TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

Spread: Richmond Spiders (-7.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Richmond Spidersof Richmond Spiders, La Salle Explorers
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$721,556
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$726,468

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $721,556 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 82 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4924…3782backed La Salle Explorers49c690,587$339,882 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$339,882.0935945.1%162 W · 197 L-24.4wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-13.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x006c…16eabacked Richmond Spiders51c500,000$255,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$245,0009652.1%50 W · 46 L+3.9wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+7.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6a72…33eebacked Richmond Spiders50c160,898$80,449 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80,448.8521754.8%119 W · 98 L+15.3wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+15.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x97e1…017bbacked Richmond Spiders51c11,111$5,667 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,444.3913154.2%71 W · 60 L+9.4wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+13.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Richmond Spiders53c4,475$2,377 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,098.455,94649.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L+163.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4488…e319backed Richmond Spiders52c3,492$1,826 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,666.4761652.8%325 W · 291 L+21.6wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked La Salle Explorers47c3,458$1,608 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,607.94,84852.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L+139.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe948…ff23backed Richmond Spiders53c3,000$1,580 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,4205466.7%36 W · 18 L+8.9wins+0.16per pick50cpaid+30.5%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0xf1ef…8cd6backed Richmond Spiders52c3,000$1,560 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,44017050.6%86 W · 84 L+4.9wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9870…b9d3backed Richmond Spiders54c2,778$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,277.8721248.1%102 W · 110 L-4.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x07bc…393abacked Richmond Spiders51c2,000$1,020 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9808351.8%43 W · 40 L+3.1wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+7.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xaca2…b9a1backed Richmond Spiders53c1,073$569 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$504.1841752.5%219 W · 198 L+13.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xee20…5b37backed La Salle Explorers48c1,040$499 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$499.219050.5%96 W · 94 L+15.7wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+19.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x7da6…4ff3backed Richmond Spiders55c999.99$550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$449.999856.1%55 W · 43 L+7.9wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+52.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked La Salle Explorers48c898$431 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$431.041,43647.5%682 W · 754 L-18.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed La Salle Explorers46c867.05$402 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401.581,63347.3%773 W · 860 L+25.5wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5f22…55f7backed Richmond Spiders58c862.07$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$362.074544.4%20 W · 25 L-3.5wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-20.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed La Salle Explorers46c702.35$323 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$323.1314151.1%72 W · 69 L+3.5wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed La Salle Explorers48c632$303 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$303.3660548.9%296 W · 309 L+10.3wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked La Salle Explorers47c611.79$285 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$284.5212,42249.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L+118.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xea81…eeaebacked Richmond Spiders51c600$306 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2941,22727.8%341 W · 886 L-0.9wins0.00per pick28cpaid-10.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf79a…56c2backed Richmond Spiders52c569.19$296 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$273.2122250.9%113 W · 109 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3eee…e8b6backed La Salle Explorers46c510.34$232 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$232.52454.2%13 W · 11 L+1.7wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+11.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x19ed…6dc8backed Richmond Spiders53c300$159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1418747.1%41 W · 46 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Richmond Spiders50c290$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1452,89650%1,448 W · 1,448 L+71.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8738…222bbacked Richmond Spiders56c268.51$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.5125556.1%143 W · 112 L+12.4wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+8.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x38fc…33e2backed Richmond Spiders54c260.43$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.431471.4%10 W · 4 L+3.0wins+0.21per pick50cpaid+44.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x4786…ff95backed Richmond Spiders56c215.06$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.069947.5%47 W · 52 L-5.4wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-8.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb906…2a75backed La Salle Explorers48c208.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xadec…88fdbacked Richmond Spiders54c205.39$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.486144.3%27 W · 34 L-4.8wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-14.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x34fa…f491backed La Salle Explorers48c200$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$961,07046.9%502 W · 568 L-0.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Richmond Spiders51c200$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.671,48743%639 W · 848 L+50.8wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+11.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd51b…9606backed Richmond Spiders54c189.99$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.413851.4%71 W · 67 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+5.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3888…0755backed Richmond Spiders54c185.59$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.595147.1%24 W · 27 L+0.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7c1b…e0e5backed Richmond Spiders54c185.19$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.191163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.1wins+0.10per pick54cpaid+16.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb1aa…16cfbacked Richmond Spiders54c185.19$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.197661.8%47 W · 29 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick61cpaid+1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x04f2…bc84backed Richmond Spiders55c180.55$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.556654.5%36 W · 30 L+2.9wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+9.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf13b…9ef9backed Richmond Spiders52c154.69$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.2519657.1%112 W · 84 L+14.9wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+15.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x3fbc…9cf6backed La Salle Explorers48c152.01$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7350546.9%237 W · 268 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe00f…c254backed Richmond Spiders53c151.77$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.339056.7%51 W · 39 L+6.4wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+13.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xe008…8ff5backed Richmond Spiders52c127.71$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.34055%22 W · 18 L+3.8wins+0.09per pick46cpaid+13.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed La Salle Explorers45c125.31$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.915,55347.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L+26.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-3.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x3a51…b2b6backed Richmond Spiders53c100$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4717258.7%101 W · 71 L+14.3wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+14.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf11e…eb4fbacked Richmond Spiders58c100$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$422343.5%10 W · 13 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-10.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1db3…ada1backed La Salle Explorers45c99.98$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.9935050.3%176 W · 174 L+0.9wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1b46…944cbacked Richmond Spiders52c96.12$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.1218656.5%105 W · 81 L+12.2wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+13.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xc29d…3352backed Richmond Spiders55c90.91$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.914372.1%31 W · 12 L+6.6wins+0.15per pick57cpaid+29.3%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x9aea…5590backed Richmond Spiders51c90.6$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.2915844.3%70 W · 88 L-6.5wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-10.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x57d5…0bbdbacked La Salle Explorers46c84.9$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.4757335.6%204 W · 369 L-27.3wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-20.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x38da…bf9bbacked Richmond Spiders54c83.33$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.33475%3 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.23per pick52cpaid+46.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2107…8f4cbacked Richmond Spiders53c82$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.543043.3%13 W · 17 L-1.4wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-23.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Richmond Spiders53c80$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.53,90558.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L+165.3wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+4.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xbda3…ef65backed Richmond Spiders54c79.98$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.7962753%332 W · 295 L+13.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x08cf…f0ccbacked Richmond Spiders53c78.59$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.944360.5%26 W · 17 L+4.3wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+16.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa8f5…1caabacked La Salle Explorers46c73.86$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.321,12446.4%521 W · 603 L-25.0wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbc82…6421backed Richmond Spiders54c70$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.211147.7%53 W · 58 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x664b…00b3backed Richmond Spiders52c67.84$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.6611159.5%66 W · 45 L+10.7wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+18.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xe7ea…066ebacked Richmond Spiders55c60$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$277957%45 W · 34 L+5.6wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+13.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe5ea…52dbbacked Richmond Spiders55c52.87$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.793053.3%16 W · 14 L+1.3wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+5.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb0a0…d84fbacked Richmond Spiders53c52.53$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.696144.3%27 W · 34 L-4.1wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-13.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb0fd…e1f5backed Richmond Spiders53c50$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.551,16255.2%641 W · 521 L+25.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x72ea…d4f2backed La Salle Explorers49c40.82$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2021746.1%100 W · 117 L-6.6wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfdc6…b20dbacked Richmond Spiders52c40$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.234952.1%182 W · 167 L+9.4wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7216…0d67backed La Salle Explorers46c39.09$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.0418241.2%75 W · 107 L-6.5wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-15.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf12f…a0b7backed Richmond Spiders53c37.74$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.741100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x65b6…2108backed Richmond Spiders53c37.74$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.745650%28 W · 28 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe33c…6006backed Richmond Spiders53c37.74$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.745648.2%27 W · 29 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xda75…bbf9backed Richmond Spiders55c36.36$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.3623754.9%130 W · 107 L+4.7wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9443…7c5dbacked Richmond Spiders55c36.36$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.36580%4 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.27per pick53cpaid+37.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2816…6ad7backed Richmond Spiders51c35.86$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.579257.6%53 W · 39 L+8.1wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+20.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xc307…bf36backed Richmond Spiders52c34.96$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.782065%13 W · 7 L+3.3wins+0.17per pick48cpaid+35.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x11fa…ebf3backed Richmond Spiders53c33$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.511030%3 W · 7 L-2.1wins-0.21per pick51cpaid-48%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0bdf…7f09backed Richmond Spiders52c30.48$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.6311858.5%69 W · 49 L+9.9wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+16.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x865a…901bbacked Richmond Spiders53c30.34$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.2612560%75 W · 50 L+12.0wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+18.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xa966…208bbacked Richmond Spiders54c30$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.815156.3%85 W · 66 L+8.6wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+9.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9c1e…302fbacked Richmond Spiders55c29.01$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.01580%4 W · 1 L+1.6wins+0.32per pick48cpaid+73.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6cfd…a4b9backed Richmond Spiders54c27.78$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.78728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.5wins-0.22per pick50cpaid-46.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x83fb…e89bbacked Richmond Spiders53c21$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.8716952.7%89 W · 80 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x42f8…bdc9backed Richmond Spiders53c20.75$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.756100%6 W · 0 L+3.1wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+112%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x718d…2b46backed Richmond Spiders55c20$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$915559.4%92 W · 63 L+15.8wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+15.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x6fe0…323bbacked Richmond Spiders53c20$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.46450%32 W · 32 L+4.0wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+13%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8fbb…a77bbacked Richmond Spiders53c20$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.45356.6%30 W · 23 L+4.4wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+13.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.