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Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

La Salle Explorers vs. Richmond Spiders

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Richmond Spidersof La Salle Explorers, Richmond Spiders
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$18,403
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$19,891

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,403 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 40 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe60a…6a47backed Richmond Spiders80c4,299$3,427 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$872.112,57947.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L-42.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xed2c…9597backed La Salle Explorers21c3,027$636 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$635.9439744.8%178 W · 219 L+9.4wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcd36…a8acbacked Richmond Spiders79c3,000$2,370 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6301560%9 W · 6 L+0.9wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+12.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked La Salle Explorers21c1,428$297 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$297.194,84852.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L+139.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcdb8…abbebacked La Salle Explorers23c1,214$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$280.441,98326.4%523 W · 1,460 L-55.5wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-12%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed La Salle Explorers20c982.32$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$192.412,04832.7%670 W · 1,378 L-16.2wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-9.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xea81…eeaebacked La Salle Explorers20c772.89$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154.551,22727.8%341 W · 886 L-0.9wins0.00per pick28cpaid-10.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed La Salle Explorers20c605.51$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.921,63347.3%773 W · 860 L+25.5wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed La Salle Explorers24c540$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.660548.9%296 W · 309 L+10.3wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed La Salle Explorers21c499.99$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1059641.7%40 W · 56 L+0.3wins0.00per pick41cpaid-11.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked Richmond Spiders79c499.98$395 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1052,68748.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L+4.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3ff9…bb89backed Richmond Spiders79c499.98$393 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1077656.6%43 W · 33 L-5.3wins-0.07per pick64cpaid-13.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked La Salle Explorers21c389.99$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.8812,42249.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L+118.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Richmond Spiders78c354.85$276 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.731,49348.7%727 W · 766 L-1.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-19.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x57d5…0bbdbacked La Salle Explorers21c267.15$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.2357335.6%204 W · 369 L-27.3wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-20.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Richmond Spiders77c254.08$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.162,55541.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L-15.9wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-20.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3b5c…126ebacked La Salle Explorers22c236.98$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.135143.1%22 W · 29 L-2.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-8.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8f13…daaebacked Richmond Spiders80c207.5$166 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.8513842.8%59 W · 79 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-8.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb917…7ab1backed Richmond Spiders77c130$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$301560%9 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick60cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2dc4…0c92backed La Salle Explorers17c127.41$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.6699045.6%451 W · 539 L+9.6wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8ab9…ff25backed Richmond Spiders77c126$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.98250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.23per pick73cpaid-35.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed La Salle Explorers19c125.01$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.1537835.7%135 W · 243 L-0.6wins0.00per pick36cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3a8e…b505backed Richmond Spiders78c116.62$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.2748051%245 W · 235 L-6.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-10.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8046…a845backed La Salle Explorers21c100$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2110047%47 W · 53 L+8.7wins+0.09per pick38cpaid+24%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xbfd6…ab3dbacked La Salle Explorers16c98.95$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.831,48743%639 W · 848 L+50.8wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+11.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc6fa…51e5backed La Salle Explorers19c80.53$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.318844.7%84 W · 104 L-10.4wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-18.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf280…b65bbacked La Salle Explorers20c79.76$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.1519332.1%62 W · 131 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick31cpaid-3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x94fa…989ebacked Richmond Spiders78c74.86$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.4781453.1%432 W · 382 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick54cpaid+3.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed Richmond Spiders80c54.56$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.0545644.5%203 W · 253 L-16.8wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-19.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xaa2a…f4f7backed Richmond Spiders78c49.99$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113259.4%19 W · 13 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick57cpaid-1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x320f…b4a3backed Richmond Spiders76c42$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.085851.7%30 W · 28 L-0.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid+2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed Richmond Spiders80c41.48$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.312,12450.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L+40.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfc8f…3782backed Richmond Spiders79c39.07$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.0866831.4%210 W · 458 L-43.1wins-0.06per pick38cpaid-23%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x21c2…6749backed Richmond Spiders80c29$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.8849747.5%236 W · 261 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-11.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd363…e6d1backed Richmond Spiders80c25$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53652.8%19 W · 17 L-2.4wins-0.07per pick59cpaid-14.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xded3…b470backed Richmond Spiders80c25$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick69cpaid+3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7319…5f3bbacked Richmond Spiders80c25$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.12per pick79cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2c07…aeb0backed Richmond Spiders77c23$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.293948.7%19 W · 20 L+0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid-13.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc25a…f243backed Richmond Spiders77c15.03$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.463786.5%32 W · 5 L+6.0wins+0.16per pick70cpaid+22.8%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x10a7…c0debacked Richmond Spiders79c13.92$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2.924553.3%24 W · 21 L-3.2wins-0.07per pick60cpaid-5.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.