Tennis · resolved market
Set Handicap: Alcaraz (-2.5) vs Minaur (+2.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8f0fad2e70d2d7151973dd8b832d1e6664a90f7bd91d1ca02b45dae5a6fd204c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Alcarazof Alcaraz, Minaur
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $45,198
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $57,530
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $45,198 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 78 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbb2f…eca9backed Minaur | 56c | 20,000$11,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,199.98 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -2.1wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -54.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3993…cdedbacked Alcaraz | 44c | 10,060$4,427 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,633.82 | 76 | 55.3%42 W · 34 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | 0%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3ac…5018backed Alcaraz | 44c | 5,785$2,545 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,239.4 | 208 | 44.2%92 W · 116 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0113…6f26backed Alcaraz | 44c | 2,551$1,123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,428.67 | 129 | 49.6%64 W · 65 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8ba…bbb6backed Minaur | 60c | 1,276$763 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$763.14 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7be1…200ebacked Alcaraz | 44c | 1,109$485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$624.12 | 251 | 52.6%132 W · 119 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06c2…184fbacked Alcaraz | 53c | 1,080$572 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$507.59 | 243 | 40.3%98 W · 145 L | -11.6wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Minaur | 56c | 1,055$586 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$586.29 | 7,724 | 47.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L | +41.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6884…6ccfbacked Alcaraz | 43c | 1,050$447 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$602.39 | 116 | 47.4%55 W · 61 L | -4.8wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda35…ff0ebacked Minaur | 46c | 1,022$467 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$466.59 | 591 | 51.6%305 W · 286 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfeb9…95c9backed Minaur | 57c | 999.98$570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$569.99 | 140 | 39.3%55 W · 85 L | -4.9wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Alcaraz | 40c | 822.24$327 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$495.35 | 7,018 | 43.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L | +124.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Minaur | 59c | 799.99$472 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$471.99 | 81 | 43.2%35 W · 46 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7334…81dabacked Minaur | 58c | 700$406 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$406 | 15 | 6.7%1 W · 14 L | -1.7wins | -0.11per pick | 18cpaid | -89.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x42c1…e644backed Alcaraz | 44c | 650.72$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$365.28 | 42 | 66.7%28 W · 14 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a2…9874backed Minaur | 60c | 575$345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$345 | 126 | 27.8%35 W · 91 L | -6.9wins | -0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb38c…b2c9backed Alcaraz | 41c | 561$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330.99 | 380 | 48.4%184 W · 196 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x35dc…0083backed Minaur | 49c | 555.3$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272.25 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -1.4wins | -0.11per pick | 34cpaid | -58.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x80ac…6ac9backed Alcaraz | 45c | 553.83$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$303.83 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -1.9wins | -0.10per pick | 57cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf16d…b7f9backed Minaur | 50c | 539.94$271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270.68 | 160 | 29.4%47 W · 113 L | -6.6wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4411…985ebacked Alcaraz | 44c | 491.11$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275.02 | 2,145 | 54.2%1,162 W · 983 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a86…5664backed Alcaraz | 41c | 487.8$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.8 | 40 | 25%10 W · 30 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -42%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13c9…5e53backed Alcaraz | 41c | 441.47$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.65 | 118 | 50.8%60 W · 58 L | +6.0wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x38e1…ab0fbacked Alcaraz | 44c | 350$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Alcaraz | 55c | 331.49$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.83 | 2,343 | 51.6%1,209 W · 1,134 L | +95.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1351…bebcbacked Alcaraz | 39c | 300$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182 | 35 | 62.9%22 W · 13 L | +4.8wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0c37…3fd1backed Minaur | 60c | 299.17$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179 | 35 | 62.9%22 W · 13 L | +2.9wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Minaur | 23c | 298.02$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 1,130 | 27.9%315 W · 815 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc391…6cc8backed Alcaraz | 54c | 295.2$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.79 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x11e2…26ccbacked Alcaraz | 41c | 275.6$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.6 | 35 | 37.1%13 W · 22 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Alcaraz | 38c | 274.16$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.06 | 348 | 42.2%147 W · 201 L | +12.4wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe025…102fbacked Alcaraz | 41c | 244$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.96 | 25 | 68%17 W · 8 L | +5.4wins | +0.21per pick | 47cpaid | +49.9%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xb77e…e668backed Minaur | 61c | 242.72$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147 | 198 | 46%91 W · 107 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d59…e0edbacked Alcaraz | 43c | 232.56$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.56 | 54 | 50%27 W · 27 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bab…50aabacked Alcaraz | 42c | 218.93$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.98 | 138 | 52.2%72 W · 66 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x319e…de42backed Alcaraz | 47c | 210.66$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.66 | 165 | 52.1%86 W · 79 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9106…afcbbacked Alcaraz | 43c | 205$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.85 | 44 | 34.1%15 W · 29 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12fe…38cfbacked Alcaraz | 44c | 200$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112 | 35 | 25.7%9 W · 26 L | -2.5wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -38%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb9d…c3eebacked Alcaraz | 54c | 184$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.87 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb96c…6cc6backed Minaur | 59c | 175$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.25 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.20per pick | 60cpaid | +38.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf32d…bbbbbacked Alcaraz | 54c | 170.99$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.66 | 289 | 52.6%152 W · 137 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0c5…e717backed Alcaraz | 42c | 169.79$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.48 | 23 | 17.4%4 W · 19 L | -3.7wins | -0.16per pick | 33cpaid | -60.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf292…1cc7backed Alcaraz | 42c | 166.67$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.67 | 359 | 44.8%161 W · 198 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x182f…87d2backed Minaur | 63c | 160$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.31 | 53 | 69.8%37 W · 16 L | +6.3wins | +0.12per pick | 58cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x66b1…340fbacked Alcaraz | 40c | 150$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 1,158 | 44.4%514 W · 644 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe649…4e37backed Minaur | 60c | 143.33$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86 | 1,414 | 41.1%581 W · 833 L | -21.3wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…f87ebacked Alcaraz | 78c | 128.21$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.21 | 17 | 82.4%14 W · 3 L | +2.7wins | +0.16per pick | 66cpaid | +34.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x06a9…1a49backed Alcaraz | 79c | 125.81$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.81 | 718 | 57.7%414 W · 304 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa5f…005fbacked Minaur | 62c | 100$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 36 | 69.4%25 W · 11 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 66cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e83…533bbacked Alcaraz | 45c | 88.89$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.89 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Alcaraz | 40c | 88$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.8 | 2,331 | 7.9%183 W · 2,148 L | -56.9wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -60.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7216…0d67backed Minaur | 57c | 87.72$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 252 | 37.3%94 W · 158 L | -13.1wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4f17…9ab3backed Minaur | 70c | 78.82$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 86 | 66.3%57 W · 29 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Alcaraz | 41c | 76.94$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.69 | 884 | 55%486 W · 398 L | +37.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa373…b6dcbacked Alcaraz | 42c | 71.43$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.43 | 543 | 48.1%261 W · 282 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b3f…3ba3backed Minaur | 60c | 66.67$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd277…73febacked Alcaraz | 42c | 55.95$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.2 | 77 | 51.9%40 W · 37 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x741a…4dbebacked Alcaraz | 54c | 53.7$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.7 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.20per pick | 54cpaid | -46.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d0…d9e8backed Minaur | 57c | 51.16$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.16 | 154 | 47.4%73 W · 81 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc711…d3c6backed Alcaraz | 41c | 50$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.5 | 50 | 40%20 W · 30 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09d3…3128backed Alcaraz | 45c | 49.71$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.51 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +2.1wins | +0.16per pick | 53cpaid | +33.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd420…01fcbacked Minaur | 61c | 49.18$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 131 | 58%76 W · 55 L | -5.5wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Alcaraz | 48c | 48.04$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.16 | 520 | 37.7%196 W · 324 L | -30.8wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbd65…3e60backed Alcaraz | 54c | 46.3$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.3 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5700…a854backed Alcaraz | 44c | 45.45$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.45 | 255 | 44.3%113 W · 142 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6bde…3800backed Minaur | 45c | 44.44$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 47 | 40.4%19 W · 28 L | -8.6wins | -0.18per pick | 59cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb8…753bbacked Minaur | 45c | 44.44$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 191 | 29.8%57 W · 134 L | -8.2wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd243…3398backed Minaur | 46c | 43.15$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.85 | 62 | 43.5%27 W · 35 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ace…b219backed Minaur | 62c | 40.32$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 124 | 63.7%79 W · 45 L | +9.4wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x12af…6124backed Alcaraz | 41c | 36.59$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.59 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x95bb…213abacked Minaur | 60c | 33.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d40…b4ecbacked Alcaraz | 43c | 31.84$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.03 | 135 | 46.7%63 W · 72 L | +11.8wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | +6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4508…5ef4backed Minaur | 50c | 31$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe361…bf48backed Minaur | 50c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 249 | 31.3%78 W · 171 L | -10.9wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd402…5a50backed Minaur | 57c | 28.16$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.05 | 296 | 61.5%182 W · 114 L | +8.4wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2694…415abacked Alcaraz | 40c | 25.33$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.2 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.32per pick | 35cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa52…3607backed Minaur | 55c | 24.98$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.74 | 64 | 60.9%39 W · 25 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xab5b…9b70backed Minaur | 57c | 23.25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.25 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Set Handicap: Alcaraz (-2.5) vs Minaur (+2.5)this page
- Alcaraz vs. Minaur: Match O/U 36.5Under won
- Alcaraz vs. Minaur: Match O/U 38.5Under won
- Alcaraz vs. Minaur: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5Over won
- Alcaraz vs. Minaur: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5Over won
- Alcaraz vs. Minaur: Total Sets O/U 3.5Under 3.5 won
- Australian Open Men's: Carlos Alcaraz vs Alex de MinaurAlcaraz won
- Set 1 Winner: Alcaraz vs MinaurAlcaraz won
- Set Handicap: Alcaraz (-1.5) vs Minaur (+1.5)Alcaraz won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.