Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Heroic vs GamerLegion (BO3) - PGL Wallachia: Americas Closed Qualifier Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x641535d97bbef035bbb037fab433aa371acb073b1f4c94054c6f8f296a0eebac
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- GamerLegionof Heroic, GamerLegion
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $22,610
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $23,640
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $22,610 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 63 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xac70…2d8dbacked GamerLegion | 40c | 5,120$2,024 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,096.35 | 92 | 45.7%42 W · 50 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x42b7…77dcbacked Heroic | 48c | 3,491$1,666 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,666 | 998 | 44.4%443 W · 555 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked GamerLegion | 53c | 2,189$1,156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,033.05 | 2,012 | 44.2%889 W · 1,123 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf84e…6cbebacked Heroic | 64c | 1,326$854 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$853.6 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe42b…7ea9backed GamerLegion | 38c | 1,200$456 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$743.97 | 465 | 35.1%163 W · 302 L | +22.9wins | +0.05per pick | 30cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Heroic | 61c | 1,027$622 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$621.87 | 869 | 49%426 W · 443 L | -3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f81…5410backed Heroic | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe50d…cf54backed GamerLegion | 45c | 749.99$335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$415 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.25per pick | 47cpaid | +65.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x033e…1bb9backed GamerLegion | 45c | 742.16$334 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$407.81 | 568 | 48.8%277 W · 291 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2133…7903backed Heroic | 55c | 629.5$347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$347 | 344 | 43.9%151 W · 193 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a06…31d8backed Heroic | 74c | 529.35$392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$392.5 | 416 | 55.3%230 W · 186 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc30…c8a5backed Heroic | 61c | 490.85$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 235 | 29.4%69 W · 166 L | -21.5wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb38c…b2c9backed Heroic | 55c | 469$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.95 | 118 | 41.5%49 W · 69 L | -4.9wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a53…1b12backed GamerLegion | 46c | 466.38$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.72 | 52 | 34.6%18 W · 34 L | -5.2wins | -0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa824…c9fcbacked Heroic | 66c | 378.79$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 180 | 53.3%96 W · 84 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb569…6fe0backed Heroic | 53c | 342.17$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.35 | 275 | 48%132 W · 143 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7951…bb41backed GamerLegion | 34c | 278.79$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184 | 647 | 44.4%287 W · 360 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5b3…7c36backed GamerLegion | 8c | 266.1$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.81 | 18 | 16.7%3 W · 15 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 10cpaid | +55.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf69…4fa2backed GamerLegion | 38c | 230$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.5 | 536 | 34%182 W · 354 L | +11.4wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67c3…0e36backed Heroic | 64c | 203.13$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 129 | 65.1%84 W · 45 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b05…078abacked GamerLegion | 70c | 188.71$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.14 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | -4.8wins | -0.11per pick | 60cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe9f8…6ef8backed GamerLegion | 54c | 185.91$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.91 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f9…32b1backed Heroic | 59c | 170$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.3 | 312 | 45.8%143 W · 169 L | +10.2wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d31…07b0backed GamerLegion | 74c | 164.61$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.81 | 252 | 55.2%139 W · 113 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf37…993fbacked Heroic | 24c | 161.56$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.09 | 72 | 43.1%31 W · 41 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad69…7397backed Heroic | 59c | 154.24$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91 | 511 | 40.3%206 W · 305 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8aa0…1160backed Heroic | 64c | 152.08$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.33 | 148 | 54.7%81 W · 67 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefcc…4883backed Heroic | 12c | 150$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.2 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +2.4wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd15e…db59backed Heroic | 58c | 144.98$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.39 | 118 | 45.8%54 W · 64 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae35…5dd3backed GamerLegion | 42c | 141.86$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.86 | 156 | 43.6%68 W · 88 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6996…cf9abacked Heroic | 15c | 141.1$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.59 | 40 | 27.5%11 W · 29 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a5…e95dbacked Heroic | 75c | 133.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 117 | 53%62 W · 55 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35dc…0083backed GamerLegion | 46c | 115.64$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.54 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed GamerLegion | 43c | 105$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.35 | 141 | 42.6%60 W · 81 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b55…d74bbacked GamerLegion | 40c | 100$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 210 | 45.7%96 W · 114 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad72…4f5ebacked Heroic | 60c | 100$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 368 | 51.6%190 W · 178 L | +25.7wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6e3e…e3ebbacked Heroic | 58c | 100$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 120 | 61.7%74 W · 46 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xced8…221ebacked Heroic | 53c | 100$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.5 | 228 | 45.6%104 W · 124 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x40ba…7ea5backed GamerLegion | 49c | 100$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 537 | 57.7%310 W · 227 L | +11.8wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68bd…b0a0backed Heroic | 63c | 95.75$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61d9…e0cebacked Heroic | 29c | 80$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.3 | 61 | 50.8%31 W · 30 L | +7.2wins | +0.12per pick | 39cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed GamerLegion | 56c | 55.12$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.2 | 181 | 43.6%79 W · 102 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87f0…aaf2backed Heroic | 59c | 55$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.2 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +1.6wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb27…8be8backed GamerLegion | 40c | 53.76$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.22 | 182 | 48.4%88 W · 94 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x92b5…2defbacked GamerLegion | 39c | 52.12$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.66 | 958 | 41.1%394 W · 564 L | +32.7wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6fe9…9c50backed Heroic | 58c | 50$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 136 | 57.4%78 W · 58 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed GamerLegion | 22c | 48.4$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.9 | 616 | 9.7%60 W · 556 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d4c…433dbacked GamerLegion | 43c | 46.51$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.51 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.7wins | -0.27per pick | 57cpaid | -46.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb76f…8536backed GamerLegion | 39c | 45.41$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.7 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +4.1wins | +0.20per pick | 45cpaid | +48.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x88b5…7b0bbacked GamerLegion | 71c | 43.97$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.75 | 46 | 26.1%12 W · 34 L | -6.8wins | -0.15per pick | 41cpaid | -57.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf76d…29d8backed Heroic | 48c | 41.96$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b32…3b0abacked Heroic | 60c | 41.6$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec69…cbe5backed GamerLegion | 50c | 40.76$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.38 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5404…5e58backed Heroic | 53c | 40$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.1 | 84 | 40.5%34 W · 50 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e47…a7abbacked Heroic | 61c | 36.06$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3494…04f4backed GamerLegion | 39c | 35.89$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.89 | 118 | 36.4%43 W · 75 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8745…d220backed Heroic | 63c | 31.75$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 40 | 65%26 W · 14 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 67cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98d0…01a4backed Heroic | 54c | 30.05$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.3 | 110 | 54.5%60 W · 50 L | -5.6wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x640f…4cc0backed Heroic | 50c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.11per pick | 50cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf75b…b6f6backed Heroic | 66c | 25.32$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.71 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf3a…47debacked GamerLegion | 42c | 25$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.45 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0268…6944backed Heroic | 61c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.2 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.17per pick | 57cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7685…482cbacked Heroic | 56c | 19.5$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.92 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -4.9wins | -0.27per pick | 61cpaid | -49.4%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Heroic vs GamerLegion (BO3) - PGL Wallachia: Americas Closed Qualifier Playoffsthis page
- Dota 2: Heroic vs GamerLegion - Game 1 WinnerGamerLegion won
- Dota 2: Heroic vs GamerLegion - Game 2 WinnerHeroic won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.