Tennis · resolved market
Hong Kong Tennis Open: Andrey Rublev vs Nuno Borges
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0a0cbabea930d2c15c379006d6e1d290f6dcee1f374a1ea7d5cff3f866a62f1d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Rublevof Rublev, Borges
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $230,345
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $277,643
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $230,345 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 154 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8c0b…7aa5backed Borges | 8c | 25,837$2,147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,146.83 | 104 | 43.3%45 W · 59 L | +8.4wins | +0.08per pick | 35cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x681d…3fa1backed Borges | 1c | 14,000$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 14cpaid | -63.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f13…e0fdbacked Rublev | 68c | 11,535$7,798 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,737.05 | 761 | 40.6%309 W · 452 L | -15.3wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8165…f688backed Borges | 32c | 10,925$3,496 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,495.89 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -28%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd289…079fbacked Rublev | 65c | 10,549$6,889 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,660.3 | 25 | 68%17 W · 8 L | +2.7wins | +0.11per pick | 57cpaid | +8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Borges | 26c | 8,779$2,289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,289.34 | 2,746 | 30.8%846 W · 1,900 L | -67.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe3d4…2bacbacked Rublev | 66c | 8,122$5,370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,752.02 | 655 | 58.9%386 W · 269 L | -32.1wins | -0.05per pick | 64cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Borges | 36c | 6,865$2,446 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,446.21 | 2,375 | 51.1%1,213 W · 1,162 L | +8.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Borges | 10c | 5,892$595 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$594.91 | 2,426 | 47.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Borges | 27c | 5,679$1,543 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,543.28 | 2,865 | 44.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x05e3…4b87backed Rublev | 65c | 4,523$2,940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,583.05 | 138 | 52.9%73 W · 65 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec7a…a1f2backed Rublev | 69c | 4,402$3,053 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,348.89 | 147 | 66.7%98 W · 49 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Borges | 35c | 4,128$1,445 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,444.96 | 781 | 52.8%412 W · 369 L | +21.3wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Borges | 30c | 3,440$1,033 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,032.54 | 7,018 | 43.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L | +124.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Borges | 0c | 3,068$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 2,331 | 7.9%183 W · 2,148 L | -56.9wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -60.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ba6…0f07backed Borges | 7c | 3,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 669 | 49.6%332 W · 337 L | -11.1wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Borges | 34c | 2,868$975 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$975.12 | 1,809 | 43.8%793 W · 1,016 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Borges | 34c | 2,856$971 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$971.2 | 391 | 44.2%173 W · 218 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Borges | 29c | 2,766$814 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$814.28 | 2,068 | 34.9%721 W · 1,347 L | -44.2wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Borges | 30c | 2,321$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$699.51 | 1,410 | 38.4%542 W · 868 L | -13.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -25%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb29…ea29backed Borges | 6c | 2,301$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.53 | 39 | 30.8%12 W · 27 L | -3.4wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Borges | 35c | 2,247$784 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$784.1 | 951 | 40.1%381 W · 570 L | +29.7wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +12%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Borges | 29c | 2,064$606 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$606.5 | 2,489 | 45.2%1,126 W · 1,363 L | -27.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d9d…e6c3backed Rublev | 65c | 2,049$1,332 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$717.15 | 58 | 51.7%30 W · 28 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e24…70a6backed Borges | 2c | 2,005$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe167…03a1backed Rublev | 65c | 2,000$1,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$700 | 316 | 47.8%151 W · 165 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33c9…6f9abacked Rublev | 67c | 1,922$1,291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$631.01 | 930 | 55.8%519 W · 411 L | +23.8wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ab6…078ebacked Borges | 3c | 1,667$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 72 | 38.9%28 W · 44 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Borges | 6c | 1,655$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.2 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfdd3…fefabacked Rublev | 66c | 1,515$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$515.15 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.23per pick | 73cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf866…eb17backed Rublev | 78c | 1,321$1,028 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.51 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 78cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda5f…2e9bbacked Rublev | 70c | 1,319$917 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$401.94 | 447 | 54.4%243 W · 204 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Borges | 2c | 1,080$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.6 | 156 | 5.8%9 W · 147 L | -32.4wins | -0.21per pick | 27cpaid | -64.6%equal weight | 30-0.18 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Borges | 35c | 1,079$378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$377.65 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb893…bf4bbacked Rublev | 69c | 1,047$722 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$324.56 | 632 | 47.6%301 W · 331 L | -15.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Borges | 34c | 1,029$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$349.86 | 7,724 | 47.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L | +41.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf42a…8470backed Borges | 32c | 999.99$316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$316 | 191 | 31.4%60 W · 131 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x20ba…6c27backed Rublev | 73c | 998.63$729 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.63 | 1,186 | 62.8%745 W · 441 L | -16.1wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8a0…35b6backed Borges | 24c | 842.08$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.66 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 37cpaid | +24%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29de…02aabacked Rublev | 64c | 781.42$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.31 | 127 | 52%66 W · 61 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Borges | 31c | 769.88$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.5 | 1,655 | 50.1%829 W · 826 L | +30.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab80…7923backed Rublev | 67c | 746.9$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.9 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.14per pick | 70cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc3e4…5bf6backed Rublev | 66c | 700$462 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238 | 206 | 53.4%110 W · 96 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed26…24fabacked Borges | 3c | 690$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.65 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x87e8…7102backed Rublev | 65c | 657.29$428 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.5 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +2.1wins | +0.12per pick | 60cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2294…4cd3backed Borges | 35c | 640$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224 | 147 | 44.2%65 W · 82 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x182d…73e9backed Rublev | 65c | 612.12$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.12 | 91 | 34.1%31 W · 60 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6179…6f80backed Borges | 35c | 563.49$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 102 | 47.1%48 W · 54 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b3…9573backed Rublev | 67c | 500$335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165 | 586 | 39.6%232 W · 354 L | -21.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x919d…60e1backed Borges | 34c | 500$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -3.3wins | -0.36per pick | 47cpaid | -79.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe85d…95d8backed Rublev | 64c | 468.75$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.75 | 58 | 60.3%35 W · 23 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Borges | 7c | 462.99$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.97 | 1,852 | 44.5%825 W · 1,027 L | -20.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…af57backed Rublev | 68c | 459.66$313 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.09 | 55 | 45.5%25 W · 30 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e13…670bbacked Rublev | 66c | 457.58$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.58 | 51 | 64.7%33 W · 18 L | +3.1wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x85e2…0980backed Rublev | 71c | 422.56$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.56 | 145 | 46.2%67 W · 78 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8aea…ec91backed Borges | 35c | 400$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc58d…9373backed Rublev | 69c | 391$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.21 | 162 | 42%68 W · 94 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4411…985ebacked Rublev | 69c | 375.25$257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.03 | 2,145 | 54.2%1,162 W · 983 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7163…3601backed Borges | 30c | 325$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.5 | 102 | 52%53 W · 49 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Borges | 35c | 317.58$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.12 | 730 | 48.8%356 W · 374 L | -18.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc181…0992backed Rublev | 64c | 312.5$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.5 | 656 | 51.8%340 W · 316 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x02c7…4fcabacked Rublev | 64c | 312.48$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.49 | 37 | 67.6%25 W · 12 L | +3.7wins | +0.10per pick | 58cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe35e…7754backed Rublev | 68c | 309.74$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.17 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Borges | 28c | 309.1$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.72 | 281 | 39.1%110 W · 171 L | -7.7wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2060…9186backed Rublev | 66c | 305.08$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.73 | 128 | 61.7%79 W · 49 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0be2…d514backed Borges | 33c | 300$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.95 | 98 | 57.1%56 W · 42 L | +6.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x09ec…f5b5backed Rublev | 65c | 300$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105 | 26 | 65.4%17 W · 9 L | +3.6wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf74d…9930backed Rublev | 65c | 300$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104 | 261 | 58.2%152 W · 109 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6f0…5701backed Borges | 18c | 297.33$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.53 | 186 | 44.6%83 W · 103 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked Borges | 26c | 287.19$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.75 | 222 | 36.9%82 W · 140 L | -10.4wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcfe8…32dfbacked Borges | 37c | 285.14$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.4 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ccc…e7e8backed Borges | 29c | 240.74$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 265 | 41.9%111 W · 154 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5699…418dbacked Rublev | 67c | 230$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.3 | 76 | 44.7%34 W · 42 L | -4.4wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5339…9da3backed Rublev | 66c | 222$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.02 | 864 | 70%605 W · 259 L | +43.2wins | +0.05per pick | 65cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4580…16e3backed Rublev | 69c | 217.46$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.46 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba34…7e93backed Borges | 23c | 207.59$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.18 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Borges | 35c | 200$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 1,212 | 33.1%401 W · 811 L | -16.7wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96ec…fcc4backed Rublev | 70c | 200$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.05 | 213 | 46.5%99 W · 114 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…4dc6backed Borges | 30c | 198$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.4 | 757 | 48.6%368 W · 389 L | +16.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9de5…e8f5backed Rublev | 67c | 194.71$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.71 | 96 | 69.8%67 W · 29 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 68cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c88…d85dbacked Borges | 27c | 190.87$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.62 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.09per pick | 37cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f0f…a571backed Rublev | 64c | 156.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.25 | 373 | 39.1%146 W · 227 L | -11.7wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x22cc…8aeabacked Borges | 35c | 154.29$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 131 | 38.9%51 W · 80 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc0e5…293bbacked Rublev | 65c | 153.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.85 | 109 | 62.4%68 W · 41 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca39…4ed7backed Rublev | 66c | 152.94$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 140 | 60.7%85 W · 55 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19f8…98f9backed Rublev | 66c | 152.52$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.52 | 108 | 62%67 W · 41 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe025…102fbacked Rublev | 66c | 150.9$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.9 | 25 | 68%17 W · 8 L | +5.4wins | +0.21per pick | 47cpaid | +49.9%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xdb69…c3e5backed Rublev | 73c | 150$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 1,076 | 55.5%597 W · 479 L | +8.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28b9…9719backed Rublev | 68c | 147.06$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.06 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -2.6wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd9cf…a32cbacked Borges | 35c | 142.86$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbf1…f54fbacked Rublev | 71c | 140.64$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.4 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +50.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1d7…432fbacked Rublev | 67c | 125$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.1 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +67.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb417…0fd2backed Borges | 36c | 111.49$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.96 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -43.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a7d…c3a6backed Borges | 35c | 100$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34da…ac26backed Borges | 37c | 100$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Borges | 27c | 99.9$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.97 | 276 | 27.2%75 W · 201 L | -25.2wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe798…b668backed Rublev | 65c | 93.14$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.6 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.11per pick | 69cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x25bf…7a56backed Borges | 33c | 90.91$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2,335 | 46.6%1,088 W · 1,247 L | +55.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60cd…3e7ebacked Rublev | 67c | 89.55$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.55 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4bb3…c11abacked Rublev | 66c | 88.74$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.17 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.17per pick | 61cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Hong Kong Tennis Open: Andrey Rublev vs Nuno Borgesthis page
- Rublev vs. Borges: Total Sets O/U 2.5Under 2.5 won
- Set 1 Winner: Rublev vs BorgesRublev won
- Set Handicap: Rublev (-1.5) vs Borges (+1.5)Rublev won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.