe015…6ffdbacked PARIVISION | 44c | 17,500$7,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,700 | 152 | 45.4%69 W · 83 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e6e…be00backed PARIVISION | 44c | 11,829$5,205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,204.64 | 416 | 49.8%207 W · 209 L | +19.5wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x098b…1fa5backed Monte | 54c | 3,640$1,966 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,674.43 | 124 | 41.1%51 W · 73 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…65ddbacked Monte | 56c | 3,600$2,034 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,566 | 844 | 54.3%458 W · 386 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b89…1069backed Monte | 56c | 3,105$1,739 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,366.4 | 87 | 52.9%46 W · 41 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7645…3117backed Monte | 54c | 3,000$1,620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,379.98 | 716 | 45.9%329 W · 387 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8495…aed6backed Monte | 56c | 2,340$1,310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,029.6 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +2.1wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +118.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0659…d74dbacked Monte | 56c | 2,220$1,243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$977.18 | 980 | 52.4%514 W · 466 L | +26.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked PARIVISION | 44c | 2,075$917 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$916.82 | 1,714 | 46.7%801 W · 913 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b59…0ba0backed Monte | 56c | 1,996$1,113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$883.82 | 557 | 38.4%214 W · 343 L | +11.5wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc76…3af1backed PARIVISION | 46c | 1,969$905 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$904.72 | 50 | 48%24 W · 26 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +50.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed PARIVISION | 43c | 1,887$812 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$811.62 | 670 | 41.8%280 W · 390 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e7c…164dbacked Monte | 56c | 1,450$812 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$638 | 349 | 43%150 W · 199 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe9…c6dcbacked Monte | 75c | 1,333$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.33 | 56 | 60.7%34 W · 22 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd055…28d0backed PARIVISION | 25c | 1,320$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$329.91 | 655 | 46.9%307 W · 348 L | +18.4wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ae8…c2a8backed PARIVISION | 46c | 1,227$564 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$564.29 | 248 | 46.8%116 W · 132 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1568…c958backed PARIVISION | 47c | 1,110$516 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$516.31 | 279 | 50.2%140 W · 139 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde19…3a14backed PARIVISION | 46c | 1,053$484 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$483.51 | 125 | 52.8%66 W · 59 L | -5.2wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd589…27c2backed PARIVISION | 44c | 1,000$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440 | 87 | 51.7%45 W · 42 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x182d…73e9backed Monte | 56c | 1,000$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440 | 786 | 39.4%310 W · 476 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7430…3af2backed PARIVISION | 44c | 1,000$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440 | 67 | 44.8%30 W · 37 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf630…7e65backed PARIVISION | 44c | 999.99$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440 | 60 | 46.7%28 W · 32 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked Monte | 56c | 949.85$533 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$417.28 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcbd2…f8a0backed Monte | 53c | 752.68$399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$353.76 | 187 | 52.4%98 W · 89 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8120…54c9backed Monte | 56c | 726.79$407 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319.79 | 208 | 38%79 W · 129 L | -10.4wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x12ff…0852backed PARIVISION | 45c | 539.99$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243 | 204 | 45.6%93 W · 111 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbec5…8f77backed PARIVISION | 46c | 500$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 130 | 30.8%40 W · 90 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6867…f8d2backed PARIVISION | 46c | 434.78$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 64 | 43.8%28 W · 36 L | -4.5wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed PARIVISION | 43c | 390$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.3 | 854 | 46.4%396 W · 458 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfeb9…95c9backed Monte | 56c | 371.43$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.43 | 547 | 32.2%176 W · 371 L | -28.0wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -18%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…def1backed PARIVISION | 45c | 354.99$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.75 | 204 | 40.7%83 W · 121 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…7287backed PARIVISION | 46c | 326.09$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 105 | 41%43 W · 62 L | -10.4wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa7d4…f46cbacked PARIVISION | 46c | 272.7$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.44 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x38d5…865bbacked PARIVISION | 45c | 255.91$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.16 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Monte | 55c | 255.91$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.16 | 1,676 | 51.1%857 W · 819 L | +21.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99fe…b61cbacked Monte | 55c | 236.36$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.36 | 482 | 42.1%203 W · 279 L | -13.5wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x94a1…2075backed Monte | 55c | 236.36$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.36 | 452 | 44.5%201 W · 251 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf32d…bbbbbacked PARIVISION | 46c | 217.17$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.9 | 609 | 53.4%325 W · 284 L | -31.0wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0bf6…0d60backed PARIVISION | 67c | 200$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134 | 124 | 39.5%49 W · 75 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe766…404dbacked Monte | 55c | 200$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 139 | 47.5%66 W · 73 L | -6.4wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa76e…dcb6backed Monte | 55c | 199.99$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.99 | 1,310 | 53.7%703 W · 607 L | +32.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9107…b3e8backed PARIVISION | 45c | 182.31$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.04 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x735a…3ef2backed PARIVISION | 46c | 163.04$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 222 | 54.5%121 W · 101 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd00…7a45backed PARIVISION | 47c | 159.57$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 317 | 57.7%183 W · 134 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3763…345fbacked Monte | 55c | 150$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.5 | 535 | 45%241 W · 294 L | -11.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b9e…eb82backed Monte | 57c | 135.09$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.09 | 150 | 56%84 W · 66 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4fb4…8830backed PARIVISION | 46c | 100$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 52 | 32.7%17 W · 35 L | -4.4wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2b15…fa73backed Monte | 56c | 100$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 56 | 62.5%35 W · 21 L | +5.3wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb6e7…884cbacked Monte | 55c | 81.46$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.66 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x893a…37debacked Monte | 55c | 63.49$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.57 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +2.1wins | +0.15per pick | 57cpaid | +30%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1351…bebcbacked PARIVISION | 45c | 61.46$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.66 | 157 | 49%77 W · 80 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed Monte | 55c | 50$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.5 | 191 | 55.5%106 W · 85 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94bb…c320backed Monte | 56c | 39.69$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.46 | 368 | 46.7%172 W · 196 L | -10.8wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3be2…79cdbacked Monte | 55c | 35$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.75 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x98d0…01a4backed PARIVISION | 46c | 34.78$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 184 | 47.8%88 W · 96 L | -11.9wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x82ca…3135backed Monte | 58c | 27.19$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.51 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2761…4d95backed Monte | 56c | 23.84$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.49 | 529 | 51.4%272 W · 257 L | +23.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Map Handicap: PRV (-1.5) vs Monte (+1.5)this page
- Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 1Monte won
- Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte - Map 1 WinnerMonte won
- Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte - Map 2 WinnerPARIVISION won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.