TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Lol · resolved market

LoL: Sentinels vs Cloud9 - Game 4 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Cloud9of Sentinels, Cloud9
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$394,477

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $394,477 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 228 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Lol
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xf201…527ebacked Sentinels55c28,647$15,890 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,890.481,29545.1%584 W · 711 L+49.7wins+0.04per pick41cpaid-10.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa5ea…d96abacked Cloud959c21,180$12,452 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,727.2155955.8%312 W · 247 L+50.8wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+20.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x14ac…cb21backed Sentinels60c18,442$11,010 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,009.7125446.1%117 W · 137 L-6.0wins-0.02per pick48cpaid+2.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2cad…eb66backed Cloud966c16,880$11,175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,705.3748157.6%277 W · 204 L+10.6wins+0.02per pick55cpaid-2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x26f8…3452backed Cloud945c14,443$6,430 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,013.1727353.1%145 W · 128 L+5.2wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x18bb…e5cdbacked Sentinels31c14,230$4,472 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,472.431328.8%90 W · 223 L+15.2wins+0.05per pick24cpaid+16.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3f97…4059backed Cloud967c14,200$9,522 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,677.991,15649.1%568 W · 588 L-17.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+0.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Sentinels32c7,500$2,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,4003,58440.1%1,437 W · 2,147 L+31.1wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xebc7…4003backed Cloud965c7,355$4,790 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,564.6628361.5%174 W · 109 L+18.0wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+11.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x910d…cfc0backed Sentinels32c6,923$2,194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,193.8318451.6%95 W · 89 L+9.4wins+0.05per pick47cpaid0%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xafd4…7e61backed Sentinels40c5,658$2,280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,280.451,20054.1%649 W · 551 L+28.9wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xef26…05babacked Cloud930c5,471$1,651 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,820.151,25937.6%473 W · 786 L+34.1wins+0.03per pick35cpaid-1.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd359…6007backed Sentinels75c5,100$3,807 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,806.692240.9%9 W · 13 L-2.5wins-0.11per pick52cpaid-20.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc461…83dbbacked Sentinels1c5,000$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5030%0 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x506b…3f70backed Cloud953c4,621$2,469 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,151.263342.4%14 W · 19 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-21.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3c59…3887backed Sentinels33c4,545$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,50011129.7%33 W · 78 L-3.0wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-17.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2560…0b02backed Sentinels38c4,226$1,624 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,623.5439749.1%195 W · 202 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4de1…22a0backed Sentinels1c4,000$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4040%0 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x19d8…1691backed Sentinels55c4,000$2,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,20063546.6%296 W · 339 L+8.4wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x12e8…2cecbacked Sentinels1c4,000$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4080%0 W · 8 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0e91…ea34backed Cloud979c4,000$3,160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84050569.9%353 W · 152 L+15.1wins+0.03per pick67cpaid+3.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdcfe…44b5backed Cloud965c3,785$2,443 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,341.7231153.4%166 W · 145 L-9.4wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-8.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3f40…e1f2backed Cloud935c3,695$1,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,394.99345.2%42 W · 51 L+2.9wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+1.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3186…e9cabacked Cloud953c3,459$1,837 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,621.661,53662.6%961 W · 575 L+157.8wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+8.1%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x70c1…dba0backed Cloud963c3,055$1,914 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,141.588458.3%49 W · 35 L+8.4wins+0.10per pick48cpaid+27.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x7a14…d748backed Cloud957c3,000$1,710 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,2906556.9%37 W · 28 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-5.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf05c…66b9backed Sentinels1c3,000$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4030%0 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x76b4…ca9bbacked Cloud975c3,000$2,250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75044550.1%223 W · 222 L-5.9wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-8.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8c16…4b37backed Cloud940c2,856$1,138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,717.6818350.8%93 W · 90 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a8c…fd3dbacked Cloud952c2,783$1,440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,343.3275630%227 W · 529 L-21.4wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-15.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Cloud931c2,449$763 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,685.862,82541.4%1,169 W · 1,656 L-14.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid-4.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x2b12…43c8backed Cloud966c2,318$1,540 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$778.057343.8%32 W · 41 L-7.6wins-0.10per pick54cpaid-28.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x04bd…39a0backed Cloud950c2,310$1,155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,154.611,22945.1%554 W · 675 L+48.5wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+5.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x39bb…9e51backed Cloud958c2,200$1,276 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$924.3218149.2%89 W · 92 L-3.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-14.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xad50…81a8backed Cloud950c2,013$1,014 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$999.176056.7%34 W · 26 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick55cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe732…898fbacked Sentinels50c1,987$1,002 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,001.9515149%74 W · 77 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-10.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8fe9…c6dcbacked Cloud968c1,838$1,250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$588.24966.7%6 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.06per pick61cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0ef0…f14cbacked Sentinels4c1,800$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80633.3%2 W · 4 L+1.2wins+0.20per pick14cpaid+451.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfdc0…4b85backed Cloud946c1,649$765 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$884.11,25838.6%485 W · 773 L-61.8wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-20.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6ab4…96a5backed Cloud966c1,616$1,067 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$549.551770.6%12 W · 5 L+2.5wins+0.14per pick56cpaid+41.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x682d…4cd6backed Cloud925c1,404$356 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,047.7445618.9%86 W · 370 L-4.8wins-0.01per pick20cpaid-45.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd3b0…329ebacked Sentinels45c1,400$629 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$629.52,00458.2%1,166 W · 838 L+86.9wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+9.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8e3f…6941backed Sentinels42c1,390$589 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$588.5139447.2%186 W · 208 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x68ba…e3f3backed Cloud942c1,277$536 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$741.166451.6%33 W · 31 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-20%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x182d…73e9backed Sentinels25c1,200$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3001,06747%502 W · 565 L+3.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8fc2…64d1backed Cloud973c1,197$873 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$323.078042.5%34 W · 46 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0d9e…456bbacked Cloud980c1,097$878 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$219.488360.2%50 W · 33 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x480e…71e9backed Sentinels54c1,064$571 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57126453.8%142 W · 122 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9adf…55e8backed Sentinels29c1,058$308 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$307.5742840.2%172 W · 256 L-32.1wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-19.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xbe8c…9e9ebacked Cloud957c1,025$589 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$435.7417839.3%70 W · 108 L-2.9wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-11%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked Cloud980c1,009$805 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$203.550848.4%246 W · 262 L+13.0wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+0.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5b10…9659backed Sentinels74c1,000$740 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7401,43557.4%824 W · 611 L+36.0wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+5.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe62d…18b4backed Cloud973c1,000$730 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2705860.3%35 W · 23 L-0.1wins0.00per pick61cpaid-11.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf344…13ffbacked Sentinels72c991.46$714 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$713.8528166.5%187 W · 94 L+12.7wins+0.05per pick62cpaid+8.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9738backed Sentinels55c969.71$536 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$536.1160053.2%319 W · 281 L+15.3wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+1.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf5ea…d07fbacked Sentinels44c960$422 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$422.495951.3%492 W · 467 L+42.8wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+6.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xab30…379fbacked Sentinels7c900$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.211316.8%19 W · 94 L+6.6wins+0.06per pick11cpaid+65.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe902…eda4backed Cloud968c896.31$609 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$286.823250%16 W · 16 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbb4…48bebacked Sentinels34c785.29$267 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2673458.8%20 W · 14 L+2.1wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+1.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbb11…66cbbacked Cloud955c730$402 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$328.51,01955.8%569 W · 450 L+22.7wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4f2f…552cbacked Sentinels44c699.99$308 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$308.1916349.7%81 W · 82 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-16.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Sentinels56c680.86$384 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$384.191,73144.2%765 W · 966 L-28.4wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-15.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x59aa…3376backed Sentinels37c676.77$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2501,13143.1%487 W · 644 L+0.9wins0.00per pick43cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc397…bb3bbacked Cloud965c609.29$398 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$211.461,66359.5%990 W · 673 L+98.5wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+10.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xa22b…c241backed Cloud954c600$324 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$276.342166.7%14 W · 7 L+2.2wins+0.11per pick56cpaid+6.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1f05…575ebacked Cloud935c581.65$204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$378.032245.5%10 W · 12 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2757…55f0backed Cloud958c579.04$334 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$244.6510738.3%41 W · 66 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-10.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa57d…0670backed Sentinels41c572.58$235 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$234.8711631%36 W · 80 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick30cpaid-20%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x13c7…11d9backed Sentinels34c558.93$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$191.7971249.2%350 W · 362 L+14.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5cc5…1135backed Cloud928c552$155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$397.4444042%185 W · 255 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-7.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3fbd…c4e4backed Sentinels12c500$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6052538.9%204 W · 321 L+18.0wins+0.03per pick35cpaid+4.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0b99…8bddbacked Cloud964c500$318 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18220550.2%103 W · 102 L+15.4wins+0.08per pick43cpaid+6.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x6f06…9af4backed Cloud949c500$245 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$255.455162.7%32 W · 19 L+4.0wins+0.08per pick55cpaid+0.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x58f8…dc70backed Cloud955c499.99$275 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22540370.2%283 W · 120 L+31.3wins+0.08per pick62cpaid+9.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x52b7…0aa1backed Sentinels33c499.98$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$164.991,46828.9%424 W · 1,044 L+23.5wins+0.02per pick27cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x141f…7711backed Sentinels80c468.25$375 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$374.614248.6%69 W · 73 L-4.7wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-18.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8dd2…16c9backed Cloud965c461.54$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$161.54475%3 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.22per pick53cpaid+15.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x49a6…a658backed Sentinels45c444.44$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20050051.6%258 W · 242 L-14.3wins-0.03per pick54cpaid+1.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x67e6…86edbacked Sentinels35c433.23$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151.6319648%94 W · 102 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+8.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x37f8…b5e5backed Cloud970c417.84$292 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125.7354944.4%244 W · 305 L+10.5wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-9.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d4c…935ebacked Cloud944c414.99$184 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$230.5413433.6%45 W · 89 L-7.3wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-29.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa422…d0f9backed Sentinels42c408.26$173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$172.86462.5%40 W · 24 L+6.7wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+7.7%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x8b55…d74bbacked Cloud956c400$224 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17686649.7%430 W · 436 L+18.3wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+7.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0535…75ccbacked Sentinels35c400$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1401,00949.2%496 W · 513 L+30.0wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+10.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7635…63f6backed Sentinels61c400$244 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24445739.6%181 W · 276 L-37.5wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-27.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xcf0a…320abacked Cloud925c400$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$301.1433251.5%171 W · 161 L+33.0wins+0.10per pick42cpaid+17.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x126b…298fbacked Cloud962c362.21$226 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$136.233063.3%19 W · 11 L+2.8wins+0.09per pick54cpaid+10%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed Cloud936c353.08$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$225.462,90538.5%1,119 W · 1,786 L-118.5wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-27.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa6b5…5fc8backed Cloud975c335.5$252 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.871866.7%12 W · 6 L+3.4wins+0.19per pick48cpaid+15.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x94f8…e851backed Sentinels45c309.02$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.066363.5%40 W · 23 L-0.1wins0.00per pick64cpaid-5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbefe…2d45backed Sentinels33c303.03$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002339.1%9 W · 14 L-1.2wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-10.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8b0c…e795backed Cloud966c301.67$201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.1712259%72 W · 50 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick58cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x51d9…cb1abacked Cloud965c300$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.348143.2%208 W · 273 L-13.2wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-7.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xde2a…6bfebacked Sentinels35c299.99$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10472234.1%246 W · 476 L-5.4wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-6.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd306…463dbacked Cloud971c294.81$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.8150158.3%292 W · 209 L-17.7wins-0.04per pick62cpaid-9.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe980…57c9backed Cloud968c294.11$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.122100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+64.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2aad…88d4backed Cloud937c293.99$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184.1128827.4%79 W · 209 L-30.6wins-0.11per pick38cpaid-33.3%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x8feb…63fcbacked Sentinels62c293.16$182 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18221548.4%104 W · 111 L+4.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x10b2…9ac1backed Sentinels35c285.71$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10016941.4%70 W · 99 L+0.6wins0.00per pick41cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2a67…ef6bbacked Cloud967c279.64$187 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.468254.9%45 W · 37 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.