Lol · resolved market
Game Handicap: C9 (-1.5) vs Sentinels (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x04bf9015fb59f8544f7ad7ecabbdd8b9d9bfc4865b538f571ede01d88f73b2a0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Cloud9of Cloud9, Sentinels
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,946
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,946 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x88b9…0fc9backed Sentinels | 57c | 2,967$1,681 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,681.31 | 348 | 37.4%130 W · 218 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70c1…dba0backed Cloud9 | 44c | 1,233$542 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$690.21 | 84 | 58.3%49 W · 35 L | +8.4wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Cloud9 | 44c | 775.39$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$435.5 | 508 | 48.4%246 W · 262 L | +13.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf00…353fbacked Cloud9 | 54c | 730.94$392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$339.02 | 129 | 34.9%45 W · 84 L | -4.9wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Sentinels | 29c | 444.48$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.28 | 2,406 | 42.6%1,026 W · 1,380 L | +21.5wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90a8…270ebacked Sentinels | 36c | 409.47$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.41 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x860e…a06dbacked Cloud9 | 66c | 376.48$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.48 | 54 | 50%27 W · 27 L | +3.3wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb503…7552backed Cloud9 | 52c | 345.28$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.28 | 163 | 46.6%76 W · 87 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e87…4536backed Cloud9 | 64c | 233.44$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.04 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10b2…9ac1backed Sentinels | 62c | 213.57$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.3 | 169 | 41.4%70 W · 99 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeffd…5a86backed Sentinels | 33c | 202.63$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.12 | 440 | 47.5%209 W · 231 L | +11.7wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff80…9b4dbacked Cloud9 | 63c | 197.19$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.96 | 372 | 45.2%168 W · 204 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a6d…72eabacked Cloud9 | 64c | 176.03$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.37 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Sentinels | 34c | 175$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.5 | 1,224 | 48.3%591 W · 633 L | +26.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x709f…a1e4backed Cloud9 | 76c | 160.92$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.11 | 92 | 64.1%59 W · 33 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fc2…64d1backed Cloud9 | 63c | 111.55$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.28 | 80 | 42.5%34 W · 46 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x520e…d75abacked Sentinels | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 288 | 37.5%108 W · 180 L | -16.7wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…03cbbacked Sentinels | 37c | 81.08$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 177 | 45.2%80 W · 97 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ddc…9c0fbacked Sentinels | 37c | 80.7$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.86 | 218 | 44%96 W · 122 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x183f…85e3backed Cloud9 | 78c | 54.5$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.99 | 1,091 | 53.8%587 W · 504 L | +38.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93e3…e590backed Cloud9 | 44c | 52.07$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.16 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked Cloud9 | 70c | 40$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 214 | 57.5%123 W · 91 L | +13.8wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd51f…b4cdbacked Sentinels | 35c | 39.99$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -17%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cfd…dfe7backed Sentinels | 48c | 31.46$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.2 | 227 | 58.1%132 W · 95 L | +10.7wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe825…39b7backed Cloud9 | 44c | 30.63$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.15 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfda1…454fbacked Cloud9 | 44c | 30.63$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.15 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29aa…e4eabacked Cloud9 | 44c | 30.63$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.15 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Cloud9 | 70c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 78 | 56.4%44 W · 34 L | +6.9wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x92b5…2defbacked Sentinels | 37c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.1 | 362 | 44.2%160 W · 202 L | +13.1wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbeaa…e2d0backed Cloud9 | 66c | 25.76$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.76 | 127 | 52.8%67 W · 60 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x74f3…c784backed Cloud9 | 70c | 21.43$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.43 | 49 | 69.4%34 W · 15 L | +3.4wins | +0.07per pick | 62cpaid | +17%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Game Handicap: C9 (-1.5) vs Sentinels (+1.5)this page
- Game Handicap: C9 (-2.5) vs Sentinels (+2.5)Sentinels won
- Games Total: O/U 3.5Over won
- Games Total: O/U 4.5Under won
- LoL: Sentinels vs Cloud9 (BO5) - Americas Cup PlayoffsCloud9 won
- LoL: Sentinels vs Cloud9 - Game 1 WinnerCloud9 won
- LoL: Sentinels vs Cloud9 - Game 2 WinnerSentinels won
- LoL: Sentinels vs Cloud9 - Game 3 WinnerCloud9 won
- LoL: Sentinels vs Cloud9 - Game 4 WinnerCloud9 won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.