TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Lol · resolved market

LoL: Sentinels vs Cloud9 - Game 2 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Sentinelsof Sentinels, Cloud9
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$258,017

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $258,017 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 138 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Lol
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x6814…a9e7backed Cloud90c83,623$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.2699338.6%383 W · 610 L-21.3wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-19.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf201…527ebacked Cloud948c25,227$12,078 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,077.71,29545.1%584 W · 711 L+49.7wins+0.04per pick41cpaid-10.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x14ac…cb21backed Sentinels32c24,988$7,951 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17,037.3825446.1%117 W · 137 L-6.0wins-0.02per pick48cpaid+2.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa5ea…d96abacked Cloud968c15,452$10,493 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,493.455955.8%312 W · 247 L+50.8wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+20.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x18bb…e5cdbacked Sentinels32c9,806$3,179 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,626.8831328.8%90 W · 223 L+15.2wins+0.05per pick24cpaid+16.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5cc5…1135backed Cloud93c6,080$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152.8244042%185 W · 255 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-7.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Cloud966c5,618$3,717 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,717.033,58440.1%1,437 W · 2,147 L+31.1wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x910d…cfc0backed Cloud946c3,090$1,424 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,423.6818451.6%95 W · 89 L+9.4wins+0.05per pick47cpaid0%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x682d…4cd6backed Cloud97c2,808$187 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18745618.9%86 W · 370 L-4.8wins-0.01per pick20cpaid-45.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7771…009fbacked Sentinels78c2,437$1,911 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$526.181,00748.2%485 W · 522 L+7.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2b12…43c8backed Cloud969c2,213$1,527 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5277343.8%32 W · 41 L-7.6wins-0.10per pick54cpaid-28.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xec0e…672cbacked Cloud955c2,200$1,214 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,213.9653640.3%216 W · 320 L-8.1wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-19.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd3b0…329ebacked Sentinels32c2,200$704 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,4962,00458.2%1,166 W · 838 L+86.9wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+9.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb7b3…9573backed Sentinels57c2,020$1,160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$860.091,80639.1%707 W · 1,099 L-30.8wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-12%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa469…0782backed Sentinels36c1,746$622 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,124.511,32253.2%703 W · 619 L+36.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2560…0b02backed Cloud969c1,655$1,141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,141.2139749.1%195 W · 202 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x88b9…0fc9backed Sentinels33c1,632$538 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,093.3734837.4%130 W · 218 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0e91…ea34backed Sentinels76c1,575$1,201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$374.7950569.9%353 W · 152 L+15.1wins+0.03per pick67cpaid+3.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3186…e9cabacked Cloud926c1,512$397 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$396.841,53662.6%961 W · 575 L+157.8wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+8.1%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x182d…73e9backed Sentinels33c1,500$491 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,008.81,06747%502 W · 565 L+3.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7d75…cf0bbacked Cloud93c1,300$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$411766.3%11 W · 165 L-0.5wins0.00per pick7cpaid-46.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfdc0…4b85backed Cloud923c1,163$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$270.191,25838.6%485 W · 773 L-61.8wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-20.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed Sentinels63c1,141$719 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$422.172,90538.5%1,119 W · 1,786 L-118.5wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-27.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x67e6…86edbacked Cloud969c1,096$753 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$752.6319648%94 W · 102 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+8.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2d05…6f11backed Sentinels32c1,000$320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68010044%44 W · 56 L-3.0wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-6.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Sentinels52c970$507 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$463.112,67935.7%957 W · 1,722 L-153.5wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-32.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x4f2f…552cbacked Sentinels76c953.49$722 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$231.4116349.7%81 W · 82 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-16.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x59aa…3376backed Sentinels57c867.02$492 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$375.031,13143.1%487 W · 644 L+0.9wins0.00per pick43cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7c0f…fe01backed Cloud971c850.53$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60036260.5%219 W · 143 L-0.5wins0.00per pick61cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xad50…81a8backed Cloud96c800$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.666056.7%34 W · 26 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick55cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b10…9659backed Cloud972c800$576 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5761,43557.4%824 W · 611 L+36.0wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+5.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe74b…ee88backed Sentinels31c780$242 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$538.286251.3%442 W · 420 L+51.5wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+13.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xc926…8058backed Sentinels39c769.23$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$469.2325560.8%155 W · 100 L+9.4wins+0.04per pick57cpaid+6.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xef26…05babacked Cloud97c745$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.61,25937.6%473 W · 786 L+34.1wins+0.03per pick35cpaid-1.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x52b7…0aa1backed Sentinels32c719$230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$489.31,46828.9%424 W · 1,044 L+23.5wins+0.02per pick27cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x39bb…9e51backed Cloud921c700$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14418149.2%89 W · 92 L-3.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-14.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa57d…0670backed Cloud93c666.32$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.311631%36 W · 80 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick30cpaid-20%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2a35…9015backed Sentinels32c622.53$199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$423.3236943.9%162 W · 207 L-16.5wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-9.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x64a8…7bc3backed Sentinels55c616.01$337 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$278.9747953.2%255 W · 224 L-26.7wins-0.06per pick59cpaid-14.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8b55…d74bbacked Cloud967c600$402 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40286649.7%430 W · 436 L+18.3wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+7.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf5ea…d07fbacked Cloud943c593.56$253 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$253.0795951.3%492 W · 467 L+42.8wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+6.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x49a6…a658backed Sentinels34c580$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38050051.6%258 W · 242 L-14.3wins-0.03per pick54cpaid+1.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x07e4…116abacked Sentinels33c572.69$189 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$383.74744.7%21 W · 26 L+3.9wins+0.08per pick36cpaid+24.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x68ba…e3f3backed Cloud930c569.52$173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$173.446451.6%33 W · 31 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-20%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x506b…3f70backed Cloud954c567.08$307 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$306.973342.4%14 W · 19 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-21.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Cloud960c566.88$339 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$339.261,73144.2%765 W · 966 L-28.4wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-15.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbc67…5286backed Cloud943c542.21$233 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$232.8169756.5%394 W · 303 L+26.1wins+0.04per pick53cpaid-0.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6ab4…96a5backed Cloud968c500$340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3401770.6%12 W · 5 L+2.5wins+0.14per pick56cpaid+41.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf859…a183backed Cloud951c499.99$254 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2541,21352.3%635 W · 578 L+33.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5fd7…ee69backed Sentinels32c468.75$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$318.751540%6 W · 9 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick35cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa6b5…5fc8backed Cloud945c444.44$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001866.7%12 W · 6 L+3.4wins+0.19per pick48cpaid+15.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x6463…1f5cbacked Sentinels32c425$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29017143.3%74 W · 97 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-8.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Cloud944c392.81$174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$173.982,40642.6%1,026 W · 1,380 L+21.5wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x10b2…9ac1backed Sentinels33c383.93$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$258.9316941.4%70 W · 99 L+0.6wins0.00per pick41cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1f05…575ebacked Cloud950c376.56$188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$187.872245.5%10 W · 12 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5e38…de0fbacked Cloud943c338.83$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146.326149.2%30 W · 31 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-9.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x51d9…cb1abacked Sentinels31c330$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$227.748143.2%208 W · 273 L-13.2wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-7.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2a8c…fd3dbacked Cloud918c313.31$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5575630%227 W · 529 L-21.4wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-15.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8b0c…e795backed Cloud969c312.96$216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$215.9412259%72 W · 50 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick58cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6eb8…c665backed Sentinels33c303.03$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$203.0333143.8%145 W · 186 L-11.9wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-14.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe440…c5a2backed Cloud94c300$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123262.5%20 W · 12 L+2.2wins+0.07per pick56cpaid-1.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa22b…c241backed Cloud944c300$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131.72166.7%14 W · 7 L+2.2wins+0.11per pick56cpaid+6.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x45a8…c4f2backed Cloud948c300$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1442055%11 W · 9 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-7.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x14a0…22bbbacked Cloud969c299.99$207 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206.991,15568.1%786 W · 369 L+35.1wins+0.03per pick65cpaid+3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2639…a9b6backed Sentinels34c288.53$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$190.5313249.2%65 W · 67 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-7.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe625…94c0backed Sentinels44c271.49$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151.4974344%327 W · 416 L+0.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xebff…70e5backed Cloud957c264$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.221,07926%281 W · 798 L-99.0wins-0.09per pick35cpaid-46.5%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xda32…04a1backed Cloud921c250$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.542148.2%203 W · 218 L-8.9wins-0.02per pick50cpaid+36.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbe53…103abacked Cloud973c243.52$178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$177.7740%0 W · 4 L-2.1wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x1ca0…38babacked Cloud942c238.1$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001,44343.4%626 W · 817 L+105.5wins+0.07per pick36cpaid+20.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9738backed Sentinels73c237.48$173 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.4860053.2%319 W · 281 L+15.3wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+1.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Sentinels70c228$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.42,31139.4%910 W · 1,401 L-83.4wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-20.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb275…c76fbacked Sentinels31c214.03$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.7819244.3%85 W · 107 L-8.9wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-10.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5799…db25backed Cloud98c205.42$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.4341945.1%189 W · 230 L-1.4wins0.00per pick45cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc397…bb3bbacked Sentinels76c202.6$154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.621,66359.5%990 W · 673 L+98.5wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+10.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x7b75…3fd1backed Sentinels58c200$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8494134.5%325 W · 616 L+33.6wins+0.04per pick31cpaid-1.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb953…5393backed Sentinels54c185.19$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.1957151.5%294 W · 277 L+14.8wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+2.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x65e0…e51dbacked Sentinels33c177.94$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.243138.1%164 W · 267 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0a8f…6353backed Sentinels30c166.68$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.689938.4%38 W · 61 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick37cpaid-5.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3333…3c23backed Sentinels34c155.88$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.8828042.5%119 W · 161 L+5.3wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+7.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Sentinels48c151.33$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.362,34140.3%943 W · 1,398 L-61.8wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-11.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4bb3…727bbacked Cloud971c140.85$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002250%11 W · 11 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-10.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbf69…4fa2backed Cloud933c140$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.276028.9%220 W · 540 L-0.8wins0.00per pick29cpaid+2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1b50…ea47backed Sentinels31c140$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.31,29426.6%344 W · 950 L+65.3wins+0.05per pick22cpaid+17.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0d69…01aebacked Cloud913c139.18$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.181546.7%7 W · 8 L-0.7wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-28.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x92f5…13e5backed Sentinels60c135.78$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.3123240.5%94 W · 138 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf006…bf1ebacked Sentinels32c134.88$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.7169247%325 W · 367 L+1.0wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Cloud926c129.24$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.011,54354.8%845 W · 698 L+75.4wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+1.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2d51…d971backed Sentinels78c128.74$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.7467057.5%385 W · 285 L+24.1wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+8.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xde2a…6bfebacked Sentinels78c128.21$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.2172234.1%246 W · 476 L-5.4wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-6.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf4f8…5bf1backed Cloud940c127.99$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.911,92435.9%691 W · 1,233 L-97.7wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-23.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7d7f…86d2backed Cloud925c117.52$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.8210638.7%41 W · 65 L-10.3wins-0.10per pick48cpaid-29.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x200e…e21dbacked Sentinels38c113.92$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.6199747.1%470 W · 527 L-6.3wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Cloud929c112.96$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.741,83117.1%313 W · 1,518 L-236.0wins-0.13per pick30cpaid-46%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0x6a06…31d8backed Sentinels70c104.35$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.3148353.4%258 W · 225 L-19.9wins-0.04per pick58cpaid-11.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xba50…ad0bbacked Sentinels35c100$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$651,18548.1%570 W · 615 L-2.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7e34…63f7backed Sentinels78c100$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2234960.2%210 W · 139 L+1.1wins0.00per pick60cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7f2d…fbf5backed Sentinels72c90.42$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.5823348.1%112 W · 121 L-4.8wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-9.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x82f9…6910backed Sentinels76c85.8$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.597374%54 W · 19 L+4.6wins+0.06per pick68cpaid+11.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0fbc…62a3backed Sentinels79c85.03$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.0163161.2%386 W · 245 L+10.4wins+0.02per pick60cpaid-1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.