TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Lol · resolved market

LoL: Sentinels vs Cloud9 - Game 3 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Cloud9of Sentinels, Cloud9
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$327,893

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $327,893 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 187 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Lol
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xf201…527ebacked Sentinels5c66,008$3,489 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,489.441,30045.2%587 W · 713 L+50.6wins+0.04per pick41cpaid-10%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc427…64f5backed Sentinels0c23,484$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.22825%2 W · 6 L0.0wins+0.01per pick24cpaid+41.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x26f8…3452backed Sentinels31c13,317$4,134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,133.5627753.1%147 W · 130 L+5.3wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x910d…cfc0backed Sentinels16c11,608$1,853 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,852.6518451.6%95 W · 89 L+9.4wins+0.05per pick47cpaid0%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xebc7…4003backed Cloud961c10,621$6,522 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,099.728361.5%174 W · 109 L+18.0wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+11.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x2cad…eb66backed Cloud968c8,723$5,919 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,803.4148157.6%277 W · 204 L+10.6wins+0.02per pick55cpaid-2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5e38…de0fbacked Cloud967c8,150$5,448 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,702.136149.2%30 W · 31 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-9.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xef26…05babacked Sentinels36c7,702$2,790 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,789.671,26737.7%478 W · 789 L+35.3wins+0.03per pick35cpaid-0.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x14ac…cb21backed Sentinels42c6,134$2,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,600.2925446.1%117 W · 137 L-6.0wins-0.02per pick48cpaid+2.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Cloud963c4,571$2,889 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,682.192,40642.6%1,026 W · 1,380 L+21.5wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x04bd…39a0backed Sentinels5c4,519$239 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$239.231,22945.1%554 W · 675 L+48.5wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+5.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3f40…e1f2backed Sentinels34c4,450$1,509 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,508.59345.2%42 W · 51 L+2.9wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+1.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x506b…3f70backed Cloud966c3,843$2,523 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,319.763342.4%14 W · 19 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-21.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Sentinels0c3,807$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.6389810.7%96 W · 802 L+2.6wins0.00per pick10cpaid-36.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa5ea…d96abacked Cloud967c3,594$2,408 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,186.1255955.8%312 W · 247 L+50.8wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+20.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xdcfe…44b5backed Cloud964c3,453$2,215 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,237.5531153.4%166 W · 145 L-9.4wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-8.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7a14…d748backed Cloud970c3,000$2,110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8906556.9%37 W · 28 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-5.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2560…0b02backed Sentinels36c2,887$1,034 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,033.5739749.1%195 W · 202 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xec0e…672cbacked Sentinels37c2,786$1,025 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,024.6553640.3%216 W · 320 L-8.1wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-19.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf5ea…d07fbacked Sentinels35c2,500$875 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87595951.3%492 W · 467 L+42.8wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+6.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa469…0782backed Cloud965c2,491$1,629 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$862.651,32753.3%707 W · 620 L+37.6wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd3b0…329ebacked Cloud966c2,278$1,503 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$775.992,01258.1%1,168 W · 844 L+84.6wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+9.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xfdc0…4b85backed Cloud967c2,160$1,445 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$715.591,25838.6%485 W · 773 L-61.8wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-20.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Sentinels34c2,145$736 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$735.933,58440.1%1,437 W · 2,147 L+31.1wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x11e5…337ebacked Sentinels40c2,000$791 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$790.994151.2%21 W · 20 L-1.7wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-8.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xafd4…7e61backed Cloud967c2,000$1,340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$659.991,20354%650 W · 553 L+28.0wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x70c1…dba0backed Cloud968c1,884$1,281 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$602.58458.3%49 W · 35 L+8.4wins+0.10per pick48cpaid+27.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x2b12…43c8backed Cloud969c1,839$1,260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$578.567343.8%32 W · 41 L-7.6wins-0.10per pick54cpaid-28.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x5623…6930backed Sentinels20c1,809$354 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$353.9913946%64 W · 75 L+0.5wins0.00per pick46cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3186…e9cabacked Cloud972c1,787$1,293 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$494.251,54062.6%964 W · 576 L+158.6wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+8.2%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x0e91…ea34backed Sentinels41c1,700$693 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$692.5750770%355 W · 152 L+15.6wins+0.03per pick67cpaid+4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbc67…5286backed Cloud963c1,612$1,016 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$595.5269756.5%394 W · 303 L+26.1wins+0.04per pick53cpaid-0.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbe8c…9e9ebacked Cloud965c1,569$1,015 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$554.5917839.3%70 W · 108 L-2.9wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-11%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Cloud963c1,476$932 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$543.362,83641.4%1,175 W · 1,661 L-12.9wins0.00per pick42cpaid-4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9738backed Cloud970c1,350$941 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$408.2960053.2%319 W · 281 L+15.3wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+1.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9cd2…34e9backed Sentinels11c1,303$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14077545%349 W · 426 L+7.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x618b…f937backed Sentinels4c1,275$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502634.6%9 W · 17 L-3.0wins-0.11per pick46cpaid-43.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Sentinels21c1,250$266 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$265.581,59234%541 W · 1,051 L-79.3wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-32.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xcf0a…320abacked Sentinels6c1,200$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7333251.5%171 W · 161 L+33.0wins+0.10per pick42cpaid+17.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xe902…eda4backed Sentinels31c1,183$370 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3703250%16 W · 16 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7c0f…fe01backed Cloud965c1,167$756 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$411.3136260.5%219 W · 143 L-0.5wins0.00per pick61cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8c16…4b37backed Cloud974c1,103$815 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$288.4418350.8%93 W · 90 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6ab4…96a5backed Cloud966c1,068$705 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$363.071770.6%12 W · 5 L+2.5wins+0.14per pick56cpaid+41.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf163…ca34backed Cloud960c1,056$634 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$422.521,49248.4%722 W · 770 L+47.5wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+0.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Cloud975c1,049$786 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$263.582,70735.9%972 W · 1,735 L-152.3wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-31.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x7b75…3fd1backed Sentinels2c1,005$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.5194134.5%325 W · 616 L+33.6wins+0.04per pick31cpaid-1.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x52b7…0aa1backed Sentinels32c1,000$320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3201,47429%427 W · 1,047 L+25.0wins+0.02per pick27cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2765…7ee4backed Cloud965c999.99$650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35048548.7%236 W · 249 L+13.2wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbec5…8f77backed Sentinels34c999.97$340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$339.9922035.9%79 W · 141 L+6.8wins+0.03per pick33cpaid+4.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4f2f…552cbacked Sentinels26c900$235 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$234.8716349.7%81 W · 82 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-16.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x68ba…e3f3backed Sentinels24c900$213 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$212.696451.6%33 W · 31 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-20%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2d05…6f11backed Sentinels35c900$318 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31810044%44 W · 56 L-3.0wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-6.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5cc5…1135backed Sentinels8c845.23$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.1944042%185 W · 255 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-7.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2639…a9b6backed Sentinels27c842.39$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22513249.2%65 W · 67 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-7.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8b72…6dbebacked Sentinels2c804.47$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.966316.4%109 W · 554 L-7.9wins-0.01per pick18cpaid-28%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3c47…e9bebacked Sentinels3c795.85$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.46250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.23per pick27cpaid-3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa57d…0670backed Cloud968c748.99$509 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$239.6811631%36 W · 80 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick30cpaid-20%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb7b3…9573backed Sentinels4c700$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$281,81339.1%709 W · 1,104 L-30.9wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-12%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7a0f…1305backed Cloud967c667.59$444 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$223.591,46961.4%902 W · 567 L-20.4wins-0.01per pick63cpaid-2.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x07e4…116abacked Sentinels32c622.12$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2004744.7%21 W · 26 L+3.9wins+0.08per pick36cpaid+24.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xdf06…c9ffbacked Sentinels9c600$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.1763551.8%329 W · 306 L+39.0wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+22.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xda32…04a1backed Cloud961c600$366 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23442148.2%203 W · 218 L-8.9wins-0.02per pick50cpaid+36.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8e3f…6941backed Cloud962c589$365 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$224.3239447.2%186 W · 208 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1b50…ea47backed Sentinels10c550$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.671,29926.6%345 W · 954 L+65.4wins+0.05per pick22cpaid+17.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3fbd…c4e4backed Sentinels21c549.99$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11552538.9%204 W · 321 L+18.0wins+0.03per pick35cpaid+4.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x126b…298fbacked Cloud964c534.18$342 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$191.733063.3%19 W · 11 L+2.8wins+0.09per pick54cpaid+10%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xcf00…353fbacked Cloud979c517.25$410 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.613435.1%47 W · 87 L-4.6wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-18.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2a67…ef6bbacked Cloud961c516.69$316 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$200.928254.9%45 W · 37 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x59aa…3376backed Sentinels36c503.97$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1801,13643.2%491 W · 645 L+2.0wins0.00per pick43cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x13c7…11d9backed Sentinels36c500$178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$177.8771249.2%350 W · 362 L+14.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf859…a183backed Sentinels34c500$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1701,21352.3%635 W · 578 L+33.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed Sentinels33c491.17$164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$163.982,91038.5%1,120 W · 1,790 L-120.0wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-27.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa3f1…83b0backed Cloud972c484.13$346 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$137.67250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-30.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x395f…dcacbacked Cloud962c483.87$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$183.8726245.8%120 W · 142 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1f05…575ebacked Cloud956c453$253 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$199.732245.5%10 W · 12 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc397…bb3bbacked Cloud966c452.4$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$152.41,67559.3%993 W · 682 L+96.8wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+9.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xe1a6…afa6backed Sentinels46c438.3$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2005853.4%31 W · 27 L+3.1wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+8.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6eb8…c665backed Sentinels35c428.57$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15033143.8%145 W · 186 L-11.9wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-14.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0535…75ccbacked Sentinels32c415$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132.81,01349.1%497 W · 516 L+29.3wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+10.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa422…d0f9backed Sentinels21c400$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.86462.5%40 W · 24 L+6.7wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+7.7%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x2a8c…fd3dbacked Sentinels33c397.36$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13076030.3%230 W · 530 L-20.1wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-14.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4bb3…727bbacked Sentinels39c381.98$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1482250%11 W · 11 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-10.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x37f8…b5e5backed Cloud964c357.54$231 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126.9454944.4%244 W · 305 L+10.5wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-9.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4b82…a340backed Sentinels3c334.9$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103138.7%12 W · 19 L+1.6wins+0.05per pick34cpaid+20.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x49a6…a658backed Cloud967c331.34$222 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.3450051.6%258 W · 242 L-14.3wins-0.03per pick54cpaid+1.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x480e…71e9backed Sentinels37c329.95$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.5926453.8%142 W · 122 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x520e…d75abacked Sentinels34c325$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.2828837.5%108 W · 180 L-16.7wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa6b5…5fc8backed Cloud962c322.58$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.581866.7%12 W · 6 L+3.4wins+0.19per pick48cpaid+15.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x0a8f…6353backed Sentinels31c320$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.89938.4%38 W · 61 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick37cpaid-5.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x88b9…0fc9backed Sentinels33c309.25$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.5534837.4%130 W · 218 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x14a0…22bbbacked Cloud968c300$204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$961,15568.1%786 W · 369 L+35.1wins+0.03per pick65cpaid+3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa22b…c241backed Cloud971c300$213 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$872166.7%14 W · 7 L+2.2wins+0.11per pick56cpaid+6.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2d51…d971backed Cloud977c298.19$229 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.2367457.3%386 W · 288 L+23.0wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+8.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x65e0…e51dbacked Cloud967c298.02$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.0243138.1%164 W · 267 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xabfb…12e5backed Sentinels6c287.49$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.277728.6%22 W · 55 L+3.2wins+0.04per pick24cpaid-14.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x45a8…c4f2backed Cloud970c285.71$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.712055%11 W · 9 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-7.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xba50…ad0bbacked Sentinels22c273.15$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$601,18948.1%572 W · 617 L-2.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3333…3c23backed Sentinels39c271.83$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10528042.5%119 W · 161 L+5.3wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+7.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xad50…81a8backed Cloud977c263.42$202 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.856056.7%34 W · 26 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick55cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb91…7db6backed Cloud961c245.9$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.930348.8%148 W · 155 L+14.9wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+11.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.