CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: MASONIC vs NAVI Junior (BO3) - United21 Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x23d91ed331cf008d754262da43e8583f95b37e1f3fe6edd6eb2641540bb78640
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- MASONICof MASONIC, NAVI Junior
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $62,007
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $81,873
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $62,007 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 65 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbec7…5977backed NAVI Junior | 38c | 10,883$4,122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,121.77 | 576 | 47.6%274 W · 302 L | -25.7wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe42b…7ea9backed NAVI Junior | 10c | 8,500$850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$850 | 508 | 33.5%170 W · 338 L | +14.2wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed NAVI Junior | 1c | 3,769$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.05 | 1,500 | 9.9%148 W · 1,352 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb58…86a4backed MASONIC | 62c | 2,185$1,355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$830.48 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc598…b4acbacked MASONIC | 62c | 1,770$1,094 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$676.6 | 62 | 37.1%23 W · 39 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbdac…f7e2backed NAVI Junior | 16c | 1,318$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.98 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.18per pick | 53cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf3f9…d587backed NAVI Junior | 9c | 1,300$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.78 | 350 | 33.4%117 W · 233 L | +22.4wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +44.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x89f9…6f5bbacked MASONIC | 80c | 1,100$879 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +27.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e2e…b5a5backed NAVI Junior | 10c | 999.97$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 138 | 47.1%65 W · 73 L | +18.3wins | +0.13per pick | 34cpaid | +65.2%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x99e4…e4c4backed MASONIC | 62c | 980.11$608 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$372.44 | 221 | 42.5%94 W · 127 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fff…82f2backed NAVI Junior | 33c | 980$323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$323.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ab6…078ebacked MASONIC | 61c | 763.74$469 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295.14 | 239 | 52.3%125 W · 114 L | +14.6wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7951…bb41backed MASONIC | 64c | 700$448 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252 | 970 | 40.7%395 W · 575 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf37…993fbacked NAVI Junior | 39c | 635.86$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.99 | 190 | 30.5%58 W · 132 L | -12.1wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6bea…5d50backed MASONIC | 62c | 567.94$352 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.09 | 339 | 49%166 W · 173 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2bb…ea55backed MASONIC | 62c | 564.51$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.51 | 156 | 55.8%87 W · 69 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac98…7281backed NAVI Junior | 10c | 554.99$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.05 | 165 | 27.9%46 W · 119 L | -6.0wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56fc…affbbacked MASONIC | 61c | 500$307 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193 | 286 | 44.1%126 W · 160 L | -8.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa0bd…5f54backed NAVI Junior | 21c | 477.83$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 93 | 38.7%36 W · 57 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x58bc…7a82backed MASONIC | 67c | 360$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86b1…c094backed NAVI Junior | 15c | 343.22$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.71 | 573 | 22.3%128 W · 445 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28e0…75afbacked MASONIC | 67c | 330$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.9 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x064e…4347backed MASONIC | 62c | 322.58$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.58 | 85 | 37.6%32 W · 53 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed MASONIC | 62c | 300$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.75 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29ea…6f14backed MASONIC | 67c | 290$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.7 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35dc…0083backed NAVI Junior | 11c | 266.84$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +2.1wins | +0.16per pick | 38cpaid | +33.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked NAVI Junior | 10c | 262.65$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.9 | 612 | 28.9%177 W · 435 L | -9.2wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec24…9544backed MASONIC | 62c | 210.08$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.08 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc0…699abacked NAVI Junior | 10c | 200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1,181 | 22.5%266 W · 915 L | +3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5565…7693backed NAVI Junior | 10c | 200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 30cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x762d…45a6backed MASONIC | 62c | 179$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.02 | 127 | 52%66 W · 61 L | +5.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x82bf…de71backed NAVI Junior | 21c | 160$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.02 | 623 | 50.9%317 W · 306 L | +18.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a5…e95dbacked MASONIC | 66c | 151.52$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.52 | 581 | 49.2%286 W · 295 L | -17.2wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1512…68f3backed MASONIC | 61c | 137$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.48 | 291 | 53.6%156 W · 135 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed NAVI Junior | 34c | 137$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.49 | 211 | 39.3%83 W · 128 L | -5.4wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdafd…807fbacked NAVI Junior | 19c | 134.74$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +2.7wins | +0.11per pick | 45cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4756…b0e8backed MASONIC | 77c | 122.28$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.89 | 12 | 83.3%10 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.12per pick | 72cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfcf3…f535backed MASONIC | 62c | 121.5$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.17 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c69…2b8dbacked MASONIC | 71c | 116.69$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.99 | 275 | 56.7%156 W · 119 L | +14.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf836…e7b5backed MASONIC | 71c | 116.69$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.99 | 244 | 51.2%125 W · 119 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c4e…1c13backed NAVI Junior | 19c | 104.57$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.59 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61a3…b1e5backed NAVI Junior | 20c | 98.39$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05dd…305cbacked MASONIC | 71c | 93.36$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.2 | 61 | 45.9%28 W · 33 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5cc1…8b83backed MASONIC | 73c | 90.36$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.5 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +3.1wins | +0.23per pick | 46cpaid | +38.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3228…b4e3backed NAVI Junior | 30c | 87.03$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.97 | 47 | 36.2%17 W · 30 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd761…56e3backed NAVI Junior | 14c | 75$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 247 | 46.2%114 W · 133 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0e2…d949backed MASONIC | 68c | 73.53$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.53 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 69cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaf33…ab3ebacked MASONIC | 73c | 65.28$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.37 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 65cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x368d…d853backed NAVI Junior | 22c | 65.04$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.22 | 783 | 48.4%379 W · 404 L | +17.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8046…a845backed MASONIC | 64c | 61.94$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.39 | 91 | 51.6%47 W · 44 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6127…049ebacked NAVI Junior | 19c | 61.36$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce70…0be2backed MASONIC | 71c | 58.35$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17 | 28 | 28.6%8 W · 20 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b73…45d9backed MASONIC | 74c | 54.24$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.24 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -18%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c7c…ca88backed MASONIC | 72c | 37.38$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.38 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6cd…e027backed MASONIC | 62c | 30$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.4 | 489 | 43.6%213 W · 276 L | -12.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec48…d04cbacked MASONIC | 62c | 30$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.4 | 110 | 51.8%57 W · 53 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6698…e620backed MASONIC | 78c | 30$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.5 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -19%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaaa6…f3b0backed MASONIC | 80c | 29.91$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.08 | 136 | 75%102 W · 34 L | +22.9wins | +0.17per pick | 58cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xd9fb…74f3backed MASONIC | 67c | 29.85$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.85 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.10per pick | 41cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ad…44febacked MASONIC | 65c | 28.57$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 37 | 62.2%23 W · 14 L | +2.7wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4a0…993dbacked MASONIC | 74c | 27.12$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.12 | 53 | 47.2%25 W · 28 L | +3.6wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe18d…9c5bbacked MASONIC | 73c | 24.44$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.55 | 159 | 51.6%82 W · 77 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec51…b1d3backed MASONIC | 62c | 24$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.12 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.11per pick | 64cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x412f…019dbacked MASONIC | 71c | 23.34$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.8 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x498b…ca86backed MASONIC | 70c | 17.22$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.22 | 206 | 59.2%122 W · 84 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: MASONIC vs NAVI Junior (BO3) - United21 Playoffsthis page
- Counter-Strike: MASONIC vs NAVI Junior - Map 1 WinnerMASONIC won
- Counter-Strike: MASONIC vs NAVI Junior - Map 2 WinnerNAVI Junior won
- Map Handicap: MSC (-1.5) vs NAVI Junior (+1.5)NAVI Junior won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.