CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: MASONIC vs NAVI Junior - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x12bff17efb08f7de5ef47d97a6f788d64ce6ad4debf11f836f9d3433e87cf1a0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- NAVI Juniorof MASONIC, NAVI Junior
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,838
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,985
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,838 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 24 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x507e…beaebacked NAVI Junior | 36c | 1,037$373 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$663.7 | 3,096 | 48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L | +135.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc192…086cbacked MASONIC | 64c | 895.75$572 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$572.32 | 275 | 30.9%85 W · 190 L | -18.6wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked MASONIC | 67c | 733.42$491 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$491.39 | 612 | 28.9%177 W · 435 L | -9.2wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8aa0…1160backed NAVI Junior | 30c | 385.64$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.95 | 126 | 51.6%65 W · 61 L | +4.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc0…699abacked NAVI Junior | 35c | 200$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130 | 1,181 | 22.5%266 W · 915 L | +3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56fc…affbbacked NAVI Junior | 32c | 200$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136 | 286 | 44.1%126 W · 160 L | -8.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf3f9…d587backed NAVI Junior | 36c | 176.44$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.67 | 350 | 33.4%117 W · 233 L | +22.4wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +44.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a5…e95dbacked MASONIC | 64c | 156.25$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 581 | 49.2%286 W · 295 L | -17.2wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb9f6…f506backed NAVI Junior | 37c | 101.33$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaee7…1e5bbacked NAVI Junior | 32c | 100$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68 | 341 | 47.5%162 W · 179 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3228…b4e3backed MASONIC | 50c | 98.85$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.43 | 47 | 36.2%17 W · 30 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bea…5d50backed NAVI Junior | 65c | 85.77$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.02 | 339 | 49%166 W · 173 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1986…cf16backed NAVI Junior | 50c | 85.77$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.89 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -15%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd0b0…ad2cbacked MASONIC | 64c | 78.42$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.19 | 35 | 65.7%23 W · 12 L | +2.6wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0068…1b85backed MASONIC | 70c | 76.36$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb93…ebe7backed MASONIC | 70c | 71.43$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 70cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35dc…0083backed NAVI Junior | 33c | 61.43$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.43 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +2.1wins | +0.16per pick | 38cpaid | +33.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7159…7cfcbacked MASONIC | 70c | 58.09$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.66 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.13per pick | 67cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x064e…4347backed MASONIC | 70c | 51$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.7 | 85 | 37.6%32 W · 53 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5305…57e8backed MASONIC | 56c | 40$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.4 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcf3…f535backed MASONIC | 70c | 38.6$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.02 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c69…2b8dbacked MASONIC | 70c | 23.43$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.4 | 275 | 56.7%156 W · 119 L | +14.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x828c…fb4cbacked MASONIC | 70c | 19.04$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.33 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x05dd…305cbacked MASONIC | 70c | 18.74$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.12 | 61 | 45.9%28 W · 33 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: MASONIC vs NAVI Junior - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: MASONIC vs NAVI Junior (BO3) - United21 PlayoffsMASONIC won
- Counter-Strike: MASONIC vs NAVI Junior - Map 1 WinnerMASONIC won
- Map Handicap: MSC (-1.5) vs NAVI Junior (+1.5)NAVI Junior won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.